03 Jun 2026 at 22:22:27

Short Trade on MRVL (BosPullback)

With 0.46 MRVL at 284.55$ per unit. Take profit: 241.0664 (15.28 %) & Stop Loss: 301.9435 (6.11 %)

Short BosPullback on MRVL (03 Jun 2026 at 22:22:27 to 11:00:00 - 12 hours )

With 0.4599 MRVL at 284.55$ per unit.

Position size of 130.8769 $
Take profit at 241.0664 (15.28 %) and Stop Loss at 301.9435 (6.11 %)

That's a 2.5 RR Trade
Duration: 12 hours

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.13
Prediction Score:
Prediction 1 Probability
n/a
Prediction 2 Probability
n/a
Prediction 3 Probability
n/a
BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_medium

Score : 3

ml_regime : range_high

rules_regime : bear_high_confirmed

rules_regime_4h : bear_high_confirmed

tf_aligned : 1

03/06 22:01

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

1H_regime : bull_high

15m_regime : bear_high

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability Évalué à
4h ↔ — bull_high_confirmed
65%
03/06 16:00
1h ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind normal bull_high
64%
04/06 00:00
15m ↓ down range range moderate balanced normal bear_high
77%
04/06 02:00
5m ↓ down range range moderate balanced compression bear_high
74%
04/06 02:00

Signal

BosPullback - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.79
  3. reason: bos_pullback_short|score=2|shallow|bars_since_bos=4|retests=1|break_atr=1.16|prog=0.57|zone=invalid
  4. stop_price: 301.94345014
  5. tp_price: 241.06637465
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.79
  8. confidence_pre_ob: 0.79
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. timeframe : 1h
  10. state : pullback_down
  11. confidence : 0.928
  12. trend_strength : -0.2451
  13. trend_persistence : 0.5
  14. high_delta_atr : -1.5029
  15. low_delta_atr : -1.7179
  16. current_swing_amp_atr : 2.1263
  17. current_swing_speed : 1.06317
  18. current_swing_efficiency : 0.5884
  19. retracement_ratio : 0.5981
  20. extension_ratio : 1.1064
  21. compression_score : 1.0017
  22. swing_entropy : 1
  23. breakout_strength : -2.7713
  24. distance_to_last_high_atr : -1.2684
  25. distance_to_last_low_atr : 0.9678
  26. pivot_count : 36
  27. swing_count : 35
  28. market_structure_v2
  29. last_pivot_kind: high
  30. last_pivot_price:
    300.89
  31. last_pivot_index:
    147
  32. ¸
  33. trend_analyzer_1h
  34. direction : down
  35. phase : transition
  36. structure : bearish_transition
  37. breakout_state : fresh_breakout
  38. quality : volatile
  39. strength : moderate
  40. exhaustion : low
  41. momentum_type : balanced
  42. volatility_regime : normal
  43. htf_context : unknown
  44. risk_state : mid_range
  45. confidence : 0.575
  46. state : down_bearish_transition_balanced
  47. trend_analyzer_1h
  48. scores_direction_score:
    0.3707
  49. scores_strength_score:
    0.6176
  50. scores_quality_score:
    0.3888
  51. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.2253
  52. scores_structural_quality:
    0.5225
  53. scores_pullback_score:
    0.5981
  54. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.2672
  55. scores_continuation_score:
    0.6681
  56. scores_structure_score:
    0.3721
  57. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.5747
  58. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.6501
  59. scores_risk_score:
    0.6183
  60. trend_analyzer_1h
  61. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.1392
  62. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.0052
  63. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0.3333
  64. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -1.1301
  65. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -0.1602
  66. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.6
  67. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.4
  68. features_last_bos_direction:
    -1
  69. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    4
  70. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  71. features_wick_ratio:
    0.5494
  72. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.5884
  73. features_impulse_strength:
    3.5702
  74. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.6
  75. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    0.5981
  76. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    2.1354
  77. features_extension_from_mean:
    -0.1602
  78. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.4468
  79. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.2977
  80. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.5
  81. features_volatility_delta:
    0.1121
  82. features_body_ratio:
    0.5222
  83. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.4429
  84. features_slope_consistency:
    0.7725
  85. features_range_position:
    0.6183
  86. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -4.9151
  87. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    7.9634
  88. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  89. features_had_recent_compression:
    0
  90. features_post_break_hl_count:
    1
  91. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  92. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  93. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  94. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  95. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  96. ¸
  97. orderbook_context
  98. obi_top5 : 0.0424
  99. obi_top10 : 0.0121
  100. micro_price : 286.38065
  101. spread_pct : 0.031434
  102. mid_price : 286.355
  103. bid_wall_price :
  104. bid_wall_size :
  105. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  106. ask_wall_price : 287
  107. ask_wall_size : 901.442
  108. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  109. snapshots_count : 5
  110. obi_top5_mean : -0.0105
  111. obi_top5_std : 0.0296
  112. pressure_side : neutral
  113. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  114. collection_ms : 7201
  115. aggregation_tick : 1
  116. error :
  117. ¸
  118. strategy_details
  119. strategy : bos_pullback
  120. ms_state_1h : pullback_down
  121. strategy_details
  122. pivots_1h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-01 01:00:00
        [price] => 208.27
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  123. pivots_1h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-01 04:00:00
        [price] => 203.77
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  124. pivots_1h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-01 05:00:00
        [price] => 206.55
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  125. pivots_1h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-01 11:00:00
        [price] => 196.95
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  126. pivots_1h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-01 15:00:00
        [price] => 220.5
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  127. pivots_1h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-01 16:00:00
        [price] => 213.55
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  128. pivots_1h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-02 01:00:00
        [price] => 216.07
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  129. pivots_1h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-02 03:00:00
        [price] => 265.06
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  130. pivots_1h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-02 04:00:00
        [price] => 244.72
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  131. pivots_1h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-02 10:00:00
        [price] => 284.76
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  132. pivots_1h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-02 13:00:00
        [price] => 253.71
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  133. pivots_1h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-02 22:00:00
        [price] => 330.73
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  134. pivots_1h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-03 00:00:00
        [price] => 310.27
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  135. pivots_1h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-03 04:00:00
        [price] => 342.24
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  136. pivots_1h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-03 09:00:00
        [price] => 316.62
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  137. pivots_1h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-03 11:00:00
        [price] => 334.36
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  138. pivots_1h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-03 13:00:00
        [price] => 295.01
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  139. pivots_1h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-03 14:00:00
        [price] => 317.94
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  140. pivots_1h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-03 22:00:00
        [price] => 275.52
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  141. pivots_1h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-04 00:00:00
        [price] => 300.89
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  142. strategy_details
  143. pivots_15m_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-03 04:00:00
        [price] => 342.24
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  144. pivots_15m_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-03 05:00:00
        [price] => 326.57
        [kind] => low
        [label] => 
    )
    
  145. pivots_15m_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-03 08:00:00
        [price] => 338.39
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  146. pivots_15m_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-03 09:45:00
        [price] => 316.62
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  147. pivots_15m_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-03 11:00:00
        [price] => 334.36
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  148. pivots_15m_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-03 13:45:00
        [price] => 295.01
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  149. pivots_15m_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-03 14:30:00
        [price] => 317.94
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  150. pivots_15m_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-03 18:30:00
        [price] => 298.08
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  151. pivots_15m_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-03 19:00:00
        [price] => 309.13
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  152. pivots_15m_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-03 21:30:00
        [price] => 283.46
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  153. pivots_15m_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-03 21:45:00
        [price] => 294.72
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  154. pivots_15m_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-03 22:45:00
        [price] => 275.52
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  155. pivots_15m_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-04 00:30:00
        [price] => 300.89
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  156. bos_level_long : 0
  157. bos_level_short : 295.01
  158. strategy_details
  159. levels_hl_price:
    275.52
  160. levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-06-03 22:00:00
  161. levels_hh_price:
    300.89
  162. levels_lh_price:
    300.89
  163. levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-06-04 00:00:00
  164. levels_ll_price:
    275.52
  165. strategy_details
  166. demand_zone_top:
    277.79
  167. demand_zone_bottom:
    253.71
  168. demand_zone_mid:
    265.75
  169. demand_zone_freshness: tested
  170. demand_zone_strength:
    0.8292
  171. supply_zone :
  172. ¸
  173. regimes
  174. 1H : bull_high
  175. 15m : bear_high
  176. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ pullback_down
Confidence 93%

Trend

Trend Strength
-0.245
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
-1.503
Low Δ ATR
-1.718

Current Swing

Amp ATR
2.126
Speed
1.063
Efficiency
0.588

Structure

Retracement
0.598
Extension
1.106
Compression
1.002
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
-2.771
Dist High ATR
-1.268
Dist Low ATR
0.968
36 pivots · 35 swings · Last pivot: ↑ 300.8900 @ bar 147

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_bearish_transition_balanced
Confidence 58%

Context

phase transition
structure bearish_transition
breakout fresh_breakout
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion low
momentum balanced
volatility normal
risk mid_range
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.371
Strength Score 0.618
Quality Score 0.389
Cleanliness Score 0.225
Structural Quality 0.523
Pullback Score 0.598
Exhaustion Score 0.267
Continuation Score 0.668
Structure Score 0.372
Volatility Expansion 0.575
Momentum Type Score 0.650
Risk Score 0.618
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.139
Ema50 Slope
-0.005
Ema Alignment Score
0.333
Price Vs Ema20
-1.130
Price Vs Ema50
-0.160
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.600
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.400
Last Bos Direction
-1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
4.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.549
Trend Efficiency
0.588
Impulse Strength
3.570
Directional Candle Ratio
0.600
Pullback Depth Ratio
0.598
Pullback Depth Atr
2.135
Extension From Mean
-0.160
Impulse Decay Score
0.447
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.298
Volatility Percentile
0.500
Volatility Delta
0.112
Body Ratio
0.522
Closes Position Ratio
0.443
Slope Consistency
0.773
Range Position
0.618
Distance To Recent High
-4.915
Distance To Recent Low
7.963
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
0.000
Post Break Hl Count
1.000

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7201ms Confidence avant OB : 79%79%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.042
avg -0.011 ± 0.030
OBI Top 10 0.012

Microstructure

Mid Price
286.3550
Micro Price
286.3807
Spread
0.0314%

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
287.0000
Size
901.44

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
03 Jun 2026
22:22:27
04 Jun 2026
11:00:00
12 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
284.55 301.9435 241.0664 2.5 306.55
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 284.55
  • Stop Loss: 301.9435
  • Take Profit: 241.0664

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 301.9435 - 284.55 = 17.3935

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 284.55 - 241.0664 = 43.4836

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 43.4836 / 17.3935 = 2.5

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
130.8769 100 0.4599 1.31
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 17.3935

Taille de position = 8 / 17.3935 = 0.46

Taille de position USD = 0.46 x 284.55 = 130.89

Donc, tu peux acheter 0.46 avec un stoploss a 301.9435

Avec un position size USD de 130.89$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 0.46 x 17.3935 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 0.46 x 43.4836 = 20

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 0.46
  • Taille de position USD 130.89
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
15.28 % 20 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.11 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -6.11
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-6.4839 % 106.07 % 26

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => -1.95
            [max_drawdown] => 7.19
            [rr_ratio] => -0.27
            [high] => 291.74000000
            [low] => 286.50000000
            [mfe_pct] => -0.69
            [mae_pct] => 2.53
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => -0.27
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-06-03T22:22:27-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-06-04T00:22:27-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 7.13
            [max_drawdown] => 12.58
            [rr_ratio] => 0.57
            [high] => 297.13000000
            [low] => 277.42000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.51
            [mae_pct] => 4.42
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.57
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-06-03T22:22:27-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-06-04T05:22:27-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 300.89000000
            [high_after] => 297.13000000
            [low_before] => 275.52000000
            [low_after] => 286.50000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank
#51 / n/a OUT
seuil : top 15 · score du 03/06/2026 22:00
Signal Confidence
79 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
3 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime