09 Jun 2026 at 22:34:35

Short Trade on AVAX (BosPullback)

With 63.48 AVAX at 6.576$ per unit. Take profit: 6.261 (4.79 %) & Stop Loss: 6.702 (1.92 %)

Short BosPullback on AVAX (09 Jun 2026 at 22:34:35 to 15:30:00 - 1 day )

With 63.4841 AVAX at 6.576$ per unit.

Position size of 417.4712 $
Take profit at 6.261 (4.79 %) and Stop Loss at 6.702 (1.92 %)

That's a 2.5 RR Trade
Duration: 1 day

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 5.89
Prediction Score:
Prediction 1 Probability
n/a
Prediction 2 Probability
n/a
Prediction 3 Probability
n/a
BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 2

ml_regime : range_low

rules_regime : bear_high_confirmed

rules_regime_4h : bear_high

tf_aligned : 1

09/06 22:19

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability Évalué à
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
74%
09/06 12:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bear_high
71%
09/06 12:00
15m ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression range_medium
47%
09/06 20:00
5m ↔ neutral range range moderate grind expansion_after_compression range_low
48%
10/06 00:35

Signal

BosPullback - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.72
  3. reason: bos_pullback_short|score=1|shallow|bars_since_bos=10|retests=1|break_atr=0.87|prog=0.46|zone=tested
  4. stop_price: 6.70201587
  5. tp_price: 6.26096032
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.72
  8. confidence_pre_ob: 0.72
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. timeframe : 1h
  10. state : pullback_down
  11. confidence : 0.829
  12. trend_strength : -0.0949
  13. trend_persistence : 0.5
  14. high_delta_atr : -1.2324
  15. low_delta_atr : -1.8949
  16. current_swing_amp_atr : 3.1098
  17. current_swing_speed : 0.77745
  18. current_swing_efficiency : 0.6187
  19. retracement_ratio : 0.735
  20. extension_ratio : 1.2404
  21. compression_score : 0.889
  22. swing_entropy : 1
  23. breakout_strength : -2.8092
  24. distance_to_last_high_atr : -1.5769
  25. distance_to_last_low_atr : 1.8419
  26. pivot_count : 27
  27. swing_count : 26
  28. market_structure_v2
  29. last_pivot_kind: high
  30. last_pivot_price:
    6.695
  31. last_pivot_index:
    143
  32. ¸
  33. trend_analyzer_1h
  34. direction : down
  35. phase : transition
  36. structure : bearish_transition
  37. breakout_state : breakout_confirmed
  38. quality : volatile
  39. strength : moderate
  40. exhaustion : low
  41. momentum_type : grind
  42. volatility_regime : compression
  43. htf_context : unknown
  44. risk_state : discount
  45. confidence : 0.604
  46. state : down_bearish_transition_grind
  47. trend_analyzer_1h
  48. scores_direction_score:
    0.2742
  49. scores_strength_score:
    0.634
  50. scores_quality_score:
    0.3979
  51. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.2394
  52. scores_structural_quality:
    0.5275
  53. scores_pullback_score:
    0.735
  54. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.3628
  55. scores_continuation_score:
    0.3758
  56. scores_structure_score:
    0.2984
  57. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.1809
  58. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.6299
  59. scores_risk_score:
    0.2792
  60. trend_analyzer_1h
  61. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.0435
  62. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.042
  63. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  64. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -0.9822
  65. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -1.6109
  66. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.35
  67. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.65
  68. features_last_bos_direction:
    -1
  69. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    10
  70. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  71. features_wick_ratio:
    0.5212
  72. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.6187
  73. features_impulse_strength:
    4.0764
  74. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.55
  75. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    0.735
  76. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    2.9961
  77. features_extension_from_mean:
    -1.6109
  78. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.3798
  79. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.2798
  80. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.1
  81. features_volatility_delta:
    -0.1186
  82. features_body_ratio:
    0.4686
  83. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.4882
  84. features_slope_consistency:
    0.6401
  85. features_range_position:
    0.2792
  86. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -13.2033
  87. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    5.1132
  88. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  89. features_had_recent_compression:
    0
  90. features_post_break_hl_count:
    1
  91. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  92. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  93. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  94. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  95. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  96. ¸
  97. orderbook_context
  98. obi_top5 : 0.0023
  99. obi_top10 : 0.1414
  100. micro_price : 6.57400199
  101. spread_pct : 0.015211
  102. mid_price : 6.5745
  103. bid_wall_price : 6.49
  104. bid_wall_size : 124191.3
  105. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  106. ask_wall_price : 6.66
  107. ask_wall_size : 88013.3
  108. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  109. snapshots_count : 5
  110. obi_top5_mean : 0.0251
  111. obi_top5_std : 0.0755
  112. pressure_side : neutral
  113. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  114. collection_ms : 7070
  115. aggregation_tick : 0.01
  116. error :
  117. ¸
  118. strategy_details
  119. strategy : bos_pullback
  120. ms_state_1h : pullback_down
  121. strategy_details
  122. pivots_1h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-05 16:00:00
        [price] => 6.783
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  123. pivots_1h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-05 17:00:00
        [price] => 7.103
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  124. pivots_1h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-05 19:00:00
        [price] => 6.576
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  125. pivots_1h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-05 21:00:00
        [price] => 7.005
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  126. pivots_1h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-05 23:00:00
        [price] => 6.628
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  127. pivots_1h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-06 01:00:00
        [price] => 6.927
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  128. pivots_1h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-06 04:00:00
        [price] => 6.217
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  129. pivots_1h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-06 09:00:00
        [price] => 6.832
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  130. pivots_1h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-06 20:00:00
        [price] => 6.563
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  131. pivots_1h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-07 08:00:00
        [price] => 6.879
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  132. pivots_1h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-07 12:00:00
        [price] => 6.585
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  133. pivots_1h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-07 14:00:00
        [price] => 6.771
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  134. pivots_1h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-07 19:00:00
        [price] => 6.502
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  135. pivots_1h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-07 22:00:00
        [price] => 6.957
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  136. pivots_1h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-08 05:00:00
        [price] => 6.531
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  137. pivots_1h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-08 21:00:00
        [price] => 6.878
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  138. pivots_1h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-09 00:00:00
        [price] => 6.58
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  139. pivots_1h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-09 05:00:00
        [price] => 6.788
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  140. pivots_1h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-09 16:00:00
        [price] => 6.437
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  141. pivots_1h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-09 20:00:00
        [price] => 6.695
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  142. strategy_details
  143. pivots_15m_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-09 02:00:00
        [price] => 6.672
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  144. pivots_15m_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-09 02:30:00
        [price] => 6.594
        [kind] => low
        [label] => 
    )
    
  145. pivots_15m_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-09 05:30:00
        [price] => 6.788
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  146. pivots_15m_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-09 10:00:00
        [price] => 6.655
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  147. pivots_15m_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-09 13:00:00
        [price] => 6.741
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  148. pivots_15m_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-09 13:30:00
        [price] => 6.665
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  149. pivots_15m_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-09 14:45:00
        [price] => 6.525
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  150. pivots_15m_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-09 15:00:00
        [price] => 6.638
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  151. pivots_15m_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-09 16:30:00
        [price] => 6.437
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  152. pivots_15m_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-09 20:30:00
        [price] => 6.695
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  153. pivots_15m_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-09 22:00:00
        [price] => 6.603
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  154. pivots_15m_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-10 00:15:00
        [price] => 6.67
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  155. pivots_15m_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-06-10 00:30:00
        [price] => 6.595
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  156. bos_level_long : 0
  157. bos_level_short : 6.58
  158. strategy_details
  159. levels_hl_price:
    6.437
  160. levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-06-09 16:00:00
  161. levels_hh_price:
    6.695
  162. levels_lh_price:
    6.695
  163. levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-06-09 20:00:00
  164. levels_ll_price:
    6.437
  165. demand_zone :
  166. strategy_details
  167. supply_zone_top:
    6.788
  168. supply_zone_bottom:
    6.617
  169. supply_zone_mid:
    6.7025
  170. supply_zone_freshness: tested
  171. supply_zone_strength:
    0.6895
  172. ¸
  173. regimes
  174. 1H : bear_high
  175. 15m : bear_medium
  176. ¸

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 22:34 6.57600000 0%
2 22:42 6.57400000 -0.03%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ pullback_down
Confidence 83%

Trend

Trend Strength
-0.095
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
-1.232
Low Δ ATR
-1.895

Current Swing

Amp ATR
3.110
Speed
0.777
Efficiency
0.619

Structure

Retracement
0.735
Extension
1.240
Compression
0.889
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
-2.809
Dist High ATR
-1.577
Dist Low ATR
1.842
27 pivots · 26 swings · Last pivot: ↑ 6.6950 @ bar 143

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_bearish_transition_grind
Confidence 60%

Context

phase transition
structure bearish_transition
breakout breakout_confirmed
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion low
momentum grind
volatility compression
risk discount
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.274
Strength Score 0.634
Quality Score 0.398
Cleanliness Score 0.239
Structural Quality 0.528
Pullback Score 0.735
Exhaustion Score 0.363
Continuation Score 0.376
Structure Score 0.298
Volatility Expansion 0.181
Momentum Type Score 0.630
Risk Score 0.279
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.044
Ema50 Slope
-0.042
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-0.982
Price Vs Ema50
-1.611
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.350
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.650
Last Bos Direction
-1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
10.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.521
Trend Efficiency
0.619
Impulse Strength
4.076
Directional Candle Ratio
0.550
Pullback Depth Ratio
0.735
Pullback Depth Atr
2.996
Extension From Mean
-1.611
Impulse Decay Score
0.380
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.280
Volatility Percentile
0.100
Volatility Delta
-0.119
Body Ratio
0.469
Closes Position Ratio
0.488
Slope Consistency
0.640
Range Position
0.279
Distance To Recent High
-13.203
Distance To Recent Low
5.113
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
0.000
Post Break Hl Count
1.000

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7070ms Confidence avant OB : 72%72%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.002
avg 0.025 ± 0.076
OBI Top 10 0.141

Microstructure

Mid Price
6.5745
Micro Price
6.5740
Spread
0.0152%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
6.4900
Size
124,191.30

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
6.6600
Size
88,013.30

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
09 Jun 2026
22:34:35
11 Jun 2026
15:30:00
1 day

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
6.576 6.702 6.261 2.5 6.498
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 6.576
  • Stop Loss: 6.702
  • Take Profit: 6.261

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 6.702 - 6.576 = 0.126

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 6.576 - 6.261 = 0.315

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.315 / 0.126 = 2.5

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
417.4712 100 63.4841 4.17
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.126

Taille de position = 8 / 0.126 = 63.49

Taille de position USD = 63.49 x 6.576 = 417.51

Donc, tu peux acheter 63.49 avec un stoploss a 6.702

Avec un position size USD de 417.51$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 63.49 x 0.126 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 63.49 x 0.315 = 20

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 63.49
  • Taille de position USD 417.51
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
4.79 % 20 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.92 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -1.92
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.9617 % 102.38 % 75

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.026
            [max_drawdown] => 0.028
            [rr_ratio] => 0.93
            [high] => 6.60400000
            [low] => 6.55000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.4
            [mae_pct] => 0.43
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.93
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-06-09T22:34:35-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-06-10T00:34:35-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.16
            [max_drawdown] => 0.028
            [rr_ratio] => 5.71
            [high] => 6.60400000
            [low] => 6.41600000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.43
            [mae_pct] => 0.43
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.71
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-06-09T22:34:35-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-06-10T05:34:35-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 6.67200000
            [high_after] => 6.60400000
            [low_before] => 6.56800000
            [low_after] => 6.48200000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank
#47 / n/a OK
seuil : top 15 · score du 09/06/2026 22:00
Signal Confidence
72 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime