30 May 2026 at 00:55:12

Short Trade on TAO (WedgePullback)

With 1.52 TAO at 248.89$ per unit. Take profit: 233.0775 (6.35 %) & Stop Loss: 254.1608 (2.12 %)

Short WedgePullback on TAO (30 May 2026 at 00:55:12 to 10:25:00 - 9 hours )

With 1.5178 TAO at 248.89$ per unit.

Position size of 377.7625 $
Take profit at 233.0775 (6.35 %) and Stop Loss at 254.1608 (2.12 %)

That's a 3 RR Trade
Duration: 9 hours

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.28
Prediction Score:
Prediction 1 Probability
n/a
Prediction 2 Probability
n/a
Prediction 3 Probability
n/a
BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 1

ml_regime : range_high

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_4h : bear_medium

tf_aligned : 1

30/05 00:01

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

4H_regime : bear_high

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability Évalué à
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bear_high
64%
30/05 00:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
70%
30/05 03:00
15m ↓ down range range moderate balanced normal bear_medium
75%
30/05 04:45
5m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate balanced volatile_reversal bear_low
42%
30/05 04:50

Signal

WedgePullback - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.7
  3. reason: ascending_wedge_lh_anticipation
  4. stop_price: 254.16082493
  5. tp_price: 233.07752522
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.7
  8. confidence_pre_ob: 0.7
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. timeframe : 1h
  10. state : pullback_down
  11. confidence : 0.569
  12. trend_strength : -0.1553
  13. trend_persistence : 0.5
  14. high_delta_atr : -1.7176
  15. low_delta_atr : -0.2485
  16. current_swing_amp_atr : 2.3256
  17. current_swing_speed : 0.46513
  18. current_swing_efficiency : 0.487
  19. retracement_ratio : 0.5724
  20. extension_ratio : 0.6101
  21. compression_score : 1.0274
  22. swing_entropy : 1
  23. breakout_strength : -3.1513
  24. distance_to_last_high_atr : -1.4336
  25. distance_to_last_low_atr : 0.8656
  26. pivot_count : 36
  27. swing_count : 35
  28. market_structure_v2
  29. last_pivot_kind: high
  30. last_pivot_price:
    253.92
  31. last_pivot_index:
    147
  32. ¸
  33. trend_analyzer_1h
  34. direction : down
  35. phase : transition
  36. structure : bearish_transition
  37. breakout_state : breakout_confirmed
  38. quality : volatile
  39. strength : moderate
  40. exhaustion : medium
  41. momentum_type : fading
  42. volatility_regime : normal
  43. htf_context : unknown
  44. risk_state : approaching_support
  45. confidence : 0.538
  46. state : down_bearish_transition_fading
  47. trend_analyzer_1h
  48. scores_direction_score:
    0.233
  49. scores_strength_score:
    0.5737
  50. scores_quality_score:
    0.4745
  51. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.2387
  52. scores_structural_quality:
    0.6675
  53. scores_pullback_score:
    0.5724
  54. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.5684
  55. scores_continuation_score:
    0.5227
  56. scores_structure_score:
    0.2278
  57. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.4231
  58. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.6237
  59. scores_risk_score:
    0.069
  60. trend_analyzer_1h
  61. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.0581
  62. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.0798
  63. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  64. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -1.1138
  65. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -2.4937
  66. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.2
  67. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.8
  68. features_last_bos_direction:
    -1
  69. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    14
  70. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  71. features_wick_ratio:
    0.5226
  72. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.487
  73. features_impulse_strength:
    3.6147
  74. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.6
  75. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    0.5724
  76. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    2.0691
  77. features_extension_from_mean:
    -2.4937
  78. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.695
  79. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.2889
  80. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.28
  81. features_volatility_delta:
    0.0827
  82. features_body_ratio:
    0.5255
  83. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.4573
  84. features_slope_consistency:
    0.7997
  85. features_range_position:
    0.069
  86. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -12.0903
  87. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    0.8965
  88. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  89. features_had_recent_compression:
    0
  90. features_post_break_hl_count:
    2
  91. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  92. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  93. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  94. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  95. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  96. ¸
  97. orderbook_context
  98. obi_top5 : 0.0158
  99. obi_top10 : 0.0158
  100. micro_price : 248.7272973
  101. spread_pct : 0.016084
  102. mid_price : 248.72
  103. bid_wall_price :
  104. bid_wall_size :
  105. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  106. ask_wall_price :
  107. ask_wall_size :
  108. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  109. snapshots_count : 5
  110. obi_top5_mean : 0.0522
  111. obi_top5_std : 0.0504
  112. pressure_side : neutral
  113. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  114. collection_ms : 7213
  115. aggregation_tick : 1
  116. error :
  117. ¸
  118. strategy_details
  119. strategy : wedge_pullback
  120. ms_state_4h : range
  121. ms_state_1h : pullback_down
  122. strategy_details
  123. wedge_4h_type: ascending_wedge
  124. wedge_4h_strength:
    0.9
  125. wedge_4h_bias: bearish_breakout
  126. wedge_4h_breakout_type: ascending_wedge
  127. wedge_4h_breakout_strength:
    0.9
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  131. strategy_details
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        [label] => HH
    )
    
  140. pivots_4h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-07 20:00:00
        [price] => 296.28
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  141. pivots_4h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 16:00:00
        [price] => 333.23
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  142. pivots_4h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 12:00:00
        [price] => 290.51
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  143. pivots_4h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-14 20:00:00
        [price] => 309.28
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  144. pivots_4h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-18 16:00:00
        [price] => 254.22
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  145. pivots_4h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-21 08:00:00
        [price] => 289.19
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  146. pivots_4h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-21 12:00:00
        [price] => 274.46
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  147. pivots_4h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-22 12:00:00
        [price] => 293.35
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  148. pivots_4h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-23 04:00:00
        [price] => 252.94
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  149. pivots_4h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-23 20:00:00
        [price] => 287.98
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  150. pivots_4h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-24 20:00:00
        [price] => 268.24
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  151. pivots_4h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-26 12:00:00
        [price] => 291.42
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  152. strategy_details
  153. pivots_1h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-26 14:00:00
        [price] => 291.42
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  154. pivots_1h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-26 17:00:00
        [price] => 289.66
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  155. pivots_1h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-26 23:00:00
        [price] => 277.62
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  156. pivots_1h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-27 00:00:00
        [price] => 286.69
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  157. pivots_1h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-27 04:00:00
        [price] => 270.17
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  158. pivots_1h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-27 12:00:00
        [price] => 281.35
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  159. pivots_1h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-27 14:00:00
        [price] => 271.56
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  160. pivots_1h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-27 15:00:00
        [price] => 280.11
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  161. pivots_1h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-27 18:00:00
        [price] => 267.17
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  162. pivots_1h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-27 20:00:00
        [price] => 274.6
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  163. pivots_1h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-28 06:00:00
        [price] => 254.69
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  164. pivots_1h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-28 09:00:00
        [price] => 262.8
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  165. pivots_1h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-28 14:00:00
        [price] => 253.49
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  166. pivots_1h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-28 21:00:00
        [price] => 264.7
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  167. pivots_1h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-29 04:00:00
        [price] => 253.55
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  168. pivots_1h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-29 06:00:00
        [price] => 260.94
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  169. pivots_1h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-29 14:00:00
        [price] => 246.41
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  170. pivots_1h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-29 15:00:00
        [price] => 260.21
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  171. pivots_1h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-29 21:00:00
        [price] => 245.5
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  172. pivots_1h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-30 02:00:00
        [price] => 253.92
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  173. strategy_details
  174. levels_hl_price:
    245.5
  175. levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-05-29 21:00:00
  176. levels_hh_price:
    253.92
  177. levels_lh_price:
    253.92
  178. levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-05-30 02:00:00
  179. levels_ll_price:
    245.5
  180. ¸
  181. regimes
  182. 4H : bear_high
  183. 1H : bear_high
  184. 15m : bear_medium
  185. ¸
  186. trend_analyzer_4h
  187. direction : neutral
  188. phase : range
  189. structure : range
  190. breakout_state : none
  191. quality : volatile
  192. strength : moderate
  193. exhaustion : medium
  194. momentum_type : fading
  195. volatility_regime : compression
  196. htf_context : unknown
  197. risk_state : approaching_support
  198. confidence : 0.424
  199. state : neutral_range_fading
  200. trend_analyzer_4h
  201. scores_direction_score:
    0.4329
  202. scores_strength_score:
    0.4852
  203. scores_quality_score:
    0.2481
  204. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.1745
  205. scores_structural_quality:
    0.3084
  206. scores_pullback_score:
    1
  207. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.5755
  208. scores_continuation_score:
    0.3755
  209. scores_structure_score:
    0.6897
  210. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.1793
  211. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.4891
  212. scores_risk_score:
    0.0361
  213. trend_analyzer_4h
  214. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.158
  215. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.0987
  216. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  217. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -1.511
  218. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -2.5502
  219. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.6667
  220. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.3333
  221. features_last_bos_direction:
    1
  222. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    22
  223. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  224. features_wick_ratio:
    0.6509
  225. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.2643
  226. features_impulse_strength:
    3.9073
  227. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.6
  228. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    1.1743
  229. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    2.8608
  230. features_extension_from_mean:
    -2.5502
  231. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.6692
  232. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.3389
  233. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.1
  234. features_volatility_delta:
    -0.1211
  235. features_body_ratio:
    0.3541
  236. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.4303
  237. features_slope_consistency:
    0.9432
  238. features_range_position:
    0.0361
  239. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -11.4319
  240. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    0.4286
  241. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  242. features_had_recent_compression:
    0
  243. features_post_break_hl_count:
    0
  244. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  245. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  246. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  247. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  248. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  249. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ pullback_down
Confidence 57%

Trend

Trend Strength
-0.155
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
-1.718
Low Δ ATR
-0.249

Current Swing

Amp ATR
2.326
Speed
0.465
Efficiency
0.487

Structure

Retracement
0.572
Extension
0.610
Compression
1.027
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
-3.151
Dist High ATR
-1.434
Dist Low ATR
0.866
36 pivots · 35 swings · Last pivot: ↑ 253.9200 @ bar 147

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_bearish_transition_fading
Confidence 54%

Context

phase transition
structure bearish_transition
breakout breakout_confirmed
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion medium
momentum fading
volatility normal
risk approaching_support
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.233
Strength Score 0.574
Quality Score 0.475
Cleanliness Score 0.239
Structural Quality 0.668
Pullback Score 0.572
Exhaustion Score 0.568
Continuation Score 0.523
Structure Score 0.228
Volatility Expansion 0.423
Momentum Type Score 0.624
Risk Score 0.069
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.058
Ema50 Slope
-0.080
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-1.114
Price Vs Ema50
-2.494
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.200
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.800
Last Bos Direction
-1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
14.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.523
Trend Efficiency
0.487
Impulse Strength
3.615
Directional Candle Ratio
0.600
Pullback Depth Ratio
0.572
Pullback Depth Atr
2.069
Extension From Mean
-2.494
Impulse Decay Score
0.695
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.289
Volatility Percentile
0.280
Volatility Delta
0.083
Body Ratio
0.526
Closes Position Ratio
0.457
Slope Consistency
0.800
Range Position
0.069
Distance To Recent High
-12.090
Distance To Recent Low
0.897
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
0.000
Post Break Hl Count
2.000

Trend Analyzer 4H

1H ↔ neutral neutral_range_fading
Confidence 42%

Context

phase range
structure range
breakout none
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion medium
momentum fading
volatility compression
risk approaching_support
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.433
Strength Score 0.485
Quality Score 0.248
Cleanliness Score 0.175
Structural Quality 0.308
Pullback Score 1.000
Exhaustion Score 0.576
Continuation Score 0.376
Structure Score 0.690
Volatility Expansion 0.179
Momentum Type Score 0.489
Risk Score 0.036
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.158
Ema50 Slope
-0.099
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-1.511
Price Vs Ema50
-2.550
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.667
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.333
Last Bos Direction
1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
22.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.651
Trend Efficiency
0.264
Impulse Strength
3.907
Directional Candle Ratio
0.600
Pullback Depth Ratio
1.174
Pullback Depth Atr
2.861
Extension From Mean
-2.550
Impulse Decay Score
0.669
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.339
Volatility Percentile
0.100
Volatility Delta
-0.121
Body Ratio
0.354
Closes Position Ratio
0.430
Slope Consistency
0.943
Range Position
0.036
Distance To Recent High
-11.432
Distance To Recent Low
0.429
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
0.000
Post Break Hl Count
0.000

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7213ms Confidence avant OB : 70%70%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.016
avg 0.052 ± 0.050
OBI Top 10 0.016

Microstructure

Mid Price
248.7200
Micro Price
248.7273
Spread
0.0161%

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
30 May 2026
00:55:12
30 May 2026
10:25:00
9 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
248.89 254.1608 233.0775 3 198.5
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 248.89
  • Stop Loss: 254.1608
  • Take Profit: 233.0775

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 254.1608 - 248.89 = 5.2708

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 248.89 - 233.0775 = 15.8125

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 15.8125 / 5.2708 = 3

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
377.7625 100 1.5178 3.78
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 5.2708

Taille de position = 8 / 5.2708 = 1.52

Taille de position USD = 1.52 x 248.89 = 378.31

Donc, tu peux acheter 1.52 avec un stoploss a 254.1608

Avec un position size USD de 378.31$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1.52 x 5.2708 = 8.01

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1.52 x 15.8125 = 24.04

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 24.04$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1.52
  • Taille de position USD 378.31
  • Perte potentielle 8.01
  • Gain potentiel 24.04
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 3

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
6.35 % 24 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.12 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -2.12
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.2741 % 107.39 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.78999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 3.25
            [rr_ratio] => 0.24
            [high] => 252.14000000
            [low] => 248.10000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.32
            [mae_pct] => 1.31
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.24
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-05-30T00:55:12-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-30T02:55:12-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.78999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 5.14
            [rr_ratio] => 0.15
            [high] => 254.03000000
            [low] => 248.10000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.32
            [mae_pct] => 2.07
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.15
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-05-30T00:55:12-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-30T07:55:12-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 253.92000000
            [high_after] => 252.56000000
            [low_before] => 246.41000000
            [low_after] => 248.10000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank
#79 / n/a OUT
seuil : top 15 · score du 30/05/2026 00:00
Signal Confidence
70 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime