Long Trade on MRNA (CatchTheWave)
With 17.54 MRNA at 157.51$ per unit. Take profit: 158.4223 (0.58 %) & Stop Loss: 157.0538 (0.29 %)
Long Trade on MRNA (CatchTheWave)
With 17.54 MRNA at 157.51$ per unit. Take profit: 158.4223 (0.58 %) & Stop Loss: 157.0538 (0.29 %)
Position size of 2762.3408 $
Take profit at 158.4223 (0.58 %)
and Stop Loss at 157.0538 (0.29 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.54 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.39 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.66 |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_high rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_high rules_regime : bull_high_confirmed rules_regime_4h : bull_high tf_aligned : 1 25/08 19:01 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : -0.051688 15m : 0.097393 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : range_low |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↔ — | — | — | — | — | — | bull_high |
61%
|
25/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | expansion | bull_high |
78%
|
25/08 23:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
72%
|
25/08 23:30 |
| 5m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_low |
53%
|
25/08 23:45 |
Indicators:
78841.1
-0.00479265
78463.3
-0.051688
79083
-0.00806253
78445.4
0.097393
78297.8
0.00211278
78463.3
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140.49
122
0.7056
0.6692
0.3521
0.2517
0.4343
0.5137
0.6197
0.6963
0.607
0.76
0.7006
0.8836
0.2793
0.1656
1
1.9373
3.5217
0.4706
0.5294
1
15
1
0.4967
0.5775
3.6717
0.75
0.5137
1.8861
3.5217
0.6571
0.1949
0.6
0.4165
0.5452
0.5456
0.8997
0.8836
-1.3433
10.1923
1
0
1
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:54 | 157.51000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 20:01 | 157.45000000 | -0.038% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 17:40:00 | 159.77 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-25 18:10:00 | 155.63 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-25 18:50:00 | 159.39 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-25 19:30:00 | 161.27 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-25 19:35:00 | 157.21 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-25 20:45:00 | 157.38 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-25 21:20:00 | 158.16 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-25 21:40:00 | 157.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-25 22:20:00 | 159.12 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-25 23:50:00 | 157.5 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 23:00:00 | 139.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-25 01:45:00 | 136.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-25 08:00:00 | 144.44 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-25 10:45:00 | 140.49 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-25 16:30:00 | 160.61 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-25 18:00:00 | 155.63 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-25 19:30:00 | 161.27 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-25 22:15:00 | 159.12 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-25 23:45:00 | 157.85 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 01:00:00 | 128.98 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-21 08:00:00 | 131.41 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-21 14:00:00 | 159.85 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-22 05:00:00 | 144 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-22 22:00:00 | 144.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-23 14:00:00 | 148.94 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-24 00:00:00 | 153.8 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-24 14:00:00 | 130.25 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-25 01:00:00 | 136.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-25 19:00:00 | 161.27 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug 2026 19:54:27 |
25 Aug 2026 20:00:00 |
5 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 157.51 | 157.0538 | 158.4223 | 2 | 151.95 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 157.0538 - 157.51 = -0.4562
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 157.51 - 158.4223 = -0.91230000000002
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.91230000000002 / -0.4562 = 1.9998
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2762.3408 | 100 | 17.5376 | 27.62 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.4562 = -17.54
Taille de position USD = -17.54 x 157.51 = -2762.73
Donc, tu peux acheter -17.54 avec un stoploss a 157.0538
Avec un position size USD de -2762.73$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -17.54 x -0.4562 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -17.54 x -0.91230000000002 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.58 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.29 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.29 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.2063 % | 416.54 % | 2 |
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Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?