29 May 2026 at 19:09:24

Short Trade on TAO (WedgePullback)

With 0.83 TAO at 250.81$ per unit. Take profit: 221.7296 (11.59 %) & Stop Loss: 260.5035 (3.86 %)

Short WedgePullback on TAO (29 May 2026 at 19:09:24 to 23:40:00 - 4 days )

With 0.8253 TAO at 250.81$ per unit.

Position size of 206.9928 $
Take profit at 221.7296 (11.59 %) and Stop Loss at 260.5035 (3.86 %)

That's a 3 RR Trade
Duration: 4 days

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.48
Prediction Score:
Prediction 1 Probability
n/a
Prediction 2 Probability
n/a
Prediction 3 Probability
n/a
BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 1

ml_regime : bear_high

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_4h : bear_medium_confirmed

tf_aligned : 1

29/05 19:01

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

4H_regime : bear_high

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability Évalué à
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate fading normal bear_high
63%
29/05 20:00
1h ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong explosive expansion bear_high
70%
29/05 21:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate balanced compression bear_high
75%
29/05 22:45
5m ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition strong explosive compression range_low
47%
29/05 23:05

Signal

WedgePullback - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.9
  3. reason: ascending_wedge_lh_anticipation
  4. stop_price: 260.50347937
  5. tp_price: 221.72956188
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.9
  8. confidence_pre_ob: 0.9
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. timeframe : 1h
  10. state : pullback_down
  11. confidence : 0.539
  12. trend_strength : -0.053
  13. trend_persistence : 0.5
  14. high_delta_atr : -0.1902
  15. low_delta_atr : -1.8606
  16. current_swing_amp_atr : 3.3784
  17. current_swing_speed : 3.37843
  18. current_swing_efficiency : 0.8679
  19. retracement_ratio : 0.9498
  20. extension_ratio : 1.8674
  21. compression_score : 1.1847
  22. swing_entropy : 1
  23. breakout_strength : -2.6398
  24. distance_to_last_high_atr : -2.4496
  25. distance_to_last_low_atr : 1.1466
  26. pivot_count : 32
  27. swing_count : 31
  28. market_structure_v2
  29. last_pivot_kind: high
  30. last_pivot_price:
    260.21
  31. last_pivot_index:
    141
  32. ¸
  33. trend_analyzer_1h
  34. direction : down
  35. phase : transition
  36. structure : bearish_transition
  37. breakout_state : breakout_confirmed
  38. quality : volatile
  39. strength : strong
  40. exhaustion : low
  41. momentum_type : explosive
  42. volatility_regime : normal
  43. htf_context : unknown
  44. risk_state : approaching_support
  45. confidence : 0.596
  46. state : down_bearish_transition_explosive
  47. trend_analyzer_1h
  48. scores_direction_score:
    0.2448
  49. scores_strength_score:
    0.7626
  50. scores_quality_score:
    0.4307
  51. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.234
  52. scores_structural_quality:
    0.5917
  53. scores_pullback_score:
    0.9498
  54. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.288
  55. scores_continuation_score:
    0.3865
  56. scores_structure_score:
    0.2657
  57. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.4575
  58. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.7586
  59. scores_risk_score:
    0.1156
  60. trend_analyzer_1h
  61. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.1483
  62. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.1126
  63. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  64. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -0.77
  65. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -2.1565
  66. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.25
  67. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.75
  68. features_last_bos_direction:
    -1
  69. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    9
  70. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  71. features_wick_ratio:
    0.532
  72. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.8679
  73. features_impulse_strength:
    4.0512
  74. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.6
  75. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    0.9498
  76. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    3.8478
  77. features_extension_from_mean:
    -2.1565
  78. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.0663
  79. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.291
  80. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.36
  81. features_volatility_delta:
    0.0623
  82. features_body_ratio:
    0.4934
  83. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.486
  84. features_slope_consistency:
    0.8515
  85. features_range_position:
    0.1156
  86. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -10.8099
  87. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    1.4135
  88. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  89. features_had_recent_compression:
    0
  90. features_post_break_hl_count:
    1
  91. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  92. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  93. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  94. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  95. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  96. ¸
  97. orderbook_context
  98. obi_top5 : 0.0899
  99. obi_top10 : 0.0896
  100. micro_price : 250.4054251
  101. spread_pct : 0.01997
  102. mid_price : 250.395
  103. bid_wall_price :
  104. bid_wall_size :
  105. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  106. ask_wall_price : 254
  107. ask_wall_size : 4056.8504
  108. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  109. snapshots_count : 5
  110. obi_top5_mean : 0.1039
  111. obi_top5_std : 0.0436
  112. pressure_side : neutral
  113. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  114. collection_ms : 7200
  115. aggregation_tick : 1
  116. error :
  117. ¸
  118. strategy_details
  119. strategy : wedge_pullback
  120. ms_state_4h : range
  121. ms_state_1h : pullback_down
  122. strategy_details
  123. wedge_4h_type: ascending_wedge
  124. wedge_4h_strength:
    0.9
  125. wedge_4h_bias: bearish_breakout
  126. wedge_4h_breakout_type: ascending_wedge
  127. wedge_4h_breakout_strength:
    0.9
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  131. strategy_details
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        [label] => HH
    )
    
  140. pivots_4h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-07 20:00:00
        [price] => 296.28
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  141. pivots_4h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 16:00:00
        [price] => 333.23
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  142. pivots_4h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 12:00:00
        [price] => 290.51
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  143. pivots_4h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-14 20:00:00
        [price] => 309.28
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  144. pivots_4h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-18 16:00:00
        [price] => 254.22
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  145. pivots_4h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-21 08:00:00
        [price] => 289.19
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  146. pivots_4h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-21 12:00:00
        [price] => 274.46
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  147. pivots_4h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-22 12:00:00
        [price] => 293.35
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  148. pivots_4h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-23 04:00:00
        [price] => 252.94
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  149. pivots_4h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-23 20:00:00
        [price] => 287.98
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  150. pivots_4h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-24 20:00:00
        [price] => 268.24
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  151. pivots_4h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-26 12:00:00
        [price] => 291.42
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  152. strategy_details
  153. pivots_1h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-26 10:00:00
        [price] => 290.49
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  154. pivots_1h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-26 13:00:00
        [price] => 282.59
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  155. pivots_1h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-26 14:00:00
        [price] => 291.42
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  156. pivots_1h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-26 17:00:00
        [price] => 289.66
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  157. pivots_1h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-26 23:00:00
        [price] => 277.62
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  158. pivots_1h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-27 00:00:00
        [price] => 286.69
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  159. pivots_1h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-27 04:00:00
        [price] => 270.17
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  160. pivots_1h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-27 12:00:00
        [price] => 281.35
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  161. pivots_1h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-27 14:00:00
        [price] => 271.56
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  162. pivots_1h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-27 15:00:00
        [price] => 280.11
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  163. pivots_1h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-27 18:00:00
        [price] => 267.17
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  164. pivots_1h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-27 20:00:00
        [price] => 274.6
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  165. pivots_1h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-28 06:00:00
        [price] => 254.69
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  166. pivots_1h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-28 09:00:00
        [price] => 262.8
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  167. pivots_1h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-28 14:00:00
        [price] => 253.49
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  168. pivots_1h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-28 21:00:00
        [price] => 264.7
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  169. pivots_1h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-29 04:00:00
        [price] => 253.55
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  170. pivots_1h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-29 06:00:00
        [price] => 260.94
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  171. pivots_1h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-29 14:00:00
        [price] => 246.41
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  172. pivots_1h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-29 15:00:00
        [price] => 260.21
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  173. strategy_details
  174. levels_hl_price:
    246.41
  175. levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-05-29 14:00:00
  176. levels_hh_price:
    260.21
  177. levels_lh_price:
    260.21
  178. levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-05-29 15:00:00
  179. levels_ll_price:
    246.41
  180. ¸
  181. regimes
  182. 4H : bear_high
  183. 1H : bear_high
  184. 15m : bear_high
  185. ¸
  186. trend_analyzer_4h
  187. direction : neutral
  188. phase : range
  189. structure : range
  190. breakout_state : none
  191. quality : volatile
  192. strength : moderate
  193. exhaustion : medium
  194. momentum_type : grind
  195. volatility_regime : normal
  196. htf_context : unknown
  197. risk_state : approaching_support
  198. confidence : 0.43
  199. state : neutral_range_grind
  200. trend_analyzer_4h
  201. scores_direction_score:
    0.4376
  202. scores_strength_score:
    0.4852
  203. scores_quality_score:
    0.262
  204. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.1951
  205. scores_structural_quality:
    0.3167
  206. scores_pullback_score:
    1
  207. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.5384
  208. scores_continuation_score:
    0.3885
  209. scores_structure_score:
    0.6897
  210. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.5419
  211. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.5015
  212. scores_risk_score:
    0.0605
  213. trend_analyzer_4h
  214. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.1269
  215. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.0775
  216. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  217. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -1.3484
  218. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -2.1523
  219. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.6667
  220. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.3333
  221. features_last_bos_direction:
    1
  222. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    20
  223. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  224. features_wick_ratio:
    0.6099
  225. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.2643
  226. features_impulse_strength:
    3.9073
  227. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.6
  228. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    1.1743
  229. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    2.8608
  230. features_extension_from_mean:
    -2.1523
  231. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.6692
  232. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.3296
  233. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.58
  234. features_volatility_delta:
    -0.0092
  235. features_body_ratio:
    0.3908
  236. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.4273
  237. features_slope_consistency:
    0.929
  238. features_range_position:
    0.0605
  239. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -9.7105
  240. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    0.6256
  241. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  242. features_had_recent_compression:
    0
  243. features_post_break_hl_count:
    0
  244. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  245. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  246. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  247. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  248. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  249. ¸

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 19:09 250.81000000 0%
2 20:12 251.47000000 +0.263%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ pullback_down
Confidence 54%

Trend

Trend Strength
-0.053
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
-0.190
Low Δ ATR
-1.861

Current Swing

Amp ATR
3.378
Speed
3.378
Efficiency
0.868

Structure

Retracement
0.950
Extension
1.867
Compression
1.185
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
-2.640
Dist High ATR
-2.450
Dist Low ATR
1.147
32 pivots · 31 swings · Last pivot: ↑ 260.2100 @ bar 141

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_bearish_transition_explosive
Confidence 60%

Context

phase transition
structure bearish_transition
breakout breakout_confirmed
quality volatile
strength strong
exhaustion low
momentum explosive
volatility normal
risk approaching_support
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.245
Strength Score 0.763
Quality Score 0.431
Cleanliness Score 0.234
Structural Quality 0.592
Pullback Score 0.950
Exhaustion Score 0.288
Continuation Score 0.387
Structure Score 0.266
Volatility Expansion 0.458
Momentum Type Score 0.759
Risk Score 0.116
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.148
Ema50 Slope
-0.113
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-0.770
Price Vs Ema50
-2.157
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.250
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.750
Last Bos Direction
-1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
9.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.532
Trend Efficiency
0.868
Impulse Strength
4.051
Directional Candle Ratio
0.600
Pullback Depth Ratio
0.950
Pullback Depth Atr
3.848
Extension From Mean
-2.157
Impulse Decay Score
0.066
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.291
Volatility Percentile
0.360
Volatility Delta
0.062
Body Ratio
0.493
Closes Position Ratio
0.486
Slope Consistency
0.852
Range Position
0.116
Distance To Recent High
-10.810
Distance To Recent Low
1.414
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
0.000
Post Break Hl Count
1.000

Trend Analyzer 4H

1H ↔ neutral neutral_range_grind
Confidence 43%

Context

phase range
structure range
breakout none
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion medium
momentum grind
volatility normal
risk approaching_support
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.438
Strength Score 0.485
Quality Score 0.262
Cleanliness Score 0.195
Structural Quality 0.317
Pullback Score 1.000
Exhaustion Score 0.538
Continuation Score 0.389
Structure Score 0.690
Volatility Expansion 0.542
Momentum Type Score 0.502
Risk Score 0.061
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.127
Ema50 Slope
-0.078
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-1.348
Price Vs Ema50
-2.152
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.667
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.333
Last Bos Direction
1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
20.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.610
Trend Efficiency
0.264
Impulse Strength
3.907
Directional Candle Ratio
0.600
Pullback Depth Ratio
1.174
Pullback Depth Atr
2.861
Extension From Mean
-2.152
Impulse Decay Score
0.669
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.330
Volatility Percentile
0.580
Volatility Delta
-0.009
Body Ratio
0.391
Closes Position Ratio
0.427
Slope Consistency
0.929
Range Position
0.061
Distance To Recent High
-9.711
Distance To Recent Low
0.626
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
0.000
Post Break Hl Count
0.000

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7200ms Confidence avant OB : 90%90%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.090
avg 0.104 ± 0.044
OBI Top 10 0.090

Microstructure

Mid Price
250.3950
Micro Price
250.4054
Spread
0.0200%

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
254.0000
Size
4,056.85

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
29 May 2026
19:09:24
02 Jun 2026
23:40:00
4 days

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
250.81 260.5035 221.7296 3 201.39
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 250.81
  • Stop Loss: 260.5035
  • Take Profit: 221.7296

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 260.5035 - 250.81 = 9.6935

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 250.81 - 221.7296 = 29.0804

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 29.0804 / 9.6935 = 3

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
206.9928 100 0.8253 2.07
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 9.6935

Taille de position = 8 / 9.6935 = 0.83

Taille de position USD = 0.83 x 250.81 = 208.17

Donc, tu peux acheter 0.83 avec un stoploss a 260.5035

Avec un position size USD de 208.17$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 0.83 x 9.6935 = 8.05

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.05$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 0.83 x 29.0804 = 24.14

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 24.14$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 0.83
  • Taille de position USD 208.17
  • Perte potentielle 8.05
  • Gain potentiel 24.14
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 3

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
11.59 % 24 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.86 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
24 $ 11.59
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.7837 % 97.9 % 112

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.22
            [max_drawdown] => 1.55
            [rr_ratio] => 0.79
            [high] => 252.36000000
            [low] => 249.59000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.49
            [mae_pct] => 0.62
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.79
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-05-29T19:09:24-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-29T21:09:24-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 4.4
            [max_drawdown] => 3.11
            [rr_ratio] => 1.41
            [high] => 253.92000000
            [low] => 246.41000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.75
            [mae_pct] => 1.24
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.41
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-05-29T19:09:24-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-30T02:09:24-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 251.05000000
            [high_after] => 253.92000000
            [low_before] => 245.50000000
            [low_after] => 246.41000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank
#80 / 98 OUT
seuil : top 15 · score du 29/05/2026 19:00
Signal Confidence
90 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime