Long Trade on PENGU (CatchTheWave)
With 108283.7 PENGU at 0.00916$ per unit. Take profit: 0.009309 (1.62 %) & Stop Loss: 0.009087 (0.81 %)
Long Trade on PENGU (CatchTheWave)
With 108283.7 PENGU at 0.00916$ per unit. Take profit: 0.009309 (1.62 %) & Stop Loss: 0.009087 (0.81 %)
Position size of 991.987 $
Take profit at 0.009309 (1.62 %)
and Stop Loss at 0.009087 (0.81 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.74 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.55 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.59 |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high rules_regime : bull_high rules_regime_4h : bear_medium tf_aligned : 21/05 06:04 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : -0.022221 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bear_medium_confirmed |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
77%
|
21/05 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | explosive | normal | bull_high |
74%
|
21/05 06:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium |
71%
|
21/05 06:15 |
| 5m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | range_low |
45%
|
21/05 06:20 |
Indicators:
77794.3
-0.00233085
77613
-0.022221
0
0
77613
77425.7
0.00241795
77613
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-17 19:00:00
[1] => 0.008048
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-18 07:00:00
[1] => 0.008128
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-18 08:00:00
[1] => 0.008397
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-18 20:00:00
[1] => 0.008756
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 10:00:00
[1] => 0.008411
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-20 07:00:00
[1] => 0.008745
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-20 13:00:00
[1] => 0.00956
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-20 18:00:00
[1] => 0.008959
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-20 23:00:00
[1] => 0.009559
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-21 06:00:00
[1] => 0.009082
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.1636154409457
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.86985245540631
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.2521471041621
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-20 07:45:00
[1] => 0.008745
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-20 08:45:00
[1] => 0.00899
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-20 09:30:00
[1] => 0.008777
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-20 13:45:00
[1] => 0.00956
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-20 18:15:00
[1] => 0.008959
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-20 23:00:00
[1] => 0.009307
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-20 23:30:00
[1] => 0.009559
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-21 02:45:00
[1] => 0.009102
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-21 05:30:00
[1] => 0.009384
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-21 06:30:00
[1] => 0.009082
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.3763853367434
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.86985245540631
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.3252587535785
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-20 23:30:00
[1] => 0.009559
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-21 00:00:00
[1] => 0.009543
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-21 00:35:00
[1] => 0.009316
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-21 00:40:00
[1] => 0.009411
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-21 02:45:00
[1] => 0.009102
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-21 04:15:00
[1] => 0.009369
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-21 04:45:00
[1] => 0.009282
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-21 05:30:00
[1] => 0.009384
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-21 05:35:00
[1] => 0.00928
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-21 06:30:00
[1] => 0.009082
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.3763853367434
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.86985245540631
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 12
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.1801365338031
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
0.009384
198
0.6322
0.6169
0.416
0.2704
0.535
0.6171
0.4355
0.4972
0.6833
0.7329
0.6954
0.7361
0.0323
0.0648
0.6667
-0.2211
0.9997
0.6
0.4
1
17
1
0.4591
0.5709
3.7492
0.6
0.6171
1.7109
0.9997
0.765
0.1682
0.8
0.0794
0.5788
0.5559
0.7697
0.7361
-2.3655
6.5985
1
0
2
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-20 23:30:00 | 0.009559 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-21 00:00:00 | 0.009543 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-21 00:35:00 | 0.009316 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-21 00:40:00 | 0.009411 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-21 02:45:00 | 0.009102 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-21 04:15:00 | 0.009369 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-21 04:45:00 | 0.009282 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-21 05:30:00 | 0.009384 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-21 05:35:00 | 0.00928 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-21 06:30:00 | 0.009082 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-20 07:45:00 | 0.008745 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-20 08:45:00 | 0.00899 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-20 09:30:00 | 0.008777 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-20 13:45:00 | 0.00956 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-20 18:15:00 | 0.008959 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-20 23:00:00 | 0.009307 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-20 23:30:00 | 0.009559 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-21 02:45:00 | 0.009102 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-21 05:30:00 | 0.009384 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-21 06:30:00 | 0.009082 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 19:00:00 | 0.008048 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-18 07:00:00 | 0.008128 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-18 08:00:00 | 0.008397 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-18 20:00:00 | 0.008756 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 10:00:00 | 0.008411 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-20 07:00:00 | 0.008745 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-20 13:00:00 | 0.00956 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-20 18:00:00 | 0.008959 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-20 23:00:00 | 0.009559 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-21 06:00:00 | 0.009082 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 21 May 2026 06:33:58 |
21 May 2026 06:50:00 |
16 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.009161 | 0.009087 | 0.009309 | 2 | 0.006757 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.009087 - 0.009161 = -7.4000000000001E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.009161 - 0.009309 = -0.000148
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000148 / -7.4000000000001E-5 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 991.987 | 100 | 108283.7033 | 9.92 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -7.4000000000001E-5 = -108108.11
Taille de position USD = -108108.11 x 0.009161 = -990.38
Donc, tu peux acheter -108108.11 avec un stoploss a 0.009087
Avec un position size USD de -990.38$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -108108.11 x -7.4000000000001E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -108108.11 x -0.000148 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.62 % | 16.03 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.81 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.01 $ | -0.81 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9388 % | 116.22 % | 1 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.009309
[entry_price] => 0.009161
[stop_loss] => 0.0090796
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-05-21 06:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.009309
[entry_price] => 0.009161
[stop_loss] => 0.0090722
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-05-21 07:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.009309
[entry_price] => 0.009161
[stop_loss] => 0.0090648
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-05-21 07:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.009309
[entry_price] => 0.009161
[stop_loss] => 0.00905
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-05-21 10:35:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 3.6999999999999E-5
[max_drawdown] => 9.9E-5
[rr_ratio] => 0.37
[high] => 0.00919800
[low] => 0.00906200
[mfe_pct] => 0.4
[mae_pct] => 1.08
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.37
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-05-21T06:33:58-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-21T08:33:58-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.000358
[max_drawdown] => 9.9E-5
[rr_ratio] => 3.62
[high] => 0.00951900
[low] => 0.00906200
[mfe_pct] => 3.91
[mae_pct] => 1.08
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.62
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-05-21T06:33:58-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-21T13:33:58-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.00938400
[high_after] => 0.00937100
[low_before] => 0.00908200
[low_after] => 0.00906200
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?