Long Trade on MSTR (CatchTheWave)
With 49.1 MSTR at 159.19$ per unit. Take profit: 159.5159 (0.2 %) & Stop Loss: 159.0271 (0.1 %)
Long Trade on MSTR (CatchTheWave)
With 49.1 MSTR at 159.19$ per unit. Take profit: 159.5159 (0.2 %) & Stop Loss: 159.0271 (0.1 %)
Position size of 7815.5915 $
Take profit at 159.5159 (0.2 %)
and Stop Loss at 159.0271 (0.1 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.53 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.39 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.56 |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_4h : bear_medium tf_aligned : 1 29/05 23:01 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.109184 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
65%
|
29/05 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
75%
|
30/05 03:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_low |
52%
|
30/05 03:15 |
| 5m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | range_low |
49%
|
30/05 03:40 |
Indicators:
73534.2
0.000622269
73580
0.109184
0
0
73580
74442.9
-0.0115918
73580
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162.07
189
0.7138
0.6446
0.3231
0.2525
0.3808
1
0.3142
0.5663
0.616
0.1827
0.6673
0.6558
0.215
0.135
1
1.5699
2.9732
0.4
0.6
1
10
1
0.4949
0.5991
5.807
0.5
2.7103
8.541
2.9732
0
0.216
0.04
-0.062
0.4627
0.548
0.8523
0.6558
-6.3172
12.0371
1
1
0
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:47 | 159.19000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 23:55 | 159.13000000 | -0.038% |
| 3 | 00:05 | 159.05000000 | -0.088% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-29 23:05:00 | 159.04 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-29 23:20:00 | 158.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-30 00:00:00 | 158.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-30 00:30:00 | 158.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-30 02:00:00 | 159.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-30 02:20:00 | 159.37 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-30 02:50:00 | 159.69 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-30 03:00:00 | 159.49 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-30 03:20:00 | 159.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-30 03:40:00 | 159.12 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-29 06:15:00 | 153.45 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-29 07:45:00 | 151.58 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-29 09:15:00 | 153.14 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-29 13:30:00 | 148.41 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-29 17:15:00 | 162.07 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-29 19:30:00 | 157.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-29 21:45:00 | 158.43 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-29 23:00:00 | 159.04 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-30 03:15:00 | 159.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-30 03:30:00 | 159.12 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-27 04:00:00 | 157.86 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-27 08:00:00 | 160.66 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-28 04:00:00 | 147.41 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-28 14:00:00 | 144.48 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-28 18:00:00 | 153.69 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-29 02:00:00 | 150.91 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-29 06:00:00 | 153.45 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-29 13:00:00 | 148.41 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-29 17:00:00 | 162.07 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-30 03:00:00 | 159.7 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 29 May 2026 23:47:38 |
30 May 2026 00:05:00 |
17 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 159.19 | 159.0271 | 159.5159 | 2 | 111.85 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 159.0271 - 159.19 = -0.16290000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 159.19 - 159.5159 = -0.32589999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.32589999999999 / -0.16290000000001 = 2.0006
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7815.5915 | 100 | 49.096 | 78.16 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.16290000000001 = -49.11
Taille de position USD = -49.11 x 159.19 = -7817.82
Donc, tu peux acheter -49.11 avec un stoploss a 159.0271
Avec un position size USD de -7817.82$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -49.11 x -0.16290000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -49.11 x -0.32589999999999 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.2 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.1 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.10 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3706 % | 362.27 % | 4 |
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Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?