Short Trade on SKHY (CatchTheWave)
With 3.36 SKHY at 160.83$ per unit. Take profit: 156.0633 (2.96 %) & Stop Loss: 163.2133 (1.48 %)
Short Trade on SKHY (CatchTheWave)
With 3.36 SKHY at 160.83$ per unit. Take profit: 156.0633 (2.96 %) & Stop Loss: 163.2133 (1.48 %)
Position size of 539.8468 $
Take profit at 156.0633 (2.96 %)
and Stop Loss at 163.2133 (1.48 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Strong Trade
|
0.59 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.49 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.55 |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : bull_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_4h : range_medium tf_aligned : 14/07 01:00 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.441313 15m : 0.366928 |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bull_high |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↔ — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high_confirmed |
48%
|
14/07 04:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
76%
|
14/07 05:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
61%
|
14/07 05:00 |
| 5m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high |
71%
|
14/07 05:10 |
Indicators:
62428.5
0.00520976
62753.8
0.441313
62479.5
0.00438946
62753.8
0.366928
63385
-0.00995841
62753.8
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-10 16:00:00
[1] => 176.92
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-10 23:00:00
[1] => 173.45
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-11 12:00:00
[1] => 171.06
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-11 13:00:00
[1] => 169.41
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-12 00:00:00
[1] => 172.56
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-12 21:00:00
[1] => 171.22
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-13 12:00:00
[1] => 150.86
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-13 14:00:00
[1] => 162.08
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-13 23:00:00
[1] => 149.56
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-14 05:00:00
[1] => 161.97
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.70383404334135
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 7.5354372826959
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 8.2976731746456
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-13 14:30:00
[1] => 162.08
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-13 15:45:00
[1] => 151.54
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-13 18:00:00
[1] => 158.4
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-13 19:45:00
[1] => 151.6
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-13 21:15:00
[1] => 152.14
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-13 22:15:00
[1] => 153.42
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-13 23:00:00
[1] => 149.56
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-14 01:00:00
[1] => 160.75
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-14 03:15:00
[1] => 149.97
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-14 05:00:00
[1] => 161.97
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.70383404334135
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 7.2414482896579
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 8.001600320064
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-13 22:20:00
[1] => 153.42
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-13 23:05:00
[1] => 149.56
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-14 00:45:00
[1] => 152.85
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-14 01:05:00
[1] => 160.75
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-14 02:35:00
[1] => 151.01
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-14 02:40:00
[1] => 154.92
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-14 03:20:00
[1] => 149.97
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-14 03:50:00
[1] => 155.59
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-14 04:15:00
[1] => 152.1
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-14 05:10:00
[1] => 161.97
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.70383404334135
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.7396449704142
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.4891518737673
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
149.97
197
0.6228
0.6005
0.3943
0.2011
0.5525
0.9634
0.2649
0.5446
0.6838
0.976
0.6622
0.4119
0.0142
-0.0296
0.6667
0.9229
0.1907
0.65
0.35
1
4
1
0.5979
0.6687
3.1136
0.5
0.9634
2.9996
0.1907
0.3902
0.3685
0.96
0.4371
0.4634
0.5714
0.6146
0.4119
-3.4267
2.4002
1
0
1
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 22:20:00 | 153.42 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-13 23:05:00 | 149.56 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-14 00:45:00 | 152.85 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-14 01:05:00 | 160.75 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-14 02:35:00 | 151.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-14 02:40:00 | 154.92 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-14 03:20:00 | 149.97 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-14 03:50:00 | 155.59 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-14 04:15:00 | 152.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-14 05:10:00 | 161.97 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 14:30:00 | 162.08 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-13 15:45:00 | 151.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-13 18:00:00 | 158.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-13 19:45:00 | 151.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-13 21:15:00 | 152.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-13 22:15:00 | 153.42 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-13 23:00:00 | 149.56 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-14 01:00:00 | 160.75 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-14 03:15:00 | 149.97 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-14 05:00:00 | 161.97 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 16:00:00 | 176.92 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-10 23:00:00 | 173.45 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-11 12:00:00 | 171.06 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-11 13:00:00 | 169.41 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-12 00:00:00 | 172.56 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-12 21:00:00 | 171.22 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-13 12:00:00 | 150.86 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-13 14:00:00 | 162.08 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-13 23:00:00 | 149.56 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-14 05:00:00 | 161.97 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul 2026 01:18:18 |
14 Jul 2026 01:25:00 |
6 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 160.83 | 163.2133 | 156.0633 | 2 | 179.84 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 163.2133 - 160.83 = 2.3833
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 160.83 - 156.0633 = 4.7667
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 4.7667 / 2.3833 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 539.8468 | 100 | 3.3566 | 5.40 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 2.3833 = 3.36
Taille de position USD = 3.36 x 160.83 = 540.39
Donc, tu peux acheter 3.36 avec un stoploss a 163.2133
Avec un position size USD de 540.39$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 3.36 x 2.3833 = 8.01
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 3.36 x 4.7667 = 16.02
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.02$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.96 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.48 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.48 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.7472 % | 117.9 % | 0 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 156.0633
[entry_price] => 160.83
[stop_loss] => 163.45163
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-07-14 05:25:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 156.0633
[entry_price] => 160.83
[stop_loss] => 163.68996
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-07-14 05:30:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 156.0633
[entry_price] => 160.83
[stop_loss] => 163.92829
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-07-14 05:30:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 156.0633
[entry_price] => 160.83
[stop_loss] => 164.40495
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-07-14 05:30:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => -0.079999999999984
[max_drawdown] => 4.16
[rr_ratio] => -0.02
[high] => 164.99000000
[low] => 160.91000000
[mfe_pct] => -0.05
[mae_pct] => 2.59
[mfe_mae_ratio] => -0.02
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-07-14T01:18:18-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-07-14T03:18:18-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.12
[max_drawdown] => 4.16
[rr_ratio] => 0.03
[high] => 164.99000000
[low] => 160.71000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.07
[mae_pct] => 2.59
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.03
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-07-14T01:18:18-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-07-14T08:18:18-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 161.97000000
[high_after] => 164.99000000
[low_before] => 149.97000000
[low_after] => 160.74000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?