Long Trade on MRNA (CatchTheWave)
With 7.35 MRNA at 147.11$ per unit. Take profit: 149.2861 (1.48 %) & Stop Loss: 146.022 (0.74 %)
23 Aug 2026 at 22:01:01
Duration: 4 hours
Long CatchTheWave on MRNA (23 Aug 2026 at 22:01:01 to 02:10:00 - 4 hours )
With 7.3526 MRNA at 147.11$ per unit.
Position size of 1081.6457 $
Take profit at 149.2861 (1.48 %)
and Stop Loss at 146.022 (0.74 %)
Duration: 4 hours
Results
Status:
loss
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.62
Prediction Score: 1
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.86 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.66 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.71 |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_high rules_regime : bull_high_confirmed rules_regime_4h : bull_high tf_aligned : 1 23/08 22:00 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.257309 15m : 0.113501 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_medium |
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↔ — | — | — | — | — | — | unknown |
39%
|
23/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ — | — | — | — | — | — | bull_medium |
57%
|
23/08 20:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | weak | compressed | compression | range_low |
44%
|
23/08 20:00 |
| 5m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | range_low |
50%
|
23/08 20:05 |
Signal
CatchTheWave Signal - buy
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.4286
- reason: HTF_bullish_stack | KC_pullback(0.03) | regime:bull_high
- stop_price: 146.02195421
- tp_price: 149.28609158
- atr: 0.72536386139833
- score: 1.9311
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.4286
Details
- 1H
- timeframe : 1H
- ema9 : 147.912
- ema21 : 147.572
- ema50 : 146.504
- ema100 : 0
- price_ema9_diff : -0.00542806
- ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0023044
- ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00729017
- price_ema100_diff : 0
- all_emas_in_trend : True
- all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
- ema_slope_9 : 0.0209204
- ema_slope_21 : 0.0574767
- ema_slope_50 : 0.0556969
- ema_slope_100 : 0.0248255
- rsi : 0.485812
- adx : 0.460839
- kc_percentage : 0.390458
- kc_width_percentage : 0.0313958
- volume_ema_diff : 0.50331
- rvol_20 : 0.144495
- rvol_50 : 0.112359
- volume_zscore_50 : -0.611729
- volume_vol_ratio : 258.109
- chop : 17.4443
- regime : bull_high ¸
- 15m
- timeframe : 15m
- ema9 : 148.272
- ema21 : 148.475
- ema50 : 148.204
- ema100 : 147.569
- price_ema9_diff : -0.0078378
- ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00137102
- ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00182762
- price_ema100_diff : -0.00311333
- all_emas_in_trend : False
- all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
- ema_slope_9 : 0.00862816
- ema_slope_21 : 0.0222156
- ema_slope_50 : 0.0211425
- ema_slope_100 : 0.0198858
- rsi : 0.394835
- adx : 0.442416
- kc_percentage : 0.177168
- kc_width_percentage : 0.0287875
- volume_ema_diff : 0.13458
- rvol_20 : 0.207922
- rvol_50 : 0.447356
- volume_zscore_50 : -0.175136
- volume_vol_ratio : 414.223
- chop : 3.99795
- regime : range_medium ¸
- 5m
- timeframe : 5m
- ema9 : 148.062
- ema21 : 148.531
- ema50 : 148.627
- ema100 : 148.478
- price_ema9_diff : -0.00643249
- ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00316002
- ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000641755
- price_ema100_diff : -0.00921937
- all_emas_in_trend : True
- all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
- ema_slope_9 : -0.0847457
- ema_slope_21 : -0.0471432
- ema_slope_50 : -0.0143438
- ema_slope_100 : -0.00368736
- rsi : 0.36931
- adx : 0.211503
- kc_percentage : 0.0344717
- kc_width_percentage : 0.0204718
- volume_ema_diff : -0.291671
- rvol_20 : 0.577062
- rvol_50 : 0.530845
- volume_zscore_50 : -0.194123
- volume_vol_ratio : 471.546
- chop : 43.0433
- regime : bear_medium ¸
- btc_indicators
- btc_indicators
- 5m_ema100:
77403.2
- 5m_price_ema100_diff:
-0.00678333
- 5m_price:
76878.2
- 5m_correlation_with_coin:
0.257309
- btc_indicators
- 15m_ema100:
77221.1
- 15m_price_ema100_diff:
-0.00444162
- 15m_price:
76878.2
- 15m_correlation_with_coin:
0.113501
- btc_indicators
- 1H_ema100:
75573.5
- 1H_price_ema100_diff:
0.017263
- 1H_price:
76878.2
- 1H_correlation_with_coin: ¸
- market_structures
- market_structures
- 1H_version: 1.1
- 1H_market_structure:
Array ( [left_window] => 5 [right_window] => 5 [recent_pivots] => Array ( [0] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-20 12:00:00 [1] => 166.68 [2] => H ) [1] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-20 17:00:00 [1] => 128.73 [2] => L ) [2] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-21 01:00:00 [1] => 128.98 [2] => L ) [3] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-21 08:00:00 [1] => 131.41 [2] => L ) [4] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-21 14:00:00 [1] => 159.85 [2] => H ) [5] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-22 05:00:00 [1] => 144 [2] => L ) [6] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-22 22:00:00 [1] => 144.4 [2] => L ) [7] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-23 14:00:00 [1] => 148.94 [2] => H ) [8] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-24 00:00:00 [1] => 153.8 [2] => H ) [9] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-24 02:00:00 [1] => 146.69 [2] => L ) ) [detected_trend] => uptrend [features] => Array ( [ms_trend_state] => 1 [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.3498049414824 [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.28631808575909 [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2 [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0 [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.8469561660645 [ms_bos_up] => 1 [ms_bos_down] => 0 [ms_choch_up] => 0 [ms_choch_down] => 0 ) ) - market_structures
- 15m_version: 1.1
- 15m_market_structure:
Array ( [left_window] => 5 [right_window] => 5 [recent_pivots] => Array ( [0] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-23 02:45:00 [1] => 146.17 [2] => H ) [1] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-23 04:30:00 [1] => 145.93 [2] => H ) [2] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-23 05:45:00 [1] => 145.6 [2] => L ) [3] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-23 12:15:00 [1] => 148.82 [2] => H ) [4] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-23 12:30:00 [1] => 147.57 [2] => L ) [5] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-23 14:45:00 [1] => 148.94 [2] => H ) [6] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-23 15:15:00 [1] => 147.82 [2] => L ) [7] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-23 20:45:00 [1] => 147.84 [2] => L ) [8] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-24 00:00:00 [1] => 153.8 [2] => H ) [9] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-24 02:00:00 [1] => 146.69 [2] => L ) ) [detected_trend] => range [features] => Array ( [ms_trend_state] => 0 [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.3498049414824 [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.28631808575909 [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8 [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0 [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.8469561660645 [ms_bos_up] => 1 [ms_bos_down] => 1 [ms_choch_up] => 0 [ms_choch_down] => 0 ) ) - market_structures
- 5m_version: 1.1
- 5m_market_structure:
Array ( [left_window] => 5 [right_window] => 5 [recent_pivots] => Array ( [0] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-23 22:05:00 [1] => 148.26 [2] => H ) [1] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-23 22:30:00 [1] => 148.15 [2] => L ) [2] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-23 22:40:00 [1] => 148.15 [2] => L ) [3] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-23 22:45:00 [1] => 148.25 [2] => H ) [4] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-23 22:55:00 [1] => 148.15 [2] => L ) [5] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-24 00:05:00 [1] => 147.44 [2] => L ) [6] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-24 00:10:00 [1] => 153.8 [2] => H ) [7] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-24 01:20:00 [1] => 147.83 [2] => L ) [8] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-24 01:45:00 [1] => 148.99 [2] => H ) [9] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-24 02:00:00 [1] => 146.69 [2] => L ) ) [detected_trend] => downtrend [features] => Array ( [ms_trend_state] => -1 [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.2618296529968 [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.28631808575909 [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3 [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0 [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.567932374395 [ms_bos_up] => 0 [ms_bos_down] => 1 [ms_choch_up] => 0 [ms_choch_down] => 1 ) )
¸
- market_structure_v2
- error : DataFrame trop court (91 lignes). Minimum 120 requis. ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1173
- obi_top10 : 0.1136
- micro_price : 147.015
- spread_pct : 0.020408
- mid_price : 147.015
- bid_wall_price : 145
- bid_wall_size : 2089.05
- bid_wall_dist_atr : 2.7779
- ask_wall_price : 148
- ask_wall_size : 1736.14
- ask_wall_dist_atr : 1.3579
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0965
- obi_top5_std : 0.0443
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7363
- aggregation_tick : 1
- error : ¸
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:01 | 147.11000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 22:02 | 146.73000000 | -0.258% |
| 3 | 22:06 | 146.62000000 | -0.333% |
| 4 | 22:18 | 146.51000000 | -0.408% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 1
5M -
downtrend
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.26%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.29%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.57%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
SL to Pivot Distance
0.6680
0.46%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.5139
3.02%
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 22:05:00 | 148.26 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-23 22:30:00 | 148.15 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-23 22:40:00 | 148.15 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-23 22:45:00 | 148.25 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-23 22:55:00 | 148.15 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-24 00:05:00 | 147.44 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-24 00:10:00 | 153.8 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-24 01:20:00 | 147.83 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-24 01:45:00 | 148.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-24 02:00:00 | 146.69 | ↓ Low |
15M -
range
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.35%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.29%
Bars Since Swing High
8 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.85%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
SL to Pivot Distance
0.4220
0.29%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.5139
3.02%
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 02:45:00 | 146.17 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-23 04:30:00 | 145.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-23 05:45:00 | 145.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-23 12:15:00 | 148.82 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-23 12:30:00 | 147.57 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-23 14:45:00 | 148.94 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-23 15:15:00 | 147.82 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-23 20:45:00 | 147.84 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-24 00:00:00 | 153.8 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-24 02:00:00 | 146.69 | ↓ Low |
1H -
uptrend
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.35%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.29%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.85%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
SL to Pivot Distance
17.2920
11.84%
TP to Pivot Distance
17.3939
11.65%
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 12:00:00 | 166.68 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 17:00:00 | 128.73 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-21 01:00:00 | 128.98 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-21 08:00:00 | 131.41 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-21 14:00:00 | 159.85 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-22 05:00:00 | 144 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-22 22:00:00 | 144.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-23 14:00:00 | 148.94 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-24 00:00:00 | 153.8 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-24 02:00:00 | 146.69 | ↓ Low |
Market Structure V2
Error: DataFrame trop court (91 lignes). Minimum 120 requis.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7363ms
Confidence avant OB :
43%
→
43%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.117
avg 0.097
± 0.044
OBI Top 10
0.114
Microstructure
Mid Price
147.0150
Micro Price
147.0150
Spread
0.0204%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
145.0000
Size
2,089.05
Dist ATR
2.7779
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
148.0000
Size
1,736.14
Dist ATR
1.3579
📌 Time Data
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug 2026 22:01:01 |
24 Aug 2026 02:10:00 |
4 hours |
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 147.11 | 146.022 | 149.2861 | 2 | 144.77 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 147.11
- Stop Loss: 146.022
- Take Profit: 149.2861
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 146.022 - 147.11 = -1.088
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 147.11 - 149.2861 = -2.1761
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.1761 / -1.088 = 2.0001
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1081.6457 | 100 | 7.3526 | 10.82 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -1.088
Taille de position = 8 / -1.088 = -7.35
Taille de position USD = -7.35 x 147.11 = -1081.26
Donc, tu peux acheter -7.35 avec un stoploss a 146.022
Avec un position size USD de -1081.26$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -7.35 x -1.088 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -7.35 x -2.1761 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
- Taille de position -7.35
- Taille de position USD -1081.26
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 15.99
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0001
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.48 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.74 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.74 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9313 % | 125.92 % | 13 |
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 149.2861
[entry_price] => 147.11
[stop_loss] => 145.9132
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-24 06:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 149.2861
[entry_price] => 147.11
[stop_loss] => 145.8044
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-24 06:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
Extra Pullback data
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.52999999999997
[max_drawdown] => 0.91000000000003
[rr_ratio] => 0.58
[high] => 147.64000000
[low] => 146.20000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.36
[mae_pct] => 0.62
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.58
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-08-23T22:01:01-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-08-24T00:01:01-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.5
[max_drawdown] => 5.77
[rr_ratio] => 0.26
[high] => 148.61000000
[low] => 141.34000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.02
[mae_pct] => 3.92
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.26
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-08-23T22:01:01-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-08-24T05:01:01-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 153.80000000
[high_after] => 148.61000000
[low_before] => 146.27000000
[low_after] => 145.74000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank
#2 / n/a
OK
seuil : top 15
· score du 23/08/2026 17:00
Signal Confidence
43 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime