Long Trade on PENGU (CatchTheWave)
With 136355.89 PENGU at 0.00926$ per unit. Take profit: 0.009374 (1.26 %) & Stop Loss: 0.009198 (0.64 %)
Long Trade on PENGU (CatchTheWave)
With 136355.89 PENGU at 0.00926$ per unit. Take profit: 0.009374 (1.26 %) & Stop Loss: 0.009198 (0.64 %)
Position size of 1262.2465 $
Take profit at 0.009374 (1.26 %)
and Stop Loss at 0.009198 (0.64 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.53 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 2 | 0.37 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.5 |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high rules_regime : bull_high rules_regime_4h : bear_medium tf_aligned : 21/05 01:01 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.466501 15m : 0.563844 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : range_medium |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
77%
|
21/05 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
69%
|
21/05 00:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | normal | bull_high |
77%
|
21/05 01:30 |
| 5m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | compression | range_medium |
45%
|
21/05 01:35 |
Indicators:
77809.3
0.000393569
77840
0.466501
77515.4
0.00444621
77860.1
0.563844
77357.6
0.00623566
77840
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-17 17:00:00
[1] => 0.008631
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-17 19:00:00
[1] => 0.008048
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-18 07:00:00
[1] => 0.008128
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-18 08:00:00
[1] => 0.008397
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-18 20:00:00
[1] => 0.008756
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 10:00:00
[1] => 0.008411
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-20 07:00:00
[1] => 0.008745
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-20 13:00:00
[1] => 0.00956
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-20 18:00:00
[1] => 0.008959
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-20 23:00:00
[1] => 0.009559
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.1593262893608
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.3262640919745
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.6971760241098
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-20 04:30:00
[1] => 0.008893
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-20 06:00:00
[1] => 0.008798
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-20 07:45:00
[1] => 0.008745
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-20 08:45:00
[1] => 0.00899
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-20 09:30:00
[1] => 0.008777
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-20 13:45:00
[1] => 0.00956
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-20 18:15:00
[1] => 0.008959
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-20 23:00:00
[1] => 0.009307
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-20 23:30:00
[1] => 0.009559
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-21 01:30:00
[1] => 0.009296
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.4584161523172
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.30120481927711
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.82917383821
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-20 19:20:00
[1] => 0.009027
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-20 20:15:00
[1] => 0.009092
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-20 22:00:00
[1] => 0.009469
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-20 22:15:00
[1] => 0.009323
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-20 23:00:00
[1] => 0.009307
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-20 23:30:00
[1] => 0.009559
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-21 00:00:00
[1] => 0.009543
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-21 00:35:00
[1] => 0.009316
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-21 00:40:00
[1] => 0.009411
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-21 01:40:00
[1] => 0.009249
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.6363829561152
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.086495837387818
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 12
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.7515407071035
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
0.009559
197
0.7565
0.6614
0.3846
0.2568
0.4892
0.9983
0.4511
0.5423
0.7086
0.928
0.7258
0.7996
0.1607
0.1158
1
0.4842
1.8327
0.6
0.4
1
12
1
0.4865
0.5976
5.0373
0.55
0.9983
3.9709
1.8327
0.6168
0.1761
0.88
0.8043
0.6693
0.5777
0.815
0.7996
-1.7434
6.9565
1
0
1
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:43 | 0.00925700 | 0% |
| 2 | 01:57 | 0.00922100 | -0.389% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-20 19:20:00 | 0.009027 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-20 20:15:00 | 0.009092 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-20 22:00:00 | 0.009469 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-20 22:15:00 | 0.009323 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-20 23:00:00 | 0.009307 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-20 23:30:00 | 0.009559 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-21 00:00:00 | 0.009543 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-21 00:35:00 | 0.009316 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-21 00:40:00 | 0.009411 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-21 01:40:00 | 0.009249 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-20 04:30:00 | 0.008893 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-20 06:00:00 | 0.008798 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-20 07:45:00 | 0.008745 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-20 08:45:00 | 0.00899 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-20 09:30:00 | 0.008777 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-20 13:45:00 | 0.00956 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-20 18:15:00 | 0.008959 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-20 23:00:00 | 0.009307 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-20 23:30:00 | 0.009559 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-21 01:30:00 | 0.009296 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 17:00:00 | 0.008631 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-17 19:00:00 | 0.008048 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-18 07:00:00 | 0.008128 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-18 08:00:00 | 0.008397 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-18 20:00:00 | 0.008756 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 10:00:00 | 0.008411 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-20 07:00:00 | 0.008745 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-20 13:00:00 | 0.00956 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-20 18:00:00 | 0.008959 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-20 23:00:00 | 0.009559 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 21 May 2026 01:43:09 |
21 May 2026 01:45:00 |
1 minute |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.009257 | 0.009198 | 0.009374 | 1.98 | 0.006757 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.009198 - 0.009257 = -5.9E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.009257 - 0.009374 = -0.000117
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000117 / -5.9E-5 = 1.9831
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1262.2465 | 100 | 136355.8889 | 12.62 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -5.9E-5 = -135593.22
Taille de position USD = -135593.22 x 0.009257 = -1255.19
Donc, tu peux acheter -135593.22 avec un stoploss a 0.009198
Avec un position size USD de -1255.19$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -135593.22 x -5.9E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -135593.22 x -0.000117 = 15.86
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.86$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.26 % | 15.95 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.64 % | 8.04 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.04 $ | -0.64 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.767 % | 120.33 % | 1 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.009374
[entry_price] => 0.009257
[stop_loss] => 0.0091921
[rr_ratio] => 1.8
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-05-21 01:45:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.009374
[entry_price] => 0.009257
[stop_loss] => 0.0091862
[rr_ratio] => 1.65
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-05-21 01:45:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.009374
[entry_price] => 0.009257
[stop_loss] => 0.0091803
[rr_ratio] => 1.53
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-05-21 02:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.009374
[entry_price] => 0.009257
[stop_loss] => 0.0091685
[rr_ratio] => 1.32
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-05-21 02:30:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 6.0000000000008E-6
[max_drawdown] => 0.000155
[rr_ratio] => 0.04
[high] => 0.00926300
[low] => 0.00910200
[mfe_pct] => 0.06
[mae_pct] => 1.67
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.04
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-05-21T01:43:09-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-21T03:43:09-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.000127
[max_drawdown] => 0.000195
[rr_ratio] => 0.65
[high] => 0.00938400
[low] => 0.00906200
[mfe_pct] => 1.37
[mae_pct] => 2.11
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.65
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-05-21T01:43:09-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-21T08:43:09-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.00955900
[high_after] => 0.00938400
[low_before] => 0.00924900
[low_after] => 0.00906200
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?