Long Trade on AAOI (CatchTheWave)
With 6.03 AAOI at 196.13$ per unit. Take profit: 198.7854 (1.35 %) & Stop Loss: 194.8023 (0.68 %)
Long Trade on AAOI (CatchTheWave)
With 6.03 AAOI at 196.13$ per unit. Take profit: 198.7854 (1.35 %) & Stop Loss: 194.8023 (0.68 %)
Position size of 1181.7693 $
Take profit at 198.7854 (1.35 %)
and Stop Loss at 194.8023 (0.68 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Strong Trade
|
0.51 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 2 | 0.48 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.62 |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high rules_regime : bear_high_confirmed rules_regime_4h : bear_high_confirmed tf_aligned : 1 04/06 19:01 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.085896 15m : 0.189967 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bear_medium |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↔ — | — | — | — | — | — | bull_high |
65%
|
03/06 16:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | range_high |
31%
|
03/06 19:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
71%
|
03/06 19:45 |
| 5m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_medium |
80%
|
04/06 00:25 |
Indicators:
63643.6
-0.0027872
63466.3
0.085896
63751.1
-0.0063832
63344.2
0.189967
67213.8
-0.0559007
63456.5
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-01 02:00:00
[1] => 158.58
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-01 13:00:00
[1] => 149.87
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-01 17:00:00
[1] => 192.69
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-02 16:00:00
[1] => 206.11
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-03 08:00:00
[1] => 213.12
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-03 23:00:00
[1] => 173.57
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-04 03:00:00
[1] => 182.21
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-04 14:00:00
[1] => 171.55
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-04 19:00:00
[1] => 210
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-04 23:00:00
[1] => 196.03
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -6.6047619047619
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.051012600112225
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.1264602356782
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-04 05:45:00
[1] => 178.59
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-04 08:00:00
[1] => 180.54
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-04 09:15:00
[1] => 173.95
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-04 11:00:00
[1] => 171.67
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-04 13:30:00
[1] => 181.34
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-04 14:00:00
[1] => 171.55
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-04 17:30:00
[1] => 207.39
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-04 19:45:00
[1] => 210
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-04 20:00:00
[1] => 197.48
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-04 22:15:00
[1] => 196.13
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -6.4190476190476
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.1988477030541
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 14
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.68831897211033
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-04 19:05:00
[1] => 207.54
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-04 19:15:00
[1] => 202.19
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-04 19:45:00
[1] => 210
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-04 20:05:00
[1] => 197.48
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-04 20:45:00
[1] => 200.65
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-04 21:20:00
[1] => 198.12
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-04 21:50:00
[1] => 199.39
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-04 22:15:00
[1] => 196.13
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-04 22:55:00
[1] => 198.51
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-06-04 23:20:00
[1] => 196.03
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.1989320437258
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.051012600112225
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2651124827832
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
210
195
0.7152
0.7368
0.2968
0.2002
0.3758
1
0.1995
0.6013
0.6448
0.6205
0.6228
0.7314
0.2024
0.0861
1
1.0597
1.4113
0.55
0.45
1
4
1
0.5995
0.7262
6.3509
0.6
3.9275
8.3948
1.4113
0
0.3039
0.58
0.1088
0.4539
0.4673
0.4178
0.7314
-3.1954
8.7004
1
0
0
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:22 | 196.13000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 19:50 | 195.99000000 | -0.071% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-04 19:05:00 | 207.54 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-04 19:15:00 | 202.19 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-04 19:45:00 | 210 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-04 20:05:00 | 197.48 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-04 20:45:00 | 200.65 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-04 21:20:00 | 198.12 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-04 21:50:00 | 199.39 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-04 22:15:00 | 196.13 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-04 22:55:00 | 198.51 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-04 23:20:00 | 196.03 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-04 05:45:00 | 178.59 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-04 08:00:00 | 180.54 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-04 09:15:00 | 173.95 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-04 11:00:00 | 171.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-04 13:30:00 | 181.34 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-04 14:00:00 | 171.55 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-04 17:30:00 | 207.39 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-04 19:45:00 | 210 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-04 20:00:00 | 197.48 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-04 22:15:00 | 196.13 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-01 02:00:00 | 158.58 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-01 13:00:00 | 149.87 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-01 17:00:00 | 192.69 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-02 16:00:00 | 206.11 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-03 08:00:00 | 213.12 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-03 23:00:00 | 173.57 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-04 03:00:00 | 182.21 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-04 14:00:00 | 171.55 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-04 19:00:00 | 210 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-04 23:00:00 | 196.03 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun 2026 19:22:38 |
04 Jun 2026 20:15:00 |
52 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 196.13 | 194.8023 | 198.7854 | 2 | 165.38 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 194.8023 - 196.13 = -1.3277
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 196.13 - 198.7854 = -2.6554
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.6554 / -1.3277 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1181.7693 | 100 | 6.0254 | 11.82 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.3277 = -6.03
Taille de position USD = -6.03 x 196.13 = -1182.66
Donc, tu peux acheter -6.03 avec un stoploss a 194.8023
Avec un position size USD de -1182.66$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -6.03 x -1.3277 = 8.01
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -6.03 x -2.6554 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.35 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.68 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.68 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8617 % | 127.3 % | 4 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 198.7854
[entry_price] => 196.13
[stop_loss] => 194.66953
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-06-05 00:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 198.7854
[entry_price] => 196.13
[stop_loss] => 194.53676
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-06-05 00:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 198.7854
[entry_price] => 196.13
[stop_loss] => 194.40399
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-06-05 00:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 198.7854
[entry_price] => 196.13
[stop_loss] => 194.13845
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-06-05 00:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.78
[max_drawdown] => 6.7
[rr_ratio] => 0.27
[high] => 197.91000000
[low] => 189.43000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.91
[mae_pct] => 3.42
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.27
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-06-04T19:22:38-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-06-04T21:22:38-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 3.58
[max_drawdown] => 6.7
[rr_ratio] => 0.53
[high] => 199.71000000
[low] => 189.43000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.83
[mae_pct] => 3.42
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.53
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-06-04T19:22:38-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-06-05T02:22:38-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 210.00000000
[high_after] => 199.71000000
[low_before] => 196.00000000
[low_after] => 189.43000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?