Short Trade on MRNA (CatchTheWave)
With 8.44 MRNA at 137.58$ per unit. Take profit: 135.6846 (1.38 %) & Stop Loss: 138.5277 (0.69 %)
Short Trade on MRNA (CatchTheWave)
With 8.44 MRNA at 137.58$ per unit. Take profit: 135.6846 (1.38 %) & Stop Loss: 138.5277 (0.69 %)
Position size of 1161.3869 $
Take profit at 135.6846 (1.38 %)
and Stop Loss at 138.5277 (0.69 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.75 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.7 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.84 |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high rules_regime : bull_high rules_regime_4h : range_medium tf_aligned : 31/08 09:01 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.035765 15m : 0.242912 |
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : bull_low_confirmed |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↔ — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
51%
|
31/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_medium |
73%
|
31/08 13:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_low |
51%
|
31/08 13:15 |
| 5m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_low |
59%
|
31/08 13:20 |
Indicators:
78214.4
-0.00260618
78010.6
0.035765
78294.5
-0.00362688
78010.6
0.242912
78494.7
-0.00616838
78010.6
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136.96
192
0.4206
0.5546
0.4247
0.2827
0.5408
1
0.1078
0.5109
0.2683
0.988
0.5669
0.2266
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0.6667
1.1419
0.566
0.3
0.7
-1
14
1
0.4346
0.3214
6.0644
0.6
1.0084
6.1154
0.566
0
0.2331
0.98
2.7719
0.8169
0.4572
0.6007
0.2266
-10.0637
2.9492
1
1
1
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:31 | 137.58000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 09:36 | 137.91000000 | +0.24% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 09:25:00 | 136.18 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-31 10:15:00 | 134.71 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-31 10:35:00 | 135.31 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-31 10:40:00 | 134.71 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-31 11:10:00 | 135.19 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-31 11:35:00 | 134.03 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-31 12:20:00 | 134.67 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-31 12:50:00 | 133.63 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-31 13:25:00 | 133.46 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-31 13:30:00 | 138.26 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 22:00:00 | 136.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-30 23:45:00 | 133.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-31 00:45:00 | 136.79 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-31 02:45:00 | 135.63 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-31 03:00:00 | 136.42 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-31 04:30:00 | 135.77 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-31 06:15:00 | 136.96 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-31 08:00:00 | 135.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-31 13:15:00 | 133.46 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-31 13:30:00 | 138.26 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 04:00:00 | 136.37 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-29 10:00:00 | 137.23 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-29 17:00:00 | 136.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-30 01:00:00 | 136.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-30 08:00:00 | 137.66 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-30 16:00:00 | 136.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-30 22:00:00 | 136.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-30 23:00:00 | 133.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-31 06:00:00 | 136.96 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-31 13:00:00 | 138.26 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug 2026 09:31:28 |
31 Aug 2026 09:35:00 |
3 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 137.58 | 138.5277 | 135.6846 | 2 | 152.42 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 138.5277 - 137.58 = 0.9477
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 137.58 - 135.6846 = 1.8954
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.8954 / 0.9477 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1161.3869 | 100 | 8.4415 | 11.61 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.9477 = 8.44
Taille de position USD = 8.44 x 137.58 = 1161.18
Donc, tu peux acheter 8.44 avec un stoploss a 138.5277
Avec un position size USD de 1161.18$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 8.44 x 0.9477 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 8.44 x 1.8954 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.38 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.69 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.69 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7341 % | 106.58 % | 1 |
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Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?