29 May 2026 at 21:42:33

Short Trade on TAO (WedgePullback)

With 1.01 TAO at 252.51$ per unit. Take profit: 228.6771 (9.44 %) & Stop Loss: 260.4543 (3.15 %)

Short WedgePullback on TAO (29 May 2026 at 21:42:33 to 18:50:00 - 3 days )

With 1.007 TAO at 252.51$ per unit.

Position size of 254.2801 $
Take profit at 228.6771 (9.44 %) and Stop Loss at 260.4543 (3.15 %)

That's a 3 RR Trade
Duration: 3 days

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.08
Prediction Score:
Prediction 1 Probability
n/a
Prediction 2 Probability
n/a
Prediction 3 Probability
n/a
BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 1

ml_regime : range_high

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_4h : bear_medium

tf_aligned : 1

29/05 21:01

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

4H_regime : bear_high

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability Évalué à
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate fading normal bear_high
63%
29/05 20:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
69%
30/05 01:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate balanced compression bear_medium
76%
30/05 01:30
5m ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced normal range_low
49%
30/05 01:35

Signal

WedgePullback - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.7
  3. reason: ascending_wedge_lh_anticipation
  4. stop_price: 260.45431095
  5. tp_price: 228.67706716
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.7
  8. confidence_pre_ob: 0.7
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. timeframe : 1h
  10. state : pullback_down
  11. confidence : 0.173
  12. trend_strength : -0.1234
  13. trend_persistence : 0.5
  14. high_delta_atr : -0.198
  15. low_delta_atr : -0.2468
  16. current_swing_amp_atr : 3.6146
  17. current_swing_speed : 0.60244
  18. current_swing_efficiency : 0.4202
  19. retracement_ratio : 1.0659
  20. extension_ratio : 1.0124
  21. compression_score : 1.404
  22. swing_entropy : 1
  23. breakout_strength : -1.543
  24. distance_to_last_high_atr : -2.1993
  25. distance_to_last_low_atr : 1.7898
  26. pivot_count : 33
  27. swing_count : 32
  28. market_structure_v2
  29. last_pivot_kind: low
  30. last_pivot_price:
    245.5
  31. last_pivot_index:
    145
  32. ¸
  33. trend_analyzer_1h
  34. direction : down
  35. phase : transition
  36. structure : bearish_transition
  37. breakout_state : breakout_confirmed
  38. quality : volatile
  39. strength : moderate
  40. exhaustion : medium
  41. momentum_type : grind
  42. volatility_regime : normal
  43. htf_context : unknown
  44. risk_state : discount
  45. confidence : 0.509
  46. state : down_bearish_transition_grind
  47. trend_analyzer_1h
  48. scores_direction_score:
    0.2398
  49. scores_strength_score:
    0.5611
  50. scores_quality_score:
    0.4217
  51. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.2242
  52. scores_structural_quality:
    0.5833
  53. scores_pullback_score:
    1
  54. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.416
  55. scores_continuation_score:
    0.3461
  56. scores_structure_score:
    0.2534
  57. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.3539
  58. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.5858
  59. scores_risk_score:
    0.1437
  60. trend_analyzer_1h
  61. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.1115
  62. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.104
  63. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  64. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -0.3174
  65. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -1.7746
  66. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.25
  67. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.75
  68. features_last_bos_direction:
    -1
  69. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    11
  70. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  71. features_wick_ratio:
    0.5516
  72. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.4202
  73. features_impulse_strength:
    4.0512
  74. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.6
  75. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    1.0659
  76. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    3.6011
  77. features_extension_from_mean:
    -1.7746
  78. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.4938
  79. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.2528
  80. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.22
  81. features_volatility_delta:
    0.0329
  82. features_body_ratio:
    0.4898
  83. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.4281
  84. features_slope_consistency:
    0.8509
  85. features_range_position:
    0.1437
  86. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -11.2083
  87. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    1.8813
  88. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  89. features_had_recent_compression:
    0
  90. features_post_break_hl_count:
    1
  91. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  92. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  93. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  94. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  95. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  96. ¸
  97. orderbook_context
  98. obi_top5 : 0.0221
  99. obi_top10 : 0.0218
  100. micro_price : 252.21295684
  101. spread_pct : 0.01586
  102. mid_price : 252.22
  103. bid_wall_price :
  104. bid_wall_size :
  105. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  106. ask_wall_price :
  107. ask_wall_size :
  108. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  109. snapshots_count : 5
  110. obi_top5_mean : 0.0211
  111. obi_top5_std : 0.0006
  112. pressure_side : neutral
  113. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  114. collection_ms : 7174
  115. aggregation_tick : 1
  116. error :
  117. ¸
  118. strategy_details
  119. strategy : wedge_pullback
  120. ms_state_4h : range
  121. ms_state_1h : pullback_down
  122. strategy_details
  123. wedge_4h_type: ascending_wedge
  124. wedge_4h_strength:
    0.9
  125. wedge_4h_bias: bearish_breakout
  126. wedge_4h_breakout_type: ascending_wedge
  127. wedge_4h_breakout_strength:
    0.9
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  131. strategy_details
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  140. pivots_4h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-07 20:00:00
        [price] => 296.28
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  141. pivots_4h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 16:00:00
        [price] => 333.23
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  142. pivots_4h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 12:00:00
        [price] => 290.51
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  143. pivots_4h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-14 20:00:00
        [price] => 309.28
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  144. pivots_4h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-18 16:00:00
        [price] => 254.22
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  145. pivots_4h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-21 08:00:00
        [price] => 289.19
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  146. pivots_4h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-21 12:00:00
        [price] => 274.46
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  147. pivots_4h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-22 12:00:00
        [price] => 293.35
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  148. pivots_4h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-23 04:00:00
        [price] => 252.94
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  149. pivots_4h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-23 20:00:00
        [price] => 287.98
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  150. pivots_4h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-24 20:00:00
        [price] => 268.24
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  151. pivots_4h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-26 12:00:00
        [price] => 291.42
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  152. strategy_details
  153. pivots_1h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-26 13:00:00
        [price] => 282.59
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  154. pivots_1h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-26 14:00:00
        [price] => 291.42
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  155. pivots_1h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-26 17:00:00
        [price] => 289.66
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  156. pivots_1h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-26 23:00:00
        [price] => 277.62
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  157. pivots_1h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-27 00:00:00
        [price] => 286.69
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  158. pivots_1h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-27 04:00:00
        [price] => 270.17
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  159. pivots_1h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-27 12:00:00
        [price] => 281.35
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  160. pivots_1h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-27 14:00:00
        [price] => 271.56
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  161. pivots_1h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-27 15:00:00
        [price] => 280.11
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  162. pivots_1h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-27 18:00:00
        [price] => 267.17
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  163. pivots_1h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-27 20:00:00
        [price] => 274.6
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  164. pivots_1h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-28 06:00:00
        [price] => 254.69
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  165. pivots_1h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-28 09:00:00
        [price] => 262.8
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  166. pivots_1h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-28 14:00:00
        [price] => 253.49
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  167. pivots_1h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-28 21:00:00
        [price] => 264.7
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  168. pivots_1h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-29 04:00:00
        [price] => 253.55
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  169. pivots_1h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-29 06:00:00
        [price] => 260.94
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  170. pivots_1h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-29 14:00:00
        [price] => 246.41
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  171. pivots_1h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-29 15:00:00
        [price] => 260.21
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  172. pivots_1h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-29 21:00:00
        [price] => 245.5
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  173. strategy_details
  174. levels_hl_price:
    245.5
  175. levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-05-29 21:00:00
  176. levels_hh_price:
    260.21
  177. levels_lh_price:
    260.21
  178. levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-05-29 15:00:00
  179. levels_ll_price:
    245.5
  180. ¸
  181. regimes
  182. 4H : bear_high
  183. 1H : bear_high
  184. 15m : range_medium
  185. ¸
  186. trend_analyzer_4h
  187. direction : neutral
  188. phase : range
  189. structure : range
  190. breakout_state : none
  191. quality : volatile
  192. strength : moderate
  193. exhaustion : medium
  194. momentum_type : grind
  195. volatility_regime : compression
  196. htf_context : unknown
  197. risk_state : approaching_support
  198. confidence : 0.43
  199. state : neutral_range_grind
  200. trend_analyzer_4h
  201. scores_direction_score:
    0.4354
  202. scores_strength_score:
    0.4677
  203. scores_quality_score:
    0.261
  204. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.1981
  205. scores_structural_quality:
    0.3125
  206. scores_pullback_score:
    1
  207. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.53
  208. scores_continuation_score:
    0.3902
  209. scores_structure_score:
    0.6897
  210. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.2563
  211. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.4988
  212. scores_risk_score:
    0.0752
  213. trend_analyzer_4h
  214. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.1413
  215. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.0878
  216. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  217. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -1.17
  218. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -2.0876
  219. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.6667
  220. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.3333
  221. features_last_bos_direction:
    1
  222. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    21
  223. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  224. features_wick_ratio:
    0.6039
  225. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.2643
  226. features_impulse_strength:
    3.9073
  227. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.55
  228. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    1.1743
  229. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    2.8608
  230. features_extension_from_mean:
    -2.0876
  231. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.6692
  232. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.3185
  233. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.24
  234. features_volatility_delta:
    -0.1315
  235. features_body_ratio:
    0.3768
  236. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.4397
  237. features_slope_consistency:
    0.9294
  238. features_range_position:
    0.0752
  239. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -10.3994
  240. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    0.846
  241. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  242. features_had_recent_compression:
    0
  243. features_post_break_hl_count:
    0
  244. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  245. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  246. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  247. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  248. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  249. ¸

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 21:42 252.51000000 0%
2 22:22 253.13000000 +0.246%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ pullback_down
Confidence 17%

Trend

Trend Strength
-0.123
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
-0.198
Low Δ ATR
-0.247

Current Swing

Amp ATR
3.615
Speed
0.602
Efficiency
0.420

Structure

Retracement
1.066
Extension
1.012
Compression
1.404
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
-1.543
Dist High ATR
-2.199
Dist Low ATR
1.790
33 pivots · 32 swings · Last pivot: ↓ 245.5000 @ bar 145

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_bearish_transition_grind
Confidence 51%

Context

phase transition
structure bearish_transition
breakout breakout_confirmed
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion medium
momentum grind
volatility normal
risk discount
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.240
Strength Score 0.561
Quality Score 0.422
Cleanliness Score 0.224
Structural Quality 0.583
Pullback Score 1.000
Exhaustion Score 0.416
Continuation Score 0.346
Structure Score 0.253
Volatility Expansion 0.354
Momentum Type Score 0.586
Risk Score 0.144
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.112
Ema50 Slope
-0.104
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-0.317
Price Vs Ema50
-1.775
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.250
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.750
Last Bos Direction
-1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
11.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.552
Trend Efficiency
0.420
Impulse Strength
4.051
Directional Candle Ratio
0.600
Pullback Depth Ratio
1.066
Pullback Depth Atr
3.601
Extension From Mean
-1.775
Impulse Decay Score
0.494
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.253
Volatility Percentile
0.220
Volatility Delta
0.033
Body Ratio
0.490
Closes Position Ratio
0.428
Slope Consistency
0.851
Range Position
0.144
Distance To Recent High
-11.208
Distance To Recent Low
1.881
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
0.000
Post Break Hl Count
1.000

Trend Analyzer 4H

1H ↔ neutral neutral_range_grind
Confidence 43%

Context

phase range
structure range
breakout none
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion medium
momentum grind
volatility compression
risk approaching_support
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.435
Strength Score 0.468
Quality Score 0.261
Cleanliness Score 0.198
Structural Quality 0.313
Pullback Score 1.000
Exhaustion Score 0.530
Continuation Score 0.390
Structure Score 0.690
Volatility Expansion 0.256
Momentum Type Score 0.499
Risk Score 0.075
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.141
Ema50 Slope
-0.088
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-1.170
Price Vs Ema50
-2.088
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.667
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.333
Last Bos Direction
1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
21.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.604
Trend Efficiency
0.264
Impulse Strength
3.907
Directional Candle Ratio
0.550
Pullback Depth Ratio
1.174
Pullback Depth Atr
2.861
Extension From Mean
-2.088
Impulse Decay Score
0.669
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.319
Volatility Percentile
0.240
Volatility Delta
-0.132
Body Ratio
0.377
Closes Position Ratio
0.440
Slope Consistency
0.929
Range Position
0.075
Distance To Recent High
-10.399
Distance To Recent Low
0.846
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
0.000
Post Break Hl Count
0.000

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7174ms Confidence avant OB : 70%70%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.022
avg 0.021 ± 0.001
OBI Top 10 0.022

Microstructure

Mid Price
252.2200
Micro Price
252.2130
Spread
0.0159%

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
29 May 2026
21:42:33
02 Jun 2026
18:50:00
3 days

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
252.51 260.4543 228.6771 3 199.6
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 252.51
  • Stop Loss: 260.4543
  • Take Profit: 228.6771

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 260.4543 - 252.51 = 7.9443

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 252.51 - 228.6771 = 23.8329

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 23.8329 / 7.9443 = 3

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
254.2801 100 1.007 2.54
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 7.9443

Taille de position = 8 / 7.9443 = 1.01

Taille de position USD = 1.01 x 252.51 = 255.04

Donc, tu peux acheter 1.01 avec un stoploss a 260.4543

Avec un position size USD de 255.04$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1.01 x 7.9443 = 8.02

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.02$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1.01 x 23.8329 = 24.07

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 24.07$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1.01
  • Taille de position USD 255.04
  • Perte potentielle 8.02
  • Gain potentiel 24.07
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 3

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
9.44 % 24 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.15 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
24 $ 9.44
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.085 % 98.06 % 98

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.61
            [max_drawdown] => 1.41
            [rr_ratio] => 1.85
            [high] => 253.92000000
            [low] => 249.90000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.03
            [mae_pct] => 0.56
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.85
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-05-29T21:42:33-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-29T23:42:33-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 6.1
            [max_drawdown] => 1.41
            [rr_ratio] => 4.33
            [high] => 253.92000000
            [low] => 246.41000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.42
            [mae_pct] => 0.56
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.33
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-05-29T21:42:33-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-30T04:42:33-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 253.21000000
            [high_after] => 253.92000000
            [low_before] => 247.11000000
            [low_after] => 246.41000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank
#75 / n/a OUT
seuil : top 15 · score du 29/05/2026 21:00
Signal Confidence
70 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime