29 May 2026 at 01:10:51

Short Trade on TAO (WedgePullback)

With 1.27 TAO at 258.66$ per unit. Take profit: 239.8134 (7.29 %) & Stop Loss: 264.9422 (2.43 %)

Short WedgePullback on TAO (29 May 2026 at 01:10:51 to 10:25:00 - 4 days )

With 1.2734 TAO at 258.66$ per unit.

Position size of 329.3875 $
Take profit at 239.8134 (7.29 %) and Stop Loss at 264.9422 (2.43 %)

That's a 3 RR Trade
Duration: 4 days

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.79
Prediction Score:
Prediction 1 Probability
n/a
Prediction 2 Probability
n/a
Prediction 3 Probability
n/a
BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 1

ml_regime : bear_high

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_4h : bear_medium

tf_aligned : 1

29/05 01:01

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

4H_regime : bear_high

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability Évalué à
4h ↑ up range range moderate grind normal range_high
51%
26/05 20:00
1h ↔ neutral range range weak fading expansion range_high
43%
26/05 21:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
72%
26/05 21:15
5m ↓ down range range moderate fading compression bear_medium
70%
26/05 21:15

Signal

WedgePullback - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.7
  3. reason: ascending_wedge_lh_anticipation
  4. stop_price: 264.94220533
  5. tp_price: 239.81338401
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.7
  8. confidence_pre_ob: 0.7
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. timeframe : 1h
  10. state : range
  11. confidence : 0.631
  12. trend_strength : -0.1846
  13. trend_persistence : 0.5
  14. high_delta_atr : 0.5282
  15. low_delta_atr : -0.3336
  16. current_swing_amp_atr : 2.8478
  17. current_swing_speed : 0.40683
  18. current_swing_efficiency : 0.352
  19. retracement_ratio : 1.2041
  20. extension_ratio : 1.3822
  21. compression_score : 0.797
  22. swing_entropy : 1
  23. breakout_strength : -1.1508
  24. distance_to_last_high_atr : -1.679
  25. distance_to_last_low_atr : 1.4371
  26. pivot_count : 32
  27. swing_count : 31
  28. market_structure_v2
  29. last_pivot_kind: high
  30. last_pivot_price:
    264.7
  31. last_pivot_index:
    141
  32. ¸
  33. trend_analyzer_1h
  34. direction : down
  35. phase : range
  36. structure : range
  37. breakout_state : none
  38. quality : volatile
  39. strength : moderate
  40. exhaustion : low
  41. momentum_type : balanced
  42. volatility_regime : compression
  43. htf_context : unknown
  44. risk_state : discount
  45. confidence : 0.468
  46. state : down_range_balanced
  47. trend_analyzer_1h
  48. scores_direction_score:
    0.3547
  49. scores_strength_score:
    0.4998
  50. scores_quality_score:
    0.3359
  51. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.2341
  52. scores_structural_quality:
    0.4192
  53. scores_pullback_score:
    1
  54. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.3473
  55. scores_continuation_score:
    0.4127
  56. scores_structure_score:
    0.5327
  57. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.1143
  58. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.4856
  59. scores_risk_score:
    0.1363
  60. trend_analyzer_1h
  61. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.084
  62. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.0893
  63. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  64. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -0.4774
  65. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -1.8604
  66. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.35
  67. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.65
  68. features_last_bos_direction:
    1
  69. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    8
  70. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  71. features_wick_ratio:
    0.5318
  72. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.352
  73. features_impulse_strength:
    2.8478
  74. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.65
  75. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    1.2041
  76. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    2.6592
  77. features_extension_from_mean:
    -1.8604
  78. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.3089
  79. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.244
  80. features_volatility_percentile:
    0
  81. features_volatility_delta:
    -0.1286
  82. features_body_ratio:
    0.4617
  83. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.4815
  84. features_slope_consistency:
    0.3309
  85. features_range_position:
    0.1363
  86. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -9.9258
  87. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    1.5664
  88. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  89. features_had_recent_compression:
    0
  90. features_post_break_hl_count:
    0
  91. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  92. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  93. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  94. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  95. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  96. ¸
  97. orderbook_context
  98. obi_top5 : -0.067
  99. obi_top10 : 0.0348
  100. micro_price : 258.66965636
  101. spread_pct : 0.003866
  102. mid_price : 258.665
  103. bid_wall_price :
  104. bid_wall_size :
  105. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  106. ask_wall_price :
  107. ask_wall_size :
  108. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  109. snapshots_count : 5
  110. obi_top5_mean : -0.1354
  111. obi_top5_std : 0.0629
  112. pressure_side : neutral
  113. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  114. collection_ms : 7263
  115. aggregation_tick : 1
  116. error :
  117. ¸
  118. strategy_details
  119. strategy : wedge_pullback
  120. ms_state_4h : range
  121. ms_state_1h : range
  122. strategy_details
  123. wedge_4h_type: ascending_wedge
  124. wedge_4h_strength:
    0.9
  125. wedge_4h_bias: bearish_breakout
  126. wedge_4h_breakout_type: ascending_wedge
  127. wedge_4h_breakout_strength:
    0.9
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  131. strategy_details
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  138. pivots_4h_6:
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  139. pivots_4h_7:
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  140. pivots_4h_8:
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    (
        [time] => 2026-05-07 20:00:00
        [price] => 296.28
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  141. pivots_4h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 16:00:00
        [price] => 333.23
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  142. pivots_4h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 12:00:00
        [price] => 290.51
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  143. pivots_4h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-14 20:00:00
        [price] => 309.28
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  144. pivots_4h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-18 16:00:00
        [price] => 254.22
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  145. pivots_4h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-21 08:00:00
        [price] => 289.19
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  146. pivots_4h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-21 12:00:00
        [price] => 274.46
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  147. pivots_4h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-22 12:00:00
        [price] => 293.35
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  148. pivots_4h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-23 04:00:00
        [price] => 252.94
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  149. pivots_4h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-23 20:00:00
        [price] => 287.98
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  150. pivots_4h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-24 20:00:00
        [price] => 268.24
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  151. pivots_4h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-26 12:00:00
        [price] => 291.42
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  152. strategy_details
  153. pivots_1h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-25 20:00:00
        [price] => 285.86
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  154. pivots_1h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-26 03:00:00
        [price] => 273.31
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  155. pivots_1h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-26 05:00:00
        [price] => 288.99
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  156. pivots_1h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-26 07:00:00
        [price] => 277.77
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  157. pivots_1h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-26 10:00:00
        [price] => 290.49
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  158. pivots_1h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-26 13:00:00
        [price] => 282.59
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  159. pivots_1h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-26 14:00:00
        [price] => 291.42
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  160. pivots_1h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-26 17:00:00
        [price] => 289.66
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  161. pivots_1h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-26 23:00:00
        [price] => 277.62
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  162. pivots_1h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-27 00:00:00
        [price] => 286.69
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  163. pivots_1h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-27 04:00:00
        [price] => 270.17
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  164. pivots_1h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-27 12:00:00
        [price] => 281.35
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  165. pivots_1h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-27 14:00:00
        [price] => 271.56
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  166. pivots_1h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-27 15:00:00
        [price] => 280.11
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  167. pivots_1h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-27 18:00:00
        [price] => 267.17
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  168. pivots_1h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-27 20:00:00
        [price] => 274.6
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  169. pivots_1h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-28 06:00:00
        [price] => 254.69
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  170. pivots_1h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-28 09:00:00
        [price] => 262.8
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  171. pivots_1h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-28 14:00:00
        [price] => 253.49
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  172. pivots_1h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-28 21:00:00
        [price] => 264.7
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  173. strategy_details
  174. levels_hl_price:
    253.49
  175. levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-05-28 14:00:00
  176. levels_hh_price:
    264.7
  177. levels_lh_price:
    264.7
  178. levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-05-28 21:00:00
  179. levels_ll_price:
    253.49
  180. ¸
  181. regimes
  182. 4H : bear_high
  183. 1H : bear_high
  184. 15m : bear_medium
  185. ¸
  186. trend_analyzer_4h
  187. direction : neutral
  188. phase : range
  189. structure : range
  190. breakout_state : none
  191. quality : volatile
  192. strength : moderate
  193. exhaustion : medium
  194. momentum_type : grind
  195. volatility_regime : normal
  196. htf_context : unknown
  197. risk_state : approaching_support
  198. confidence : 0.447
  199. state : neutral_range_grind
  200. trend_analyzer_4h
  201. scores_direction_score:
    0.4365
  202. scores_strength_score:
    0.4852
  203. scores_quality_score:
    0.3059
  204. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.1961
  205. scores_structural_quality:
    0.3959
  206. scores_pullback_score:
    1
  207. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.4946
  208. scores_continuation_score:
    0.4012
  209. scores_structure_score:
    0.6897
  210. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.3837
  211. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.485
  212. scores_risk_score:
    0.0712
  213. trend_analyzer_4h
  214. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.1339
  215. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.0751
  216. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  217. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -1.0711
  218. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -1.7363
  219. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.6667
  220. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.3333
  221. features_last_bos_direction:
    1
  222. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    16
  223. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  224. features_wick_ratio:
    0.6079
  225. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.2643
  226. features_impulse_strength:
    3.9073
  227. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.6
  228. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    1.1743
  229. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    2.8608
  230. features_extension_from_mean:
    -1.7363
  231. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.6692
  232. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.3
  233. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.28
  234. features_volatility_delta:
    0.0236
  235. features_body_ratio:
    0.3953
  236. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.4327
  237. features_slope_consistency:
    0.7975
  238. features_range_position:
    0.0712
  239. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -9.8321
  240. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    0.7542
  241. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  242. features_had_recent_compression:
    0
  243. features_post_break_hl_count:
    0
  244. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  245. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  246. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  247. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  248. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  249. ¸

Signaux confirmants (4)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 01:10 258.66000000 0%
2 01:22 258.06000000 -0.232%
3 01:29 258.06000000 -0.232%
4 01:42 257.52000000 -0.441%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↔ range
Confidence 63%

Trend

Trend Strength
-0.185
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
0.528
Low Δ ATR
-0.334

Current Swing

Amp ATR
2.848
Speed
0.407
Efficiency
0.352

Structure

Retracement
1.204
Extension
1.382
Compression
0.797
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
-1.151
Dist High ATR
-1.679
Dist Low ATR
1.437
32 pivots · 31 swings · Last pivot: ↑ 264.7000 @ bar 141

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_range_balanced
Confidence 47%

Context

phase range
structure range
breakout none
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion low
momentum balanced
volatility compression
risk discount
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.355
Strength Score 0.500
Quality Score 0.336
Cleanliness Score 0.234
Structural Quality 0.419
Pullback Score 1.000
Exhaustion Score 0.347
Continuation Score 0.413
Structure Score 0.533
Volatility Expansion 0.114
Momentum Type Score 0.486
Risk Score 0.136
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.084
Ema50 Slope
-0.089
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-0.477
Price Vs Ema50
-1.860
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.350
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.650
Last Bos Direction
1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
8.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.532
Trend Efficiency
0.352
Impulse Strength
2.848
Directional Candle Ratio
0.650
Pullback Depth Ratio
1.204
Pullback Depth Atr
2.659
Extension From Mean
-1.860
Impulse Decay Score
0.309
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.244
Volatility Percentile
0.000
Volatility Delta
-0.129
Body Ratio
0.462
Closes Position Ratio
0.482
Slope Consistency
0.331
Range Position
0.136
Distance To Recent High
-9.926
Distance To Recent Low
1.566
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
0.000
Post Break Hl Count
0.000

Trend Analyzer 4H

1H ↔ neutral neutral_range_grind
Confidence 45%

Context

phase range
structure range
breakout none
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion medium
momentum grind
volatility normal
risk approaching_support
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.437
Strength Score 0.485
Quality Score 0.306
Cleanliness Score 0.196
Structural Quality 0.396
Pullback Score 1.000
Exhaustion Score 0.495
Continuation Score 0.401
Structure Score 0.690
Volatility Expansion 0.384
Momentum Type Score 0.485
Risk Score 0.071
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.134
Ema50 Slope
-0.075
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-1.071
Price Vs Ema50
-1.736
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.667
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.333
Last Bos Direction
1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
16.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.608
Trend Efficiency
0.264
Impulse Strength
3.907
Directional Candle Ratio
0.600
Pullback Depth Ratio
1.174
Pullback Depth Atr
2.861
Extension From Mean
-1.736
Impulse Decay Score
0.669
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.300
Volatility Percentile
0.280
Volatility Delta
0.024
Body Ratio
0.395
Closes Position Ratio
0.433
Slope Consistency
0.798
Range Position
0.071
Distance To Recent High
-9.832
Distance To Recent Low
0.754
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
0.000
Post Break Hl Count
0.000

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7263ms Confidence avant OB : 70%70%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.067
avg -0.135 ± 0.063
OBI Top 10 0.035

Microstructure

Mid Price
258.6650
Micro Price
258.6697
Spread
0.0039%

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
29 May 2026
01:10:51
02 Jun 2026
10:25:00
4 days

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
258.66 264.9422 239.8134 3 197.53
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 258.66
  • Stop Loss: 264.9422
  • Take Profit: 239.8134

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 264.9422 - 258.66 = 6.2822

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 258.66 - 239.8134 = 18.8466

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 18.8466 / 6.2822 = 3

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
329.3875 100 1.2734 3.29
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 6.2822

Taille de position = 8 / 6.2822 = 1.27

Taille de position USD = 1.27 x 258.66 = 328.5

Donc, tu peux acheter 1.27 avec un stoploss a 264.9422

Avec un position size USD de 328.5$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1.27 x 6.2822 = 7.98

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.98$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1.27 x 18.8466 = 23.94

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 23.94$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1.27
  • Taille de position USD 328.5
  • Perte potentielle 7.98
  • Gain potentiel 23.94
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 3

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
7.29 % 24 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.43 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
24 $ 7.29
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.8815 % 36.3 % 72

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.43
            [max_drawdown] => 2.28
            [rr_ratio] => 0.63
            [high] => 260.94000000
            [low] => 257.23000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.55
            [mae_pct] => 0.88
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.63
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-05-29T01:10:51-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-29T03:10:51-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 4.87
            [max_drawdown] => 2.28
            [rr_ratio] => 2.14
            [high] => 260.94000000
            [low] => 253.79000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.88
            [mae_pct] => 0.88
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.14
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-05-29T01:10:51-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-29T08:10:51-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 262.17000000
            [high_after] => 260.94000000
            [low_before] => 253.55000000
            [low_after] => 256.50000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank
#67 / 91 OUT
seuil : top 15 · score du 29/05/2026 01:00
Signal Confidence
70 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime