Short Trade on SPCX

Previous Trade Next Trade

29 May 2026 at 12:21:30

Short Trade on SPCX (BosPullback)

With 3.15 SPCX at 194.3$ per unit. Take profit: 187.9436 (3.27 %) & Stop Loss: 196.8426 (1.31 %)

Short BosPullback on SPCX (29 May 2026 at 12:21:30 to 23:35:00 - 11 hours )

With 3.1464 SPCX at 194.3$ per unit.

Position size of 611.3521 $
Take profit at 187.9436 (3.27 %) and Stop Loss at 196.8426 (1.31 %)

That's a 2.5 RR Trade
Duration: 11 hours

Results

Status:

loss

Trade Type:

sell

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.53

Prediction Score:

Prediction 1	Probability
	n/a

Prediction 2	Probability
	n/a

Prediction 3	Probability
	n/a

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : bull_low Score : 1	ml_regime : bear_high rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_4h : bear_medium tf_aligned : 1 29/05 12:01

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

Score : 1

ml_regime : bear_high

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_4h : bear_medium

tf_aligned : 1

29/05 12:01

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime
	1H_regime : bear_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bear_medium

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

1H_regime : bear_high_confirmed

15m_regime : bear_medium

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	Évalué à
4h	↔ —	—	—	—	—	—	bear_high_confirmed	54%	29/05 16:00
1h	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	expansion	bear_high	73%	29/05 16:00
15m	↓ down	range	range	strong	balanced	expansion_after_compression	bear_medium	74%	29/05 16:00
5m	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	compression	range_low	42%	29/05 16:20

Signal

BosPullback - SELL

Indicators:

long_trend: -1
confidence: 0.86
reason: bos_pullback_short|score=3|shallow|bars_since_bos=4|retests=1|break_atr=0.54|prog=0.44|zone=tested
stop_price: 196.84256111
tp_price: 187.94359723
atr:
score: 0.86
confidence_pre_ob: 0.86

Details

1H:
15m:
5m:
btc_indicators
market_structures
market_structure_v2
timeframe : 1h
state : pullback_down
confidence : 0.61
trend_strength : -0.175
trend_persistence : 0.5
high_delta_atr : -0.2076
low_delta_atr : -1.8808
current_swing_amp_atr : 3.1863
current_swing_speed : 3.18626
current_swing_efficiency : 0.7348
retracement_ratio : 0.9411
extension_ratio : 2.0186
compression_score : 1.1766
swing_entropy : 1
breakout_strength : -1.6549
distance_to_last_high_atr : -1.4473
distance_to_last_low_atr : 1.8686
pivot_count : 32
swing_count : 31
market_structure_v2
last_pivot_kind: high
last_pivot_price:
```
196.67
```
last_pivot_index:
```
146
```
trend_analyzer_1h
direction : down
phase : early_expansion
structure : bearish_transition
breakout_state : fresh_breakout
quality : volatile
strength : strong
exhaustion : low
momentum_type : explosive
volatility_regime : expansion
htf_context : unknown
risk_state : discount
confidence : 0.62
state : down_early_expansion_explosive
trend_analyzer_1h
scores_direction_score:
```
0.2488
```
scores_strength_score:
```
0.6881
```
scores_quality_score:
```
0.4155
```
scores_cleanliness_score:
```
0.248
```
scores_structural_quality:
```
0.5525
```
scores_pullback_score:
```
0.9411
```
scores_exhaustion_score:
```
0.2682
```
scores_continuation_score:
```
0.3941
```
scores_structure_score:
```
0.2844
```
scores_volatility_expansion:
```
0.8533
```
scores_momentum_type_score:
```
0.7412
```
scores_risk_score:
```
0.1663
```
trend_analyzer_1h
features_ema20_slope:
```
-0.133
```
features_ema50_slope:
```
-0.1067
```
features_ema_alignment_score:
```
0
```
features_price_vs_ema20:
```
-0.9386
```
features_price_vs_ema50:
```
-2.3139
```
features_recent_hh_hl_score:
```
0.35
```
features_recent_lh_ll_score:
```
0.65
```
features_last_bos_direction:
```
-1
```
features_bars_since_last_bos:
```
4
```
features_candle_overlap_ratio:
```
1
```
features_wick_ratio:
```
0.504
```
features_trend_efficiency:
```
0.7348
```
features_impulse_strength:
```
3.6862
```
features_directional_candle_ratio:
```
0.6
```
features_pullback_depth_ratio:
```
0.9411
```
features_pullback_depth_atr:
```
3.4691
```
features_extension_from_mean:
```
-2.3139
```
features_impulse_decay_score:
```
0
```
features_opposing_wick_pressure:
```
0.263
```
features_volatility_percentile:
```
0.8
```
features_volatility_delta:
```
0.2599
```
features_body_ratio:
```
0.5308
```
features_closes_position_ratio:
```
0.4941
```
features_slope_consistency:
```
0.929
```
features_range_position:
```
0.1663
```
features_distance_to_recent_high:
```
-9.055
```
features_distance_to_recent_low:
```
1.8063
```
features_had_recent_range:
```
1
```
features_had_recent_compression:
```
0
```
features_post_break_hl_count:
```
1
```
features_htf_trend_strength:
features_htf_compression_score:
features_htf_entropy_score:
features_htf_hh_hl_score:
features_htf_state_str:
orderbook_context
obi_top5 : -0.0607
obi_top10 : -0.0678
micro_price : 194.28916279
spread_pct : 0.02059
mid_price : 194.29
bid_wall_price :
bid_wall_size :
bid_wall_dist_atr :
ask_wall_price :
ask_wall_size :
ask_wall_dist_atr :
snapshots_count : 5
obi_top5_mean : -0.0491
obi_top5_std : 0.0106
pressure_side : neutral
collection_mode : ws_rolling
collection_ms : 7383
aggregation_tick : 1
error :
strategy_details
strategy : bos_pullback
ms_state_1h : pullback_down
strategy_details

pivots_1h_0:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-26 15:00:00
    [price] => 200.99
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_1:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-26 17:00:00
    [price] => 204
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_2:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-26 19:00:00
    [price] => 201.17
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_3:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-26 21:00:00
    [price] => 204.18
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_4:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-27 04:00:00
    [price] => 201.69
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_5:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-27 07:00:00
    [price] => 203.65
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_6:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-27 08:00:00
    [price] => 201.98
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_7:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-27 11:00:00
    [price] => 205.85
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_1h_8:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-27 13:00:00
    [price] => 202.04
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_9:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-27 16:00:00
    [price] => 204.93
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_10:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-28 04:00:00
    [price] => 197.38
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_11:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-28 07:00:00
    [price] => 200.38
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_12:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-28 14:00:00
    [price] => 197.24
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_13:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-28 15:00:00
    [price] => 200.47
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_14:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-28 17:00:00
    [price] => 197.76
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_15:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-29 01:00:00
    [price] => 200.54
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_16:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-29 03:00:00
    [price] => 194.32
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_17:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-29 05:00:00
    [price] => 197.01
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_18:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-29 12:00:00
    [price] => 191.24
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_19:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-29 13:00:00
    [price] => 196.67
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

strategy_details

pivots_15m_0:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-28 15:45:00
    [price] => 200.47
    [kind] => high
    [label] => 
)

pivots_15m_1:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-28 17:00:00
    [price] => 197.76
    [kind] => low
    [label] => 
)

pivots_15m_2:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-28 19:45:00
    [price] => 199.77
    [kind] => high
    [label] => 
)

pivots_15m_3:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-28 20:00:00
    [price] => 198.52
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_15m_4:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-28 21:45:00
    [price] => 199.62
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_15m_5:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-28 22:30:00
    [price] => 198.76
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_15m_6:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-29 01:00:00
    [price] => 200.54
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_15m_7:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-29 01:15:00
    [price] => 193.04
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_15m_8:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-29 05:00:00
    [price] => 197.01
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_15m_9:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-29 06:15:00
    [price] => 195.16
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_15m_10:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-29 08:15:00
    [price] => 196.77
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_15m_11:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-29 12:15:00
    [price] => 191.24
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_15m_12:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-29 13:30:00
    [price] => 196.67
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_15m_13:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-29 14:15:00
    [price] => 193.34
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_15m_14:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-29 15:30:00
    [price] => 195.69
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

bos_level_long : 0
bos_level_short : 194.32
strategy_details
levels_hl_price:
```
191.24
```
levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-05-29 12:00:00
levels_hh_price:
```
196.67
```
levels_lh_price:
```
196.67
```
levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-05-29 13:00:00
levels_ll_price:
```
191.24
```
demand_zone :
strategy_details
supply_zone_top:
```
197.01
```
supply_zone_bottom:
```
194.32
```
supply_zone_mid:
```
195.665
```
supply_zone_freshness: tested
supply_zone_strength:
```
0.8701
```
regimes
1H : bear_high_confirmed
15m : bear_medium

Signaux confirmants (2)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	12:21	194.30000000	0%
2	12:28	194.30000000	0%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ pullback_down

Confidence 61%

Trend

Trend Strength

-0.175

Persistence

0.500

High Δ ATR

-0.208

Low Δ ATR

-1.881

Current Swing

Amp ATR

3.186

Speed

3.186

Efficiency

0.735

Structure

Retracement

0.941

Extension

2.019

Compression

1.177

Entropy

1.000

Breakout Str.

-1.655

Dist High ATR

-1.447

Dist Low ATR

1.869

32 pivots · 31 swings · Last pivot: ↑ 196.6700 @ bar 146

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_early_expansion_explosive

Confidence 62%

Context

phase early_expansion

structure bearish_transition

breakout fresh_breakout

quality volatile

strength strong

exhaustion low

momentum explosive

volatility expansion

risk discount

htf unknown

Scores

Direction Score 0.249

Strength Score 0.688

Quality Score 0.416

Cleanliness Score 0.248

Structural Quality 0.553

Pullback Score 0.941

Exhaustion Score 0.268

Continuation Score 0.394

Structure Score 0.284

Volatility Expansion 0.853

Momentum Type Score 0.741

Risk Score 0.166

Features

Ema20 Slope

-0.133

Ema50 Slope

-0.107

Ema Alignment Score

0.000

Price Vs Ema20

-0.939

Price Vs Ema50

-2.314

Recent Hh Hl Score

0.350

Recent Lh Ll Score

0.650

Last Bos Direction

-1.000

Bars Since Last Bos

4.000

Candle Overlap Ratio

1.000

Wick Ratio

0.504

Trend Efficiency

0.735

Impulse Strength

3.686

Directional Candle Ratio

0.600

Pullback Depth Ratio

0.941

Pullback Depth Atr

3.469

Extension From Mean

-2.314

Impulse Decay Score

0.000

Opposing Wick Pressure

0.263

Volatility Percentile

0.800

Volatility Delta

0.260

Body Ratio

0.531

Closes Position Ratio

0.494

Slope Consistency

0.929

Range Position

0.166

Distance To Recent High

-9.055

Distance To Recent Low

1.806

Had Recent Range

1.000

Had Recent Compression

0.000

Post Break Hl Count

1.000

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7383ms Confidence avant OB : 86% → 86%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.061

avg -0.049 ± 0.011

OBI Top 10 -0.068

Microstructure

Mid Price

194.2900

Micro Price

194.2892

Spread

0.0206%

📌 Time Data

Start at	Closed at	Duration
29 May 2026 12:21:30	29 May 2026 23:35:00	11 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
194.3	196.8426	187.9436	2.5	192.59

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 194.3
Stop Loss: 196.8426
Take Profit: 187.9436

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 196.8426 - 194.3 = 2.5426
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 194.3 - 187.9436 = 6.3564
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 6.3564 / 2.5426 = 2.5

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
611.3521	100	3.1464	6.11

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 2.5426

Taille de position = 8 / 2.5426 = 3.15

Taille de position USD = 3.15 x 194.3 = 612.05

Donc, tu peux acheter 3.15 avec un stoploss a 196.8426

Avec un position size USD de 612.05$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 3.15 x 2.5426 = 8.01

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 3.15 x 6.3564 = 20.02

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.02$

Résumé

Taille de position 3.15
Taille de position USD 612.05
Perte potentielle 8.01
Gain potentiel 20.02
Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
3.27 %	20 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
1.31 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-8 $	-1.31

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-1.3484 %	103.04 %	17

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
)

Extra Pullback data


                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.20000000000002
            [max_drawdown] => 0.38
            [rr_ratio] => 0.53
            [high] => 194.68000000
            [low] => 194.10000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.1
            [mae_pct] => 0.2
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.53
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-05-29T12:21:30-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-29T14:21:30-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.33000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 1.86
            [rr_ratio] => 0.18
            [high] => 196.16000000
            [low] => 193.97000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.17
            [mae_pct] => 0.96
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.18
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-05-29T12:21:30-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-29T19:21:30-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 196.67000000
            [high_after] => 195.33000000
            [low_before] => 191.24000000
            [low_after] => 193.97000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank

#75 / n/a OUT

seuil : top 15 · score du 29/05/2026 12:00

Signal Confidence

86 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

1 OK

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime