Short Trade on SPCX

Previous Trade Next Trade

29 May 2026 at 10:21:23

Short Trade on SPCX (BosPullback)

With 2.53 SPCX at 193.71$ per unit. Take profit: 185.8101 (4.08 %) & Stop Loss: 196.87 (1.63 %)

Short BosPullback on SPCX (29 May 2026 at 10:21:23 to 23:35:00 - 13 hours )

With 2.5317 SPCX at 193.71$ per unit.

Position size of 490.4095 $
Take profit at 185.8101 (4.08 %) and Stop Loss at 196.87 (1.63 %)

That's a 2.5 RR Trade
Duration: 13 hours

Results

Status:

loss

Trade Type:

sell

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.27

Prediction Score:

Prediction 1	Probability
	n/a

Prediction 2	Probability
	n/a

Prediction 3	Probability
	n/a

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 3	ml_regime : bear_high rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_4h : bear_medium tf_aligned : 1 29/05 10:01

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

Score : 3

ml_regime : bear_high

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_4h : bear_medium

tf_aligned : 1

29/05 10:01

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime
	1H_regime : bear_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bear_medium

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

1H_regime : bear_high_confirmed

15m_regime : bear_medium

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	Évalué à
4h	↔ —	—	—	—	—	—	bear_high_confirmed	53%	29/05 08:00
1h	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	explosive	expansion_after_compression	bear_high_confirmed	73%	29/05 12:00
15m	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	grind	expansion_after_compression	bear_medium	80%	29/05 14:00
5m	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	range_low	39%	29/05 14:00

Signal

BosPullback - SELL

Indicators:

long_trend: -1
confidence: 0.86
reason: bos_pullback_short|score=3|shallow|bars_since_bos=2|retests=1|break_atr=0.53|prog=0.55|zone=tested
stop_price: 196.8699714
tp_price: 185.8100715
atr:
score: 0.86
confidence_pre_ob: 0.86

Details

1H:
15m:
5m:
btc_indicators
market_structures
market_structure_v2
timeframe : 1h
state : pullback_down
confidence : 0.595
trend_strength : -0.175
trend_persistence : 0.5
high_delta_atr : -0.2019
low_delta_atr : -1.8291
current_swing_amp_atr : 3.1863
current_swing_speed : 3.18626
current_swing_efficiency : 0.7348
retracement_ratio : 0.9411
extension_ratio : 2.0186
compression_score : 1.1766
swing_entropy : 1
breakout_strength : -1.9776
distance_to_last_high_atr : -1.7756
distance_to_last_low_atr : 1.449
pivot_count : 32
swing_count : 31
market_structure_v2
last_pivot_kind: high
last_pivot_price:
```
196.67
```
last_pivot_index:
```
148
```
trend_analyzer_1h
direction : down
phase : early_expansion
structure : bearish_transition
breakout_state : fresh_breakout
quality : volatile
strength : strong
exhaustion : low
momentum_type : explosive
volatility_regime : expansion
htf_context : unknown
risk_state : approaching_support
confidence : 0.593
state : down_early_expansion_explosive
trend_analyzer_1h
scores_direction_score:
```
0.2496
```
scores_strength_score:
```
0.6881
```
scores_quality_score:
```
0.4207
```
scores_cleanliness_score:
```
0.2494
```
scores_structural_quality:
```
0.5608
```
scores_pullback_score:
```
0.9411
```
scores_exhaustion_score:
```
0.3027
```
scores_continuation_score:
```
0.384
```
scores_structure_score:
```
0.2844
```
scores_volatility_expansion:
```
0.9203
```
scores_momentum_type_score:
```
0.7459
```
scores_risk_score:
```
0.1326
```
trend_analyzer_1h
features_ema20_slope:
```
-0.1276
```
features_ema50_slope:
```
-0.0985
```
features_ema_alignment_score:
```
0
```
features_price_vs_ema20:
```
-1.3986
```
features_price_vs_ema50:
```
-2.6658
```
features_recent_hh_hl_score:
```
0.35
```
features_recent_lh_ll_score:
```
0.65
```
features_last_bos_direction:
```
-1
```
features_bars_since_last_bos:
```
2
```
features_candle_overlap_ratio:
```
1
```
features_wick_ratio:
```
0.5013
```
features_trend_efficiency:
```
0.7348
```
features_impulse_strength:
```
3.6862
```
features_directional_candle_ratio:
```
0.6
```
features_pullback_depth_ratio:
```
0.9411
```
features_pullback_depth_atr:
```
3.4691
```
features_extension_from_mean:
```
-2.6658
```
features_impulse_decay_score:
```
0
```
features_opposing_wick_pressure:
```
0.2777
```
features_volatility_percentile:
```
0.9
```
features_volatility_delta:
```
0.2704
```
features_body_ratio:
```
0.5398
```
features_closes_position_ratio:
```
0.5191
```
features_slope_consistency:
```
0.8936
```
features_range_position:
```
0.1326
```
features_distance_to_recent_high:
```
-8.7546
```
features_distance_to_recent_low:
```
1.3384
```
features_had_recent_range:
```
1
```
features_had_recent_compression:
```
0
```
features_post_break_hl_count:
```
1
```
features_htf_trend_strength:
features_htf_compression_score:
features_htf_entropy_score:
features_htf_hh_hl_score:
features_htf_state_str:
orderbook_context
obi_top5 : 0.0208
obi_top10 : 0.026
micro_price : 193.67895307
spread_pct : 0.025818
mid_price : 193.685
bid_wall_price :
bid_wall_size :
bid_wall_dist_atr :
ask_wall_price :
ask_wall_size :
ask_wall_dist_atr :
snapshots_count : 5
obi_top5_mean : 0.0209
obi_top5_std : 0.0006
pressure_side : neutral
collection_mode : ws_rolling
collection_ms : 7233
aggregation_tick : 1
error :
strategy_details
strategy : bos_pullback
ms_state_1h : pullback_down
strategy_details

pivots_1h_0:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-26 15:00:00
    [price] => 200.99
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_1:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-26 17:00:00
    [price] => 204
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_2:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-26 19:00:00
    [price] => 201.17
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_3:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-26 21:00:00
    [price] => 204.18
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_4:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-27 04:00:00
    [price] => 201.69
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_5:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-27 07:00:00
    [price] => 203.65
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_6:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-27 08:00:00
    [price] => 201.98
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_7:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-27 11:00:00
    [price] => 205.85
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_1h_8:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-27 13:00:00
    [price] => 202.04
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_9:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-27 16:00:00
    [price] => 204.93
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_10:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-28 04:00:00
    [price] => 197.38
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_11:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-28 07:00:00
    [price] => 200.38
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_12:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-28 14:00:00
    [price] => 197.24
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_13:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-28 15:00:00
    [price] => 200.47
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_14:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-28 17:00:00
    [price] => 197.76
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_15:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-29 01:00:00
    [price] => 200.54
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_16:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-29 03:00:00
    [price] => 194.32
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_17:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-29 05:00:00
    [price] => 197.01
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_18:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-29 12:00:00
    [price] => 191.24
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_19:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-29 13:00:00
    [price] => 196.67
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

strategy_details

pivots_15m_0:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-28 13:45:00
    [price] => 198.75
    [kind] => high
    [label] => 
)

pivots_15m_1:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-28 14:00:00
    [price] => 197.24
    [kind] => low
    [label] => 
)

pivots_15m_2:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-28 15:45:00
    [price] => 200.47
    [kind] => high
    [label] => 
)

pivots_15m_3:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-28 17:00:00
    [price] => 197.76
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_15m_4:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-28 19:45:00
    [price] => 199.77
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_15m_5:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-28 20:00:00
    [price] => 198.52
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_15m_6:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-28 21:45:00
    [price] => 199.62
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_15m_7:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-28 22:30:00
    [price] => 198.76
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_15m_8:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-29 01:00:00
    [price] => 200.54
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_15m_9:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-29 01:15:00
    [price] => 193.04
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_15m_10:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-29 05:00:00
    [price] => 197.01
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_15m_11:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-29 06:15:00
    [price] => 195.16
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_15m_12:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-29 08:15:00
    [price] => 196.77
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_15m_13:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-29 12:15:00
    [price] => 191.24
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_15m_14:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-29 13:30:00
    [price] => 196.67
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

bos_level_long : 0
bos_level_short : 194.32
strategy_details
levels_hl_price:
```
191.24
```
levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-05-29 12:00:00
levels_hh_price:
```
196.67
```
levels_lh_price:
```
196.67
```
levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-05-29 13:00:00
levels_ll_price:
```
191.24
```
demand_zone :
strategy_details
supply_zone_top:
```
197.01
```
supply_zone_bottom:
```
194.32
```
supply_zone_mid:
```
195.665
```
supply_zone_freshness: tested
supply_zone_strength:
```
0.8701
```
regimes
1H : bear_high_confirmed
15m : bear_medium

Signaux confirmants (2)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	10:21	193.71000000	0%
2	10:28	193.71000000	0%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ pullback_down

Confidence 60%

Trend

Trend Strength

-0.175

Persistence

0.500

High Δ ATR

-0.202

Low Δ ATR

-1.829

Current Swing

Amp ATR

3.186

Speed

3.186

Efficiency

0.735

Structure

Retracement

0.941

Extension

2.019

Compression

1.177

Entropy

1.000

Breakout Str.

-1.978

Dist High ATR

-1.776

Dist Low ATR

1.449

32 pivots · 31 swings · Last pivot: ↑ 196.6700 @ bar 148

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_early_expansion_explosive

Confidence 59%

Context

phase early_expansion

structure bearish_transition

breakout fresh_breakout

quality volatile

strength strong

exhaustion low

momentum explosive

volatility expansion

risk approaching_support

htf unknown

Scores

Direction Score 0.250

Strength Score 0.688

Quality Score 0.421

Cleanliness Score 0.249

Structural Quality 0.561

Pullback Score 0.941

Exhaustion Score 0.303

Continuation Score 0.384

Structure Score 0.284

Volatility Expansion 0.920

Momentum Type Score 0.746

Risk Score 0.133

Features

Ema20 Slope

-0.128

Ema50 Slope

-0.099

Ema Alignment Score

0.000

Price Vs Ema20

-1.399

Price Vs Ema50

-2.666

Recent Hh Hl Score

0.350

Recent Lh Ll Score

0.650

Last Bos Direction

-1.000

Bars Since Last Bos

2.000

Candle Overlap Ratio

1.000

Wick Ratio

0.501

Trend Efficiency

0.735

Impulse Strength

3.686

Directional Candle Ratio

0.600

Pullback Depth Ratio

0.941

Pullback Depth Atr

3.469

Extension From Mean

-2.666

Impulse Decay Score

0.000

Opposing Wick Pressure

0.278

Volatility Percentile

0.900

Volatility Delta

0.270

Body Ratio

0.540

Closes Position Ratio

0.519

Slope Consistency

0.894

Range Position

0.133

Distance To Recent High

-8.755

Distance To Recent Low

1.338

Had Recent Range

1.000

Had Recent Compression

0.000

Post Break Hl Count

1.000

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7233ms Confidence avant OB : 86% → 86%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.021

avg 0.021 ± 0.001

OBI Top 10 0.026

Microstructure

Mid Price

193.6850

Micro Price

193.6790

Spread

0.0258%

📌 Time Data

Start at	Closed at	Duration
29 May 2026 10:21:23	29 May 2026 23:35:00	13 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
193.71	196.87	185.8101	2.5	192.59

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 193.71
Stop Loss: 196.87
Take Profit: 185.8101

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 196.87 - 193.71 = 3.16
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 193.71 - 185.8101 = 7.8999
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 7.8999 / 3.16 = 2.5

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
490.4095	100	2.5317	4.90

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 3.16

Taille de position = 8 / 3.16 = 2.53

Taille de position USD = 2.53 x 193.71 = 490.09

Donc, tu peux acheter 2.53 avec un stoploss a 196.87

Avec un position size USD de 490.09$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2.53 x 3.16 = 7.99

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2.53 x 7.8999 = 19.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.99$

Résumé

Taille de position 2.53
Taille de position USD 490.09
Perte potentielle 7.99
Gain potentiel 19.99
Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
4.08 %	20 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
1.63 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-8 $	-1.63

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-1.6571 %	101.58 %	4

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
)

Extra Pullback data


                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.37
            [max_drawdown] => 1.98
            [rr_ratio] => 0.19
            [high] => 195.69000000
            [low] => 193.34000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.19
            [mae_pct] => 1.02
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.19
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-05-29T10:21:23-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-29T12:21:23-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.37
            [max_drawdown] => 1.98
            [rr_ratio] => 0.19
            [high] => 195.69000000
            [low] => 193.34000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.19
            [mae_pct] => 1.02
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.19
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-05-29T10:21:23-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-29T17:21:23-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 196.67000000
            [high_after] => 195.69000000
            [low_before] => 191.24000000
            [low_after] => 193.34000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank

#34 / n/a OUT

seuil : top 15 · score du 29/05/2026 10:00

Signal Confidence

86 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

3 OK

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime