Short Trade on XLM

Previous Trade Next Trade

04 Jun 2026 at 03:20:04

Short Trade on XLM (WedgePullback)

With 670.52 XLM at 0.209$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1734 (17.11 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2211 (5.69 %)

Short WedgePullback on XLM (04 Jun 2026 at 03:20:04 to 14:45:00 - 1 week )

With 670.5205 XLM at 0.2092$ per unit.

Position size of 140.2729 $
Take profit at 0.1734 (17.11 %) and Stop Loss at 0.2211 (5.69 %)

That's a 3.01 RR Trade
Duration: 1 week

Results

Status:

loss

Trade Type:

sell

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 4.85

Prediction Score:

Prediction 1	Probability
	n/a

Prediction 2	Probability
	n/a

Prediction 3	Probability
	n/a

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2	ml_regime : range_high rules_regime : bear_high_confirmed rules_regime_4h : bear_high_confirmed tf_aligned : 1 04/06 03:01

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 2

ml_regime : range_high

rules_regime : bear_high_confirmed

rules_regime_4h : bear_high_confirmed

tf_aligned : 1

04/06 03:01

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime
	4H_regime : bull_high 1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

4H_regime : bull_high

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	Évalué à
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bull_high	64%	04/06 04:00
1h	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	expansion_after_compression	bear_high	75%	04/06 06:00
15m	↓ down	range	range	moderate	balanced	compression	bear_high	73%	04/06 07:00
5m	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	range_medium	49%	04/06 07:00

Signal

WedgePullback - SELL

Indicators:

long_trend: -1
confidence: 0.716
reason: ascending_wedge_lh_anticipation
stop_price: 0.22113103
tp_price: 0.1734069
atr:
score: 0.716
confidence_pre_ob: 0.716

Details

1H:
15m:
5m:
btc_indicators
market_structures
market_structure_v2
timeframe : 1h
state : pullback_down
confidence : 1
trend_strength : -0.0397
trend_persistence : 0.5
high_delta_atr : -2.3275
low_delta_atr : -3.4058
current_swing_amp_atr : 3.4558
current_swing_speed : 3.45576
current_swing_efficiency : 0.9197
retracement_ratio : 0.6226
extension_ratio : 1.3906
compression_score : 2.101
swing_entropy : 1
breakout_strength : -4.2741
distance_to_last_high_atr : -1.9466
distance_to_last_low_atr : 1.8925
pivot_count : 27
swing_count : 26
market_structure_v2
last_pivot_kind: high
last_pivot_price:
```
0.2207
```
last_pivot_index:
```
145
```
trend_analyzer_1h
direction : down
phase : early_expansion
structure : bearish_transition
breakout_state : fresh_breakout
quality : volatile
strength : strong
exhaustion : low
momentum_type : explosive
volatility_regime : expansion_after_compression
htf_context : unknown
risk_state : discount
confidence : 0.669
state : down_early_expansion_explosive
trend_analyzer_1h
scores_direction_score:
```
0.2977
```
scores_strength_score:
```
0.8764
```
scores_quality_score:
```
0.3839
```
scores_cleanliness_score:
```
0.2563
```
scores_structural_quality:
```
0.4883
```
scores_pullback_score:
```
0.6226
```
scores_exhaustion_score:
```
0.38
```
scores_continuation_score:
```
0.3801
```
scores_structure_score:
```
0.3481
```
scores_volatility_expansion:
```
0.5609
```
scores_momentum_type_score:
```
0.772
```
scores_risk_score:
```
0.1468
```
trend_analyzer_1h
features_ema20_slope:
```
-0.0757
```
features_ema50_slope:
```
-0.0833
```
features_ema_alignment_score:
```
0
```
features_price_vs_ema20:
```
-0.8706
```
features_price_vs_ema50:
```
-2.1867
```
features_recent_hh_hl_score:
```
0.45
```
features_recent_lh_ll_score:
```
0.55
```
features_last_bos_direction:
```
-1
```
features_bars_since_last_bos:
```
5
```
features_candle_overlap_ratio:
```
1
```
features_wick_ratio:
```
0.4874
```
features_trend_efficiency:
```
0.9197
```
features_impulse_strength:
```
5.6453
```
features_directional_candle_ratio:
```
0.75
```
features_pullback_depth_ratio:
```
0.6226
```
features_pullback_depth_atr:
```
3.5147
```
features_extension_from_mean:
```
-2.1867
```
features_impulse_decay_score:
```
0.3047
```
features_opposing_wick_pressure:
```
0.2671
```
features_volatility_percentile:
```
0.5
```
features_volatility_delta:
```
0.0913
```
features_body_ratio:
```
0.5358
```
features_closes_position_ratio:
```
0.399
```
features_slope_consistency:
```
0.8476
```
features_range_position:
```
0.1468
```
features_distance_to_recent_high:
```
-11.2508
```
features_distance_to_recent_low:
```
1.9351
```
features_had_recent_range:
```
1
```
features_had_recent_compression:
```
1
```
features_post_break_hl_count:
```
1
```
features_htf_trend_strength:
features_htf_compression_score:
features_htf_entropy_score:
features_htf_hh_hl_score:
features_htf_state_str:
orderbook_context
obi_top5 : -0.0177
obi_top10 : -0.0177
micro_price : 0.20928061
spread_pct : 0.004778
mid_price : 0.209285
bid_wall_price :
bid_wall_size :
bid_wall_dist_atr :
ask_wall_price : 0.21
ask_wall_size : 4303009.2
ask_wall_dist_atr :
snapshots_count : 5
obi_top5_mean : -0.0077
obi_top5_std : 0.0095
pressure_side : neutral
collection_mode : ws_rolling
collection_ms : 7204
aggregation_tick : 0.001
error :
strategy_details
strategy : wedge_pullback
ms_state_4h : range
ms_state_1h : pullback_down
strategy_details
wedge_4h_type: ascending_wedge
wedge_4h_strength:
```
0.08
```
wedge_4h_bias: bearish_breakout
wedge_4h_breakout_type: ascending_wedge
wedge_4h_breakout_strength:
```
0.08
```

wedge_4h_upper_line:

wedge_4h_lower_line:

wedge_4h_breakout_bar:

Array
(
    [time] => 1780344000
    [price] => 0.24294
)

strategy_details

pivots_4h_0:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-10 16:00:00
    [price] => 0.17391
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_4h_1:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-11 00:00:00
    [price] => 0.16447
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_4h_2:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-11 16:00:00
    [price] => 0.17112
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_4h_3:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-13 12:00:00
    [price] => 0.15763
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_4h_4:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-14 16:00:00
    [price] => 0.16865
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_4h_5:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-20 12:00:00
    [price] => 0.14186
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_4h_6:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-22 12:00:00
    [price] => 0.15053
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_4h_7:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-23 08:00:00
    [price] => 0.13992
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_4h_8:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-25 08:00:00
    [price] => 0.15372
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_4h_9:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-27 04:00:00
    [price] => 0.14608
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_4h_10:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-27 16:00:00
    [price] => 0.17036
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_4h_11:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-27 20:00:00
    [price] => 0.1596
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_4h_12:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-28 08:00:00
    [price] => 0.16513
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_4h_13:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-28 16:00:00
    [price] => 0.21731
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_4h_14:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-29 00:00:00
    [price] => 0.19585
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_4h_15:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-29 08:00:00
    [price] => 0.22388
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_4h_16:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-29 12:00:00
    [price] => 0.20045
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_4h_17:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-30 00:00:00
    [price] => 0.298
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_4h_18:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-31 00:00:00
    [price] => 0.22108
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_4h_19:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-01 00:00:00
    [price] => 0.2742
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

strategy_details

pivots_1h_0:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-31 00:00:00
    [price] => 0.22108
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_1:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-31 03:00:00
    [price] => 0.24359
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_2:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-31 07:00:00
    [price] => 0.22888
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_3:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-31 13:00:00
    [price] => 0.26721
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_1h_4:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-31 19:00:00
    [price] => 0.24221
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_5:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-01 02:00:00
    [price] => 0.2742
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_1h_6:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-01 04:00:00
    [price] => 0.25773
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_7:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-01 06:00:00
    [price] => 0.27277
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_8:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-01 08:00:00
    [price] => 0.25073
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_9:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-01 11:00:00
    [price] => 0.26978
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_10:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-01 15:00:00
    [price] => 0.24377
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_11:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-01 17:00:00
    [price] => 0.2597
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_12:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-02 15:00:00
    [price] => 0.21457
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_13:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-02 17:00:00
    [price] => 0.22533
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_14:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-02 19:00:00
    [price] => 0.2149
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_15:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-03 00:00:00
    [price] => 0.22897
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_1h_16:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-03 03:00:00
    [price] => 0.21814
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_17:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-03 07:00:00
    [price] => 0.23445
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_1h_18:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-04 02:00:00
    [price] => 0.19802
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_19:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-04 03:00:00
    [price] => 0.2207
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

strategy_details
levels_hl_price:
```
0.19802
```
levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-06-04 02:00:00
levels_hh_price:
```
0.2207
```
levels_lh_price:
```
0.2207
```
levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-06-04 03:00:00
levels_ll_price:
```
0.19802
```
regimes
4H : bull_high
1H : bear_high
15m : bear_high
trend_analyzer_4h
direction : neutral
phase : range
structure : range
breakout_state : none
quality : volatile
strength : moderate
exhaustion : medium
momentum_type : grind
volatility_regime : compression
htf_context : unknown
risk_state : mid_range
confidence : 0.423
state : neutral_range_grind
trend_analyzer_4h
scores_direction_score:
```
0.5408
```
scores_strength_score:
```
0.5938
```
scores_quality_score:
```
0.3016
```
scores_cleanliness_score:
```
0.2088
```
scores_structural_quality:
```
0.3775
```
scores_pullback_score:
```
0.6906
```
scores_exhaustion_score:
```
0.4343
```
scores_continuation_score:
```
0.461
```
scores_structure_score:
```
0.7084
```
scores_volatility_expansion:
```
0.192
```
scores_momentum_type_score:
```
0.4847
```
scores_risk_score:
```
0.4383
```
trend_analyzer_4h
features_ema20_slope:
```
-0.1174
```
features_ema50_slope:
```
-0.0097
```
features_ema_alignment_score:
```
0.3333
```
features_price_vs_ema20:
```
-1.1906
```
features_price_vs_ema50:
```
-0.5277
```
features_recent_hh_hl_score:
```
0.65
```
features_recent_lh_ll_score:
```
0.35
```
features_last_bos_direction:
```
1
```
features_bars_since_last_bos:
```
31
```
features_candle_overlap_ratio:
```
1
```
features_wick_ratio:
```
0.5824
```
features_trend_efficiency:
```
0.3696
```
features_impulse_strength:
```
6.0389
```
features_directional_candle_ratio:
```
0.65
```
features_pullback_depth_ratio:
```
0.6906
```
features_pullback_depth_atr:
```
2.9805
```
features_extension_from_mean:
```
-0.5277
```
features_impulse_decay_score:
```
0.7278
```
features_opposing_wick_pressure:
```
0.3882
```
features_volatility_percentile:
```
0.32
```
features_volatility_delta:
```
-0.3828
```
features_body_ratio:
```
0.3492
```
features_closes_position_ratio:
```
0.2904
```
features_slope_consistency:
```
0.9151
```
features_range_position:
```
0.4383
```
features_distance_to_recent_high:
```
-6.9432
```
features_distance_to_recent_low:
```
5.4169
```
features_had_recent_range:
```
1
```
features_had_recent_compression:
```
0
```
features_post_break_hl_count:
```
1
```
features_htf_trend_strength:
features_htf_compression_score:
features_htf_entropy_score:
features_htf_hh_hl_score:
features_htf_state_str:

Signaux confirmants (5)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	03:20	0.20920000	0%
2	03:31	0.20836000	-0.402%
3	03:56	0.20987000	+0.32%
4	04:13	0.20840000	-0.382%
5	04:27	0.20861000	-0.282%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ pullback_down

Confidence 100%

Trend

Trend Strength

-0.040

Persistence

0.500

High Δ ATR

-2.328

Low Δ ATR

-3.406

Current Swing

Amp ATR

3.456

Speed

3.456

Efficiency

0.920

Structure

Retracement

0.623

Extension

1.391

Compression

2.101

Entropy

1.000

Breakout Str.

-4.274

Dist High ATR

-1.947

Dist Low ATR

1.893

27 pivots · 26 swings · Last pivot: ↑ 0.2207 @ bar 145

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_early_expansion_explosive

Confidence 67%

Context

phase early_expansion

structure bearish_transition

breakout fresh_breakout

quality volatile

strength strong

exhaustion low

momentum explosive

volatility expansion_after_compression

risk discount

htf unknown

Scores

Direction Score 0.298

Strength Score 0.876

Quality Score 0.384

Cleanliness Score 0.256

Structural Quality 0.488

Pullback Score 0.623

Exhaustion Score 0.380

Continuation Score 0.380

Structure Score 0.348

Volatility Expansion 0.561

Momentum Type Score 0.772

Risk Score 0.147

Features

Ema20 Slope

-0.076

Ema50 Slope

-0.083

Ema Alignment Score

0.000

Price Vs Ema20

-0.871

Price Vs Ema50

-2.187

Recent Hh Hl Score

0.450

Recent Lh Ll Score

0.550

Last Bos Direction

-1.000

Bars Since Last Bos

5.000

Candle Overlap Ratio

1.000

Wick Ratio

0.487

Trend Efficiency

0.920

Impulse Strength

5.645

Directional Candle Ratio

0.750

Pullback Depth Ratio

0.623

Pullback Depth Atr

3.515

Extension From Mean

-2.187

Impulse Decay Score

0.305

Opposing Wick Pressure

0.267

Volatility Percentile

0.500

Volatility Delta

0.091

Body Ratio

0.536

Closes Position Ratio

0.399

Slope Consistency

0.848

Range Position

0.147

Distance To Recent High

-11.251

Distance To Recent Low

1.935

Had Recent Range

1.000

Had Recent Compression

1.000

Post Break Hl Count

1.000

Trend Analyzer 4H

1H ↔ neutral neutral_range_grind

Confidence 42%

Context

phase range

structure range

breakout none

quality volatile

strength moderate

exhaustion medium

momentum grind

volatility compression

risk mid_range

htf unknown

Scores

Direction Score 0.541

Strength Score 0.594

Quality Score 0.302

Cleanliness Score 0.209

Structural Quality 0.378

Pullback Score 0.691

Exhaustion Score 0.434

Continuation Score 0.461

Structure Score 0.708

Volatility Expansion 0.192

Momentum Type Score 0.485

Risk Score 0.438

Features

Ema20 Slope

-0.117

Ema50 Slope

-0.010

Ema Alignment Score

0.333

Price Vs Ema20

-1.191

Price Vs Ema50

-0.528

Recent Hh Hl Score

0.650

Recent Lh Ll Score

0.350

Last Bos Direction

1.000

Bars Since Last Bos

31.000

Candle Overlap Ratio

1.000

Wick Ratio

0.582

Trend Efficiency

0.370

Impulse Strength

6.039

Directional Candle Ratio

0.650

Pullback Depth Ratio

0.691

Pullback Depth Atr

2.981

Extension From Mean

-0.528

Impulse Decay Score

0.728

Opposing Wick Pressure

0.388

Volatility Percentile

0.320

Volatility Delta

-0.383

Body Ratio

0.349

Closes Position Ratio

0.290

Slope Consistency

0.915

Range Position

0.438

Distance To Recent High

-6.943

Distance To Recent Low

5.417

Had Recent Range

1.000

Had Recent Compression

0.000

Post Break Hl Count

1.000

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7204ms Confidence avant OB : 72% → 72%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.018

avg -0.008 ± 0.010

OBI Top 10 -0.018

Microstructure

Mid Price

0.2093

Micro Price

0.2093

Spread

0.0048%

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price

0.2100

Size

4,303,009.20

📌 Time Data

Start at	Closed at	Duration
04 Jun 2026 03:20:04	16 Jun 2026 14:45:00	1 week

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.2092	0.2211	0.1734	3.01	0.1793

Details

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Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.2092
Stop Loss: 0.2211
Take Profit: 0.1734

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.2211 - 0.2092 = 0.0119
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.2092 - 0.1734 = 0.0358
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0358 / 0.0119 = 3.0084

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
140.2729	100	670.5205	1.40

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0119

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0119 = 672.27

Taille de position USD = 672.27 x 0.2092 = 140.64

Donc, tu peux acheter 672.27 avec un stoploss a 0.2211

Avec un position size USD de 140.64$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 672.27 x 0.0119 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 672.27 x 0.0358 = 24.07

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 24.07$

Résumé

Taille de position 672.27
Taille de position USD 140.64
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 24.07
Risk-Reward Ratio 3.0084

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
17.11 %	24 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
5.69 %	7.98 $

PNL	PNL %
-7.98 $	-5.69

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-5.9656 %	104.87 %	76

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
)

Extra Pullback data


                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00398
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00157
            [rr_ratio] => 2.54
            [high] => 0.21077000
            [low] => 0.20522000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.9
            [mae_pct] => 0.75
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.54
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-06-04T03:20:04-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-06-04T05:20:04-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0053
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00389
            [rr_ratio] => 1.36
            [high] => 0.21309000
            [low] => 0.20390000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.53
            [mae_pct] => 1.86
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.36
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-06-04T03:20:04-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-06-04T10:20:04-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.21815000
            [high_after] => 0.21309000
            [low_before] => 0.20678000
            [low_after] => 0.20390000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank

#112 / n/a OK

seuil : top 15 · score du 04/06/2026 03:00

Signal Confidence

72 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

2 OK

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime