Short Trade on MRNA

Previous Trade Next Trade

27 Aug 2026 at 11:12:26

Short Trade on MRNA (BosPullback)

With 1.03 MRNA at 140.83$ per unit. Take profit: 121.4068 (13.79 %) & Stop Loss: 148.5993 (5.52 %)

Short BosPullback on MRNA (27 Aug 2026 at 11:12:26 to 11:45:00 - 5 days )

With 1.0297 MRNA at 140.83$ per unit.

Position size of 145.0125 $
Take profit at 121.4068 (13.79 %) and Stop Loss at 148.5993 (5.52 %)

That's a 2.5 RR Trade
Duration: 5 days

Results

Status:

loss

Trade Type:

sell

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 1.11

Prediction Score:

Prediction 1	Probability
	n/a

Prediction 2	Probability
	n/a

Prediction 3	Probability
	n/a

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : bull_low Score : 0	ml_regime : bull_high rules_regime : bull_high rules_regime_4h : bull_high tf_aligned : 1 27/08 11:01

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bull_high

rules_regime : bull_high

rules_regime_4h : bull_high

tf_aligned : 1

27/08 11:01

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime
	1H_regime : bear_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bear_high_confirmed

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

1H_regime : bear_high_confirmed

15m_regime : bear_high_confirmed

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	Évalué à
4h	↔ —	—	—	—	—	—	bull_high	54%	27/08 04:00
1h	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	71%	27/08 15:00
15m	↓ down	range	range	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	bear_high	57%	27/08 14:45
5m	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	normal	bear_high	62%	27/08 15:05

Signal

BosPullback - SELL

Indicators:

long_trend: -1
confidence: 0.79
reason: bos_pullback_short|score=2|shallow|bars_since_bos=4|retests=1|break_atr=1.12|prog=0.70|zone=tested
stop_price: 148.59926088
tp_price: 121.40684781
atr:
score: 0.79
confidence_pre_ob: 0.79

Details

1H:
15m:
5m:
btc_indicators
market_structures
market_structure_v2
timeframe : 1h
state : pullback_down
confidence : 0.955
trend_strength : -0.2014
trend_persistence : 0.5
high_delta_atr : -0.918
low_delta_atr : -2.498
current_swing_amp_atr : 3.5523
current_swing_speed : 1.77615
current_swing_efficiency : 0.5521
retracement_ratio : 0.7908
extension_ratio : 1.8363
compression_score : 1.2462
swing_entropy : 1
breakout_strength : -3.3561
distance_to_last_high_atr : -2.4381
distance_to_last_low_atr : 1.0311
pivot_count : 23
swing_count : 22
market_structure_v2
last_pivot_kind: high
last_pivot_price:
```
148.16
```
last_pivot_index:
```
147
```
trend_analyzer_1h
direction : down
phase : early_expansion
structure : bearish_transition
breakout_state : fresh_breakout
quality : volatile
strength : moderate
exhaustion : low
momentum_type : grind
volatility_regime : expansion
htf_context : unknown
risk_state : discount
confidence : 0.661
state : down_early_expansion_grind
trend_analyzer_1h
scores_direction_score:
```
0.241
```
scores_strength_score:
```
0.6409
```
scores_quality_score:
```
0.389
```
scores_cleanliness_score:
```
0.1892
```
scores_structural_quality:
```
0.5525
```
scores_pullback_score:
```
0.7908
```
scores_exhaustion_score:
```
0.281
```
scores_continuation_score:
```
0.3871
```
scores_structure_score:
```
0.2798
```
scores_volatility_expansion:
```
0.7554
```
scores_momentum_type_score:
```
0.553
```
scores_risk_score:
```
0.3411
```
trend_analyzer_1h
features_ema20_slope:
```
-0.1587
```
features_ema50_slope:
```
-0.0781
```
features_ema_alignment_score:
```
0
```
features_price_vs_ema20:
```
-1.5592
```
features_price_vs_ema50:
```
-2.113
```
features_recent_hh_hl_score:
```
0.35
```
features_recent_lh_ll_score:
```
0.65
```
features_last_bos_direction:
```
-1
```
features_bars_since_last_bos:
```
4
```
features_candle_overlap_ratio:
```
1
```
features_wick_ratio:
```
0.6216
```
features_trend_efficiency:
```
0.5521
```
features_impulse_strength:
```
5.268
```
features_directional_candle_ratio:
```
0.55
```
features_pullback_depth_ratio:
```
0.7908
```
features_pullback_depth_atr:
```
4.1659
```
features_extension_from_mean:
```
-2.113
```
features_impulse_decay_score:
```
0.0818
```
features_opposing_wick_pressure:
```
0.2536
```
features_volatility_percentile:
```
0.8
```
features_volatility_delta:
```
0.1131
```
features_body_ratio:
```
0.3929
```
features_closes_position_ratio:
```
0.4022
```
features_slope_consistency:
```
0.6368
```
features_range_position:
```
0.3411
```
features_distance_to_recent_high:
```
-5.861
```
features_distance_to_recent_low:
```
3.0337
```
features_had_recent_range:
```
1
```
features_had_recent_compression:
```
0
```
features_post_break_hl_count:
```
1
```
features_htf_trend_strength:
features_htf_compression_score:
features_htf_entropy_score:
features_htf_hh_hl_score:
features_htf_state_str:
orderbook_context
obi_top5 : 0.0512
obi_top10 : 0.0457
micro_price : 140.88743197
spread_pct : 0.092316
mid_price : 140.885
bid_wall_price : 140
bid_wall_size : 1441.216
bid_wall_dist_atr :
ask_wall_price : 142
ask_wall_size : 1191.2
ask_wall_dist_atr :
snapshots_count : 5
obi_top5_mean : 0.0636
obi_top5_std : 0.0169
pressure_side : neutral
collection_mode : ws_rolling
collection_ms : 6829
aggregation_tick : 1
error :
strategy_details
strategy : bos_pullback
ms_state_1h : pullback_down
strategy_details

pivots_1h_0:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-08-22 10:00:00
    [price] => 144.18
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_1:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-08-23 14:00:00
    [price] => 148.94
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_2:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-08-24 03:00:00
    [price] => 146.2
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_3:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-08-24 04:00:00
    [price] => 148.61
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_4:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-08-24 06:00:00
    [price] => 145.74
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_5:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-08-24 08:00:00
    [price] => 147.95
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_6:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-08-24 11:00:00
    [price] => 141.39
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_7:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-08-24 13:00:00
    [price] => 145.7
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_8:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-08-24 14:00:00
    [price] => 130.25
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_9:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-08-24 16:00:00
    [price] => 142.51
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_10:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-08-25 01:00:00
    [price] => 136.75
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_11:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-08-25 08:00:00
    [price] => 144.44
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_1h_12:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-08-25 10:00:00
    [price] => 140.49
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_13:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-08-25 19:00:00
    [price] => 161.27
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_1h_14:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-08-26 00:00:00
    [price] => 154.77
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_15:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-08-26 04:00:00
    [price] => 159.91
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_16:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-08-26 18:00:00
    [price] => 145.24
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_17:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-08-27 08:00:00
    [price] => 150.92
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_18:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-08-27 11:00:00
    [price] => 137.73
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_19:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-08-27 13:00:00
    [price] => 148.16
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

strategy_details

pivots_15m_0:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-08-26 14:15:00
    [price] => 151.98
    [kind] => high
    [label] => 
)

pivots_15m_1:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-08-26 18:15:00
    [price] => 145.24
    [kind] => low
    [label] => 
)

pivots_15m_2:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-08-26 19:45:00
    [price] => 150.7
    [kind] => high
    [label] => 
)

pivots_15m_3:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-08-26 21:30:00
    [price] => 146.96
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_15m_4:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-08-27 00:30:00
    [price] => 150.17
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_15m_5:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-08-27 02:30:00
    [price] => 148.03
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_15m_6:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-08-27 03:45:00
    [price] => 149.51
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_15m_7:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-08-27 06:30:00
    [price] => 148.66
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_15m_8:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-08-27 07:15:00
    [price] => 150
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_15m_9:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-08-27 08:00:00
    [price] => 148.65
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_15m_10:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-08-27 08:15:00
    [price] => 150.54
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_15m_11:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-08-27 09:45:00
    [price] => 149.28
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_15m_12:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-08-27 11:15:00
    [price] => 137.73
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_15m_13:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-08-27 12:15:00
    [price] => 145.7
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_15m_14:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-08-27 13:15:00
    [price] => 141.03
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_15m_15:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-08-27 13:30:00
    [price] => 148.16
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

bos_level_long : 0
bos_level_short : 145.24
strategy_details
levels_hl_price:
```
137.73
```
levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-08-27 11:00:00
levels_hh_price:
```
148.16
```
levels_lh_price:
```
148.16
```
levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-08-27 13:00:00
levels_ll_price:
```
137.73
```
strategy_details
demand_zone_top:
```
141.06
```
demand_zone_bottom:
```
136.75
```
demand_zone_mid:
```
138.905
```
demand_zone_freshness: weak
demand_zone_strength:
```
0.8567
```
strategy_details
supply_zone_top:
```
150.92
```
supply_zone_bottom:
```
147.81
```
supply_zone_mid:
```
149.365
```
supply_zone_freshness: tested
supply_zone_strength:
```
0.8651
```
regimes
1H : bear_high_confirmed
15m : bear_high_confirmed

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ pullback_down

Confidence 96%

Trend

Trend Strength

-0.201

Persistence

0.500

High Δ ATR

-0.918

Low Δ ATR

-2.498

Current Swing

Amp ATR

3.552

Speed

1.776

Efficiency

0.552

Structure

Retracement

0.791

Extension

1.836

Compression

1.246

Entropy

1.000

Breakout Str.

-3.356

Dist High ATR

-2.438

Dist Low ATR

1.031

23 pivots · 22 swings · Last pivot: ↑ 148.1600 @ bar 147

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_early_expansion_grind

Confidence 66%

Context

phase early_expansion

structure bearish_transition

breakout fresh_breakout

quality volatile

strength moderate

exhaustion low

momentum grind

volatility expansion

risk discount

htf unknown

Scores

Direction Score 0.241

Strength Score 0.641

Quality Score 0.389

Cleanliness Score 0.189

Structural Quality 0.553

Pullback Score 0.791

Exhaustion Score 0.281

Continuation Score 0.387

Structure Score 0.280

Volatility Expansion 0.755

Momentum Type Score 0.553

Risk Score 0.341

Features

Ema20 Slope

-0.159

Ema50 Slope

-0.078

Ema Alignment Score

0.000

Price Vs Ema20

-1.559

Price Vs Ema50

-2.113

Recent Hh Hl Score

0.350

Recent Lh Ll Score

0.650

Last Bos Direction

-1.000

Bars Since Last Bos

4.000

Candle Overlap Ratio

1.000

Wick Ratio

0.622

Trend Efficiency

0.552

Impulse Strength

5.268

Directional Candle Ratio

0.550

Pullback Depth Ratio

0.791

Pullback Depth Atr

4.166

Extension From Mean

-2.113

Impulse Decay Score

0.082

Opposing Wick Pressure

0.254

Volatility Percentile

0.800

Volatility Delta

0.113

Body Ratio

0.393

Closes Position Ratio

0.402

Slope Consistency

0.637

Range Position

0.341

Distance To Recent High

-5.861

Distance To Recent Low

3.034

Had Recent Range

1.000

Had Recent Compression

0.000

Post Break Hl Count

1.000

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6829ms Confidence avant OB : 79% → 79%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.051

avg 0.064 ± 0.017

OBI Top 10 0.046

Microstructure

Mid Price

140.8850

Micro Price

140.8874

Spread

0.0923%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price

140.0000

Size

1,441.22

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price

142.0000

Size

1,191.20

📌 Time Data

Start at	Closed at	Duration
27 Aug 2026 11:12:26	01 Sep 2026 11:45:00	5 days

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
140.83	148.5993	121.4068	2.5	152.42

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 140.83
Stop Loss: 148.5993
Take Profit: 121.4068

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 148.5993 - 140.83 = 7.7693
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 140.83 - 121.4068 = 19.4232
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 19.4232 / 7.7693 = 2.5

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
145.0125	100	1.0297	1.45

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 7.7693

Taille de position = 8 / 7.7693 = 1.03

Taille de position USD = 1.03 x 140.83 = 145.05

Donc, tu peux acheter 1.03 avec un stoploss a 148.5993

Avec un position size USD de 145.05$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1.03 x 7.7693 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1.03 x 19.4232 = 20.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.01$

Résumé

Taille de position 1.03
Taille de position USD 145.05
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 20.01
Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
13.79 %	20 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
5.52 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-8 $	-5.52

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-5.8723 %	106.44 %	24

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
)

Extra Pullback data


                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.1
            [max_drawdown] => 2.21
            [rr_ratio] => 0.95
            [high] => 143.04000000
            [low] => 138.73000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.49
            [mae_pct] => 1.57
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.95
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-08-27T11:12:26-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-08-27T13:12:26-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.1
            [max_drawdown] => 3.57
            [rr_ratio] => 0.59
            [high] => 144.40000000
            [low] => 138.73000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.49
            [mae_pct] => 2.53
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.59
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-08-27T11:12:26-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-08-27T18:12:26-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 148.16000000
            [high_after] => 144.40000000
            [low_before] => 137.73000000
            [low_after] => 138.73000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank

#8 / n/a OK

seuil : top 15 · score du 27/08/2026 11:00

Signal Confidence

79 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime