23 Aug 2026 at 15:54:20

Long Trade on MRNA (CatchTheWave)

With 166.88 MRNA at 147.87$ per unit. Take profit: 147.9659 (0.065 %) & Stop Loss: 147.8221 (0.032 %)

Long CatchTheWave on MRNA (23 Aug 2026 at 15:54:20 to 17:05:00 - 1 hour )

With 166.8826 MRNA at 147.87$ per unit.

Position size of 24676.9309 $
Take profit at 147.9659 (0.065 %) and Stop Loss at 147.8221 (0.032 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade
Duration: 1 hour

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 8.18
Prediction Score: 5
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.64
Prediction 2 Probability
2 0.67
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.63
BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 1

ml_regime : range_high

rules_regime : bull_high_confirmed

rules_regime_4h : bull_high

tf_aligned : 1

23/08 15:01

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

5m : 0.304649

15m : 0.177094

1H_regime : bull_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability Évalué à
4h ↔ — unknown
31%
23/08 16:00
1h ↔ — bull_medium
57%
23/08 19:00
15m ↑ up range range weak compressed compression range_low
42%
23/08 19:30
5m ↓ down range range moderate balanced compression range_low
49%
23/08 19:45

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.3286
  3. reason: HTF_bullish_stack | KC_pullback(-0.99) | regime:bull_medium|ob:ask_pressure(-0.10)
  4. stop_price: 147.82206211
  5. tp_price: 147.96587579
  6. atr: 0.031958596578573
  7. score: 3.9879
  8. confidence_pre_ob: 0.4286
Details
  1. 1H
  2. timeframe : 1H
  3. ema9 : 147.922
  4. ema21 : 147.161
  5. ema50 : 146.008
  6. ema100 : 0
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.000356382
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00517421
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00789699
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.126831
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.109531
  15. ema_slope_50 : 0.0714551
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.02716
  17. rsi : 0.605494
  18. adx : 0.373803
  19. kc_percentage : 0.789351
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0151289
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.848819
  22. rvol_20 : 0.0290461
  23. rvol_50 : 0.0321977
  24. volume_zscore_50 : -0.94628
  25. volume_vol_ratio : 83.373
  26. chop : 47.0962
  27. regime : bull_medium
  28. ¸
  29. 15m
  30. timeframe : 15m
  31. ema9 : 148.051
  32. ema21 : 148.073
  33. ema50 : 147.665
  34. ema100 : 146.95
  35. price_ema9_diff : -0.00122755
  36. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000143826
  37. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00275853
  38. price_ema100_diff : 0.00625501
  39. all_emas_in_trend : False
  40. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  41. ema_slope_9 : -0.0118352
  42. ema_slope_21 : 0.000211727
  43. ema_slope_50 : 0.0148909
  44. ema_slope_100 : 0.0177136
  45. rsi : 0.438209
  46. adx : 0.309796
  47. kc_percentage : 0.0920555
  48. kc_width_percentage : 0.00345458
  49. volume_ema_diff : -0.907729
  50. rvol_20 : 0.925468
  51. rvol_50 : 0.289398
  52. volume_zscore_50 : -0.476692
  53. volume_vol_ratio : 376.736
  54. chop : 72.939
  55. regime : range_low
  56. ¸
  57. 5m
  58. timeframe : 5m
  59. ema9 : 147.983
  60. ema21 : 148.048
  61. ema50 : 148.119
  62. ema100 : 148.155
  63. price_ema9_diff : -0.000766916
  64. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000439442
  65. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00047999
  66. price_ema100_diff : -0.00192398
  67. all_emas_in_trend : True
  68. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  69. ema_slope_9 : -0.00758584
  70. ema_slope_21 : -0.00583832
  71. ema_slope_50 : -0.00375236
  72. ema_slope_100 : -0.00213144
  73. rsi : 0.202276
  74. adx : 0.213532
  75. kc_percentage : -0.993959
  76. kc_width_percentage : 0.000789287
  77. volume_ema_diff : -0.610093
  78. rvol_20 : 0.0337046
  79. rvol_50 : 0.0219156
  80. volume_zscore_50 : -0.415886
  81. volume_vol_ratio : 6.64463
  82. chop : 20.4586
  83. regime : range_low
  84. ¸
  85. btc_indicators
  86. btc_indicators
  87. 5m_ema100:
    77286.7
  88. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.000622266
  89. 5m_price:
    77334.8
  90. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.304649
  91. btc_indicators
  92. 15m_ema100:
    77076.7
  93. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00353645
  94. 15m_price:
    77349.3
  95. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.177094
  96. btc_indicators
  97. 1H_ema100:
    75170.6
  98. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0287902
  99. 1H_price:
    77334.8
  100. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    
                                                                                                                                
  101. ¸
  102. market_structures
  103. market_structures
  104. 1H_version: 1.1
  105. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-20 12:00:00
                        [1] => 166.68
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-20 17:00:00
                        [1] => 128.73
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-21 01:00:00
                        [1] => 128.98
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-21 08:00:00
                        [1] => 131.41
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-21 14:00:00
                        [1] => 159.85
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-22 05:00:00
                        [1] => 144
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-22 22:00:00
                        [1] => 144.4
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-23 14:00:00
                        [1] => 148.94
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.71841009802605
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.4030470914127
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 21
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.1440443213296
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  106. market_structures
  107. 15m_version: 1.1
  108. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-23 01:15:00
                        [1] => 145.18
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-23 02:00:00
                        [1] => 144.71
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-23 02:45:00
                        [1] => 146.17
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-23 04:30:00
                        [1] => 145.93
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-23 05:45:00
                        [1] => 145.6
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-23 12:15:00
                        [1] => 148.82
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-23 12:30:00
                        [1] => 147.57
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-23 14:45:00
                        [1] => 148.94
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-23 15:15:00
                        [1] => 147.82
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-23 19:45:00
                        [1] => 147.86
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.7251242110917
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 20
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.027059937762157
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  109. market_structures
  110. 5m_version: 1.1
  111. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-23 16:30:00
                        [1] => 148.23
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-23 16:40:00
                        [1] => 148.23
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-23 17:15:00
                        [1] => 148.33
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-23 17:45:00
                        [1] => 148.1
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-23 17:55:00
                        [1] => 148.1
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-23 18:05:00
                        [1] => 148.1
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-23 18:15:00
                        [1] => 148.1
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-23 18:20:00
                        [1] => 148.15
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-23 18:30:00
                        [1] => 148.15
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-08-23 19:45:00
                        [1] => 147.86
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.18899763752953
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.0067631543351758
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 16
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.19613147572027
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  112. ¸
  113. market_structure_v2
  114. error : DataFrame trop court (84 lignes). Minimum 120 requis.
  115. ¸
  116. trend_analyzer_1h
  117. ¸
  118. orderbook_context
  119. obi_top5 : -0.2596
  120. obi_top10 : -0.161
  121. micro_price : 147.86909639
  122. spread_pct : 0.006763
  123. mid_price : 147.865
  124. bid_wall_price :
  125. bid_wall_size :
  126. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  127. ask_wall_price : 148
  128. ask_wall_size : 1733.57
  129. ask_wall_dist_atr : 4.2242
  130. snapshots_count : 5
  131. obi_top5_mean : -0.2596
  132. obi_top5_std : 0
  133. pressure_side : ask
  134. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  135. collection_ms : 7060
  136. aggregation_tick : 1
  137. error :
  138. ¸

Signaux confirmants (6)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 15:54 147.87000000 0%
2 16:00 147.87000000 0%
3 16:06 147.89000000 +0.014%
4 16:12 147.89000000 +0.014%
5 16:18 147.86000000 -0.007%
6 16:24 147.91000000 +0.027%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.19%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.01%
Bars Since Swing High
16 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.20%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0379
0.03%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.3641
0.25%
DateTime Price Type
2026-08-23 16:30:00 148.23 ↓ Low
2026-08-23 16:40:00 148.23 ↓ Low
2026-08-23 17:15:00 148.33 ↑ High
2026-08-23 17:45:00 148.1 ↓ Low
2026-08-23 17:55:00 148.1 ↓ Low
2026-08-23 18:05:00 148.1 ↓ Low
2026-08-23 18:15:00 148.1 ↓ Low
2026-08-23 18:20:00 148.15 ↑ High
2026-08-23 18:30:00 148.15 ↑ High
2026-08-23 19:45:00 147.86 ↓ Low
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.73%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.00%
Bars Since Swing High
20 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.03%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3.1121
2.11%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.9741
0.66%
DateTime Price Type
2026-08-23 01:15:00 145.18 ↑ High
2026-08-23 02:00:00 144.71 ↓ Low
2026-08-23 02:45:00 146.17 ↑ High
2026-08-23 04:30:00 145.93 ↑ High
2026-08-23 05:45:00 145.6 ↓ Low
2026-08-23 12:15:00 148.82 ↑ High
2026-08-23 12:30:00 147.57 ↓ Low
2026-08-23 14:45:00 148.94 ↑ High
2026-08-23 15:15:00 147.82 ↓ Low
2026-08-23 19:45:00 147.86 ↓ Low
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.72%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.40%
Bars Since Swing High
5 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
21 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.14%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
19.0921
12.92%
TP to Pivot Distance
18.7141
12.65%
DateTime Price Type
2026-08-20 12:00:00 166.68 ↑ High
2026-08-20 17:00:00 128.73 ↓ Low
2026-08-21 01:00:00 128.98 ↓ Low
2026-08-21 08:00:00 131.41 ↓ Low
2026-08-21 14:00:00 159.85 ↑ High
2026-08-22 05:00:00 144 ↓ Low
2026-08-22 22:00:00 144.4 ↓ Low
2026-08-23 14:00:00 148.94 ↑ High

Market Structure V2

Error: DataFrame trop court (84 lignes). Minimum 120 requis.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

↓ ask ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7060ms Confidence avant OB : 43%33%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.260
avg -0.260 ± 0.000
OBI Top 10 -0.161

Microstructure

Mid Price
147.8650
Micro Price
147.8691
Spread
0.0068%

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
148.0000
Size
1,733.57
Dist ATR
4.2242

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
23 Aug 2026
15:54:20
23 Aug 2026
17:05:00
1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
147.87 147.8221 147.9659 2 148.84
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 147.87
  • Stop Loss: 147.8221
  • Take Profit: 147.9659

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 147.8221 - 147.87 = -0.047899999999998

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 147.87 - 147.9659 = -0.0959

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0959 / -0.047899999999998 = 2.0021

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
24676.9309 100 166.8826 246.77
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.047899999999998

Taille de position = 8 / -0.047899999999998 = -167.01

Taille de position USD = -167.01 x 147.87 = -24695.77

Donc, tu peux acheter -167.01 avec un stoploss a 147.8221

Avec un position size USD de -24695.77$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -167.01 x -0.047899999999998 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -167.01 x -0.0959 = 16.02

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.02$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -167.01
  • Taille de position USD -24695.77
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.02
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0021

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.065 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.032 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.06
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0203 % 62.65 % 11

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 147.9658
            [stop_loss] => 147.8221
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-23 21:05:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 147.98975
            [stop_loss] => 147.8221
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-23 21:05:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 148.0137
            [stop_loss] => 147.8221
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-23 21:15:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 148.03765
            [stop_loss] => 147.8221
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-23 21:30:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 148.0616
            [stop_loss] => 147.8221
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-23 21:30:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 148.08555
            [stop_loss] => 147.8221
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-23 21:40:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 148.1095
            [stop_loss] => 147.8221
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-23 21:50:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 148.13345
            [stop_loss] => 147.8221
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-23 21:50:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 148.1574
            [stop_loss] => 147.8221
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-23 21:50:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 148.18135
            [stop_loss] => 147.8221
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-23 21:50:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 148.2053
            [stop_loss] => 147.8221
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-23 21:50:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.37
            [max_drawdown] => 0.030000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 12.33
            [high] => 148.24000000
            [low] => 147.84000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.25
            [mae_pct] => 0.02
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 12.33
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-08-23T15:54:20-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-08-23T17:54:20-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 5.93
            [max_drawdown] => 1.63
            [rr_ratio] => 3.64
            [high] => 153.80000000
            [low] => 146.24000000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.01
            [mae_pct] => 1.1
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.64
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-08-23T15:54:20-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-08-23T22:54:20-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 148.74000000
            [high_after] => 153.80000000
            [low_before] => 147.86000000
            [low_after] => 147.44000000
            [is_new_high] => 1
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank
#4 / n/a OK
seuil : top 15 · score du 23/08/2026 15:00
Signal Confidence
33 % LOW
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime