Short Trade on XAU (CatchTheWave)
With 0.63 XAU at 4522.5$ per unit. Take profit: 4496.9495 (0.56 %) & Stop Loss: 4535.2753 (0.28 %)
Short Trade on XAU (CatchTheWave)
With 0.63 XAU at 4522.5$ per unit. Take profit: 4496.9495 (0.56 %) & Stop Loss: 4535.2753 (0.28 %)
Position size of 2832.0367 $
Take profit at 4496.9495 (0.56 %)
and Stop Loss at 4535.2753 (0.28 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.6 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.43 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.56 |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_low rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low tf_aligned : 1 20/05 10:06 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.359483 15m : 0.510604 |
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : bull_low_confirmed 5m_regime : range_low |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_medium |
59%
|
20/05 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_medium |
72%
|
20/05 05:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
48%
|
20/05 07:00 |
| 5m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
49%
|
20/05 07:45 |
Indicators:
77353.7
-0.000364289
77325.6
0.359483
77088.4
0.00339321
77350
0.510604
77280.7
0.000580371
77325.6
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4458.01
188
0.4706
0.5093
0.2728
0.1825
0.3467
1
0.2083
0.5007
0.353
0.7729
0.5232
0.4763
0.033
-0.0222
0.6667
1.1333
0.3989
0.55
0.45
-1
11
1
0.6351
0.4601
2.7429
0.55
1.7944
3.1034
0.3989
0.2506
0.2928
0.84
0.1034
0.4064
0.5079
0.4392
0.4763
-3.1989
2.9097
1
1
0
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:43 | 4522.50000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 10:45 | 4523.26000000 | +0.017% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-20 05:25:00 | 4477.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-20 06:35:00 | 4501.16 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-20 07:20:00 | 4494.89 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-20 07:25:00 | 4504.46 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-20 07:50:00 | 4494.64 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-20 08:00:00 | 4504.34 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-20 08:20:00 | 4497.15 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-20 09:10:00 | 4509.47 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-20 10:10:00 | 4472.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-20 10:30:00 | 4530.99 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-19 18:30:00 | 4482.35 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-19 20:45:00 | 4512.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 21:30:00 | 4459.28 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-19 23:00:00 | 4458.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-20 00:45:00 | 4461.43 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-20 01:30:00 | 4483.49 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-20 02:30:00 | 4466.74 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-20 05:15:00 | 4477.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-20 10:00:00 | 4472.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-20 10:30:00 | 4530.99 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 11:00:00 | 4546.34 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-17 18:00:00 | 4559.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-17 20:00:00 | 4483.11 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-18 09:00:00 | 4587.36 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-18 20:00:00 | 4593.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 04:00:00 | 4563.78 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 09:00:00 | 4471.06 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-19 20:00:00 | 4512.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 23:00:00 | 4458.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-20 10:00:00 | 4530.99 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 20 May 2026 10:43:55 |
20 May 2026 10:55:00 |
11 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4522.5 | 4535.2753 | 4496.9495 | 2 | 4157.13 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4535.2753 - 4522.5 = 12.7753
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 4522.5 - 4496.9495 = 25.5505
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 25.5505 / 12.7753 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2832.0367 | 100 | 0.6262 | 28.32 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 12.7753 = 0.63
Taille de position USD = 0.63 x 4522.5 = 2849.18
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.63 avec un stoploss a 4535.2753
Avec un position size USD de 2849.18$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.63 x 12.7753 = 8.05
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.05$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.63 x 25.5505 = 16.1
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.1$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.56 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.28 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.28 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3808 % | 134.8 % | 1 |
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Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?