30 May 2026 at 00:19:52

Short Trade on TAO (WedgePullback)

With 1.42 TAO at 248.53$ per unit. Take profit: 231.6753 (6.78 %) & Stop Loss: 254.1482 (2.26 %)

Short WedgePullback on TAO (30 May 2026 at 00:19:52 to 10:25:00 - 10 hours )

With 1.4239 TAO at 248.53$ per unit.

Position size of 353.8903 $
Take profit at 231.6753 (6.78 %) and Stop Loss at 254.1482 (2.26 %)

That's a 3 RR Trade
Duration: 10 hours

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.81
Prediction Score:
Prediction 1 Probability
n/a
Prediction 2 Probability
n/a
Prediction 3 Probability
n/a
BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 1

ml_regime : range_high

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_4h : bear_medium

tf_aligned : 1

30/05 00:01

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

4H_regime : bear_high

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability Évalué à
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bear_high
64%
30/05 00:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
70%
30/05 03:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bear_medium
72%
30/05 04:00
5m ↓ down range range moderate grind expansion bear_low
56%
30/05 04:05

Signal

WedgePullback - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.7
  3. reason: ascending_wedge_lh_anticipation
  4. stop_price: 254.1482384
  5. tp_price: 231.67528479
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.7
  8. confidence_pre_ob: 0.7
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. timeframe : 1h
  10. state : pullback_down
  11. confidence : 0.587
  12. trend_strength : -0.1553
  13. trend_persistence : 0.5
  14. high_delta_atr : -1.7794
  15. low_delta_atr : -0.2574
  16. current_swing_amp_atr : 2.3256
  17. current_swing_speed : 0.46513
  18. current_swing_efficiency : 0.487
  19. retracement_ratio : 0.5724
  20. extension_ratio : 0.6101
  21. compression_score : 1.0274
  22. swing_entropy : 1
  23. breakout_strength : -3.3042
  24. distance_to_last_high_atr : -1.5248
  25. distance_to_last_low_atr : 0.8572
  26. pivot_count : 36
  27. swing_count : 35
  28. market_structure_v2
  29. last_pivot_kind: high
  30. last_pivot_price:
    253.92
  31. last_pivot_index:
    147
  32. ¸
  33. trend_analyzer_1h
  34. direction : down
  35. phase : transition
  36. structure : bearish_transition
  37. breakout_state : breakout_confirmed
  38. quality : volatile
  39. strength : moderate
  40. exhaustion : medium
  41. momentum_type : fading
  42. volatility_regime : compression
  43. htf_context : unknown
  44. risk_state : approaching_support
  45. confidence : 0.539
  46. state : down_bearish_transition_fading
  47. trend_analyzer_1h
  48. scores_direction_score:
    0.2322
  49. scores_strength_score:
    0.5737
  50. scores_quality_score:
    0.4779
  51. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.2462
  52. scores_structural_quality:
    0.6675
  53. scores_pullback_score:
    0.5724
  54. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.5826
  55. scores_continuation_score:
    0.5181
  56. scores_structure_score:
    0.2278
  57. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.2547
  58. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.6201
  59. scores_risk_score:
    0.066
  60. trend_analyzer_1h
  61. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.0631
  62. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.0859
  63. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  64. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -1.2324
  65. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -2.714
  66. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.2
  67. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.8
  68. features_last_bos_direction:
    -1
  69. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    14
  70. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  71. features_wick_ratio:
    0.5076
  72. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.487
  73. features_impulse_strength:
    3.6147
  74. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.6
  75. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    0.5724
  76. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    2.0691
  77. features_extension_from_mean:
    -2.714
  78. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.695
  79. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.2687
  80. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.08
  81. features_volatility_delta:
    0.01
  82. features_body_ratio:
    0.5289
  83. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.4371
  84. features_slope_consistency:
    0.8002
  85. features_range_position:
    0.066
  86. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -13.0027
  87. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    0.9186
  88. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  89. features_had_recent_compression:
    0
  90. features_post_break_hl_count:
    2
  91. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  92. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  93. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  94. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  95. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  96. ¸
  97. orderbook_context
  98. obi_top5 : -0.0563
  99. obi_top10 : -0.0564
  100. micro_price : 248.14149482
  101. spread_pct : 0.032248
  102. mid_price : 248.12
  103. bid_wall_price :
  104. bid_wall_size :
  105. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  106. ask_wall_price : 249
  107. ask_wall_size : 4605.4978
  108. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  109. snapshots_count : 5
  110. obi_top5_mean : -0.0018
  111. obi_top5_std : 0.0362
  112. pressure_side : neutral
  113. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  114. collection_ms : 7181
  115. aggregation_tick : 1
  116. error :
  117. ¸
  118. strategy_details
  119. strategy : wedge_pullback
  120. ms_state_4h : range
  121. ms_state_1h : pullback_down
  122. strategy_details
  123. wedge_4h_type: ascending_wedge
  124. wedge_4h_strength:
    0.9
  125. wedge_4h_bias: bearish_breakout
  126. wedge_4h_breakout_type: ascending_wedge
  127. wedge_4h_breakout_strength:
    0.9
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  131. strategy_details
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        [label] => HH
    )
    
  140. pivots_4h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-07 20:00:00
        [price] => 296.28
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  141. pivots_4h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 16:00:00
        [price] => 333.23
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  142. pivots_4h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 12:00:00
        [price] => 290.51
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  143. pivots_4h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-14 20:00:00
        [price] => 309.28
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  144. pivots_4h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-18 16:00:00
        [price] => 254.22
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  145. pivots_4h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-21 08:00:00
        [price] => 289.19
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  146. pivots_4h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-21 12:00:00
        [price] => 274.46
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  147. pivots_4h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-22 12:00:00
        [price] => 293.35
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  148. pivots_4h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-23 04:00:00
        [price] => 252.94
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  149. pivots_4h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-23 20:00:00
        [price] => 287.98
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  150. pivots_4h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-24 20:00:00
        [price] => 268.24
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  151. pivots_4h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-26 12:00:00
        [price] => 291.42
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  152. strategy_details
  153. pivots_1h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-26 14:00:00
        [price] => 291.42
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  154. pivots_1h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-26 17:00:00
        [price] => 289.66
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  155. pivots_1h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-26 23:00:00
        [price] => 277.62
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  156. pivots_1h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-27 00:00:00
        [price] => 286.69
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  157. pivots_1h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-27 04:00:00
        [price] => 270.17
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  158. pivots_1h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-27 12:00:00
        [price] => 281.35
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  159. pivots_1h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-27 14:00:00
        [price] => 271.56
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  160. pivots_1h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-27 15:00:00
        [price] => 280.11
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  161. pivots_1h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-27 18:00:00
        [price] => 267.17
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  162. pivots_1h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-27 20:00:00
        [price] => 274.6
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  163. pivots_1h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-28 06:00:00
        [price] => 254.69
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  164. pivots_1h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-28 09:00:00
        [price] => 262.8
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  165. pivots_1h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-28 14:00:00
        [price] => 253.49
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  166. pivots_1h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-28 21:00:00
        [price] => 264.7
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  167. pivots_1h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-29 04:00:00
        [price] => 253.55
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  168. pivots_1h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-29 06:00:00
        [price] => 260.94
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  169. pivots_1h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-29 14:00:00
        [price] => 246.41
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  170. pivots_1h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-29 15:00:00
        [price] => 260.21
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  171. pivots_1h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-29 21:00:00
        [price] => 245.5
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  172. pivots_1h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-30 02:00:00
        [price] => 253.92
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  173. strategy_details
  174. levels_hl_price:
    245.5
  175. levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-05-29 21:00:00
  176. levels_hh_price:
    253.92
  177. levels_lh_price:
    253.92
  178. levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-05-30 02:00:00
  179. levels_ll_price:
    245.5
  180. ¸
  181. regimes
  182. 4H : bear_high
  183. 1H : bear_high
  184. 15m : bear_medium
  185. ¸
  186. trend_analyzer_4h
  187. direction : neutral
  188. phase : range
  189. structure : range
  190. breakout_state : none
  191. quality : volatile
  192. strength : moderate
  193. exhaustion : medium
  194. momentum_type : fading
  195. volatility_regime : compression
  196. htf_context : unknown
  197. risk_state : approaching_support
  198. confidence : 0.425
  199. state : neutral_range_fading
  200. trend_analyzer_4h
  201. scores_direction_score:
    0.4321
  202. scores_strength_score:
    0.4852
  203. scores_quality_score:
    0.2515
  204. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.182
  205. scores_structural_quality:
    0.3084
  206. scores_pullback_score:
    1
  207. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.5795
  208. scores_continuation_score:
    0.374
  209. scores_structure_score:
    0.6897
  210. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.1365
  211. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.4846
  212. scores_risk_score:
    0.0345
  213. trend_analyzer_4h
  214. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.1636
  215. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.1021
  216. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  217. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -1.5787
  218. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -2.6535
  219. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.6667
  220. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.3333
  221. features_last_bos_direction:
    1
  222. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    22
  223. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  224. features_wick_ratio:
    0.6359
  225. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.2643
  226. features_impulse_strength:
    3.9073
  227. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.6
  228. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    1.1743
  229. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    2.8608
  230. features_extension_from_mean:
    -2.6535
  231. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.6692
  232. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.3186
  233. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.06
  234. features_volatility_delta:
    -0.1493
  235. features_body_ratio:
    0.3554
  236. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.41
  237. features_slope_consistency:
    0.9432
  238. features_range_position:
    0.0345
  239. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -11.8304
  240. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    0.4232
  241. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  242. features_had_recent_compression:
    0
  243. features_post_break_hl_count:
    0
  244. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  245. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  246. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  247. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  248. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  249. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ pullback_down
Confidence 59%

Trend

Trend Strength
-0.155
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
-1.779
Low Δ ATR
-0.257

Current Swing

Amp ATR
2.326
Speed
0.465
Efficiency
0.487

Structure

Retracement
0.572
Extension
0.610
Compression
1.027
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
-3.304
Dist High ATR
-1.525
Dist Low ATR
0.857
36 pivots · 35 swings · Last pivot: ↑ 253.9200 @ bar 147

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_bearish_transition_fading
Confidence 54%

Context

phase transition
structure bearish_transition
breakout breakout_confirmed
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion medium
momentum fading
volatility compression
risk approaching_support
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.232
Strength Score 0.574
Quality Score 0.478
Cleanliness Score 0.246
Structural Quality 0.668
Pullback Score 0.572
Exhaustion Score 0.583
Continuation Score 0.518
Structure Score 0.228
Volatility Expansion 0.255
Momentum Type Score 0.620
Risk Score 0.066
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.063
Ema50 Slope
-0.086
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-1.232
Price Vs Ema50
-2.714
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.200
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.800
Last Bos Direction
-1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
14.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.508
Trend Efficiency
0.487
Impulse Strength
3.615
Directional Candle Ratio
0.600
Pullback Depth Ratio
0.572
Pullback Depth Atr
2.069
Extension From Mean
-2.714
Impulse Decay Score
0.695
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.269
Volatility Percentile
0.080
Volatility Delta
0.010
Body Ratio
0.529
Closes Position Ratio
0.437
Slope Consistency
0.800
Range Position
0.066
Distance To Recent High
-13.003
Distance To Recent Low
0.919
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
0.000
Post Break Hl Count
2.000

Trend Analyzer 4H

1H ↔ neutral neutral_range_fading
Confidence 43%

Context

phase range
structure range
breakout none
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion medium
momentum fading
volatility compression
risk approaching_support
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.432
Strength Score 0.485
Quality Score 0.252
Cleanliness Score 0.182
Structural Quality 0.308
Pullback Score 1.000
Exhaustion Score 0.580
Continuation Score 0.374
Structure Score 0.690
Volatility Expansion 0.137
Momentum Type Score 0.485
Risk Score 0.035
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.164
Ema50 Slope
-0.102
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-1.579
Price Vs Ema50
-2.654
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.667
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.333
Last Bos Direction
1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
22.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.636
Trend Efficiency
0.264
Impulse Strength
3.907
Directional Candle Ratio
0.600
Pullback Depth Ratio
1.174
Pullback Depth Atr
2.861
Extension From Mean
-2.654
Impulse Decay Score
0.669
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.319
Volatility Percentile
0.060
Volatility Delta
-0.149
Body Ratio
0.355
Closes Position Ratio
0.410
Slope Consistency
0.943
Range Position
0.035
Distance To Recent High
-11.830
Distance To Recent Low
0.423
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
0.000
Post Break Hl Count
0.000

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7181ms Confidence avant OB : 70%70%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.056
avg -0.002 ± 0.036
OBI Top 10 -0.056

Microstructure

Mid Price
248.1200
Micro Price
248.1415
Spread
0.0322%

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
249.0000
Size
4,605.50

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
30 May 2026
00:19:52
30 May 2026
10:25:00
10 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
248.53 254.1482 231.6753 3 200.13
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 248.53
  • Stop Loss: 254.1482
  • Take Profit: 231.6753

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 254.1482 - 248.53 = 5.6182

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 248.53 - 231.6753 = 16.8547

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 16.8547 / 5.6182 = 3

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
353.8903 100 1.4239 3.54
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 5.6182

Taille de position = 8 / 5.6182 = 1.42

Taille de position USD = 1.42 x 248.53 = 352.91

Donc, tu peux acheter 1.42 avec un stoploss a 254.1482

Avec un position size USD de 352.91$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1.42 x 5.6182 = 7.98

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.98$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1.42 x 16.8547 = 23.93

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 23.93$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1.42
  • Taille de position USD 352.91
  • Perte potentielle 7.98
  • Gain potentiel 23.93
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 3

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
6.78 % 24 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.26 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -2.26
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.4222 % 107.15 % 5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.12
            [max_drawdown] => 3.44
            [rr_ratio] => 0.62
            [high] => 251.97000000
            [low] => 246.41000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.85
            [mae_pct] => 1.38
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.62
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-05-30T00:19:52-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-30T02:19:52-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.12
            [max_drawdown] => 4.03
            [rr_ratio] => 0.53
            [high] => 252.56000000
            [low] => 246.41000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.85
            [mae_pct] => 1.62
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.53
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-05-30T00:19:52-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-30T07:19:52-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 253.92000000
            [high_after] => 252.56000000
            [low_before] => 247.90000000
            [low_after] => 246.41000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank
#79 / n/a OUT
seuil : top 15 · score du 30/05/2026 00:00
Signal Confidence
70 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime