Short Trade on XAU (CatchTheWave)
With 0.48 XAU at 4471.42$ per unit. Take profit: 4438.4205 (0.74 %) & Stop Loss: 4487.9197 (0.37 %)
Short Trade on XAU (CatchTheWave)
With 0.48 XAU at 4471.42$ per unit. Take profit: 4438.4205 (0.74 %) & Stop Loss: 4487.9197 (0.37 %)
Position size of 2167.9962 $
Take profit at 4438.4205 (0.74 %)
and Stop Loss at 4487.9197 (0.37 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.59 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.54 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.6 |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 3 |
ml_regime : bear_high rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_4h : bear_medium tf_aligned : 1 28/05 10:01 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.514506 15m : 0.374381 |
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : bull_low_confirmed 5m_regime : bull_low_confirmed |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | normal | bear_medium |
68%
|
26/05 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | range_low |
48%
|
26/05 21:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | range_low |
52%
|
26/05 21:15 |
| 5m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | compression | range_low |
47%
|
26/05 21:15 |
Indicators:
73240.5
0.00153696
73353.1
0.514506
73875
-0.00706522
73353.1
0.374381
75591.4
-0.0296114
73353.1
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4373.54
189
0.386
0.662
0.3545
0.249
0.4408
1
0.3157
0.4347
0.2155
0.9877
0.7003
0.4635
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0.6667
1.7434
0.5685
0.3
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-1
10
1
0.5021
0.6378
5.1949
0.5
227.7907
6.0536
0.5685
0.518
0.2351
0.98
0.2995
0.6063
0.4794
0.7146
0.4635
-4.4193
3.8178
1
0
0
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:19 | 4471.42000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 10:21 | 4467.05000000 | -0.098% |
| 3 | 10:28 | 4466.30000000 | -0.115% |
| 4 | 10:44 | 4474.61000000 | +0.071% |
| 5 | 10:54 | 4478.51000000 | +0.159% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-28 08:55:00 | 4393.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-28 09:20:00 | 4405.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-28 10:10:00 | 4409.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-28 10:50:00 | 4382.51 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-28 11:15:00 | 4396.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-28 11:30:00 | 4387.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-28 12:20:00 | 4386.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-28 13:05:00 | 4443.98 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-28 13:35:00 | 4423.53 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-28 14:15:00 | 4478.15 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-27 20:15:00 | 4466.82 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-27 22:00:00 | 4471.49 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-28 01:00:00 | 4463.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-28 04:15:00 | 4373.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-28 05:45:00 | 4404.18 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-28 07:15:00 | 4402.95 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-28 10:00:00 | 4409.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-28 10:45:00 | 4382.51 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-28 12:15:00 | 4386.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-28 14:15:00 | 4478.15 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 11:00:00 | 4579.56 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-25 17:00:00 | 4580.88 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-25 23:00:00 | 4584.42 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-26 10:00:00 | 4543.91 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-26 18:00:00 | 4488.91 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-26 23:00:00 | 4532.88 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-27 13:00:00 | 4409.17 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-27 22:00:00 | 4471.49 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-28 04:00:00 | 4373.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-28 14:00:00 | 4478.15 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 28 May 2026 10:19:45 |
28 May 2026 11:25:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4471.42 | 4487.9197 | 4438.4205 | 2 | 4500.16 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4487.9197 - 4471.42 = 16.4997
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 4471.42 - 4438.4205 = 32.9995
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 32.9995 / 16.4997 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2167.9962 | 100 | 0.4849 | 21.68 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 16.4997 = 0.48
Taille de position USD = 0.48 x 4471.42 = 2146.28
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.48 avec un stoploss a 4487.9197
Avec un position size USD de 2146.28$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.48 x 16.4997 = 7.92
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.92$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.48 x 32.9995 = 15.84
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.84$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.74 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.37 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.37 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3764 % | 102.01 % | 4 |
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Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?