25 May 2026 at 01:02:59

Short Trade on AAVE (BosPullback)

With 14.14 AAVE at 85.77$ per unit. Take profit: 84.3558 (1.65 %) & Stop Loss: 86.3357 (0.66 %)

Short BosPullback on AAVE (25 May 2026 at 01:02:59 to 01:05:00 - 2 minutes )

With 14.1421 AAVE at 85.77$ per unit.

Position size of 1212.9676 $
Take profit at 84.3558 (1.65 %) and Stop Loss at 86.3357 (0.66 %)

That's a 2.5 RR Trade
Duration: 2 minutes

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: -0.41
Prediction Score:
Prediction 1 Probability
n/a
Prediction 2 Probability
n/a
Prediction 3 Probability
n/a
BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : range

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

rules_regime : bull_high

rules_regime_4h : bear_medium

tf_aligned :

25/05 01:01

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_low

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability Évalué à
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive normal bear_high
73%
24/05 20:00
1h ↓ down range range moderate explosive expansion_after_compression bear_high
73%
24/05 20:00
15m ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate balanced normal range_medium
46%
24/05 20:45
5m ↑ up range range moderate fading normal range_low
44%
25/05 04:50

Signal

BosPullback - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.93
  3. reason: bos_pullback_short|score=4|shallow|bars_since_bos=4|retests=1|break_atr=0.59|prog=0.45|zone=tested
  4. stop_price: 86.33568699
  5. tp_price: 84.35578253
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.93
  8. confidence_pre_ob: 0.93
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. timeframe : 1h
  10. state : range
  11. confidence : 0.918
  12. trend_strength : 0.0411
  13. trend_persistence : 0.5
  14. high_delta_atr : -2.0421
  15. low_delta_atr : -0.8519
  16. current_swing_amp_atr : 3.0883
  17. current_swing_speed : 0.77207
  18. current_swing_efficiency : 0.6658
  19. retracement_ratio : 1.3886
  20. extension_ratio : 0.7189
  21. compression_score : 0.7029
  22. swing_entropy : 1
  23. breakout_strength : -0.8269
  24. distance_to_last_high_atr : -1.3656
  25. distance_to_last_low_atr : 1.6788
  26. pivot_count : 30
  27. swing_count : 29
  28. market_structure_v2
  29. last_pivot_kind: low
  30. last_pivot_price:
    83.84
  31. last_pivot_index:
    145
  32. ¸
  33. trend_analyzer_1h
  34. direction : down
  35. phase : range
  36. structure : range
  37. breakout_state : none
  38. quality : volatile
  39. strength : moderate
  40. exhaustion : medium
  41. momentum_type : explosive
  42. volatility_regime : expansion_after_compression
  43. htf_context : unknown
  44. risk_state : discount
  45. confidence : 0.567
  46. state : down_range_explosive
  47. trend_analyzer_1h
  48. scores_direction_score:
    0.2878
  49. scores_strength_score:
    0.6493
  50. scores_quality_score:
    0.3601
  51. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.2676
  52. scores_structural_quality:
    0.4358
  53. scores_pullback_score:
    1
  54. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.4114
  55. scores_continuation_score:
    0.3667
  56. scores_structure_score:
    0.3222
  57. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.7129
  58. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.7415
  59. scores_risk_score:
    0.3103
  60. trend_analyzer_1h
  61. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.0893
  62. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.0533
  63. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  64. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -0.7248
  65. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -1.2001
  66. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.35
  67. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.65
  68. features_last_bos_direction:
    -1
  69. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    4
  70. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  71. features_wick_ratio:
    0.4649
  72. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.6658
  73. features_impulse_strength:
    3.931
  74. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.55
  75. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    1.3886
  76. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    3.1071
  77. features_extension_from_mean:
    -1.2001
  78. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.6405
  79. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.2008
  80. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.68
  81. features_volatility_delta:
    0.1573
  82. features_body_ratio:
    0.5869
  83. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.5436
  84. features_slope_consistency:
    0.8535
  85. features_range_position:
    0.3103
  86. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -6.1608
  87. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    2.7723
  88. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  89. features_had_recent_compression:
    1
  90. features_post_break_hl_count:
    0
  91. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  92. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  93. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  94. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  95. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  96. ¸
  97. orderbook_context
  98. obi_top5 : -0.0659
  99. obi_top10 : -0.0799
  100. micro_price : 86.07720207
  101. spread_pct : 0.011618
  102. mid_price : 86.075
  103. bid_wall_price :
  104. bid_wall_size :
  105. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  106. ask_wall_price :
  107. ask_wall_size :
  108. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  109. snapshots_count : 5
  110. obi_top5_mean : -0.0645
  111. obi_top5_std : 0.0119
  112. pressure_side : neutral
  113. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  114. collection_ms : 7190
  115. aggregation_tick : 0.1
  116. error :
  117. ¸
  118. strategy_details
  119. strategy : bos_pullback
  120. ms_state_1h : range
  121. strategy_details
  122. pivots_1h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-21 00:00:00
        [price] => 90.18
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  123. pivots_1h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-21 03:00:00
        [price] => 88.45
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  124. pivots_1h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-21 04:00:00
        [price] => 89.92
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  125. pivots_1h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-21 08:00:00
        [price] => 87.63
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  126. pivots_1h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-21 13:00:00
        [price] => 89.72
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  127. pivots_1h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-21 21:00:00
        [price] => 87.38
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  128. pivots_1h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-22 01:00:00
        [price] => 88.46
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  129. pivots_1h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-22 03:00:00
        [price] => 87.27
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  130. pivots_1h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-22 09:00:00
        [price] => 89.59
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  131. pivots_1h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-22 11:00:00
        [price] => 87.34
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  132. pivots_1h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-22 13:00:00
        [price] => 88.49
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  133. pivots_1h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-22 14:00:00
        [price] => 84.96
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  134. pivots_1h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-22 19:00:00
        [price] => 86.83
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  135. pivots_1h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-23 04:00:00
        [price] => 82.93
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  136. pivots_1h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-23 17:00:00
        [price] => 88.94
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  137. pivots_1h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-23 23:00:00
        [price] => 85.92
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  138. pivots_1h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-24 08:00:00
        [price] => 87.9
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  139. pivots_1h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-24 10:00:00
        [price] => 84.52
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  140. pivots_1h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-24 13:00:00
        [price] => 86.27
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  141. pivots_1h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-24 17:00:00
        [price] => 83.84
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  142. strategy_details
  143. pivots_15m_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-23 20:45:00
        [price] => 86.85
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  144. pivots_15m_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-23 23:30:00
        [price] => 85.92
        [kind] => low
        [label] => 
    )
    
  145. pivots_15m_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-24 00:45:00
        [price] => 86.42
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  146. pivots_15m_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-24 01:15:00
        [price] => 85.97
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  147. pivots_15m_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-24 03:00:00
        [price] => 86.77
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  148. pivots_15m_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-24 04:15:00
        [price] => 86.29
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  149. pivots_15m_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-24 05:30:00
        [price] => 87.19
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  150. pivots_15m_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-24 06:00:00
        [price] => 86.74
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  151. pivots_15m_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-24 08:00:00
        [price] => 87.9
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  152. pivots_15m_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-24 08:30:00
        [price] => 86.67
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  153. pivots_15m_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-24 09:00:00
        [price] => 87.23
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  154. pivots_15m_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-24 10:15:00
        [price] => 84.52
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  155. pivots_15m_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-24 13:00:00
        [price] => 86.27
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  156. pivots_15m_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-24 17:30:00
        [price] => 83.84
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  157. bos_level_long : 0
  158. bos_level_short : 84.52
  159. strategy_details
  160. levels_hl_price:
    83.84
  161. levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-05-24 17:00:00
  162. levels_hh_price:
    86.27
  163. levels_lh_price:
    86.27
  164. levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-05-24 13:00:00
  165. levels_ll_price:
    83.84
  166. demand_zone :
  167. strategy_details
  168. supply_zone_top:
    87.9
  169. supply_zone_bottom:
    86.67
  170. supply_zone_mid:
    87.285
  171. supply_zone_freshness: tested
  172. supply_zone_strength:
    1.0391
  173. ¸
  174. regimes
  175. 1H : bear_high
  176. 15m : range_low
  177. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↔ range
Confidence 92%

Trend

Trend Strength
0.041
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
-2.042
Low Δ ATR
-0.852

Current Swing

Amp ATR
3.088
Speed
0.772
Efficiency
0.666

Structure

Retracement
1.389
Extension
0.719
Compression
0.703
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
-0.827
Dist High ATR
-1.366
Dist Low ATR
1.679
30 pivots · 29 swings · Last pivot: ↓ 83.8400 @ bar 145

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_range_explosive
Confidence 57%

Context

phase range
structure range
breakout none
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion medium
momentum explosive
volatility expansion_after_compression
risk discount
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.288
Strength Score 0.649
Quality Score 0.360
Cleanliness Score 0.268
Structural Quality 0.436
Pullback Score 1.000
Exhaustion Score 0.411
Continuation Score 0.367
Structure Score 0.322
Volatility Expansion 0.713
Momentum Type Score 0.742
Risk Score 0.310
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.089
Ema50 Slope
-0.053
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-0.725
Price Vs Ema50
-1.200
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.350
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.650
Last Bos Direction
-1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
4.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.465
Trend Efficiency
0.666
Impulse Strength
3.931
Directional Candle Ratio
0.550
Pullback Depth Ratio
1.389
Pullback Depth Atr
3.107
Extension From Mean
-1.200
Impulse Decay Score
0.641
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.201
Volatility Percentile
0.680
Volatility Delta
0.157
Body Ratio
0.587
Closes Position Ratio
0.544
Slope Consistency
0.854
Range Position
0.310
Distance To Recent High
-6.161
Distance To Recent Low
2.772
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
1.000
Post Break Hl Count
0.000

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7190ms Confidence avant OB : 93%93%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.066
avg -0.065 ± 0.012
OBI Top 10 -0.080

Microstructure

Mid Price
86.0750
Micro Price
86.0772
Spread
0.0116%

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
25 May 2026
01:02:59
25 May 2026
01:05:00
2 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
85.77 86.3357 84.3558 2.5 100.7
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 85.77
  • Stop Loss: 86.3357
  • Take Profit: 84.3558

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 86.3357 - 85.77 = 0.56570000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 85.77 - 84.3558 = 1.4142

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.4142 / 0.56570000000001 = 2.4999

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1212.9676 100 14.1421 12.13
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.56570000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.56570000000001 = 14.14

Taille de position USD = 14.14 x 85.77 = 1212.79

Donc, tu peux acheter 14.14 avec un stoploss a 86.3357

Avec un position size USD de 1212.79$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 14.14 x 0.56570000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 14.14 x 1.4142 = 20

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 14.14
  • Taille de position USD 1212.79
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4999

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.65 % 20 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.66 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.66
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.7812 % 118.44 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 84.3558
            [entry_price] => 85.77
            [stop_loss] => 86.39227
            [rr_ratio] => 2.27
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-05-25 05:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 84.3558
            [entry_price] => 85.77
            [stop_loss] => 86.44884
            [rr_ratio] => 2.08
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-05-25 05:40:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 84.3558
            [entry_price] => 85.77
            [stop_loss] => 86.50541
            [rr_ratio] => 1.92
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-05-25 05:40:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 84.3558
            [entry_price] => 85.77
            [stop_loss] => 86.61855
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-05-25 06:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => -0.34
            [max_drawdown] => 1.06
            [rr_ratio] => -0.32
            [high] => 86.83000000
            [low] => 86.11000000
            [mfe_pct] => -0.4
            [mae_pct] => 1.24
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => -0.32
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-05-25T01:02:59-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-25T03:02:59-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => -0.34
            [max_drawdown] => 1.35
            [rr_ratio] => -0.25
            [high] => 87.12000000
            [low] => 86.11000000
            [mfe_pct] => -0.4
            [mae_pct] => 1.57
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => -0.25
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-05-25T01:02:59-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-25T08:02:59-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 86.16000000
            [high_after] => 87.12000000
            [low_before] => 85.15000000
            [low_after] => 86.11000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank
#33 / 56 OUT
seuil : top 15 · score du 25/05/2026 01:00
Signal Confidence
93 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime