09 Jun 2026 at 17:22:52

Short Trade on AVAX (BosPullback)

With 55.61 AVAX at 6.652$ per unit. Take profit: 6.2923 (5.41 %) & Stop Loss: 6.7959 (2.16 %)

Short BosPullback on AVAX (09 Jun 2026 at 17:22:52 to 13:25:00 - 6 days )

With 55.6075 AVAX at 6.652$ per unit.

Position size of 369.9011 $
Take profit at 6.2923 (5.41 %) and Stop Loss at 6.7959 (2.16 %)

That's a 2.5 RR Trade
Duration: 6 days

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 9.02
Prediction Score:
Prediction 1 Probability
n/a
Prediction 2 Probability
n/a
Prediction 3 Probability
n/a
BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 1

ml_regime : range_high

rules_regime : bear_high_confirmed

rules_regime_4h : bear_high

tf_aligned : 1

09/06 17:05

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability Évalué à
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
74%
09/06 12:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bear_high
71%
09/06 12:00
15m ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression range_medium
47%
09/06 20:00
5m ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition strong explosive compression range_medium
50%
09/06 17:50

Signal

BosPullback - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.76
  3. reason: bos_pullback_short|score=3|shallow|bars_since_bos=5|retests=1|break_atr=0.82|prog=0.41|zone=tested|ob:bid_pressure(-0.10)
  4. stop_price: 6.79586548
  5. tp_price: 6.2923363
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.86
  8. confidence_pre_ob: 0.86
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. timeframe : 1h
  10. state : pullback_down
  11. confidence : 0.751
  12. trend_strength : -0.0521
  13. trend_persistence : 0.5
  14. high_delta_atr : -1.1205
  15. low_delta_atr : -1.7803
  16. current_swing_amp_atr : 4.0764
  17. current_swing_speed : 0.37058
  18. current_swing_efficiency : 0.3984
  19. retracement_ratio : 1.6875
  20. extension_ratio : 1.1779
  21. compression_score : 0.8226
  22. swing_entropy : 1
  23. breakout_strength : -0.7843
  24. distance_to_last_high_atr : -1.8052
  25. distance_to_last_low_atr : 2.5646
  26. pivot_count : 28
  27. swing_count : 27
  28. market_structure_v2
  29. last_pivot_kind: low
  30. last_pivot_price:
    6.437
  31. last_pivot_index:
    144
  32. ¸
  33. trend_analyzer_1h
  34. direction : down
  35. phase : transition
  36. structure : bearish_transition
  37. breakout_state : fresh_breakout
  38. quality : volatile
  39. strength : moderate
  40. exhaustion : low
  41. momentum_type : grind
  42. volatility_regime : compression
  43. htf_context : unknown
  44. risk_state : discount
  45. confidence : 0.569
  46. state : down_bearish_transition_grind
  47. trend_analyzer_1h
  48. scores_direction_score:
    0.283
  49. scores_strength_score:
    0.5348
  50. scores_quality_score:
    0.3421
  51. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.2327
  52. scores_structural_quality:
    0.4317
  53. scores_pullback_score:
    1
  54. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.3099
  55. scores_continuation_score:
    0.3952
  56. scores_structure_score:
    0.3059
  57. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.1667
  58. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.5645
  59. scores_risk_score:
    0.2836
  60. trend_analyzer_1h
  61. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.0277
  62. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.0345
  63. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  64. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -0.2568
  65. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -0.8072
  66. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.35
  67. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.65
  68. features_last_bos_direction:
    -1
  69. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    5
  70. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  71. features_wick_ratio:
    0.5347
  72. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.3984
  73. features_impulse_strength:
    4.0764
  74. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.55
  75. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    1.6875
  76. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    3.8607
  77. features_extension_from_mean:
    -0.8072
  78. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.411
  79. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.2995
  80. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.12
  81. features_volatility_delta:
    -0.1579
  82. features_body_ratio:
    0.4382
  83. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.5321
  84. features_slope_consistency:
    0.7294
  85. features_range_position:
    0.2836
  86. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -14.0884
  87. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    5.5778
  88. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  89. features_had_recent_compression:
    0
  90. features_post_break_hl_count:
    0
  91. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  92. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  93. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  94. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  95. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  96. ¸
  97. orderbook_context
  98. obi_top5 : 0.1623
  99. obi_top10 : 0.0263
  100. micro_price : 6.64120518
  101. spread_pct : 0.03012
  102. mid_price : 6.641
  103. bid_wall_price : 6.56
  104. bid_wall_size : 98877.3
  105. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  106. ask_wall_price :
  107. ask_wall_size :
  108. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  109. snapshots_count : 5
  110. obi_top5_mean : 0.1656
  111. obi_top5_std : 0.0019
  112. pressure_side : bid
  113. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  114. collection_ms : 7042
  115. aggregation_tick : 0.01
  116. error :
  117. ¸
  118. strategy_details
  119. strategy : bos_pullback
  120. ms_state_1h : pullback_down
  121. strategy_details
  122. pivots_1h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-05 07:00:00
        [price] => 7.315
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  123. pivots_1h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-05 16:00:00
        [price] => 6.783
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  124. pivots_1h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-05 17:00:00
        [price] => 7.103
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  125. pivots_1h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-05 19:00:00
        [price] => 6.576
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  126. pivots_1h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-05 21:00:00
        [price] => 7.005
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  127. pivots_1h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-05 23:00:00
        [price] => 6.628
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  128. pivots_1h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-06 01:00:00
        [price] => 6.927
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  129. pivots_1h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-06 04:00:00
        [price] => 6.217
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  130. pivots_1h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-06 09:00:00
        [price] => 6.832
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  131. pivots_1h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-06 20:00:00
        [price] => 6.563
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  132. pivots_1h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-07 08:00:00
        [price] => 6.879
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  133. pivots_1h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-07 12:00:00
        [price] => 6.585
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  134. pivots_1h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-07 14:00:00
        [price] => 6.771
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  135. pivots_1h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-07 19:00:00
        [price] => 6.502
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  136. pivots_1h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-07 22:00:00
        [price] => 6.957
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  137. pivots_1h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-08 05:00:00
        [price] => 6.531
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  138. pivots_1h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-08 21:00:00
        [price] => 6.878
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  139. pivots_1h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-09 00:00:00
        [price] => 6.58
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  140. pivots_1h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-09 05:00:00
        [price] => 6.788
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  141. pivots_1h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-09 16:00:00
        [price] => 6.437
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  142. strategy_details
  143. pivots_15m_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-08 21:30:00
        [price] => 6.878
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  144. pivots_15m_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-09 00:30:00
        [price] => 6.58
        [kind] => low
        [label] => 
    )
    
  145. pivots_15m_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-09 02:00:00
        [price] => 6.672
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  146. pivots_15m_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-09 02:30:00
        [price] => 6.594
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  147. pivots_15m_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-09 05:30:00
        [price] => 6.788
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  148. pivots_15m_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-09 10:00:00
        [price] => 6.655
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  149. pivots_15m_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-09 13:00:00
        [price] => 6.741
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  150. pivots_15m_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-09 13:30:00
        [price] => 6.665
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  151. pivots_15m_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-09 14:45:00
        [price] => 6.525
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  152. pivots_15m_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-09 15:00:00
        [price] => 6.638
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  153. pivots_15m_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-09 16:30:00
        [price] => 6.437
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  154. bos_level_long : 0
  155. bos_level_short : 6.58
  156. strategy_details
  157. levels_hl_price:
    6.437
  158. levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-06-09 16:00:00
  159. levels_hh_price:
    6.788
  160. levels_lh_price:
    6.788
  161. levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-06-09 05:00:00
  162. levels_ll_price:
    6.437
  163. demand_zone :
  164. strategy_details
  165. supply_zone_top:
    6.878
  166. supply_zone_bottom:
    6.746
  167. supply_zone_mid:
    6.812
  168. supply_zone_freshness: tested
  169. supply_zone_strength:
    0.8752
  170. ¸
  171. regimes
  172. 1H : bear_high
  173. 15m : range_medium
  174. ¸

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 17:22 6.65200000 0%
2 17:27 6.65200000 0%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ pullback_down
Confidence 75%

Trend

Trend Strength
-0.052
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
-1.121
Low Δ ATR
-1.780

Current Swing

Amp ATR
4.076
Speed
0.371
Efficiency
0.398

Structure

Retracement
1.688
Extension
1.178
Compression
0.823
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
-0.784
Dist High ATR
-1.805
Dist Low ATR
2.565
28 pivots · 27 swings · Last pivot: ↓ 6.4370 @ bar 144

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_bearish_transition_grind
Confidence 57%

Context

phase transition
structure bearish_transition
breakout fresh_breakout
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion low
momentum grind
volatility compression
risk discount
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.283
Strength Score 0.535
Quality Score 0.342
Cleanliness Score 0.233
Structural Quality 0.432
Pullback Score 1.000
Exhaustion Score 0.310
Continuation Score 0.395
Structure Score 0.306
Volatility Expansion 0.167
Momentum Type Score 0.565
Risk Score 0.284
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.028
Ema50 Slope
-0.035
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-0.257
Price Vs Ema50
-0.807
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.350
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.650
Last Bos Direction
-1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
5.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.535
Trend Efficiency
0.398
Impulse Strength
4.076
Directional Candle Ratio
0.550
Pullback Depth Ratio
1.688
Pullback Depth Atr
3.861
Extension From Mean
-0.807
Impulse Decay Score
0.411
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.300
Volatility Percentile
0.120
Volatility Delta
-0.158
Body Ratio
0.438
Closes Position Ratio
0.532
Slope Consistency
0.729
Range Position
0.284
Distance To Recent High
-14.088
Distance To Recent Low
5.578
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
0.000
Post Break Hl Count
0.000

Orderbook Context

↑ bid ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7042ms Confidence avant OB : 86%76%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.162
avg 0.166 ± 0.002
OBI Top 10 0.026

Microstructure

Mid Price
6.6410
Micro Price
6.6412
Spread
0.0301%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
6.5600
Size
98,877.30

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
09 Jun 2026
17:22:52
16 Jun 2026
13:25:00
6 days

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
6.652 6.7959 6.2923 2.5 6.637
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 6.652
  • Stop Loss: 6.7959
  • Take Profit: 6.2923

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 6.7959 - 6.652 = 0.1439

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 6.652 - 6.2923 = 0.3597

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3597 / 0.1439 = 2.4997

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
369.9011 100 55.6075 3.70
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.1439

Taille de position = 8 / 0.1439 = 55.59

Taille de position USD = 55.59 x 6.652 = 369.78

Donc, tu peux acheter 55.59 avec un stoploss a 6.7959

Avec un position size USD de 369.78$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 55.59 x 0.1439 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 55.59 x 0.3597 = 20

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 55.59
  • Taille de position USD 369.78
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4997

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
5.41 % 20 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.16 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -2.16
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.1648 % 100.07 % 92

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.049
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 6.65200000
            [low] => 6.60300000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.74
            [mae_pct] => 0
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-06-09T17:22:52-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-06-09T19:22:52-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.102
            [max_drawdown] => 0.02
            [rr_ratio] => 5.1
            [high] => 6.67200000
            [low] => 6.55000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.53
            [mae_pct] => 0.3
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.1
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-06-09T17:22:52-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-06-10T00:22:52-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 6.69500000
            [high_after] => 6.67200000
            [low_before] => 6.58300000
            [low_after] => 6.55000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank
#63 / 68 OK
seuil : top 15 · score du 09/06/2026 16:00
Signal Confidence
76 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime