Long Trade on ARX (CatchTheWave)
With 1864.13 ARX at 0.172$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1803 (5.01 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1674 (2.5 %)
Long Trade on ARX (CatchTheWave)
With 1864.13 ARX at 0.172$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1803 (5.01 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1674 (2.5 %)
Position size of 320.1089 $
Take profit at 0.1803 (5.01 %)
and Stop Loss at 0.1674 (2.5 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.59 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.57 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.54 |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : bull_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_4h : range_medium tf_aligned : 17/07 14:01 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.27789 15m : 0.162538 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bear_high |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↔ — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
46%
|
02/07 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
66%
|
05/07 23:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | range_high |
42%
|
17/07 18:30 |
| 5m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
66%
|
17/07 18:45 |
Indicators:
63494.8
0.012979
64319
0.27789
63521.9
0.012117
64291.6
0.162538
63742
0.00905075
64319
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0.19164
197
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1
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1
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8.4507
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0.371
0.98
2.2762
0.5891
0.4975
0.9453
0.4148
-3.0285
2.1467
1
0
0
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:54 | 0.17172000 | +0.012% |
| 2 | 15:00 | 0.17101000 | -0.402% |
| 3 | 15:06 | 0.17111000 | -0.344% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 11:25:00 | 0.17134 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-17 12:10:00 | 0.17591 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-17 13:00:00 | 0.1761 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-17 13:05:00 | 0.17093 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-17 13:35:00 | 0.17135 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-17 15:25:00 | 0.17933 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-17 16:05:00 | 0.17596 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-17 16:55:00 | 0.19164 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-17 18:40:00 | 0.17897 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-17 18:45:00 | 0.17013 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 23:15:00 | 0.16092 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-17 00:15:00 | 0.16485 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-17 01:45:00 | 0.16152 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-17 04:45:00 | 0.1682 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-17 05:15:00 | 0.16497 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-17 08:15:00 | 0.17645 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-17 09:15:00 | 0.16722 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-17 13:00:00 | 0.1761 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-17 16:45:00 | 0.19164 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-17 18:45:00 | 0.17013 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 10:00:00 | 0.16126 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-15 13:00:00 | 0.16622 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-15 17:00:00 | 0.15864 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-16 00:00:00 | 0.16538 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-16 06:00:00 | 0.16556 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-16 11:00:00 | 0.1576 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-16 19:00:00 | 0.158 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-17 08:00:00 | 0.17645 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-17 16:00:00 | 0.19164 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-17 18:00:00 | 0.17013 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul 2026 14:54:14 |
17 Jul 2026 16:05:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1717 | 0.1674 | 0.1803 | 2 | 0.1597 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1674 - 0.1717 = -0.0043
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1717 - 0.1803 = -0.0086
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0086 / -0.0043 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 320.1089 | 100 | 1864.1327 | 3.20 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0043 = -1860.47
Taille de position USD = -1860.47 x 0.1717 = -319.44
Donc, tu peux acheter -1860.47 avec un stoploss a 0.1674
Avec un position size USD de -319.44$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1860.47 x -0.0043 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1860.47 x -0.0086 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.01 % | 16.03 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.02 $ | -2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5277 % | 100.93 % | 2 |
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Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?