Short Trade on SKDD (CatchTheWave)
With 95.33 SKDD at 14.479$ per unit. Take profit: 14.3112 (1.16 %) & Stop Loss: 14.5629 (0.58 %)
Short Trade on SKDD (CatchTheWave)
With 95.33 SKDD at 14.479$ per unit. Take profit: 14.3112 (1.16 %) & Stop Loss: 14.5629 (0.58 %)
Position size of 1380.2793 $
Take profit at 14.3112 (1.16 %)
and Stop Loss at 14.5629 (0.58 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.53 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.49 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.52 |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 3 |
ml_regime : range_high rules_regime : range_high rules_regime_4h : bear_medium tf_aligned : 03/08 01:01 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : -0.093405 15m : -0.065939 |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bull_medium |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↔ — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
64%
|
03/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
75%
|
03/08 05:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | explosive | compression | bull_high |
75%
|
03/08 05:00 |
| 5m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_low |
57%
|
03/08 05:10 |
Indicators:
63176.6
-0.00614905
62788.2
-0.093405
63251.7
-0.00732875
62788.2
-0.065939
63413.5
-0.00986211
62788.2
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-31 06:00:00
[1] => 11.647
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-31 13:00:00
[1] => 11.505
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-31 21:00:00
[1] => 15.166
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-01 03:00:00
[1] => 15.186
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-01 12:00:00
[1] => 14.721
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-01 21:00:00
[1] => 15.19
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 10:00:00
[1] => 14.026
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 11:00:00
[1] => 14.458
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 23:00:00
[1] => 13.554
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 01:00:00
[1] => 14.566
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.59728134010711
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.8245536373026
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.4664305740003
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 16:00:00
[1] => 14.454
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 16:30:00
[1] => 14.454
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 17:45:00
[1] => 14.014
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 21:30:00
[1] => 13.941
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 22:15:00
[1] => 14.096
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 23:15:00
[1] => 13.554
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 00:00:00
[1] => 14.333
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 01:30:00
[1] => 14.566
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 03:45:00
[1] => 14.516
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 05:15:00
[1] => 14.479
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.8245536373026
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 24
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.25554250984185
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 00:05:00
[1] => 14.333
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 01:05:00
[1] => 13.934
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 01:35:00
[1] => 14.566
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 02:00:00
[1] => 14.056
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 02:35:00
[1] => 14.293
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 03:05:00
[1] => 14.167
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 03:45:00
[1] => 14.516
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 03:50:00
[1] => 14.265
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 04:20:00
[1] => 14.441
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 05:15:00
[1] => 14.479
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5785042795005
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.26313967176787
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
14.056
132
0.5158
0.6362
0.3692
0.2308
0.4825
0.504
0.3701
0.6953
0.6347
0.868
0.6412
0.2436
0.026
-0.0337
0.3333
0.828
-0.0926
0.5333
0.4667
1
4
1
0.5385
0.5869
4.4903
0.55
0.504
2.1451
-0.0926
0.7083
0.3149
0.78
1.3171
0.4657
0.563
0.6732
0.2436
-35.3478
11.3845
1
1
1
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:18 | 14.47900000 | 0% |
| 2 | 01:24 | 14.47900000 | 0% |
| 3 | 01:31 | 14.49100000 | +0.083% |
| 4 | 01:36 | 14.49100000 | +0.083% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 00:05:00 | 14.333 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 01:05:00 | 13.934 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 01:35:00 | 14.566 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 02:00:00 | 14.056 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 02:35:00 | 14.293 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 03:05:00 | 14.167 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 03:45:00 | 14.516 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 03:50:00 | 14.265 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 04:20:00 | 14.441 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 05:15:00 | 14.479 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 14.454 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 16:30:00 | 14.454 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 17:45:00 | 14.014 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 21:30:00 | 13.941 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 22:15:00 | 14.096 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 23:15:00 | 13.554 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 00:00:00 | 14.333 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 01:30:00 | 14.566 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 03:45:00 | 14.516 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 05:15:00 | 14.479 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 06:00:00 | 11.647 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 13:00:00 | 11.505 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 21:00:00 | 15.166 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 03:00:00 | 15.186 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 12:00:00 | 14.721 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 21:00:00 | 15.19 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 10:00:00 | 14.026 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 11:00:00 | 14.458 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 23:00:00 | 13.554 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 01:00:00 | 14.566 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug 2026 01:18:20 |
03 Aug 2026 02:25:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.479 | 14.5629 | 14.3112 | 2 | 7.923 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 14.5629 - 14.479 = 0.083900000000002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 14.479 - 14.3112 = 0.1678
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1678 / 0.083900000000002 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1380.2793 | 100 | 95.3297 | 13.80 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.083900000000002 = 95.35
Taille de position USD = 95.35 x 14.479 = 1380.57
Donc, tu peux acheter 95.35 avec un stoploss a 14.5629
Avec un position size USD de 1380.57$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 95.35 x 0.083900000000002 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 95.35 x 0.1678 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.16 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.58 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.58 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6492 % | 112.03 % | 5 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 14.3112
[entry_price] => 14.479
[stop_loss] => 14.57129
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-03 06:25:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 14.3112
[entry_price] => 14.479
[stop_loss] => 14.57968
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-03 06:55:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 14.3112
[entry_price] => 14.479
[stop_loss] => 14.58807
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-03 06:55:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 14.3112
[entry_price] => 14.479
[stop_loss] => 14.60485
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-03 06:55:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.237
[max_drawdown] => 0.149
[rr_ratio] => 1.59
[high] => 14.62800000
[low] => 14.24200000
[mfe_pct] => 1.64
[mae_pct] => 1.03
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.59
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-08-03T01:18:20-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-08-03T03:18:20-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.237
[max_drawdown] => 1.608
[rr_ratio] => 0.15
[high] => 16.08700000
[low] => 14.24200000
[mfe_pct] => 1.64
[mae_pct] => 11.11
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.15
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-08-03T01:18:20-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-08-03T08:18:20-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 14.56600000
[high_after] => 15.74300000
[low_before] => 14.05600000
[low_after] => 14.24200000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?