Long Trade on MRVL (CatchTheWave)
With 1.86 MRVL at 310.82$ per unit. Take profit: 319.4445 (2.77 %) & Stop Loss: 306.5077 (1.39 %)
Long Trade on MRVL (CatchTheWave)
With 1.86 MRVL at 310.82$ per unit. Take profit: 319.4445 (2.77 %) & Stop Loss: 306.5077 (1.39 %)
Position size of 576.6265 $
Take profit at 319.4445 (2.77 %)
and Stop Loss at 306.5077 (1.39 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.58 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.42 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.53 |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high rules_regime : bear_high_confirmed rules_regime_4h : bear_high_confirmed tf_aligned : 1 04/06 16:01 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : -0.077468 15m : 0.161003 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : range_high |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↔ — | — | — | — | — | — | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
04/06 16:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
76%
|
04/06 19:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | compression | bull_high |
82%
|
04/06 19:30 |
| 5m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
74%
|
04/06 19:55 |
Indicators:
63500.5
-4.28551E-5
63497.8
-0.077468
63930.9
-0.00677586
63497.8
0.161003
67438
-0.0584282
63497.8
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-01 13:00:00
[1] => 196.19
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-01 17:00:00
[1] => 225.7
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-02 01:00:00
[1] => 216.07
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-02 13:00:00
[1] => 253.71
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-03 04:00:00
[1] => 342.24
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-03 13:00:00
[1] => 295.01
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-03 22:00:00
[1] => 275.52
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-04 06:00:00
[1] => 297.13
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-04 09:00:00
[1] => 277.42
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-04 19:00:00
[1] => 322.09
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.499022012481
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 12.039506884868
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 16.101939297816
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-03 22:45:00
[1] => 275.52
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-04 00:30:00
[1] => 300.89
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-04 02:15:00
[1] => 283.77
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-04 03:00:00
[1] => 291.74
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-04 06:45:00
[1] => 297.13
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-04 09:15:00
[1] => 277.42
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-04 10:45:00
[1] => 278.45
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-04 14:00:00
[1] => 278
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-04 19:30:00
[1] => 322.09
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-04 20:00:00
[1] => 309.24
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.499022012481
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.51093002198939
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.1553485965593
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-04 14:05:00
[1] => 278
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-04 15:15:00
[1] => 311.24
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-04 15:45:00
[1] => 301.32
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-04 16:25:00
[1] => 315.87
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-04 17:05:00
[1] => 308.56
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-04 18:05:00
[1] => 320.29
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-04 18:40:00
[1] => 313.37
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-04 19:15:00
[1] => 312.11
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-04 19:35:00
[1] => 322.09
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-04 20:10:00
[1] => 309.24
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.499022012481
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.51093002198939
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.1553485965593
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
277.42
188
0.5828
0.4715
0.2946
0.184
0.385
0.9251
0.5318
0.4486
0.372
0.1789
0.3942
0.7849
0.1645
0.0917
1
0.93
1.7359
0.6
0.4
-1
22
1
0.6319
0.3026
3.5702
0.55
0.9251
1.9671
1.7359
0.7233
0.3624
0.22
-0.2296
0.3552
0.561
0
0.7849
-3.2423
11.8288
1
0
1
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-04 14:05:00 | 278 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-04 15:15:00 | 311.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-04 15:45:00 | 301.32 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-04 16:25:00 | 315.87 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-04 17:05:00 | 308.56 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-04 18:05:00 | 320.29 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-04 18:40:00 | 313.37 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-04 19:15:00 | 312.11 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-04 19:35:00 | 322.09 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-04 20:10:00 | 309.24 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-03 22:45:00 | 275.52 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-04 00:30:00 | 300.89 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-04 02:15:00 | 283.77 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-04 03:00:00 | 291.74 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-04 06:45:00 | 297.13 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-04 09:15:00 | 277.42 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-04 10:45:00 | 278.45 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-04 14:00:00 | 278 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-04 19:30:00 | 322.09 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-04 20:00:00 | 309.24 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-01 13:00:00 | 196.19 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-01 17:00:00 | 225.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-02 01:00:00 | 216.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-02 13:00:00 | 253.71 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-03 04:00:00 | 342.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-03 13:00:00 | 295.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-03 22:00:00 | 275.52 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-04 06:00:00 | 297.13 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-04 09:00:00 | 277.42 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-04 19:00:00 | 322.09 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun 2026 16:13:38 |
04 Jun 2026 18:10:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 310.82 | 306.5077 | 319.4445 | 2 | 306.55 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 306.5077 - 310.82 = -4.3123
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 310.82 - 319.4445 = -8.6245
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -8.6245 / -4.3123 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 576.6265 | 100 | 1.8552 | 5.77 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -4.3123 = -1.86
Taille de position USD = -1.86 x 310.82 = -578.13
Donc, tu peux acheter -1.86 avec un stoploss a 306.5077
Avec un position size USD de -578.13$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1.86 x -4.3123 = 8.02
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.02$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1.86 x -8.6245 = 16.04
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.04$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.77 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.39 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.39 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.1138 % | 152.36 % | 3 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 319.4445
[entry_price] => 310.82
[stop_loss] => 306.07647
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-06-04 22:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 319.4445
[entry_price] => 310.82
[stop_loss] => 305.64524
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-06-04 22:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 319.4445
[entry_price] => 310.82
[stop_loss] => 305.21401
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-06-04 22:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 319.4445
[entry_price] => 310.82
[stop_loss] => 304.35155
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-06-04 22:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 4.6
[max_drawdown] => 6.57
[rr_ratio] => 0.7
[high] => 315.42000000
[low] => 304.25000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.48
[mae_pct] => 2.11
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.7
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-06-04T16:13:38-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-06-04T18:13:38-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 4.6
[max_drawdown] => 15.94
[rr_ratio] => 0.29
[high] => 315.42000000
[low] => 294.88000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.48
[mae_pct] => 5.13
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.29
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-06-04T16:13:38-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-06-04T23:13:38-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 322.09000000
[high_after] => 315.42000000
[low_before] => 307.63000000
[low_after] => 294.88000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?