23 Aug 2026 at 13:36:21

Long Trade on MRNA (CatchTheWave)

With 72.05 MRNA at 148.16$ per unit. Take profit: 148.3821 (0.15 %) & Stop Loss: 148.049 (0.075 %)

Long CatchTheWave on MRNA (23 Aug 2026 at 13:36:21 to 15:25:00 - 1 hour )

With 72.0482 MRNA at 148.16$ per unit.

Position size of 10674.6602 $
Take profit at 148.3821 (0.15 %) and Stop Loss at 148.049 (0.075 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade
Duration: 1 hour

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 3.57
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.65
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.48
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.61
BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 1

ml_regime : range_high

rules_regime : bull_high_confirmed

rules_regime_4h : bull_high

tf_aligned : 1

23/08 13:01

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

5m : 0.28697

15m : 0.172215

1H_regime : bull_high

15m_regime : bull_low

5m_regime : range_low

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability Évalué à
4h ↔ — unknown
31%
23/08 16:00
1h ↔ — bull_high
57%
23/08 17:00
15m ↑ up range range weak compressed compression bull_low
53%
23/08 17:30
5m ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced compression range_low
49%
23/08 17:30

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.5643
  3. reason: HTF_bullish_stack | KC_pullback(0.02) | regime:bull_high | strong_trend|ob:ask_pressure(-0.10)|ob:obi_bearish(-0.05)
  4. stop_price: 148.04896321
  5. tp_price: 148.38207359
  6. atr: 0.074024529971827
  7. score: 1.9636
  8. confidence_pre_ob: 0.7143
Details
  1. 1H
  2. timeframe : 1H
  3. ema9 : 147.906
  4. ema21 : 146.994
  5. ema50 : 145.846
  6. ema100 : 0
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00171141
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00620413
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00787655
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.144412
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.11231
  15. ema_slope_50 : 0.0693308
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.0243094
  17. rsi : 0.638975
  18. adx : 0.359104
  19. kc_percentage : 0.922607
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0175562
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.72659
  22. rvol_20 : 0.0092288
  23. rvol_50 : 0.0115256
  24. volume_zscore_50 : -1.04233
  25. volume_vol_ratio : 29.3904
  26. chop : 48.369
  27. regime : bull_high
  28. ¸
  29. 15m
  30. timeframe : 15m
  31. ema9 : 148.248
  32. ema21 : 148.111
  33. ema50 : 147.497
  34. ema100 : 146.735
  35. price_ema9_diff : -0.000595095
  36. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000922957
  37. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00416291
  38. price_ema100_diff : 0.00970696
  39. all_emas_in_trend : True
  40. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  41. ema_slope_9 : 0.0106846
  42. ema_slope_21 : 0.0192092
  43. ema_slope_50 : 0.0270634
  44. ema_slope_100 : 0.0237438
  45. rsi : 0.542723
  46. adx : 0.436814
  47. kc_percentage : 0.532624
  48. kc_width_percentage : 0.00643703
  49. volume_ema_diff : -0.915253
  50. rvol_20 : 0.0917651
  51. rvol_50 : 0.0710179
  52. volume_zscore_50 : -0.654499
  53. volume_vol_ratio : 95.6247
  54. chop : 54.6872
  55. regime : bull_low
  56. ¸
  57. 5m
  58. timeframe : 5m
  59. ema9 : 148.245
  60. ema21 : 148.268
  61. ema50 : 148.202
  62. ema100 : 148.008
  63. price_ema9_diff : -0.000575742
  64. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000157133
  65. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00044886
  66. price_ema100_diff : 0.0010262
  67. all_emas_in_trend : False
  68. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  69. ema_slope_9 : -0.0038991
  70. ema_slope_21 : -0.00157987
  71. ema_slope_50 : 0.00203786
  72. ema_slope_100 : 0.00388894
  73. rsi : 0.42341
  74. adx : 0.16108
  75. kc_percentage : 0.0181912
  76. kc_width_percentage : 0.00152147
  77. volume_ema_diff : -0.899675
  78. rvol_20 : 0
  79. rvol_50 : 0
  80. volume_zscore_50 : -0.394476
  81. volume_vol_ratio : 0
  82. chop : 79.2064
  83. regime : range_low
  84. ¸
  85. btc_indicators
  86. btc_indicators
  87. 5m_ema100:
    77114.6
  88. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00158011
  89. 5m_price:
    77236.5
  90. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.28697
  91. btc_indicators
  92. 15m_ema100:
    77024.5
  93. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00255576
  94. 15m_price:
    77221.4
  95. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.172215
  96. btc_indicators
  97. 1H_ema100:
    74729.3
  98. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0335495
  99. 1H_price:
    77236.5
  100. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    
                                                                                                                                
  101. ¸
  102. market_structures
  103. market_structures
  104. 1H_version: 1.1
  105. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-20 12:00:00
                        [1] => 166.68
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-20 17:00:00
                        [1] => 128.73
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-21 01:00:00
                        [1] => 128.98
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-21 08:00:00
                        [1] => 131.41
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-21 14:00:00
                        [1] => 159.85
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-22 05:00:00
                        [1] => 144
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-22 22:00:00
                        [1] => 144.4
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-23 14:00:00
                        [1] => 148.94
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.52370081912179
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.6038781163435
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 19
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.1440443213296
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  106. market_structures
  107. 15m_version: 1.1
  108. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-23 01:15:00
                        [1] => 145.18
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-23 02:00:00
                        [1] => 144.71
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-23 02:45:00
                        [1] => 146.17
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-23 04:30:00
                        [1] => 145.93
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-23 05:45:00
                        [1] => 145.6
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-23 12:15:00
                        [1] => 148.82
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-23 12:30:00
                        [1] => 147.57
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-23 14:45:00
                        [1] => 148.94
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-23 15:15:00
                        [1] => 147.82
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-23 17:30:00
                        [1] => 148.15
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.52370081912179
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.0067499156260485
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 11
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.22324448653769
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  109. market_structures
  110. 5m_version: 1.1
  111. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-23 14:40:00
                        [1] => 147.92
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-23 14:50:00
                        [1] => 148.94
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-23 15:15:00
                        [1] => 147.82
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-23 16:00:00
                        [1] => 148.74
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-23 16:10:00
                        [1] => 148.74
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-23 16:20:00
                        [1] => 148.23
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-23 16:30:00
                        [1] => 148.23
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-23 16:40:00
                        [1] => 148.23
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-23 17:15:00
                        [1] => 148.33
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-23 17:30:00
                        [1] => 148.15
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.11460931706332
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.0067499156260485
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.12149848126899
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  112. ¸
  113. market_structure_v2
  114. error : DataFrame trop court (82 lignes). Minimum 120 requis.
  115. ¸
  116. trend_analyzer_1h
  117. ¸
  118. orderbook_context
  119. obi_top5 : -0.4045
  120. obi_top10 : -0.2889
  121. micro_price : 148.15973404
  122. spread_pct : 0.00675
  123. mid_price : 148.155
  124. bid_wall_price : 148
  125. bid_wall_size : 676.07
  126. bid_wall_dist_atr : 2.0939
  127. ask_wall_price : 149
  128. ask_wall_size : 1442.05
  129. ask_wall_dist_atr : 11.4151
  130. snapshots_count : 5
  131. obi_top5_mean : -0.4044
  132. obi_top5_std : 0
  133. pressure_side : ask
  134. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  135. collection_ms : 7078
  136. aggregation_tick : 1
  137. error :
  138. ¸

Signaux confirmants (11)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 13:36 148.16000000 0%
2 13:42 148.15000000 -0.007%
3 13:48 148.15000000 -0.007%
4 13:54 148.11000000 -0.034%
5 14:00 148.10000000 -0.04%
6 14:06 148.10000000 -0.04%
7 14:12 148.11000000 -0.034%
8 14:48 148.10000000 -0.04%
9 14:54 148.10000000 -0.04%
10 15:01 148.10000000 -0.04%
11 15:06 148.05000000 -0.074%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.11%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.01%
Bars Since Swing High
4 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.12%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2290
0.15%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.5579
0.38%
DateTime Price Type
2026-08-23 14:40:00 147.92 ↓ Low
2026-08-23 14:50:00 148.94 ↑ High
2026-08-23 15:15:00 147.82 ↓ Low
2026-08-23 16:00:00 148.74 ↑ High
2026-08-23 16:10:00 148.74 ↑ High
2026-08-23 16:20:00 148.23 ↓ Low
2026-08-23 16:30:00 148.23 ↓ Low
2026-08-23 16:40:00 148.23 ↓ Low
2026-08-23 17:15:00 148.33 ↑ High
2026-08-23 17:30:00 148.15 ↓ Low
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.52%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.01%
Bars Since Swing High
11 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.22%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3.3390
2.26%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.5579
0.38%
DateTime Price Type
2026-08-23 01:15:00 145.18 ↑ High
2026-08-23 02:00:00 144.71 ↓ Low
2026-08-23 02:45:00 146.17 ↑ High
2026-08-23 04:30:00 145.93 ↑ High
2026-08-23 05:45:00 145.6 ↓ Low
2026-08-23 12:15:00 148.82 ↑ High
2026-08-23 12:30:00 147.57 ↓ Low
2026-08-23 14:45:00 148.94 ↑ High
2026-08-23 15:15:00 147.82 ↓ Low
2026-08-23 17:30:00 148.15 ↓ Low
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.52%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.60%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
19 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.14%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
19.3190
13.05%
TP to Pivot Distance
18.2979
12.33%
DateTime Price Type
2026-08-20 12:00:00 166.68 ↑ High
2026-08-20 17:00:00 128.73 ↓ Low
2026-08-21 01:00:00 128.98 ↓ Low
2026-08-21 08:00:00 131.41 ↓ Low
2026-08-21 14:00:00 159.85 ↑ High
2026-08-22 05:00:00 144 ↓ Low
2026-08-22 22:00:00 144.4 ↓ Low
2026-08-23 14:00:00 148.94 ↑ High

Market Structure V2

Error: DataFrame trop court (82 lignes). Minimum 120 requis.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

↓ ask ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7078ms Confidence avant OB : 71%56%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.405
avg -0.404 ± 0.000
OBI Top 10 -0.289

Microstructure

Mid Price
148.1550
Micro Price
148.1597
Spread
0.0068%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
148.0000
Size
676.07
Dist ATR
2.0939

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
149.0000
Size
1,442.05
Dist ATR
11.4151

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
23 Aug 2026
13:36:21
23 Aug 2026
15:25:00
1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
148.16 148.049 148.3821 2 148.6
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 148.16
  • Stop Loss: 148.049
  • Take Profit: 148.3821

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 148.049 - 148.16 = -0.11099999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 148.16 - 148.3821 = -0.22210000000001

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.22210000000001 / -0.11099999999999 = 2.0009

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
10674.6602 100 72.0482 106.75
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.11099999999999

Taille de position = 8 / -0.11099999999999 = -72.07

Taille de position USD = -72.07 x 148.16 = -10677.89

Donc, tu peux acheter -72.07 avec un stoploss a 148.049

Avec un position size USD de -10677.89$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -72.07 x -0.11099999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -72.07 x -0.22210000000001 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -72.07
  • Taille de position USD -10677.89
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0009

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.15 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.075 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.07
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1012 % 135.11 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 148.3821
            [entry_price] => 148.16
            [stop_loss] => 148.0379
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-23 19:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 148.3821
            [entry_price] => 148.16
            [stop_loss] => 148.0268
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-23 19:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 148.3821
            [entry_price] => 148.16
            [stop_loss] => 148.0157
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-23 19:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 148.3821
            [entry_price] => 148.16
            [stop_loss] => 147.9935
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-23 19:45:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0
            [max_drawdown] => 0.15000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 0
            [high] => 148.16000000
            [low] => 148.01000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0
            [mae_pct] => 0.1
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-08-23T13:36:21-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-08-23T15:36:21-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 5.64
            [max_drawdown] => 0.72
            [rr_ratio] => 7.83
            [high] => 153.80000000
            [low] => 147.44000000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.81
            [mae_pct] => 0.49
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 7.83
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-08-23T13:36:21-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-08-23T20:36:21-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 148.94000000
            [high_after] => 148.63000000
            [low_before] => 147.82000000
            [low_after] => 147.84000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank
#2 / n/a OK
seuil : top 15 · score du 23/08/2026 13:00
Signal Confidence
56 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime