09 Jun 2026 at 21:10:17

Short Trade on AVAX (BosPullback)

With 55.84 AVAX at 6.652$ per unit. Take profit: 6.2939 (5.38 %) & Stop Loss: 6.7953 (2.15 %)

Short BosPullback on AVAX (09 Jun 2026 at 21:10:17 to 13:25:00 - 6 days )

With 55.8428 AVAX at 6.652$ per unit.

Position size of 371.4663 $
Take profit at 6.2939 (5.38 %) and Stop Loss at 6.7953 (2.15 %)

That's a 2.5 RR Trade
Duration: 6 days

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 10
Prediction Score:
Prediction 1 Probability
n/a
Prediction 2 Probability
n/a
Prediction 3 Probability
n/a
BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 1

ml_regime : range_low

rules_regime : bear_high_confirmed

rules_regime_4h : bear_high

tf_aligned : 1

09/06 21:02

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability Évalué à
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
74%
09/06 12:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bear_high
71%
09/06 12:00
15m ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression range_medium
47%
09/06 20:00
5m ↔ neutral range range moderate grind expansion_after_compression range_low
48%
10/06 00:35

Signal

BosPullback - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.69
  3. reason: bos_pullback_short|score=2|shallow|bars_since_bos=9|retests=1|break_atr=0.90|prog=0.39|zone=tested|ob:bid_pressure(-0.10)
  4. stop_price: 6.79525931
  5. tp_price: 6.29385172
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.79
  8. confidence_pre_ob: 0.79
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. timeframe : 1h
  10. state : pullback_down
  11. confidence : 0.82
  12. trend_strength : -0.0521
  13. trend_persistence : 0.5
  14. high_delta_atr : -1.2265
  15. low_delta_atr : -1.9488
  16. current_swing_amp_atr : 4.0764
  17. current_swing_speed : 0.37058
  18. current_swing_efficiency : 0.3984
  19. retracement_ratio : 1.6875
  20. extension_ratio : 1.1779
  21. compression_score : 0.8226
  22. swing_entropy : 1
  23. breakout_strength : -0.9812
  24. distance_to_last_high_atr : -1.8534
  25. distance_to_last_low_atr : 2.93
  26. pivot_count : 26
  27. swing_count : 25
  28. market_structure_v2
  29. last_pivot_kind: low
  30. last_pivot_price:
    6.437
  31. last_pivot_index:
    140
  32. ¸
  33. trend_analyzer_1h
  34. direction : down
  35. phase : transition
  36. structure : bearish_transition
  37. breakout_state : breakout_retest
  38. quality : volatile
  39. strength : moderate
  40. exhaustion : low
  41. momentum_type : grind
  42. volatility_regime : compression
  43. htf_context : unknown
  44. risk_state : discount
  45. confidence : 0.581
  46. state : down_bearish_transition_grind
  47. trend_analyzer_1h
  48. scores_direction_score:
    0.2824
  49. scores_strength_score:
    0.5348
  50. scores_quality_score:
    0.3343
  51. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.2358
  52. scores_structural_quality:
    0.415
  53. scores_pullback_score:
    1
  54. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.2886
  55. scores_continuation_score:
    0.4014
  56. scores_structure_score:
    0.3059
  57. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.0735
  58. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.5377
  59. scores_risk_score:
    0.3044
  60. trend_analyzer_1h
  61. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.0316
  62. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.0386
  63. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  64. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -0.0353
  65. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -0.6411
  66. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.35
  67. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.65
  68. features_last_bos_direction:
    -1
  69. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    9
  70. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  71. features_wick_ratio:
    0.5285
  72. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.3984
  73. features_impulse_strength:
    4.0764
  74. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.55
  75. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    1.6875
  76. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    3.8606
  77. features_extension_from_mean:
    -0.6411
  78. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.411
  79. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.2726
  80. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.06
  81. features_volatility_delta:
    -0.2437
  82. features_body_ratio:
    0.4295
  83. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.481
  84. features_slope_consistency:
    0.6604
  85. features_range_position:
    0.3044
  86. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -15.1629
  87. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    6.6357
  88. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  89. features_had_recent_compression:
    0
  90. features_post_break_hl_count:
    0
  91. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  92. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  93. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  94. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  95. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  96. ¸
  97. orderbook_context
  98. obi_top5 : 0.2441
  99. obi_top10 : 0.1234
  100. micro_price : 6.63901723
  101. spread_pct : 0.015063
  102. mid_price : 6.6395
  103. bid_wall_price : 6.54
  104. bid_wall_size : 115098.95
  105. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  106. ask_wall_price :
  107. ask_wall_size :
  108. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  109. snapshots_count : 4
  110. obi_top5_mean : 0.2501
  111. obi_top5_std : 0.0043
  112. pressure_side : bid
  113. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  114. collection_ms : 6795
  115. aggregation_tick : 0.01
  116. error :
  117. ¸
  118. strategy_details
  119. strategy : bos_pullback
  120. ms_state_1h : pullback_down
  121. strategy_details
  122. pivots_1h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-05 07:00:00
        [price] => 7.315
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  123. pivots_1h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-05 16:00:00
        [price] => 6.783
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  124. pivots_1h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-05 17:00:00
        [price] => 7.103
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  125. pivots_1h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-05 19:00:00
        [price] => 6.576
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  126. pivots_1h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-05 21:00:00
        [price] => 7.005
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  127. pivots_1h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-05 23:00:00
        [price] => 6.628
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  128. pivots_1h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-06 01:00:00
        [price] => 6.927
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  129. pivots_1h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-06 04:00:00
        [price] => 6.217
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  130. pivots_1h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-06 09:00:00
        [price] => 6.832
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  131. pivots_1h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-06 20:00:00
        [price] => 6.563
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  132. pivots_1h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-07 08:00:00
        [price] => 6.879
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  133. pivots_1h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-07 12:00:00
        [price] => 6.585
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  134. pivots_1h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-07 14:00:00
        [price] => 6.771
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  135. pivots_1h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-07 19:00:00
        [price] => 6.502
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  136. pivots_1h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-07 22:00:00
        [price] => 6.957
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  137. pivots_1h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-08 05:00:00
        [price] => 6.531
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  138. pivots_1h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-08 21:00:00
        [price] => 6.878
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  139. pivots_1h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-09 00:00:00
        [price] => 6.58
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  140. pivots_1h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-09 05:00:00
        [price] => 6.788
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  141. pivots_1h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-09 16:00:00
        [price] => 6.437
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  142. strategy_details
  143. pivots_15m_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-09 00:15:00
        [price] => 6.771
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  144. pivots_15m_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-09 00:30:00
        [price] => 6.58
        [kind] => low
        [label] => 
    )
    
  145. pivots_15m_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-09 02:00:00
        [price] => 6.672
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  146. pivots_15m_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-09 02:30:00
        [price] => 6.594
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  147. pivots_15m_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-09 05:30:00
        [price] => 6.788
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  148. pivots_15m_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-09 10:00:00
        [price] => 6.655
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  149. pivots_15m_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-09 13:00:00
        [price] => 6.741
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  150. pivots_15m_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-09 13:30:00
        [price] => 6.665
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  151. pivots_15m_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-09 14:45:00
        [price] => 6.525
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  152. pivots_15m_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-09 15:00:00
        [price] => 6.638
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  153. pivots_15m_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-09 16:30:00
        [price] => 6.437
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  154. pivots_15m_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-09 20:30:00
        [price] => 6.695
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  155. pivots_15m_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-09 22:00:00
        [price] => 6.603
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  156. pivots_15m_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-10 00:15:00
        [price] => 6.67
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  157. pivots_15m_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-10 00:30:00
        [price] => 6.595
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  158. bos_level_long : 0
  159. bos_level_short : 6.58
  160. strategy_details
  161. levels_hl_price:
    6.437
  162. levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-06-09 16:00:00
  163. levels_hh_price:
    6.788
  164. levels_lh_price:
    6.788
  165. levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-06-09 05:00:00
  166. levels_ll_price:
    6.437
  167. demand_zone :
  168. strategy_details
  169. supply_zone_top:
    6.878
  170. supply_zone_bottom:
    6.746
  171. supply_zone_mid:
    6.812
  172. supply_zone_freshness: tested
  173. supply_zone_strength:
    0.8752
  174. ¸
  175. regimes
  176. 1H : bear_high
  177. 15m : range_medium
  178. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ pullback_down
Confidence 82%

Trend

Trend Strength
-0.052
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
-1.227
Low Δ ATR
-1.949

Current Swing

Amp ATR
4.076
Speed
0.371
Efficiency
0.398

Structure

Retracement
1.688
Extension
1.178
Compression
0.823
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
-0.981
Dist High ATR
-1.853
Dist Low ATR
2.930
26 pivots · 25 swings · Last pivot: ↓ 6.4370 @ bar 140

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_bearish_transition_grind
Confidence 58%

Context

phase transition
structure bearish_transition
breakout breakout_retest
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion low
momentum grind
volatility compression
risk discount
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.282
Strength Score 0.535
Quality Score 0.334
Cleanliness Score 0.236
Structural Quality 0.415
Pullback Score 1.000
Exhaustion Score 0.289
Continuation Score 0.401
Structure Score 0.306
Volatility Expansion 0.074
Momentum Type Score 0.538
Risk Score 0.304
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.032
Ema50 Slope
-0.039
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-0.035
Price Vs Ema50
-0.641
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.350
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.650
Last Bos Direction
-1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
9.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.529
Trend Efficiency
0.398
Impulse Strength
4.076
Directional Candle Ratio
0.550
Pullback Depth Ratio
1.688
Pullback Depth Atr
3.861
Extension From Mean
-0.641
Impulse Decay Score
0.411
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.273
Volatility Percentile
0.060
Volatility Delta
-0.244
Body Ratio
0.430
Closes Position Ratio
0.481
Slope Consistency
0.660
Range Position
0.304
Distance To Recent High
-15.163
Distance To Recent Low
6.636
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
0.000
Post Break Hl Count
0.000

Orderbook Context

↑ bid ws_rolling 4 snapshots 6795ms Confidence avant OB : 79%69%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.244
avg 0.250 ± 0.004
OBI Top 10 0.123

Microstructure

Mid Price
6.6395
Micro Price
6.6390
Spread
0.0151%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
6.5400
Size
115,098.95

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
09 Jun 2026
21:10:17
16 Jun 2026
13:25:00
6 days

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
6.652 6.7953 6.2939 2.5 6.568
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 6.652
  • Stop Loss: 6.7953
  • Take Profit: 6.2939

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 6.7953 - 6.652 = 0.1433

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 6.652 - 6.2939 = 0.3581

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3581 / 0.1433 = 2.499

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
371.4663 100 55.8428 3.71
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.1433

Taille de position = 8 / 0.1433 = 55.83

Taille de position USD = 55.83 x 6.652 = 371.38

Donc, tu peux acheter 55.83 avec un stoploss a 6.7953

Avec un position size USD de 371.38$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 55.83 x 0.1433 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 55.83 x 0.3581 = 19.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 55.83
  • Taille de position USD 371.38
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 19.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.499

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
5.38 % 20 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.15 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -2.15
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.1648 % 100.49 % 81

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.102
            [max_drawdown] => 0.015
            [rr_ratio] => 6.8
            [high] => 6.66700000
            [low] => 6.55000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.53
            [mae_pct] => 0.23
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.8
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-06-09T21:10:17-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-06-09T23:10:17-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.17
            [max_drawdown] => 0.015
            [rr_ratio] => 11.33
            [high] => 6.66700000
            [low] => 6.48200000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.56
            [mae_pct] => 0.23
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 11.33
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-06-09T21:10:17-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-06-10T04:10:17-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 6.68100000
            [high_after] => 6.66700000
            [low_before] => 6.59500000
            [low_after] => 6.48200000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank
#68 / n/a OUT
seuil : top 15 · score du 09/06/2026 20:00
Signal Confidence
69 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime