Long Trade on ARX (CatchTheWave)
With 2309.83 ARX at 0.169$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1765 (4.13 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1661 (2.01 %)
Long Trade on ARX (CatchTheWave)
With 2309.83 ARX at 0.169$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1765 (4.13 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1661 (2.01 %)
Position size of 391.6084 $
Take profit at 0.1765 (4.13 %)
and Stop Loss at 0.1661 (2.01 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.66 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.52 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.57 |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : bull_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_4h : range_medium tf_aligned : 17/07 15:01 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.287943 15m : 0.170621 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bear_high |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↔ — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
46%
|
02/07 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
66%
|
17/07 19:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | range_high |
42%
|
17/07 19:00 |
| 5m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
66%
|
17/07 19:15 |
Indicators:
63554.8
0.00701723
64000.8
0.287943
63535.2
0.0078256
64032.5
0.170621
63700.9
0.00470759
64000.8
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1.9547
1
0
0
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:24 | 0.16954000 | +0.024% |
| 2 | 15:36 | 0.16887000 | -0.372% |
| 3 | 15:42 | 0.16882000 | -0.401% |
| 4 | 15:48 | 0.16899000 | -0.301% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 11:25:00 | 0.17134 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-17 12:10:00 | 0.17591 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-17 13:00:00 | 0.1761 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-17 13:05:00 | 0.17093 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-17 13:35:00 | 0.17135 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-17 15:25:00 | 0.17933 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-17 16:05:00 | 0.17596 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-17 16:55:00 | 0.19164 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-17 18:40:00 | 0.17897 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-17 19:10:00 | 0.16867 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 23:15:00 | 0.16092 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-17 00:15:00 | 0.16485 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-17 01:45:00 | 0.16152 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-17 04:45:00 | 0.1682 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-17 05:15:00 | 0.16497 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-17 08:15:00 | 0.17645 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-17 09:15:00 | 0.16722 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-17 13:00:00 | 0.1761 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-17 16:45:00 | 0.19164 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-17 19:00:00 | 0.16867 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 10:00:00 | 0.16126 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-15 13:00:00 | 0.16622 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-15 17:00:00 | 0.15864 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-16 00:00:00 | 0.16538 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-16 06:00:00 | 0.16556 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-16 11:00:00 | 0.1576 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-16 19:00:00 | 0.158 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-17 08:00:00 | 0.17645 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-17 16:00:00 | 0.19164 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-17 19:00:00 | 0.16867 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul 2026 15:24:12 |
17 Jul 2026 16:20:00 |
55 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1695 | 0.1661 | 0.1765 | 2.06 | 0.1593 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1661 - 0.1695 = -0.0034
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1695 - 0.1765 = -0.007
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.007 / -0.0034 = 2.0588
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 391.6084 | 100 | 2309.8289 | 3.92 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0034 = -2352.94
Taille de position USD = -2352.94 x 0.1695 = -398.82
Donc, tu peux acheter -2352.94 avec un stoploss a 0.1661
Avec un position size USD de -398.82$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2352.94 x -0.0034 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2352.94 x -0.007 = 16.47
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.47$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.13 % | 16.17 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.01 % | 7.85 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.86 $ | -2.01 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.2478 % | 112.06 % | 2 |
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Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?