20 May 2026 at 09:30:46

Short Trade on XAU (BosPullback)

With 0.38 XAU at 4493.8$ per unit. Take profit: 4441.5237 (1.16 %) & Stop Loss: 4514.7105 (0.47 %)

Short BosPullback on XAU (20 May 2026 at 09:30:46 to 10:30:00 - 59 minutes )

With 0.3826 XAU at 4493.8$ per unit.

Position size of 1719.2495 $
Take profit at 4441.5237 (1.16 %) and Stop Loss at 4514.7105 (0.47 %)

That's a 2.5 RR Trade
Duration: 59 minutes

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.49
Prediction Score:
Prediction 1 Probability
n/a
Prediction 2 Probability
n/a
Prediction 3 Probability
n/a
BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : range

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_low

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

tf_aligned : 1

20/05 09:06

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

1H_regime : bear_low

15m_regime : range_low

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability Évalué à
4h ↓ down range range moderate grind volatile_reversal bear_medium
59%
20/05 00:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_medium
72%
20/05 05:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind compression range_low
48%
20/05 07:00
5m ↑ up range range moderate grind compression range_low
49%
20/05 07:45

Signal

BosPullback - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.72
  3. reason: bos_pullback_short|score=1|shallow|bars_since_bos=10|retests=1|break_atr=0.87|prog=0.35|zone=tested
  4. stop_price: 4514.71051889
  5. tp_price: 4441.52370278
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.72
  8. confidence_pre_ob: 0.72
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. timeframe : 1h
  10. state : pullback_down
  11. confidence : 0.57
  12. trend_strength : -0.2399
  13. trend_persistence : 0.5
  14. high_delta_atr : -0.358
  15. low_delta_atr : -1.4426
  16. current_swing_amp_atr : 2.7429
  17. current_swing_speed : 0.9143
  18. current_swing_efficiency : 0.4601
  19. retracement_ratio : 1.7944
  20. extension_ratio : 1.4989
  21. compression_score : 0.7725
  22. swing_entropy : 1
  23. breakout_strength : -0.6786
  24. distance_to_last_high_atr : -1.1374
  25. distance_to_last_low_atr : 2.1213
  26. pivot_count : 27
  27. swing_count : 26
  28. market_structure_v2
  29. last_pivot_kind: low
  30. last_pivot_price:
    4458.01
  31. last_pivot_index:
    139
  32. ¸
  33. trend_analyzer_1h
  34. direction : down
  35. phase : transition
  36. structure : bearish_transition
  37. breakout_state : breakout_retest
  38. quality : volatile
  39. strength : moderate
  40. exhaustion : low
  41. momentum_type : grind
  42. volatility_regime : compression
  43. htf_context : unknown
  44. risk_state : discount
  45. confidence : 0.515
  46. state : down_bearish_transition_grind
  47. trend_analyzer_1h
  48. scores_direction_score:
    0.3011
  49. scores_strength_score:
    0.4918
  50. scores_quality_score:
    0.2725
  51. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.1768
  52. scores_structural_quality:
    0.3508
  53. scores_pullback_score:
    1
  54. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.2837
  55. scores_continuation_score:
    0.4103
  56. scores_structure_score:
    0.353
  57. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.0621
  58. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.505
  59. scores_risk_score:
    0.2643
  60. trend_analyzer_1h
  61. features_ema20_slope:
    0.0137
  62. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.0473
  63. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  64. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -0.0966
  65. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -1.2639
  66. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.55
  67. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.45
  68. features_last_bos_direction:
    -1
  69. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    10
  70. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  71. features_wick_ratio:
    0.6465
  72. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.4601
  73. features_impulse_strength:
    2.7429
  74. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.5
  75. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    1.7944
  76. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    3.1034
  77. features_extension_from_mean:
    -1.2639
  78. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.2506
  79. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.2916
  80. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.06
  81. features_volatility_delta:
    -0.2608
  82. features_body_ratio:
    0.3278
  83. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.4773
  84. features_slope_consistency:
    0.5868
  85. features_range_position:
    0.2643
  86. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -6.3811
  87. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    2.293
  88. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  89. features_had_recent_compression:
    1
  90. features_post_break_hl_count:
    0
  91. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  92. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  93. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  94. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  95. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  96. ¸
  97. orderbook_context
  98. obi_top5 : -0.0505
  99. obi_top10 : -0.0505
  100. micro_price : 4493.46539511
  101. spread_pct : 0.000223
  102. mid_price : 4493.465
  103. bid_wall_price :
  104. bid_wall_size :
  105. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  106. ask_wall_price : 4500
  107. ask_wall_size : 573.168
  108. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  109. snapshots_count : 5
  110. obi_top5_mean : -0.0946
  111. obi_top5_std : 0.0737
  112. pressure_side : neutral
  113. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  114. collection_ms : 6927
  115. aggregation_tick : 10
  116. error :
  117. ¸
  118. strategy_details
  119. strategy : bos_pullback
  120. ms_state_1h : pullback_down
  121. strategy_details
  122. pivots_1h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 10:00:00
        [price] => 4569.92
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  123. pivots_1h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-16 06:00:00
        [price] => 4523.63
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  124. pivots_1h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-16 11:00:00
        [price] => 4541.87
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  125. pivots_1h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-17 02:00:00
        [price] => 4530.11
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  126. pivots_1h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-17 11:00:00
        [price] => 4546.34
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  127. pivots_1h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-17 17:00:00
        [price] => 4532.11
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  128. pivots_1h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-17 18:00:00
        [price] => 4559.99
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  129. pivots_1h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-17 20:00:00
        [price] => 4483.11
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  130. pivots_1h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-18 03:00:00
        [price] => 4563.99
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  131. pivots_1h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-18 07:00:00
        [price] => 4535.31
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  132. pivots_1h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-18 09:00:00
        [price] => 4587.36
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  133. pivots_1h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-18 11:00:00
        [price] => 4536.62
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  134. pivots_1h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-18 20:00:00
        [price] => 4593.4
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  135. pivots_1h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-19 01:00:00
        [price] => 4534.15
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  136. pivots_1h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-19 04:00:00
        [price] => 4563.78
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  137. pivots_1h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-19 09:00:00
        [price] => 4471.06
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  138. pivots_1h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-19 10:00:00
        [price] => 4519.03
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  139. pivots_1h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-19 18:00:00
        [price] => 4482.35
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  140. pivots_1h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-19 20:00:00
        [price] => 4512.99
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  141. pivots_1h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-19 23:00:00
        [price] => 4458.01
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  142. strategy_details
  143. pivots_15m_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-19 08:45:00
        [price] => 4546.59
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  144. pivots_15m_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-19 09:30:00
        [price] => 4471.06
        [kind] => low
        [label] => 
    )
    
  145. pivots_15m_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-19 10:00:00
        [price] => 4519.03
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  146. pivots_15m_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-19 12:30:00
        [price] => 4517.65
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  147. pivots_15m_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-19 18:30:00
        [price] => 4482.35
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  148. pivots_15m_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-19 19:30:00
        [price] => 4500
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  149. pivots_15m_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-19 20:00:00
        [price] => 4484.5
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  150. pivots_15m_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-19 20:45:00
        [price] => 4512.99
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  151. pivots_15m_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-19 21:30:00
        [price] => 4459.28
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  152. pivots_15m_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-19 21:45:00
        [price] => 4491.49
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  153. pivots_15m_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-19 23:00:00
        [price] => 4458.01
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  154. pivots_15m_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-20 01:30:00
        [price] => 4483.49
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  155. pivots_15m_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-20 02:30:00
        [price] => 4466.74
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  156. pivots_15m_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-20 04:45:00
        [price] => 4494
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  157. pivots_15m_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-20 05:15:00
        [price] => 4477.18
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  158. pivots_15m_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-20 09:00:00
        [price] => 4509.47
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  159. bos_level_long : 0
  160. bos_level_short : 4482.35
  161. strategy_details
  162. levels_hl_price:
    4458.01
  163. levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-05-19 23:00:00
  164. levels_hh_price:
    4512.99
  165. levels_lh_price:
    4512.99
  166. levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-05-19 20:00:00
  167. levels_ll_price:
    4458.01
  168. demand_zone :
  169. strategy_details
  170. supply_zone_top:
    4516.45
  171. supply_zone_bottom:
    4482.35
  172. supply_zone_mid:
    4499.4
  173. supply_zone_freshness: tested
  174. supply_zone_strength:
    0.7889
  175. ¸
  176. regimes
  177. 1H : bear_low
  178. 15m : range_low
  179. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ pullback_down
Confidence 57%

Trend

Trend Strength
-0.240
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
-0.358
Low Δ ATR
-1.443

Current Swing

Amp ATR
2.743
Speed
0.914
Efficiency
0.460

Structure

Retracement
1.794
Extension
1.499
Compression
0.773
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
-0.679
Dist High ATR
-1.137
Dist Low ATR
2.121
27 pivots · 26 swings · Last pivot: ↓ 4,458.0100 @ bar 139

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_bearish_transition_grind
Confidence 52%

Context

phase transition
structure bearish_transition
breakout breakout_retest
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion low
momentum grind
volatility compression
risk discount
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.301
Strength Score 0.492
Quality Score 0.273
Cleanliness Score 0.177
Structural Quality 0.351
Pullback Score 1.000
Exhaustion Score 0.284
Continuation Score 0.410
Structure Score 0.353
Volatility Expansion 0.062
Momentum Type Score 0.505
Risk Score 0.264
Features
Ema20 Slope
0.014
Ema50 Slope
-0.047
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-0.097
Price Vs Ema50
-1.264
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.550
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.450
Last Bos Direction
-1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
10.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.647
Trend Efficiency
0.460
Impulse Strength
2.743
Directional Candle Ratio
0.500
Pullback Depth Ratio
1.794
Pullback Depth Atr
3.103
Extension From Mean
-1.264
Impulse Decay Score
0.251
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.292
Volatility Percentile
0.060
Volatility Delta
-0.261
Body Ratio
0.328
Closes Position Ratio
0.477
Slope Consistency
0.587
Range Position
0.264
Distance To Recent High
-6.381
Distance To Recent Low
2.293
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
1.000
Post Break Hl Count
0.000

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6927ms Confidence avant OB : 72%72%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.051
avg -0.095 ± 0.074
OBI Top 10 -0.051

Microstructure

Mid Price
4,493.4650
Micro Price
4,493.4654
Spread
0.0002%

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
4,500.0000
Size
573.17

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
20 May 2026
09:30:46
20 May 2026
10:30:00
59 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4493.8 4514.7105 4441.5237 2.5 4157.13
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4493.8
  • Stop Loss: 4514.7105
  • Take Profit: 4441.5237

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4514.7105 - 4493.8 = 20.9105

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4493.8 - 4441.5237 = 52.2763

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 52.2763 / 20.9105 = 2.5

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1719.2495 100 0.3826 17.19
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 20.9105

Taille de position = 8 / 20.9105 = 0.38

Taille de position USD = 0.38 x 4493.8 = 1707.64

Donc, tu peux acheter 0.38 avec un stoploss a 4514.7105

Avec un position size USD de 1707.64$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 0.38 x 20.9105 = 7.95

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.95$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 0.38 x 52.2763 = 19.86

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.86$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 0.38
  • Taille de position USD 1707.64
  • Perte potentielle 7.95
  • Gain potentiel 19.86
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.16 % 20 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.47 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.47
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.8276 % 177.86 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4441.5237
            [entry_price] => 4493.8
            [stop_loss] => 4516.80155
            [rr_ratio] => 2.27
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-05-20 10:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4441.5237
            [entry_price] => 4493.8
            [stop_loss] => 4518.8926
            [rr_ratio] => 2.08
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-05-20 10:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4441.5237
            [entry_price] => 4493.8
            [stop_loss] => 4520.98365
            [rr_ratio] => 1.92
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-05-20 10:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4441.5237
            [entry_price] => 4493.8
            [stop_loss] => 4525.16575
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-05-20 10:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 21.7
            [max_drawdown] => 62.28
            [rr_ratio] => 0.35
            [high] => 4556.08000000
            [low] => 4472.10000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.48
            [mae_pct] => 1.39
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.35
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-05-20T09:30:46-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-20T11:30:46-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 21.7
            [max_drawdown] => 62.28
            [rr_ratio] => 0.35
            [high] => 4556.08000000
            [low] => 4472.10000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.48
            [mae_pct] => 1.39
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.35
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-05-20T09:30:46-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-20T16:30:46-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 4509.47000000
            [high_after] => 4556.08000000
            [low_before] => 4484.22000000
            [low_after] => 4472.10000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank
#33 / n/a OUT
seuil : top 15 · score du 20/05/2026 09:00
Signal Confidence
72 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime