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Short Trade on CRCL

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18 Jun 2026 at 11:08:34

Short Trade on CRCL (BosPullback)

With 5.37 CRCL at 80.98$ per unit. Take profit: 77.2584 (4.6 %) & Stop Loss: 82.4687 (1.84 %)

Short BosPullback on CRCL (18 Jun 2026 at 11:08:34 to 14:15:00 - 3 hours )

With 5.374 CRCL at 80.98$ per unit.

Position size of 435.1855 $
Take profit at 77.2584 (4.6 %) and Stop Loss at 82.4687 (1.84 %)

That's a 2.5 RR Trade
Duration: 3 hours

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 50
ML Pullback Score: 10
Prediction Score:
Prediction 1 Probability
n/a
Prediction 2 Probability
n/a
Prediction 3 Probability
n/a
BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

Score : 1

ml_regime : range_low

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_4h : range_high

tf_aligned :

18/06 11:01
BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

1H_regime : range_high

15m_regime : range_high

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability Évalué à
4h ↔ — — — — — — bear_high
55%
09/06 04:00
1h ↑ up range range moderate balanced compression range_high
47%
18/06 13:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate grind normal range_low
47%
18/06 13:00
5m ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong explosive expansion range_low
51%
18/06 13:10

Signal

BosPullback - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.71
  3. reason: bos_pullback_short|score=3|shallow|bars_since_bos=2|retests=1|break_atr=1.42|prog=0.33|zone=tested|ob:bid_pressure(-0.10)|ob:obi_bullish(-0.05)
  4. stop_price: 82.46865253
  5. tp_price: 77.25836866
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.86
  8. confidence_pre_ob: 0.86
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
    5. ¸
  5. market_structures
    6. ¸
  6. market_structure_v2
  7. timeframe : 1h
  8. state : pullback_down
  9. confidence : 0.588
  10. trend_strength : -0.0266
  11. trend_persistence : 0.5
  12. high_delta_atr : -0.283
  13. low_delta_atr : -2.0143
  14. current_swing_amp_atr : 3.5268
  15. current_swing_speed : 0.70535
  16. current_swing_efficiency : 0.5942
  17. retracement_ratio : 2.4667
  18. extension_ratio : 2.0452
  19. compression_score : 0.7471
  20. swing_entropy : 1
  21. breakout_strength : -0.2497
  22. distance_to_last_high_atr : -1.1237
  23. distance_to_last_low_atr : 2.264
  24. pivot_count : 10
  25. swing_count : 9
  26. market_structure_v2
  27. last_pivot_kind: low
  28. last_pivot_price: 
    78.26
  29. last_pivot_index: 
    55
    30. ¸
  30. trend_analyzer_1h
    31. ¸
  31. orderbook_context
  32. obi_top5 : 0.5348
  33. obi_top10 : 0.5303
  34. micro_price : 80.9931856
  35. spread_pct : 0.049401
  36. mid_price : 80.99
  37. bid_wall_price : 80.4
  38. bid_wall_size : 3797.496
  39. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  40. ask_wall_price :
  41. ask_wall_size :
  42. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  43. snapshots_count : 5
  44. obi_top5_mean : 0.5438
  45. obi_top5_std : 0.0391
  46. pressure_side : bid
  47. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  48. collection_ms : 7098
  49. aggregation_tick : 0.1
  50. error :
    51. ¸
  51. strategy_details
  52. strategy : bos_pullback
  53. ms_state_1h : pullback_down
  54. strategy_details
  55. pivots_1h_0: 
    Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-12 10:00:00
    [price] => 84.51
    [kind] => high
    [label] => 
)
  56. pivots_1h_1: 
    Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-12 15:00:00
    [price] => 77.77
    [kind] => low
    [label] => 
)
  57. pivots_1h_2: 
    Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-16 18:00:00
    [price] => 81.95
    [kind] => high
    [label] => 
)
  58. pivots_1h_3: 
    Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-17 13:00:00
    [price] => 78.65
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)
  59. pivots_1h_4: 
    Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-17 18:00:00
    [price] => 85.34
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)
  60. pivots_1h_5: 
    Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-17 20:00:00
    [price] => 80.73
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)
  61. pivots_1h_6: 
    Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-18 02:00:00
    [price] => 82.67
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)
  62. pivots_1h_7: 
    Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-18 05:00:00
    [price] => 80.68
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)
  63. pivots_1h_8: 
    Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-18 08:00:00
    [price] => 82.33
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)
  64. pivots_1h_9: 
    Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-18 13:00:00
    [price] => 78.26
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)
  65. strategy_details
  66. pivots_15m_0: 
    Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-17 14:15:00
    [price] => 82.5
    [kind] => high
    [label] => 
)
  67. pivots_15m_1: 
    Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-17 14:45:00
    [price] => 80.9
    [kind] => low
    [label] => 
)
  68. pivots_15m_2: 
    Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-17 15:45:00
    [price] => 83.33
    [kind] => high
    [label] => 
)
  69. pivots_15m_3: 
    Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-17 16:45:00
    [price] => 82
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)
  70. pivots_15m_4: 
    Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-17 17:45:00
    [price] => 83.4
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)
  71. pivots_15m_5: 
    Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-17 18:00:00
    [price] => 80.57
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)
  72. pivots_15m_6: 
    Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-17 18:45:00
    [price] => 85.34
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)
  73. pivots_15m_7: 
    Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-17 20:00:00
    [price] => 80.73
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)
  74. pivots_15m_8: 
    Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-18 02:30:00
    [price] => 82.67
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)
  75. pivots_15m_9: 
    Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-18 05:00:00
    [price] => 80.68
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)
  76. pivots_15m_10: 
    Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-18 08:00:00
    [price] => 82.33
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)
  77. pivots_15m_11: 
    Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-18 11:30:00
    [price] => 80.87
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)
  78. pivots_15m_12: 
    Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-18 12:45:00
    [price] => 81.85
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)
  79. pivots_15m_13: 
    Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-18 13:30:00
    [price] => 78.26
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)
  80. pivots_15m_14: 
    Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-18 14:15:00
    [price] => 81.14
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)
  81. pivots_15m_15: 
    Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-18 14:30:00
    [price] => 80
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)
  82. bos_level_long : 0
  83. bos_level_short : 80.68
  84. strategy_details
  85. levels_hl_price: 
    78.26
  86. levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-06-18 13:00:00
  87. levels_hh_price: 
    82.33
  88. levels_lh_price: 
    82.33
  89. levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-06-18 08:00:00
  90. levels_ll_price: 
    78.26
  91. demand_zone :
  92. strategy_details
  93. supply_zone_top: 
    82.53
  94. supply_zone_bottom: 
    80.68
  95. supply_zone_mid: 
    81.605
  96. supply_zone_freshness: tested
  97. supply_zone_strength: 
    0.751
    98. ¸
  98. regimes
  99. 1H : range_high
  100. 15m : range_high
    101. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ pullback_down
Confidence 59%

Trend

Trend Strength
-0.027
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
-0.283
Low Δ ATR
-2.014

Current Swing

Amp ATR
3.527
Speed
0.705
Efficiency
0.594

Structure

Retracement
2.467
Extension
2.045
Compression
0.747
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
-0.250
Dist High ATR
-1.124
Dist Low ATR
2.264
10 pivots · 9 swings · Last pivot: ↓ 78.2600 @ bar 55

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

↑ bid ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7098ms Confidence avant OB : 86% → 71%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.535
avg 0.544 ± 0.039
OBI Top 10 0.530

Microstructure

Mid Price
80.9900
Micro Price
80.9932
Spread
0.0494%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
80.4000
Size
3,797.50

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
18 Jun 2026
11:08:34		 18 Jun 2026
14:15:00		 3 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
80.98 82.4687 77.2584 2.5 79.23
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 80.98
  • Stop Loss: 82.4687
  • Take Profit: 77.2584

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 82.4687 - 80.98 = 1.4887

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 80.98 - 77.2584 = 3.7216

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.7216 / 1.4887 = 2.4999

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
435.1855 100 5.374 4.35
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.4887

Taille de position = 8 / 1.4887 = 5.37

Taille de position USD = 5.37 x 80.98 = 434.86

Donc, tu peux acheter 5.37 avec un stoploss a 82.4687

Avec un position size USD de 434.86$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 5.37 x 1.4887 = 7.99

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 5.37 x 3.7216 = 19.98

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.98$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 5.37
  • Taille de position USD 434.86
  • Perte potentielle 7.99
  • Gain potentiel 19.98
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4999

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
4.6 % 20 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.84 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
20 $ 4.60
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0741 % 4.03 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 78.0026
            [stop_loss] => 82.4687
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-06-18 16:35:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 77.25825
            [stop_loss] => 82.4687
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-06-18 18:15:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 3.55
            [max_drawdown] => 0.060000000000002
            [rr_ratio] => 59.17
            [high] => 81.04000000
            [low] => 77.43000000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.38
            [mae_pct] => 0.07
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 59.17
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-06-18T11:08:34-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-06-18T13:08:34-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 3.96
            [max_drawdown] => 0.060000000000002
            [rr_ratio] => 66
            [high] => 81.04000000
            [low] => 77.02000000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.89
            [mae_pct] => 0.07
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 66
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-06-18T11:08:34-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-06-18T18:08:34-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 81.95000000
            [high_after] => 81.04000000
            [low_before] => 78.26000000
            [low_after] => 77.02000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank
#79 / 105 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
71 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime