18 Jun 2026 at 12:51:20

Long Trade on ARM (CatchTheWave)

With 1.46 ARM at 427.66$ per unit. Take profit: 438.6268 (2.56 %) & Stop Loss: 422.1766 (1.28 %)

Long CatchTheWave on ARM (18 Jun 2026 at 12:51:20 to 15:50:00 - 2 hours )

With 1.459 ARM at 427.66$ per unit.

Position size of 623.9347 $
Take profit at 438.6268 (2.56 %) and Stop Loss at 422.1766 (1.28 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade
Duration: 2 hours

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: 50
ML Pullback Score: 4.01
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.67
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.75
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.69
BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_low

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_4h : range_high

tf_aligned :

18/06 12:01

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

5m : 0.173064

15m : 0.314767

1H_regime : bull_high

15m_regime : bear_high_confirmed

5m_regime : bear_high

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability Évalué à
4h ↔ — bear_high
58%
09/06 04:00
1h ↑ up range range weak fading compression bull_high
73%
09/06 05:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong grind compression bull_high
78%
12/06 20:15
5m ↑ up range bull_trend moderate grind compression bull_medium
71%
12/06 20:25

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.4714
  3. reason: HTF_bullish_stack | KC_pullback(-0.19) | regime:bull_high|ob:ask_pressure(-0.10)
  4. stop_price: 422.17660566
  5. tp_price: 438.62678868
  6. atr: 3.6555962251689
  7. score: 2.3816
  8. confidence_pre_ob: 0.5714
Details
  1. 1H
  2. timeframe : 1H
  3. ema9 : 437.142
  4. ema21 : 432.648
  5. ema50 : 414.795
  6. ema100 : 388.103
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.021691
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.010386
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0430411
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.101921
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.135272
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.2015
  15. ema_slope_50 : 0.286624
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.295321
  17. rsi : 0.48484
  18. adx : 0.61291
  19. kc_percentage : 0.344442
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0824222
  21. volume_ema_diff : 1.33033
  22. rvol_20 : 2.51998
  23. rvol_50 : 2.61817
  24. volume_zscore_50 : 1.22508
  25. volume_vol_ratio : 596.991
  26. chop : 50.1204
  27. regime : bull_high
  28. ¸
  29. 15m
  30. timeframe : 15m
  31. ema9 : 437.896
  32. ema21 : 438.765
  33. ema50 : 437.001
  34. ema100 : 433.938
  35. price_ema9_diff : -0.023376
  36. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00198069
  37. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00403529
  38. price_ema100_diff : -0.0144687
  39. all_emas_in_trend : False
  40. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  41. ema_slope_9 : -0.0215578
  42. ema_slope_21 : 0.0277981
  43. ema_slope_50 : 0.0357051
  44. ema_slope_100 : 0.0327879
  45. rsi : 0.388397
  46. adx : 0.266583
  47. kc_percentage : 0.0398627
  48. kc_width_percentage : 0.0565764
  49. volume_ema_diff : 0.350387
  50. rvol_20 : 0.480191
  51. rvol_50 : 1.03387
  52. volume_zscore_50 : 0.0192528
  53. volume_vol_ratio : 134.069
  54. chop : 34.9029
  55. regime : bear_high_confirmed
  56. ¸
  57. 5m
  58. timeframe : 5m
  59. ema9 : 434.242
  60. ema21 : 438.194
  61. ema50 : 439.602
  62. ema100 : 439.298
  63. price_ema9_diff : -0.0151595
  64. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00901789
  65. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0032018
  66. price_ema100_diff : -0.0264924
  67. all_emas_in_trend : True
  68. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  69. ema_slope_9 : -0.150102
  70. ema_slope_21 : -0.0808536
  71. ema_slope_50 : -0.0260623
  72. ema_slope_100 : -0.00777557
  73. rsi : 0.287947
  74. adx : 0.240915
  75. kc_percentage : -0.190795
  76. kc_width_percentage : 0.0350787
  77. volume_ema_diff : 0.102202
  78. rvol_20 : 0.448424
  79. rvol_50 : 0.316209
  80. volume_zscore_50 : -0.694614
  81. volume_vol_ratio : 49.0505
  82. chop : 36.1095
  83. regime : bear_high
  84. ¸
  85. btc_indicators
  86. btc_indicators
  87. 5m_ema100:
    63674.9
  88. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0158279
  89. 5m_price:
    62667.1
  90. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.173064
  91. btc_indicators
  92. 15m_ema100:
    64248.8
  93. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0245417
  94. 15m_price:
    62672.1
  95. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.314767
  96. btc_indicators
  97. 1H_ema100:
    0
  98. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0
  99. 1H_price:
    62667.1
  100. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    
                                                                                                                                
  101. ¸
  102. market_structures
  103. market_structures
  104. 1H_version: 1.1
  105. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-06-10 23:00:00
                        [1] => 296.52
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-06-11 12:00:00
                        [1] => 309.18
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-06-12 00:00:00
                        [1] => 354.55
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-06-12 07:00:00
                        [1] => 335.44
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-06-16 19:00:00
                        [1] => 415.58
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-06-17 13:00:00
                        [1] => 400.44
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-06-17 18:00:00
                        [1] => 444.68
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-06-18 04:00:00
                        [1] => 428.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-06-18 13:00:00
                        [1] => 452.91
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-06-18 16:00:00
                        [1] => 427.26
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.5750590625069
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.093619809951794
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.0033703131583
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  106. market_structures
  107. 15m_version: 1.1
  108. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-06-17 19:45:00
                        [1] => 418.19
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-06-17 22:00:00
                        [1] => 424.69
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-06-18 00:00:00
                        [1] => 438.71
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-06-18 01:00:00
                        [1] => 430.75
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-06-18 03:30:00
                        [1] => 436
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-06-18 04:45:00
                        [1] => 428.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-06-18 08:45:00
                        [1] => 439.33
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-06-18 11:30:00
                        [1] => 430.87
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-06-18 13:45:00
                        [1] => 452.91
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-06-18 16:30:00
                        [1] => 427.26
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.3277693139918
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.35575527781678
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 12
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.0033703131583
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  109. market_structures
  110. 5m_version: 1.1
  111. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-06-18 11:40:00
                        [1] => 430.87
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-06-18 13:05:00
                        [1] => 434.58
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-06-18 13:45:00
                        [1] => 452.91
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-06-18 14:05:00
                        [1] => 434.76
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-06-18 14:25:00
                        [1] => 445.37
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-06-18 14:45:00
                        [1] => 436.77
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-06-18 15:00:00
                        [1] => 449.6
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-06-18 15:50:00
                        [1] => 439.39
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-06-18 16:25:00
                        [1] => 445.28
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-06-18 16:35:00
                        [1] => 427.26
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.9570607258354
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.093619809951794
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.2175724383279
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 1
            )
    
    )
    
  112. ¸
  113. market_structure_v2
  114. error : DataFrame trop court (108 lignes). Minimum 120 requis.
  115. ¸
  116. trend_analyzer_1h
  117. ¸
  118. orderbook_context
  119. obi_top5 : -0.2659
  120. obi_top10 : -0.1413
  121. micro_price : 427.843
  122. spread_pct : 0.030386
  123. mid_price : 427.895
  124. bid_wall_price : 424
  125. bid_wall_size : 280.35
  126. bid_wall_dist_atr : 1.0655
  127. ask_wall_price : 432
  128. ask_wall_size : 352.978
  129. ask_wall_dist_atr : 1.1229
  130. snapshots_count : 5
  131. obi_top5_mean : -0.2701
  132. obi_top5_std : 0.0528
  133. pressure_side : ask
  134. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  135. collection_ms : 7063
  136. aggregation_tick : 1
  137. error :
  138. ¸

Signaux confirmants (4)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 12:51 427.66000000 0%
2 12:52 429.34000000 +0.393%
3 12:57 427.65000000 -0.002%
4 13:03 428.76000000 +0.257%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-3.96%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.09%
Bars Since Swing High
5 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.22%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
5.0834
1.20%
TP to Pivot Distance
14.2832
3.26%
DateTime Price Type
2026-06-18 11:40:00 430.87 ↓ Low
2026-06-18 13:05:00 434.58 ↓ Low
2026-06-18 13:45:00 452.91 ↑ High
2026-06-18 14:05:00 434.76 ↓ Low
2026-06-18 14:25:00 445.37 ↑ High
2026-06-18 14:45:00 436.77 ↓ Low
2026-06-18 15:00:00 449.6 ↑ High
2026-06-18 15:50:00 439.39 ↓ Low
2026-06-18 16:25:00 445.28 ↑ High
2026-06-18 16:35:00 427.26 ↓ Low
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-5.33%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.36%
Bars Since Swing High
12 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.00%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3.9866
0.94%
TP to Pivot Distance
14.2832
3.26%
DateTime Price Type
2026-06-17 19:45:00 418.19 ↓ Low
2026-06-17 22:00:00 424.69 ↓ Low
2026-06-18 00:00:00 438.71 ↑ High
2026-06-18 01:00:00 430.75 ↓ Low
2026-06-18 03:30:00 436 ↑ High
2026-06-18 04:45:00 428.46 ↓ Low
2026-06-18 08:45:00 439.33 ↑ High
2026-06-18 11:30:00 430.87 ↓ Low
2026-06-18 13:45:00 452.91 ↑ High
2026-06-18 16:30:00 427.26 ↓ Low
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-5.58%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.09%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.00%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
125.6566
29.76%
TP to Pivot Distance
14.2832
3.26%
DateTime Price Type
2026-06-10 23:00:00 296.52 ↓ Low
2026-06-11 12:00:00 309.18 ↓ Low
2026-06-12 00:00:00 354.55 ↑ High
2026-06-12 07:00:00 335.44 ↓ Low
2026-06-16 19:00:00 415.58 ↑ High
2026-06-17 13:00:00 400.44 ↓ Low
2026-06-17 18:00:00 444.68 ↑ High
2026-06-18 04:00:00 428.46 ↓ Low
2026-06-18 13:00:00 452.91 ↑ High
2026-06-18 16:00:00 427.26 ↓ Low

Market Structure V2

Error: DataFrame trop court (108 lignes). Minimum 120 requis.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

↓ ask ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7063ms Confidence avant OB : 57%47%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.266
avg -0.270 ± 0.053
OBI Top 10 -0.141

Microstructure

Mid Price
427.8950
Micro Price
427.8430
Spread
0.0304%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
424.0000
Size
280.35
Dist ATR
1.0655

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
432.0000
Size
352.98
Dist ATR
1.1229

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
18 Jun 2026
12:51:20
18 Jun 2026
15:50:00
2 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
427.66 422.1766 438.6268 2 432.1
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 427.66
  • Stop Loss: 422.1766
  • Take Profit: 438.6268

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 422.1766 - 427.66 = -5.4834

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 427.66 - 438.6268 = -10.9668

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -10.9668 / -5.4834 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
623.9347 100 1.459 6.24
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -5.4834

Taille de position = 8 / -5.4834 = -1.46

Taille de position USD = -1.46 x 427.66 = -624.38

Donc, tu peux acheter -1.46 avec un stoploss a 422.1766

Avec un position size USD de -624.38$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -1.46 x -5.4834 = 8.01

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -1.46 x -10.9668 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -1.46
  • Taille de position USD -624.38
  • Perte potentielle 8.01
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.56 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.28 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 2.56
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.8558 % 66.74 % 9

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 438.6268
            [stop_loss] => 422.1766
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-06-18 19:50:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 441.3685
            [stop_loss] => 422.1766
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-06-18 19:50:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 6.56
            [max_drawdown] => 3.66
            [rr_ratio] => 1.79
            [high] => 434.22000000
            [low] => 424.00000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.53
            [mae_pct] => 0.86
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.79
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-06-18T12:51:20-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-06-18T14:51:20-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 15.74
            [max_drawdown] => 3.66
            [rr_ratio] => 4.3
            [high] => 443.40000000
            [low] => 424.00000000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.68
            [mae_pct] => 0.86
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.3
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-06-18T12:51:20-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-06-18T19:51:20-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 452.91000000
            [high_after] => 443.40000000
            [low_before] => 427.26000000
            [low_after] => 424.00000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank
#10 / 105 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
47 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime