Long Trade on MRNA (CatchTheWave)
With 4.23 MRNA at 149.46$ per unit. Take profit: 153.2383 (2.53 %) & Stop Loss: 147.5708 (1.26 %)
Long Trade on MRNA (CatchTheWave)
With 4.23 MRNA at 149.46$ per unit. Take profit: 153.2383 (2.53 %) & Stop Loss: 147.5708 (1.26 %)
Position size of 632.9171 $
Take profit at 153.2383 (2.53 %)
and Stop Loss at 147.5708 (1.26 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Strong Trade
|
0.52 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.7 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.51 |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_high rules_regime : bull_high_confirmed rules_regime_4h : bull_high tf_aligned : 1 26/08 09:01 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : -0.209476 15m : 0.081301 |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : bear_high_confirmed 5m_regime : bear_medium_confirmed |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↔ — | — | — | — | — | — | bull_high |
56%
|
26/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bull_high |
66%
|
26/08 13:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
61%
|
26/08 13:30 |
| 5m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bear_medium_confirmed |
57%
|
26/08 13:30 |
Indicators:
78579.7
-0.00433483
78239.1
-0.209476
78742.2
-0.00569294
78294
0.081301
78312.5
-0.00093773
78239.1
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159.91
140
0.5465
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0.4679
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6.2057
1
0
1
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:36 | 149.46000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 09:42 | 149.42000000 | -0.027% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 07:40:00 | 156.35 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-26 08:05:00 | 158.94 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-26 08:55:00 | 157.32 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-26 09:35:00 | 158.66 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-26 10:05:00 | 157.74 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-26 10:45:00 | 158.62 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-26 12:00:00 | 153.17 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-26 12:15:00 | 156.46 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-26 12:45:00 | 153.32 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-26 13:30:00 | 156.19 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 18:00:00 | 155.63 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-25 19:30:00 | 161.27 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-25 22:15:00 | 159.12 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-26 00:45:00 | 154.77 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-26 04:00:00 | 159.91 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-26 07:30:00 | 156.35 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-26 08:00:00 | 158.94 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-26 09:30:00 | 158.66 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-26 12:00:00 | 153.17 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-26 13:30:00 | 148.61 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 05:00:00 | 144 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-22 22:00:00 | 144.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-23 14:00:00 | 148.94 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-24 00:00:00 | 153.8 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-24 14:00:00 | 130.25 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-25 01:00:00 | 136.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-25 19:00:00 | 161.27 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-26 00:00:00 | 154.77 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-26 04:00:00 | 159.91 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-26 13:00:00 | 148.61 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug 2026 09:36:23 |
26 Aug 2026 10:45:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 149.46 | 147.5708 | 153.2383 | 2 | 153.34 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 147.5708 - 149.46 = -1.8892
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 149.46 - 153.2383 = -3.7783
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.7783 / -1.8892 = 1.9999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 632.9171 | 100 | 4.2347 | 6.33 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.8892 = -4.23
Taille de position USD = -4.23 x 149.46 = -632.22
Donc, tu peux acheter -4.23 avec un stoploss a 147.5708
Avec un position size USD de -632.22$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -4.23 x -1.8892 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -4.23 x -3.7783 = 15.98
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.98$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.53 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.26 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.26 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.3181 % | 104.28 % | 6 |
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Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?