Short Trade on MUU (CatchTheWave)
With 0.45 MUU at 706.27$ per unit. Take profit: 670.8189 (5.02 %) & Stop Loss: 723.9955 (2.51 %)
Short Trade on MUU (CatchTheWave)
With 0.45 MUU at 706.27$ per unit. Take profit: 670.8189 (5.02 %) & Stop Loss: 723.9955 (2.51 %)
Position size of 318.7583 $
Take profit at 670.8189 (5.02 %)
and Stop Loss at 723.9955 (2.51 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.61 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.68 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.54 |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_4h : range_high tf_aligned : 08/07 09:00 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.551387 15m : 0.580115 |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bull_high_confirmed |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
53%
|
08/07 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
74%
|
08/07 12:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
72%
|
08/07 13:30 |
| 5m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
67%
|
08/07 13:35 |
Indicators:
62247.5
-0.00416573
61988.2
0.551387
62817.1
-0.0127863
62013.9
0.580115
62974.9
-0.0156695
61988.2
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-05 15:00:00
[1] => 823.62
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-06 00:00:00
[1] => 850.16
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-06 02:00:00
[1] => 755.03
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-06 14:00:00
[1] => 814.56
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-07 05:00:00
[1] => 657.36
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-07 07:00:00
[1] => 707.48
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-07 14:00:00
[1] => 618.18
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-08 01:00:00
[1] => 712.61
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-08 09:00:00
[1] => 595.18
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-08 13:00:00
[1] => 710.65
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.61633715612467
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 18.66494169831
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 19.400853523304
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-07 23:30:00
[1] => 650.71
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-08 01:00:00
[1] => 712.61
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-08 02:00:00
[1] => 670.94
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-08 03:15:00
[1] => 697.43
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-08 06:45:00
[1] => 630.66
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-08 08:15:00
[1] => 653.6
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-08 09:15:00
[1] => 595.18
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-08 10:30:00
[1] => 638
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-08 13:15:00
[1] => 631.3
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-08 13:30:00
[1] => 690.26
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.48532437052705
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 8.8088072231902
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.3394582607318
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-08 06:45:00
[1] => 630.66
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-08 08:15:00
[1] => 653.6
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-08 08:35:00
[1] => 600.28
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-08 09:15:00
[1] => 595.18
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-08 10:30:00
[1] => 638
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-08 11:10:00
[1] => 618.24
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-08 12:05:00
[1] => 644.26
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-08 12:55:00
[1] => 651.36
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-08 13:25:00
[1] => 631.3
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-08 13:40:00
[1] => 710.65
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.61633715612467
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 11.875495010296
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 12.56930144147
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
595.18
195
0.4625
0.5623
0.3255
0.3006
0.3458
1
0.0863
0.5341
0.3488
0.9177
0.6428
0.4357
-0.0449
-0.0633
0.6667
1.4062
0.3999
0.5
0.5
-1
4
1
0.3987
0.4815
4.2655
0.5
1.8971
4.1714
0.3999
0
0.2054
0.98
0.1946
0.6968
0.4741
0.705
0.4357
-4.4003
3.3973
1
0
0
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 06:45:00 | 630.66 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-08 08:15:00 | 653.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-08 08:35:00 | 600.28 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-08 09:15:00 | 595.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-08 10:30:00 | 638 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-08 11:10:00 | 618.24 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-08 12:05:00 | 644.26 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-08 12:55:00 | 651.36 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-08 13:25:00 | 631.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-08 13:40:00 | 710.65 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 23:30:00 | 650.71 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-08 01:00:00 | 712.61 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-08 02:00:00 | 670.94 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-08 03:15:00 | 697.43 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-08 06:45:00 | 630.66 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-08 08:15:00 | 653.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-08 09:15:00 | 595.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-08 10:30:00 | 638 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-08 13:15:00 | 631.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-08 13:30:00 | 690.26 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 15:00:00 | 823.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-06 00:00:00 | 850.16 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-06 02:00:00 | 755.03 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-06 14:00:00 | 814.56 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-07 05:00:00 | 657.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-07 07:00:00 | 707.48 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-07 14:00:00 | 618.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-08 01:00:00 | 712.61 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-08 09:00:00 | 595.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-08 13:00:00 | 710.65 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul 2026 09:42:13 |
08 Jul 2026 11:10:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 706.27 | 723.9955 | 670.8189 | 2 | 663.67 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 723.9955 - 706.27 = 17.7255
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 706.27 - 670.8189 = 35.4511
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 35.4511 / 17.7255 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 318.7583 | 100 | 0.4513 | 3.19 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 17.7255 = 0.45
Taille de position USD = 0.45 x 706.27 = 317.82
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.45 avec un stoploss a 723.9955
Avec un position size USD de 317.82$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.45 x 17.7255 = 7.98
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.98$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.45 x 35.4511 = 15.95
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.95$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.02 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 5.02 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.4725 % | 58.67 % | 8 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 670.819
[stop_loss] => 723.9955
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-07-08 15:10:00+00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 661.95625
[stop_loss] => 723.9955
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-07-08 15:20:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 653.0935
[stop_loss] => 723.9955
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-07-08 15:20:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 55.36
[max_drawdown] => 10.4
[rr_ratio] => 5.32
[high] => 716.67000000
[low] => 650.91000000
[mfe_pct] => 7.84
[mae_pct] => 1.47
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.32
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-07-08T09:42:13-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-07-08T11:42:13-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 55.36
[max_drawdown] => 10.4
[rr_ratio] => 5.32
[high] => 716.67000000
[low] => 650.91000000
[mfe_pct] => 7.84
[mae_pct] => 1.47
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.32
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-07-08T09:42:13-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-07-08T16:42:13-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 710.65000000
[high_after] => 716.67000000
[low_before] => 611.13000000
[low_after] => 650.91000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?