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Short Trade on ARX

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25 Jun 2026 at 16:36:20

Short Trade on ARX (BosPullback)

With 430.39 ARX at 0.248$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2016 (18.74 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2667 (7.5 %)

Short BosPullback on ARX (25 Jun 2026 at 16:36:20 to 19:55:00 - 3 hours )

With 430.388 ARX at 0.2481$ per unit.

Position size of 106.775 $
Take profit at 0.2016 (18.74 %) and Stop Loss at 0.2667 (7.5 %)

That's a 2.5 RR Trade
Duration: 3 hours

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.33
Prediction Score:
Prediction 1 Probability
n/a
Prediction 2 Probability
n/a
Prediction 3 Probability
n/a
BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 2

ml_regime : bull_high

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_4h : bear_high_confirmed

tf_aligned : 1

25/06 16:00
BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability Évalué à
4h ↔ — — — — — — unknown
40%
25/06 20:00
1h ↔ — — — — — — bear_high
55%
25/06 20:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong grind compression bear_high
76%
25/06 20:30
5m ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced compression range_high
45%
25/06 20:30

Signal

BosPullback - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.86
  3. reason: bos_pullback_short|score=3|shallow|bars_since_bos=7|retests=1|break_atr=1.00|prog=0.46|zone=weak
  4. stop_price: 0.26667788
  5. tp_price: 0.20162031
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.86
  8. confidence_pre_ob: 0.86
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
    5. ¸
  5. market_structures
    6. ¸
  6. market_structure_v2
  7. timeframe : 1h
  8. state : pullback_down
  9. confidence : 0.554
  10. trend_strength : -0.3984
  11. trend_persistence : 0.5
  12. high_delta_atr : -0.3038
  13. low_delta_atr : -1.1172
  14. current_swing_amp_atr : 2.9351
  15. current_swing_speed : 0.97836
  16. current_swing_efficiency : 0.6298
  17. retracement_ratio : 0.9132
  18. extension_ratio : 1.3411
  19. compression_score : 0.5812
  20. swing_entropy : 1
  21. breakout_strength : -1.7829
  22. distance_to_last_high_atr : -1.4791
  23. distance_to_last_low_atr : 1.719
  24. pivot_count : 9
  25. swing_count : 8
  26. market_structure_v2
  27. last_pivot_kind: high
  28. last_pivot_price: 
    0.26572
  29. last_pivot_index: 
    76
    30. ¸
  30. trend_analyzer_1h
    31. ¸
  31. orderbook_context
  32. obi_top5 : 0.0235
  33. obi_top10 : 0.1713
  34. micro_price : 0.24777007
  35. spread_pct : 0.100977
  36. mid_price : 0.247705
  37. bid_wall_price : 0.246
  38. bid_wall_size : 72205.6
  39. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  40. ask_wall_price : 0.249
  41. ask_wall_size : 63227
  42. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  43. snapshots_count : 5
  44. obi_top5_mean : 0.0289
  45. obi_top5_std : 0.0039
  46. pressure_side : neutral
  47. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  48. collection_ms : 6983
  49. aggregation_tick : 0.001
  50. error :
    51. ¸
  51. strategy_details
  52. strategy : bos_pullback
  53. ms_state_1h : pullback_down
  54. strategy_details
  55. pivots_1h_0: 
    Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-22 13:00:00
    [price] => 0.399
    [kind] => high
    [label] => 
)
  56. pivots_1h_1: 
    Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-22 14:00:00
    [price] => 0.22878
    [kind] => low
    [label] => 
)
  57. pivots_1h_2: 
    Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-23 02:00:00
    [price] => 0.45448
    [kind] => high
    [label] => 
)
  58. pivots_1h_3: 
    Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-24 15:00:00
    [price] => 0.25204
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)
  59. pivots_1h_4: 
    Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-25 00:00:00
    [price] => 0.28051
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)
  60. pivots_1h_5: 
    Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-25 02:00:00
    [price] => 0.24065
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)
  61. pivots_1h_6: 
    Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-25 06:00:00
    [price] => 0.26938
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)
  62. pivots_1h_7: 
    Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-25 13:00:00
    [price] => 0.22719
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)
  63. pivots_1h_8: 
    Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-25 16:00:00
    [price] => 0.26572
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)
  64. strategy_details
  65. pivots_15m_0: 
    Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-24 21:30:00
    [price] => 0.27412
    [kind] => high
    [label] => 
)
  66. pivots_15m_1: 
    Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-24 22:30:00
    [price] => 0.2665
    [kind] => low
    [label] => 
)
  67. pivots_15m_2: 
    Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-25 00:00:00
    [price] => 0.28051
    [kind] => high
    [label] => 
)
  68. pivots_15m_3: 
    Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-25 02:30:00
    [price] => 0.24065
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)
  69. pivots_15m_4: 
    Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-25 06:45:00
    [price] => 0.26938
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)
  70. pivots_15m_5: 
    Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-25 11:00:00
    [price] => 0.23544
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)
  71. pivots_15m_6: 
    Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-25 12:00:00
    [price] => 0.24797
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)
  72. pivots_15m_7: 
    Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-25 13:45:00
    [price] => 0.22719
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)
  73. pivots_15m_8: 
    Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-25 16:45:00
    [price] => 0.26572
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)
  74. pivots_15m_9: 
    Array
(
    [time] => 2026-06-25 17:00:00
    [price] => 0.24652
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)
  75. bos_level_long : 0
  76. bos_level_short : 0.24065
  77. strategy_details
  78. levels_hl_price: 
    0.22719
  79. levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-06-25 13:00:00
  80. levels_hh_price: 
    0.26572
  81. levels_lh_price: 
    0.26572
  82. levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-06-25 16:00:00
  83. levels_ll_price: 
    0.22719
  84. strategy_details
  85. demand_zone_top: 
    0.24838
  86. demand_zone_bottom: 
    0.22719
  87. demand_zone_mid: 
    0.237785
  88. demand_zone_freshness: tested
  89. demand_zone_strength: 
    0.7889
  90. strategy_details
  91. supply_zone_top: 
    0.28051
  92. supply_zone_bottom: 
    0.25572
  93. supply_zone_mid: 
    0.268115
  94. supply_zone_freshness: weak
  95. supply_zone_strength: 
    1.143
    96. ¸
  96. regimes
  97. 1H : bear_high
  98. 15m : range_high
    99. ¸

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 16:36 0.24809000 -0.004%
2 16:42 0.24809000 -0.004%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ pullback_down
Confidence 55%

Trend

Trend Strength
-0.398
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
-0.304
Low Δ ATR
-1.117

Current Swing

Amp ATR
2.935
Speed
0.978
Efficiency
0.630

Structure

Retracement
0.913
Extension
1.341
Compression
0.581
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
-1.783
Dist High ATR
-1.479
Dist Low ATR
1.719
9 pivots · 8 swings · Last pivot: ↑ 0.2657 @ bar 76

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6983ms Confidence avant OB : 86% → 86%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.024
avg 0.029 ± 0.004
OBI Top 10 0.171

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.2477
Micro Price
0.2478
Spread
0.1010%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
0.2460
Size
72,205.60

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
0.2490
Size
63,227.00

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
25 Jun 2026
16:36:20		 25 Jun 2026
19:55:00		 3 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2481 0.2667 0.2016 2.5 0.1614
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2481
  • Stop Loss: 0.2667
  • Take Profit: 0.2016

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2667 - 0.2481 = 0.0186

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2481 - 0.2016 = 0.0465

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0465 / 0.0186 = 2.5

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
106.775 100 430.388 1.07
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0186

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0186 = 430.11

Taille de position USD = 430.11 x 0.2481 = 106.71

Donc, tu peux acheter 430.11 avec un stoploss a 0.2667

Avec un position size USD de 106.71$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 430.11 x 0.0186 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 430.11 x 0.0465 = 20

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 430.11
  • Taille de position USD 106.71
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
18.74 % 20.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
7.5 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -7.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-8.0008 % 106.72 % 5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00333
            [max_drawdown] => 0.01095
            [rr_ratio] => 0.3
            [high] => 0.25905000
            [low] => 0.24477000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.34
            [mae_pct] => 4.41
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.3
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-06-25T16:36:20-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-06-25T18:36:20-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00575
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0389
            [rr_ratio] => 0.15
            [high] => 0.28700000
            [low] => 0.24235000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.32
            [mae_pct] => 15.68
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.15
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-06-25T16:36:20-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-06-25T23:36:20-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.26572000
            [high_after] => 0.26795000
            [low_before] => 0.24652000
            [low_after] => 0.24235000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank
#5 / n/a OK
seuil : top 15 · score du 25/06/2026 16:00
Signal Confidence
86 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime