Long Trade on XAU (CatchTheWave)
With 2.67 XAU at 4539.51$ per unit. Take profit: 4545.4933 (0.13 %) & Stop Loss: 4536.5183 (0.066 %)
Long Trade on XAU (CatchTheWave)
With 2.67 XAU at 4539.51$ per unit. Take profit: 4545.4933 (0.13 %) & Stop Loss: 4536.5183 (0.066 %)
Position size of 12139.1368 $
Take profit at 4545.4933 (0.13 %)
and Stop Loss at 4536.5183 (0.066 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Strong Trade
|
0.78 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 2 | 0.51 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.57 |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high rules_regime : bull_high rules_regime_4h : bear_medium tf_aligned : 21/05 19:03 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.035439 15m : 0.501468 |
1H_regime : range_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_medium |
71%
|
21/05 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | range_low |
49%
|
21/05 18:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
50%
|
21/05 19:30 |
| 5m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | range_low |
34%
|
21/05 19:30 |
Indicators:
77549.9
0.000936583
77622.6
0.035439
77535.3
0.00112513
77622.6
0.501468
77427.6
0.00251743
77622.6
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 04:00:00
[1] => 4563.78
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 09:00:00
[1] => 4471.06
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 20:00:00
[1] => 4512.99
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 23:00:00
[1] => 4458.01
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-20 10:00:00
[1] => 4472.1
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-20 11:00:00
[1] => 4556.08
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-20 21:00:00
[1] => 4571.83
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-21 05:00:00
[1] => 4544.99
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-21 09:00:00
[1] => 4493.06
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-21 13:00:00
[1] => 4561.9
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.49080427015058
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.033816597152
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.5321406791808
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-21 01:45:00
[1] => 4520.74
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-21 03:15:00
[1] => 4515.04
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-21 05:30:00
[1] => 4544.99
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-21 06:30:00
[1] => 4508.53
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-21 09:30:00
[1] => 4493.06
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-21 09:45:00
[1] => 4524.5
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-21 13:45:00
[1] => 4561.9
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-21 14:45:00
[1] => 4530.6
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-21 18:00:00
[1] => 4547.99
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-21 19:30:00
[1] => 4540.01
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.15985083520411
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.015638732073278
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.17577053795035
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-21 13:55:00
[1] => 4561.9
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-21 14:55:00
[1] => 4530.6
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-21 15:50:00
[1] => 4538.16
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-21 16:05:00
[1] => 4546.82
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-21 16:50:00
[1] => 4542.52
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-21 17:25:00
[1] => 4546.5
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-21 18:00:00
[1] => 4547.99
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-21 18:35:00
[1] => 4543.01
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-21 19:00:00
[1] => 4547.88
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-21 19:35:00
[1] => 4539.01
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.18404179529803
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.01101561794312
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.19541706231094
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
4561.9
193
0.721
0.574
0.3077
0.2347
0.3675
1
0.1322
0.6237
0.6708
0.0535
0.5136
0.602
0.0927
0.0467
1
0.4125
0.7427
0.55
0.45
1
6
1
0.5306
0.578
3.4719
0.5
1.3256
3.6479
0.7427
0
0.269
0
-0.2198
0.4407
0.5109
0
0.602
-3.8084
5.7595
1
1
0
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:41 | 4539.51000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 19:42 | 4538.17000000 | -0.03% |
| 3 | 19:51 | 4537.66000000 | -0.041% |
| 4 | 19:59 | 4537.05000000 | -0.054% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-21 13:55:00 | 4561.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-21 14:55:00 | 4530.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-21 15:50:00 | 4538.16 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-21 16:05:00 | 4546.82 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-21 16:50:00 | 4542.52 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-21 17:25:00 | 4546.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-21 18:00:00 | 4547.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-21 18:35:00 | 4543.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-21 19:00:00 | 4547.88 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-21 19:35:00 | 4539.01 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-21 01:45:00 | 4520.74 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-21 03:15:00 | 4515.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-21 05:30:00 | 4544.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-21 06:30:00 | 4508.53 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-21 09:30:00 | 4493.06 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-21 09:45:00 | 4524.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-21 13:45:00 | 4561.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-21 14:45:00 | 4530.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-21 18:00:00 | 4547.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-21 19:30:00 | 4540.01 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-19 04:00:00 | 4563.78 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 09:00:00 | 4471.06 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-19 20:00:00 | 4512.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 23:00:00 | 4458.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-20 10:00:00 | 4472.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-20 11:00:00 | 4556.08 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-20 21:00:00 | 4571.83 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-21 05:00:00 | 4544.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-21 09:00:00 | 4493.06 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-21 13:00:00 | 4561.9 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 21 May 2026 19:41:06 |
21 May 2026 19:45:00 |
3 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4539.51 | 4536.5183 | 4545.4933 | 2 | 4157.13 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4536.5183 - 4539.51 = -2.9917000000005
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 4539.51 - 4545.4933 = -5.9832999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -5.9832999999999 / -2.9917000000005 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12139.1368 | 100 | 2.6741 | 121.39 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -2.9917000000005 = -2.67
Taille de position USD = -2.67 x 4539.51 = -12120.49
Donc, tu peux acheter -2.67 avec un stoploss a 4536.5183
Avec un position size USD de -12120.49$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2.67 x -2.9917000000005 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2.67 x -5.9832999999999 = 15.98
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.98$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.13 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.066 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.07 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0881 % | 133.69 % | 0 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4545.4933
[entry_price] => 4539.51
[stop_loss] => 4536.21913
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-05-21 19:45:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4545.4933
[entry_price] => 4539.51
[stop_loss] => 4535.91996
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-05-21 19:45:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4545.4933
[entry_price] => 4539.51
[stop_loss] => 4535.62079
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-05-21 19:45:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4545.4933
[entry_price] => 4539.51
[stop_loss] => 4535.02245
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-05-21 20:00:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 4.9399999999996
[max_drawdown] => 14.45
[rr_ratio] => 0.34
[high] => 4544.45000000
[low] => 4525.06000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.11
[mae_pct] => 0.32
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.34
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-05-21T19:41:06-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-21T21:41:06-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 4.9399999999996
[max_drawdown] => 29.320000000001
[rr_ratio] => 0.17
[high] => 4544.45000000
[low] => 4510.19000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.11
[mae_pct] => 0.65
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.17
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-05-21T19:41:06-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-22T02:41:06-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 4547.99000000
[high_after] => 4544.45000000
[low_before] => 4536.00000000
[low_after] => 4523.50000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?