Short Trade on MSTR (CatchTheWave)
With 6.22 MSTR at 119.6$ per unit. Take profit: 117.029 (2.15 %) & Stop Loss: 120.8855 (1.07 %)
Short Trade on MSTR (CatchTheWave)
With 6.22 MSTR at 119.6$ per unit. Take profit: 117.029 (2.15 %) & Stop Loss: 120.8855 (1.07 %)
Position size of 744.3027 $
Take profit at 117.029 (2.15 %)
and Stop Loss at 120.8855 (1.07 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_low rules_regime : bear_high_confirmed rules_regime_4h : bear_high tf_aligned : 1 10/06 09:00 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : -0.071792 |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bull_high_confirmed 5m_regime : bull_medium_confirmed |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
75%
|
09/06 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | weak | compressed | compression | bull_high |
71%
|
09/06 05:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium |
73%
|
09/06 06:45 |
| 5m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
48%
|
09/06 06:50 |
Indicators:
61339.4
0.0117834
62062.2
-0.071792
0
0
62062.2
61947.3
0.00185416
62062.2
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113.61
195
0.3126
0.4918
0.3436
0.2675
0.4058
1
0.405
0.3785
0.2556
0.6256
0.555
0.3875
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0.3333
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0.4
0.6
-1
4
1
0.465
0.2207
6.5564
0.55
1.1586
2.4013
-0.0785
0.8168
0.2857
0.8
-0.0816
0.5172
0.5345
0.8576
0.3875
-4.2448
2.685
1
0
0
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:59 | 119.60000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 10:04 | 119.86000000 | +0.217% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 08:10:00 | 116.59 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-10 09:20:00 | 113.61 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-10 10:00:00 | 115.83 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-10 10:20:00 | 115 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-10 10:30:00 | 115.95 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-10 11:45:00 | 113.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-10 12:20:00 | 114.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-10 12:30:00 | 117.51 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-10 13:00:00 | 115.15 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-10 13:45:00 | 120.84 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-09 20:45:00 | 118.51 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-10 00:00:00 | 117.73 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-10 00:30:00 | 116.24 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-10 03:00:00 | 115.06 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-10 04:45:00 | 114.51 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-10 07:15:00 | 116.72 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-10 09:15:00 | 113.61 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-10 10:30:00 | 115.95 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-10 11:45:00 | 113.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-10 13:45:00 | 120.84 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-07 11:00:00 | 125.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-07 20:00:00 | 119.51 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-08 00:00:00 | 127.74 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-08 05:00:00 | 121.19 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-08 15:00:00 | 129.07 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-09 00:00:00 | 124.93 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-09 06:00:00 | 128.05 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-09 16:00:00 | 114.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-10 09:00:00 | 113.61 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-10 13:00:00 | 120.84 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun 2026 09:59:41 |
10 Jun 2026 11:15:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 119.6 | 120.8855 | 117.029 | 2 | 111.85 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 120.8855 - 119.6 = 1.2855
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 119.6 - 117.029 = 2.571
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.571 / 1.2855 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 744.3027 | 100 | 6.2233 | 7.44 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 1.2855 = 6.22
Taille de position USD = 6.22 x 119.6 = 743.91
Donc, tu peux acheter 6.22 avec un stoploss a 120.8855
Avec un position size USD de 743.91$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 6.22 x 1.2855 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 6.22 x 2.571 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.15 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.07 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 2.15 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6522 % | 60.68 % | 3 |
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Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?