Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.063 BTC at 63383.1$ per unit. Take profit: 63637.3138 (0.4 %) & Stop Loss: 63255.9931 (0.2 %)
12 Jun 2026 at 16:53:24
Duration: 3 days
Long CatchTheWave on BTC (12 Jun 2026 at 16:53:24 to 13:15:00 - 3 days )
With 0.06294 BTC at 63383.1$ per unit.
Position size of 3989.2791 $
Take profit at 63637.3138 (0.4 %)
and Stop Loss at 63255.9931 (0.2 %)
Duration: 3 days
Results
Status:
win
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score:
Prediction Score: 1
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_low rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_4h : range_high tf_aligned : 12/06 16:06 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↓ down | pullback | bear_trend | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
69%
|
12/06 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | explosive | normal | bull_medium |
70%
|
12/06 18:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | range_low |
55%
|
12/06 18:00 |
| 5m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
47%
|
12/06 19:20 |
Signal
CatchTheWave Signal - buy
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.5714
- reason: HTF_bullish_stack | KC_pullback(-0.02) | regime:bull_medium
- stop_price: 63255.9931235
- tp_price: 63637.31375299
- atr: 84.737917663685
- score: 2.0434
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.5714
Details
- 1H
- timeframe : 1H
- ema9 : 63591.4
- ema21 : 63496.8
- ema50 : 63146.5
- ema100 : 62842.8
- price_ema9_diff : -0.00327676
- ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00149061
- ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00554676
- price_ema100_diff : 0.0085972
- all_emas_in_trend : True
- all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
- ema_slope_9 : 0.0346736
- ema_slope_21 : 0.0373292
- ema_slope_50 : 0.0398318
- ema_slope_100 : 0.0286069
- rsi : 0.493694
- adx : 0.203135
- kc_percentage : 0.425551
- kc_width_percentage : 0.0265579
- volume_ema_diff : -0.299511
- rvol_20 : 0.5718
- rvol_50 : 0.540812
- volume_zscore_50 : -0.657302
- volume_vol_ratio : 2.45967
- chop : 54.6006
- regime : bull_medium ¸
- 15m
- timeframe : 15m
- ema9 : 63564.8
- ema21 : 63642
- ema50 : 63627.2
- ema100 : 63578.9
- price_ema9_diff : -0.00285922
- ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00121378
- ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000232893
- price_ema100_diff : -0.00307988
- all_emas_in_trend : False
- all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
- ema_slope_9 : -0.0332961
- ema_slope_21 : -0.0140915
- ema_slope_50 : -0.00109653
- ema_slope_100 : 0.00152316
- rsi : 0.396105
- adx : 0.0952483
- kc_percentage : 0.120206
- kc_width_percentage : 0.0106615
- volume_ema_diff : -0.553948
- rvol_20 : 0.569709
- rvol_50 : 0.345757
- volume_zscore_50 : -0.713187
- volume_vol_ratio : 0.930336
- chop : 68.3872
- regime : range_low ¸
- 5m
- timeframe : 5m
- ema9 : 63476.1
- ema21 : 63554
- ema50 : 63637
- ema100 : 63632.9
- price_ema9_diff : -0.00146554
- ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00122541
- ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0013048
- price_ema100_diff : -0.00392591
- all_emas_in_trend : True
- all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
- ema_slope_9 : -0.0225323
- ema_slope_21 : -0.0186719
- ema_slope_50 : -0.0111637
- ema_slope_100 : -0.00462739
- rsi : 0.314853
- adx : 0.0731429
- kc_percentage : -0.0217143
- kc_width_percentage : 0.0050085
- volume_ema_diff : 0.0788255
- rvol_20 : 2.1764
- rvol_50 : 2.18294
- volume_zscore_50 : 1.84991
- volume_vol_ratio : 1.97348
- chop : 55.5802
- regime : range_low ¸
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures
- market_structures
- 1H_version: 1.1
- 1H_market_structure:
Array ( [left_window] => 5 [right_window] => 5 [recent_pivots] => Array ( [0] => Array ( [0] => 2026-06-10 09:00:00 [1] => 60691.8 [2] => L ) [1] => Array ( [0] => 2026-06-10 15:00:00 [1] => 62828.2 [2] => H ) [2] => Array ( [0] => 2026-06-10 22:00:00 [1] => 61066.9 [2] => L ) [3] => Array ( [0] => 2026-06-11 11:00:00 [1] => 63230.1 [2] => H ) [4] => Array ( [0] => 2026-06-11 17:00:00 [1] => 62311 [2] => L ) [5] => Array ( [0] => 2026-06-11 19:00:00 [1] => 63900 [2] => H ) [6] => Array ( [0] => 2026-06-12 06:00:00 [1] => 62810 [2] => L ) [7] => Array ( [0] => 2026-06-12 13:00:00 [1] => 63011.2 [2] => L ) [8] => Array ( [0] => 2026-06-12 15:00:00 [1] => 64370 [2] => H ) [9] => Array ( [0] => 2026-06-12 20:00:00 [1] => 63365.7 [2] => L ) ) [detected_trend] => uptrend [features] => Array ( [ms_trend_state] => 1 [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.5331676246699 [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.027459650883682 [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5 [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0 [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.5849268610621 [ms_bos_up] => 1 [ms_bos_down] => 0 [ms_choch_up] => 0 [ms_choch_down] => 0 ) ) - market_structures
- 15m_version: 1.1
- 15m_market_structure:
Array ( [left_window] => 5 [right_window] => 5 [recent_pivots] => Array ( [0] => Array ( [0] => 2026-06-12 01:15:00 [1] => 63268.2 [2] => L ) [1] => Array ( [0] => 2026-06-12 02:00:00 [1] => 63750 [2] => H ) [2] => Array ( [0] => 2026-06-12 03:15:00 [1] => 63321 [2] => L ) [3] => Array ( [0] => 2026-06-12 04:30:00 [1] => 63826.1 [2] => H ) [4] => Array ( [0] => 2026-06-12 06:30:00 [1] => 62810 [2] => L ) [5] => Array ( [0] => 2026-06-12 09:30:00 [1] => 63938.3 [2] => H ) [6] => Array ( [0] => 2026-06-12 13:30:00 [1] => 63011.2 [2] => L ) [7] => Array ( [0] => 2026-06-12 15:15:00 [1] => 64370 [2] => H ) [8] => Array ( [0] => 2026-06-12 17:00:00 [1] => 64080.9 [2] => H ) [9] => Array ( [0] => 2026-06-12 20:45:00 [1] => 63390.1 [2] => L ) ) [detected_trend] => range [features] => Array ( [ms_trend_state] => 0 [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.062407051087 [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.015775334003259 [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 15 [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0 [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.0897600729451 [ms_bos_up] => 0 [ms_bos_down] => 0 [ms_choch_up] => 0 [ms_choch_down] => 0 ) ) - market_structures
- 5m_version: 1.1
- 5m_market_structure:
Array ( [left_window] => 5 [right_window] => 5 [recent_pivots] => Array ( [0] => Array ( [0] => 2026-06-12 13:40:00 [1] => 63011.2 [2] => L ) [1] => Array ( [0] => 2026-06-12 15:15:00 [1] => 64370 [2] => H ) [2] => Array ( [0] => 2026-06-12 16:00:00 [1] => 63480.1 [2] => L ) [3] => Array ( [0] => 2026-06-12 17:05:00 [1] => 64080.9 [2] => H ) [4] => Array ( [0] => 2026-06-12 17:25:00 [1] => 63696.9 [2] => L ) [5] => Array ( [0] => 2026-06-12 18:10:00 [1] => 63903.6 [2] => H ) [6] => Array ( [0] => 2026-06-12 18:20:00 [1] => 63646.4 [2] => L ) [7] => Array ( [0] => 2026-06-12 18:40:00 [1] => 63889.8 [2] => H ) [8] => Array ( [0] => 2026-06-12 19:35:00 [1] => 63794.3 [2] => H ) [9] => Array ( [0] => 2026-06-12 20:50:00 [1] => 63365.7 [2] => L ) ) [detected_trend] => downtrend [features] => Array ( [ms_trend_state] => -1 [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.64457169370932 [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.027459650883682 [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 15 [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0 [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.67639117061755 [ms_bos_up] => 0 [ms_bos_down] => 1 [ms_choch_up] => 0 [ms_choch_down] => 0 ) )
¸
- market_structure_v2
- timeframe : 1h
- state : pullback_up
- confidence : 0.499
- trend_strength : 0.2595
- trend_persistence : 0.5
- high_delta_atr : 1.0087
- low_delta_atr : 0.4701
- current_swing_amp_atr : 2.873
- current_swing_speed : 1.43652
- current_swing_efficiency : 0.6267
- retracement_ratio : 1.4656
- extension_ratio : 1.2043
- compression_score : 1.2908
- swing_entropy : 1
- breakout_strength : -1.2972
- distance_to_last_high_atr : -2.3059
- distance_to_last_low_atr : 0.8689
- pivot_count : 37
- swing_count : 36
- market_structure_v2
- last_pivot_kind: high
- last_pivot_price:
64370
- last_pivot_index:
194
¸
- trend_analyzer_1h
- direction : up
- phase : transition
- structure : bullish_transition
- breakout_state : fresh_breakout
- quality : volatile
- strength : moderate
- exhaustion : low
- momentum_type : explosive
- volatility_regime : normal
- htf_context : unknown
- risk_state : premium
- confidence : 0.505
- state : up_bullish_transition_explosive
- trend_analyzer_1h
- scores_direction_score:
0.6471
- scores_strength_score:
0.6069
- scores_quality_score:
0.3264
- scores_cleanliness_score:
0.2711
- scores_structural_quality:
0.3717
- scores_pullback_score:
1
- scores_exhaustion_score:
0.2781
- scores_continuation_score:
0.5504
- scores_structure_score:
0.6904
- scores_volatility_expansion:
0.3843
- scores_momentum_type_score:
0.6968
- scores_risk_score:
0.7317
- trend_analyzer_1h
- features_ema20_slope:
0.0436
- features_ema50_slope:
0.0554
- features_ema_alignment_score:
0.6667
- features_price_vs_ema20:
-0.3032
- features_price_vs_ema50:
0.5722
- features_recent_hh_hl_score:
0.55
- features_recent_lh_ll_score:
0.45
- features_last_bos_direction:
1
- features_bars_since_last_bos:
5
- features_candle_overlap_ratio:
1
- features_wick_ratio:
0.4579
- features_trend_efficiency:
0.6267
- features_impulse_strength:
2.873
- features_directional_candle_ratio:
0.6
- features_pullback_depth_ratio:
1.4656
- features_pullback_depth_atr:
3.2749
- features_extension_from_mean:
0.5722
- features_impulse_decay_score:
0.3979
- features_opposing_wick_pressure:
0.2754
- features_volatility_percentile:
0.3
- features_volatility_delta:
0.0065
- features_body_ratio:
0.5704
- features_closes_position_ratio:
0.4132
- features_slope_consistency:
0.9101
- features_range_position:
0.7317
- features_distance_to_recent_high:
-2.3873
- features_distance_to_recent_low:
6.5104
- features_had_recent_range:
1
- features_had_recent_compression:
0
- features_post_break_hl_count:
0
- features_htf_trend_strength:
- features_htf_compression_score:
- features_htf_entropy_score:
- features_htf_hh_hl_score:
- features_htf_state_str: ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0262
- obi_top10 : -0.0262
- micro_price : 63399.97422165
- spread_pct : 0.000158
- mid_price : 63399.95
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0177
- obi_top5_std : 0.036
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7595
- aggregation_tick : 100
- error : ¸
Signaux confirmants (15)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:53 | 63383.10000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 16:55 | 63383.00000000 | -0% |
| 3 | 17:10 | 63383.00000000 | -0% |
| 4 | 17:18 | 63383.00000000 | -0% |
| 5 | 17:19 | 63383.00000000 | -0% |
| 6 | 17:25 | 63383.00000000 | -0% |
| 7 | 17:32 | 63383.00000000 | -0% |
| 8 | 17:39 | 63383.00000000 | -0% |
| 9 | 17:46 | 63383.00000000 | -0% |
| 10 | 17:53 | 63383.00000000 | -0% |
| 11 | 17:59 | 63383.00000000 | -0% |
| 12 | 18:06 | 63383.00000000 | -0% |
| 13 | 18:11 | 63383.00000000 | -0% |
| 14 | 18:14 | 63383.00000000 | -0% |
| 15 | 18:19 | 63383.00000000 | -0% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 1
5M -
downtrend
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.64%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.03%
Bars Since Swing High
15 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.68%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
SL to Pivot Distance
244.7931
0.39%
TP to Pivot Distance
732.6862
1.15%
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-12 13:40:00 | 63011.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-12 15:15:00 | 64370 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-12 16:00:00 | 63480.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-12 17:05:00 | 64080.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-12 17:25:00 | 63696.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-12 18:10:00 | 63903.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-12 18:20:00 | 63646.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-12 18:40:00 | 63889.8 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-12 19:35:00 | 63794.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-12 20:50:00 | 63365.7 | ↓ Low |
15M -
range
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.06%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.02%
Bars Since Swing High
15 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.09%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
SL to Pivot Distance
445.9931
0.71%
TP to Pivot Distance
732.6862
1.15%
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-12 01:15:00 | 63268.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-12 02:00:00 | 63750 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-12 03:15:00 | 63321 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-12 04:30:00 | 63826.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-12 06:30:00 | 62810 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-12 09:30:00 | 63938.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-12 13:30:00 | 63011.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-12 15:15:00 | 64370 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-12 17:00:00 | 64080.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-12 20:45:00 | 63390.1 | ↓ Low |
1H -
uptrend
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.53%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.03%
Bars Since Swing High
5 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.58%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
SL to Pivot Distance
2,564.1931
4.05%
TP to Pivot Distance
732.6862
1.15%
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 09:00:00 | 60691.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-10 15:00:00 | 62828.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-10 22:00:00 | 61066.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-11 11:00:00 | 63230.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-11 17:00:00 | 62311 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-11 19:00:00 | 63900 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-12 06:00:00 | 62810 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-12 13:00:00 | 63011.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-06-12 15:00:00 | 64370 | ↑ High |
| 2026-06-12 20:00:00 | 63365.7 | ↓ Low |
Market Structure V2
1H
↑ pullback_up
Confidence
50%
Trend
Trend Strength
0.260
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
1.009
Low Δ ATR
0.470
Current Swing
Amp ATR
2.873
Speed
1.437
Efficiency
0.627
Structure
Retracement
1.466
Extension
1.204
Compression
1.291
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
-1.297
Dist High ATR
-2.306
Dist Low ATR
0.869
37 pivots
·
36 swings
·
Last pivot:
↑ 64,370.0000
@ bar 194
Trend Analyzer 1H
1H
↑ up
up_bullish_transition_explosive
Confidence
51%
Context
phase
transition
structure
bullish_transition
breakout
fresh_breakout
quality
volatile
strength
moderate
exhaustion
low
momentum
explosive
volatility
normal
risk
premium
htf
unknown
Scores
Direction Score
0.647
Strength Score
0.607
Quality Score
0.326
Cleanliness Score
0.271
Structural Quality
0.372
Pullback Score
1.000
Exhaustion Score
0.278
Continuation Score
0.550
Structure Score
0.690
Volatility Expansion
0.384
Momentum Type Score
0.697
Risk Score
0.732
Features
Ema20 Slope
0.044
Ema50 Slope
0.055
Ema Alignment Score
0.667
Price Vs Ema20
-0.303
Price Vs Ema50
0.572
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.550
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.450
Last Bos Direction
1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
5.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.458
Trend Efficiency
0.627
Impulse Strength
2.873
Directional Candle Ratio
0.600
Pullback Depth Ratio
1.466
Pullback Depth Atr
3.275
Extension From Mean
0.572
Impulse Decay Score
0.398
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.275
Volatility Percentile
0.300
Volatility Delta
0.007
Body Ratio
0.570
Closes Position Ratio
0.413
Slope Consistency
0.910
Range Position
0.732
Distance To Recent High
-2.387
Distance To Recent Low
6.510
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
0.000
Post Break Hl Count
0.000
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7595ms
Confidence avant OB :
57%
→
57%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.026
avg -0.018
± 0.036
OBI Top 10
-0.026
Microstructure
Mid Price
63,399.9500
Micro Price
63,399.9742
Spread
0.0002%
📌 Time Data
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun 2026 16:53:24 |
16 Jun 2026 13:15:00 |
3 days |
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63383.1 | 63255.9931 | 63637.3138 | 2 | 62970.9 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 63383.1
- Stop Loss: 63255.9931
- Take Profit: 63637.3138
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 63255.9931 - 63383.1 = -127.1069
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 63383.1 - 63637.3138 = -254.2138
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -254.2138 / -127.1069 = 2
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3989.2791 | 100 | 0.06294 | 39.89 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -127.1069
Taille de position = 8 / -127.1069 = -0.06
Taille de position USD = -0.06 x 63383.1 = -3802.99
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.06 avec un stoploss a 63255.9931
Avec un position size USD de -3802.99$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.06 x -127.1069 = 7.63
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.63$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.06 x -254.2138 = 15.25
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.25$
Résumé
- Taille de position -0.06
- Taille de position USD -3802.99
- Perte potentielle 7.63
- Gain potentiel 15.25
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.4 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.2 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.40 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
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Extra SL data
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Extra Pullback data
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V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank
#6 / n/a
OK
seuil : top 15
· score du 12/06/2026 16:00
Signal Confidence
57 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime