Short Trade on SPY (WedgePullback)
With 2.35 SPY at 749.6$ per unit. Take profit: 739.383 (1.36 %) & Stop Loss: 753.0057 (0.45 %)
28 May 2026 at 02:01:19
Duration: 8 hours
Short WedgePullback on SPY (28 May 2026 at 02:01:19 to 10:10:00 - 8 hours )
With 2.349 SPY at 749.6$ per unit.
Position size of 1760.8277 $
Take profit at 739.383 (1.36 %)
and Stop Loss at 753.0057 (0.45 %)
Duration: 8 hours
Results
Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.3
Prediction Score:
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 3 |
ml_regime : bear_high rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_4h : range_medium tf_aligned : 28/05 02:01 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
4H_regime : range_low 1H_regime : range_low 15m_regime : range_low |
Signal
WedgePullback - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.95
- reason: ascending_wedge_lh_anticipation|ob:ask_pressure(+0.07)|ob:obi_strong(+0.08)
- stop_price: 753.00567104
- tp_price: 739.38298688
- atr:
- score: 0.8
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.8
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2
- timeframe : 1h
- state : range
- confidence : 0.786
- trend_strength : -0.1068
- trend_persistence : 0.5
- high_delta_atr : 1.1787
- low_delta_atr : -1.3965
- current_swing_amp_atr : 3.9911
- current_swing_speed : 0.66519
- current_swing_efficiency : 0.5043
- retracement_ratio : 1.5166
- extension_ratio : 2.6891
- compression_score : 1.0754
- swing_entropy : 1
- breakout_strength : -0.5893
- distance_to_last_high_atr : -2.1139
- distance_to_last_low_atr : 1.9858
- pivot_count : 30
- swing_count : 29
- market_structure_v2
- last_pivot_kind: low
- last_pivot_price:
746.5
- last_pivot_index:
133
¸
- trend_analyzer_1h
- direction : down
- phase : range
- structure : range
- breakout_state : none
- quality : volatile
- strength : moderate
- exhaustion : low
- momentum_type : balanced
- volatility_regime : expansion_after_compression
- htf_context : unknown
- risk_state : mid_range
- confidence : 0.569
- state : down_range_balanced
- trend_analyzer_1h
- scores_direction_score:
0.3012
- scores_strength_score:
0.5966
- scores_quality_score:
0.3262
- scores_cleanliness_score:
0.2554
- scores_structural_quality:
0.3842
- scores_pullback_score:
1
- scores_exhaustion_score:
0.1328
- scores_continuation_score:
0.4556
- scores_structure_score:
0.3763
- scores_volatility_expansion:
0.928
- scores_momentum_type_score:
0.5363
- scores_risk_score:
0.5281
- trend_analyzer_1h
- features_ema20_slope:
-0.1188
- features_ema50_slope:
-0.048
- features_ema_alignment_score:
0
- features_price_vs_ema20:
-0.4841
- features_price_vs_ema50:
-0.6479
- features_recent_hh_hl_score:
0.55
- features_recent_lh_ll_score:
0.45
- features_last_bos_direction:
-1
- features_bars_since_last_bos:
2
- features_candle_overlap_ratio:
0.9474
- features_wick_ratio:
0.5418
- features_trend_efficiency:
0.5043
- features_impulse_strength:
3.9911
- features_directional_candle_ratio:
0.6
- features_pullback_depth_ratio:
1.5166
- features_pullback_depth_atr:
4.4198
- features_extension_from_mean:
-0.6479
- features_impulse_decay_score:
0
- features_opposing_wick_pressure:
0.3043
- features_volatility_percentile:
0.88
- features_volatility_delta:
0.8498
- features_body_ratio:
0.5736
- features_closes_position_ratio:
0.4832
- features_slope_consistency:
0
- features_range_position:
0.5281
- features_distance_to_recent_high:
-4.0845
- features_distance_to_recent_low:
4.5705
- features_had_recent_range:
1
- features_had_recent_compression:
1
- features_post_break_hl_count:
0
- features_htf_trend_strength:
- features_htf_compression_score:
- features_htf_entropy_score:
- features_htf_hh_hl_score:
- features_htf_state_str: ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.4874
- obi_top10 : 0.0147
- micro_price : 749.67331514
- spread_pct : 0.001334
- mid_price : 749.675
- bid_wall_price : 745
- bid_wall_size : 374.1
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.5178
- obi_top5_std : 0.0278
- pressure_side : ask
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7254
- aggregation_tick : 1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : wedge_pullback
- ms_state_4h : range
- ms_state_1h : range
- strategy_details
- wedge_4h_type: ascending_wedge
- wedge_4h_strength:
0.794
- wedge_4h_bias: bearish_breakout
- wedge_4h_breakout_type: ascending_wedge
- wedge_4h_breakout_strength:
0.794
- wedge_4h_upper_line:
Array ( [0] => Array ( [time] => 1779465600 [value] => 751.6488064 ) [1] => Array ( [time] => 1779480000 [value] => 751.76446143 ) [2] => Array ( [time] => 1779494400 [value] => 751.88011645 ) [3] => Array ( [time] => 1779508800 [value] => 751.99577147 ) [4] => Array ( [time] => 1779523200 [value] => 752.11142649 ) [5] => Array ( [time] => 1779537600 [value] => 752.22708151 ) [6] => Array ( [time] => 1779552000 [value] => 752.34273654 ) [7] => Array ( [time] => 1779566400 [value] => 752.45839156 ) [8] => Array ( [time] => 1779580800 [value] => 752.57404658 ) [9] => Array ( [time] => 1779595200 [value] => 752.6897016 ) [10] => Array ( [time] => 1779609600 [value] => 752.80535662 ) [11] => Array ( [time] => 1779624000 [value] => 752.92101164 ) [12] => Array ( [time] => 1779638400 [value] => 753.03666667 ) [13] => Array ( [time] => 1779652800 [value] => 753.15232169 ) [14] => Array ( [time] => 1779667200 [value] => 753.26797671 ) [15] => Array ( [time] => 1779681600 [value] => 753.38363173 ) [16] => Array ( [time] => 1779696000 [value] => 753.49928675 ) [17] => Array ( [time] => 1779710400 [value] => 753.61494178 ) [18] => Array ( [time] => 1779724800 [value] => 753.7305968 ) [19] => Array ( [time] => 1779739200 [value] => 753.84625182 ) [20] => Array ( [time] => 1779753600 [value] => 753.96190684 ) [21] => Array ( [time] => 1779768000 [value] => 754.07756186 ) [22] => Array ( [time] => 1779782400 [value] => 754.19321689 ) [23] => Array ( [time] => 1779796800 [value] => 754.30887191 ) [24] => Array ( [time] => 1779811200 [value] => 754.42452693 ) [25] => Array ( [time] => 1779825600 [value] => 754.54018195 ) [26] => Array ( [time] => 1779840000 [value] => 754.65583697 ) [27] => Array ( [time] => 1779854400 [value] => 754.77149199 ) [28] => Array ( [time] => 1779868800 [value] => 754.88714702 ) [29] => Array ( [time] => 1779883200 [value] => 755.00280204 ) [30] => Array ( [time] => 1779897600 [value] => 755.11845706 ) [31] => Array ( [time] => 1779912000 [value] => 755.23411208 ) [32] => Array ( [time] => 1779926400 [value] => 755.3497671 ) [33] => Array ( [time] => 1779940800 [value] => 755.46542213 ) ) - wedge_4h_lower_line:
Array ( [0] => Array ( [time] => 1779465600 [value] => 740.487 ) [1] => Array ( [time] => 1779480000 [value] => 741.048 ) [2] => Array ( [time] => 1779494400 [value] => 741.609 ) [3] => Array ( [time] => 1779508800 [value] => 742.17 ) [4] => Array ( [time] => 1779523200 [value] => 742.731 ) [5] => Array ( [time] => 1779537600 [value] => 743.292 ) [6] => Array ( [time] => 1779552000 [value] => 743.853 ) [7] => Array ( [time] => 1779566400 [value] => 744.414 ) [8] => Array ( [time] => 1779580800 [value] => 744.975 ) [9] => Array ( [time] => 1779595200 [value] => 745.536 ) [10] => Array ( [time] => 1779609600 [value] => 746.097 ) [11] => Array ( [time] => 1779624000 [value] => 746.658 ) [12] => Array ( [time] => 1779638400 [value] => 747.219 ) [13] => Array ( [time] => 1779652800 [value] => 747.78 ) [14] => Array ( [time] => 1779667200 [value] => 748.341 ) [15] => Array ( [time] => 1779681600 [value] => 748.902 ) [16] => Array ( [time] => 1779696000 [value] => 749.463 ) [17] => Array ( [time] => 1779710400 [value] => 750.024 ) [18] => Array ( [time] => 1779724800 [value] => 750.585 ) [19] => Array ( [time] => 1779739200 [value] => 751.146 ) [20] => Array ( [time] => 1779753600 [value] => 751.707 ) [21] => Array ( [time] => 1779768000 [value] => 752.268 ) [22] => Array ( [time] => 1779782400 [value] => 752.829 ) [23] => Array ( [time] => 1779796800 [value] => 753.39 ) [24] => Array ( [time] => 1779811200 [value] => 753.951 ) [25] => Array ( [time] => 1779825600 [value] => 754.512 ) [26] => Array ( [time] => 1779840000 [value] => 755.073 ) [27] => Array ( [time] => 1779854400 [value] => 755.634 ) [28] => Array ( [time] => 1779868800 [value] => 756.195 ) [29] => Array ( [time] => 1779883200 [value] => 756.756 ) [30] => Array ( [time] => 1779897600 [value] => 757.317 ) [31] => Array ( [time] => 1779912000 [value] => 757.878 ) [32] => Array ( [time] => 1779926400 [value] => 758.439 ) [33] => Array ( [time] => 1779940800 [value] => 759 ) ) - wedge_4h_breakout_bar:
Array ( [time] => 1779897600 [price] => 751.05 ) - strategy_details
- pivots_4h_0:
Array ( [time] => 2026-05-22 16:00:00 [price] => 748.78 [kind] => high [label] => ) - pivots_4h_1:
Array ( [time] => 2026-05-23 04:00:00 [price] => 742.17 [kind] => low [label] => ) - pivots_4h_2:
Array ( [time] => 2026-05-23 20:00:00 [price] => 756.24 [kind] => high [label] => ) - pivots_4h_3:
Array ( [time] => 2026-05-24 20:00:00 [price] => 747.78 [kind] => low [label] => HL ) - pivots_4h_4:
Array ( [time] => 2026-05-27 12:00:00 [price] => 754.09 [kind] => high [label] => LH ) - strategy_details
- pivots_1h_0:
Array ( [time] => 2026-05-24 17:00:00 [price] => 751.94 [kind] => high [label] => LH ) - pivots_1h_1:
Array ( [time] => 2026-05-24 22:00:00 [price] => 747.78 [kind] => low [label] => HL ) - pivots_1h_2:
Array ( [time] => 2026-05-25 05:00:00 [price] => 752.89 [kind] => high [label] => HH ) - pivots_1h_3:
Array ( [time] => 2026-05-25 07:00:00 [price] => 750.65 [kind] => low [label] => HL ) - pivots_1h_4:
Array ( [time] => 2026-05-25 12:00:00 [price] => 752.64 [kind] => high [label] => LH ) - pivots_1h_5:
Array ( [time] => 2026-05-25 18:00:00 [price] => 750.47 [kind] => low [label] => HL ) - pivots_1h_6:
Array ( [time] => 2026-05-25 19:00:00 [price] => 753.98 [kind] => high [label] => HH ) - pivots_1h_7:
Array ( [time] => 2026-05-26 07:00:00 [price] => 748.8 [kind] => low [label] => LL ) - pivots_1h_8:
Array ( [time] => 2026-05-26 10:00:00 [price] => 751.6 [kind] => high [label] => LH ) - pivots_1h_9:
Array ( [time] => 2026-05-26 13:00:00 [price] => 748.75 [kind] => low [label] => HL ) - pivots_1h_10:
Array ( [time] => 2026-05-26 14:00:00 [price] => 752.19 [kind] => high [label] => HH ) - pivots_1h_11:
Array ( [time] => 2026-05-26 17:00:00 [price] => 748.5 [kind] => low [label] => HL ) - pivots_1h_12:
Array ( [time] => 2026-05-27 01:00:00 [price] => 751.84 [kind] => high [label] => LH ) - pivots_1h_13:
Array ( [time] => 2026-05-27 04:00:00 [price] => 750.08 [kind] => low [label] => HL ) - pivots_1h_14:
Array ( [time] => 2026-05-27 12:00:00 [price] => 754.09 [kind] => high [label] => HH ) - pivots_1h_15:
Array ( [time] => 2026-05-27 13:00:00 [price] => 749.6 [kind] => low [label] => LL ) - pivots_1h_16:
Array ( [time] => 2026-05-27 16:00:00 [price] => 751.06 [kind] => high [label] => LH ) - pivots_1h_17:
Array ( [time] => 2026-05-27 17:00:00 [price] => 748.68 [kind] => low [label] => LL ) - pivots_1h_18:
Array ( [time] => 2026-05-27 22:00:00 [price] => 752.9 [kind] => high [label] => HH ) - pivots_1h_19:
Array ( [time] => 2026-05-28 04:00:00 [price] => 746.5 [kind] => low [label] => LL ) - strategy_details
- levels_hl_price:
746.5
- levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-05-28 04:00:00
- levels_hh_price:
752.9
- levels_lh_price:
752.9
- levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-05-27 22:00:00
- levels_ll_price:
746.5
¸
- regimes
- 4H : range_low
- 1H : range_low
- 15m : range_low ¸
- trend_analyzer_4h ¸
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:01 | 749.60000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 02:13 | 749.48000000 | -0.016% |
| 3 | 02:23 | 749.59000000 | -0.001% |
| 4 | 02:30 | 749.59000000 | -0.001% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
1H
↔ range
Confidence
79%
Trend
Trend Strength
-0.107
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
1.179
Low Δ ATR
-1.397
Current Swing
Amp ATR
3.991
Speed
0.665
Efficiency
0.504
Structure
Retracement
1.517
Extension
2.689
Compression
1.075
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
-0.589
Dist High ATR
-2.114
Dist Low ATR
1.986
30 pivots
·
29 swings
·
Last pivot:
↓ 746.5000
@ bar 133
Trend Analyzer 1H
1H
↓ down
down_range_balanced
Confidence
57%
Context
phase
range
structure
range
breakout
none
quality
volatile
strength
moderate
exhaustion
low
momentum
balanced
volatility
expansion_after_compression
risk
mid_range
htf
unknown
Scores
Direction Score
0.301
Strength Score
0.597
Quality Score
0.326
Cleanliness Score
0.255
Structural Quality
0.384
Pullback Score
1.000
Exhaustion Score
0.133
Continuation Score
0.456
Structure Score
0.376
Volatility Expansion
0.928
Momentum Type Score
0.536
Risk Score
0.528
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.119
Ema50 Slope
-0.048
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-0.484
Price Vs Ema50
-0.648
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.550
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.450
Last Bos Direction
-1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
2.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
0.947
Wick Ratio
0.542
Trend Efficiency
0.504
Impulse Strength
3.991
Directional Candle Ratio
0.600
Pullback Depth Ratio
1.517
Pullback Depth Atr
4.420
Extension From Mean
-0.648
Impulse Decay Score
0.000
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.304
Volatility Percentile
0.880
Volatility Delta
0.850
Body Ratio
0.574
Closes Position Ratio
0.483
Slope Consistency
0.000
Range Position
0.528
Distance To Recent High
-4.085
Distance To Recent Low
4.571
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
1.000
Post Break Hl Count
0.000
Orderbook Context
↓ ask
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7254ms
Confidence avant OB :
80%
→
95%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.487
avg -0.518
± 0.028
OBI Top 10
0.015
Microstructure
Mid Price
749.6750
Micro Price
749.6733
Spread
0.0013%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
745.0000
Size
374.10
📌 Time Data
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 28 May 2026 02:01:19 |
28 May 2026 10:10:00 |
8 hours |
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 749.6 | 753.0057 | 739.383 | 3 | 754.84 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 749.6
- Stop Loss: 753.0057
- Take Profit: 739.383
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 753.0057 - 749.6 = 3.4057
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 749.6 - 739.383 = 10.217
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 10.217 / 3.4057 = 3
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1760.8277 | 100 | 2.349 | 17.61 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 3.4057
Taille de position = 8 / 3.4057 = 2.35
Taille de position USD = 2.35 x 749.6 = 1761.56
Donc, tu peux acheter 2.35 avec un stoploss a 753.0057
Avec un position size USD de 1761.56$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2.35 x 3.4057 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2.35 x 10.217 = 24.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 24.01$
Résumé
- Taille de position 2.35
- Taille de position USD 1761.56
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 24.01
- Risk-Reward Ratio 3
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.36 % | 24 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.45 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.45 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7818 % | 172.09 % | 26 |
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.59000000000003
[max_drawdown] => 0.52999999999997
[rr_ratio] => 1.11
[high] => 750.13000000
[low] => 749.01000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.08
[mae_pct] => 0.07
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.11
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-05-28T02:01:19-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-28T04:01:19-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.2900000000001
[max_drawdown] => 1.87
[rr_ratio] => 0.69
[high] => 751.47000000
[low] => 748.31000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.17
[mae_pct] => 0.25
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.69
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-05-28T02:01:19-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-28T09:01:19-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 751.56000000
[high_after] => 750.21000000
[low_before] => 746.50000000
[low_after] => 748.31000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank
#7 / n/a
OUT
seuil : top 15
· score du 28/05/2026 01:00
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
3
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime