Long Trade on MRNA (CatchTheWave)
With 11.66 MRNA at 150.99$ per unit. Take profit: 152.3624 (0.91 %) & Stop Loss: 150.3038 (0.45 %)
Long Trade on MRNA (CatchTheWave)
With 11.66 MRNA at 150.99$ per unit. Take profit: 152.3624 (0.91 %) & Stop Loss: 150.3038 (0.45 %)
Position size of 1760.3375 $
Take profit at 152.3624 (0.91 %)
and Stop Loss at 150.3038 (0.45 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.55 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.39 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.61 |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high rules_regime : bull_high rules_regime_4h : range_medium tf_aligned : 01/09 21:01 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.038342 15m : 0.307717 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↔ — | — | — | — | — | — | bull_high |
63%
|
02/09 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
71%
|
02/09 01:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_medium |
71%
|
02/09 01:30 |
| 5m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
44%
|
02/09 01:45 |
Indicators:
77257.5
-0.0068248
76730.3
0.038342
77716.1
-0.011832
76796.6
0.307717
78015.6
-0.0164751
76730.3
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-30 22:00:00
[1] => 136.93
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-30 23:00:00
[1] => 133.36
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-31 06:00:00
[1] => 136.96
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-31 13:00:00
[1] => 133.46
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-31 14:00:00
[1] => 144.22
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-31 19:00:00
[1] => 135.84
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-01 07:00:00
[1] => 140.74
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-01 12:00:00
[1] => 137.06
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-01 19:00:00
[1] => 154.7
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-02 01:00:00
[1] => 150.58
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.3981900452489
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.27228051534068
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.7360871297649
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-01 07:00:00
[1] => 140.74
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-01 08:15:00
[1] => 137.34
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-01 12:30:00
[1] => 137.06
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-01 16:00:00
[1] => 150.6
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-01 19:15:00
[1] => 154.7
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-01 21:00:00
[1] => 151.21
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-01 22:30:00
[1] => 152.14
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-01 23:00:00
[1] => 150.88
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-02 00:00:00
[1] => 153.83
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-02 01:30:00
[1] => 151.17
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.6316713254892
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.099226036912089
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.7596083879077
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-01 19:50:00
[1] => 154.67
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-01 21:05:00
[1] => 151.21
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-01 21:30:00
[1] => 151.99
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-01 21:40:00
[1] => 151.36
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-01 22:35:00
[1] => 152.14
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-01 23:05:00
[1] => 150.88
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-02 00:00:00
[1] => 151.39
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-02 00:10:00
[1] => 153.83
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-02 01:35:00
[1] => 152.42
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-09-02 01:50:00
[1] => 150.58
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.93819708699644
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.27228051534068
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2219418249435
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
154.7
193
0.7717
0.6461
0.2999
0.2173
0.3675
1
0.3943
0.5654
0.6846
0.772
0.7323
0.8261
0.2565
0.1774
1
1.6921
3.7166
0.45
0.55
1
6
1
0.5654
0.6025
7.6275
0.5
4.7935
14.4924
3.7166
0
0.2764
0.62
0.9223
0.642
0.5372
0.9139
0.8261
-1.7612
8.3695
1
0
0
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 19:50:00 | 154.67 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-01 21:05:00 | 151.21 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-01 21:30:00 | 151.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-01 21:40:00 | 151.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-01 22:35:00 | 152.14 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-01 23:05:00 | 150.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-02 00:00:00 | 151.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-02 00:10:00 | 153.83 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-02 01:35:00 | 152.42 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-02 01:50:00 | 150.58 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 07:00:00 | 140.74 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-01 08:15:00 | 137.34 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-01 12:30:00 | 137.06 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-01 16:00:00 | 150.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-01 19:15:00 | 154.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-01 21:00:00 | 151.21 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-01 22:30:00 | 152.14 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-01 23:00:00 | 150.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-02 00:00:00 | 153.83 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-02 01:30:00 | 151.17 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 22:00:00 | 136.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-30 23:00:00 | 133.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-31 06:00:00 | 136.96 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-31 13:00:00 | 133.46 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-31 14:00:00 | 144.22 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-31 19:00:00 | 135.84 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-01 07:00:00 | 140.74 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-01 12:00:00 | 137.06 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-01 19:00:00 | 154.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-02 01:00:00 | 150.58 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep 2026 21:54:18 |
01 Sep 2026 23:25:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 150.99 | 150.3038 | 152.3624 | 2 | 152.42 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 150.3038 - 150.99 = -0.68620000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 150.99 - 152.3624 = -1.3724
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.3724 / -0.68620000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1760.3375 | 100 | 11.6586 | 17.60 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.68620000000001 = -11.66
Taille de position USD = -11.66 x 150.99 = -1760.54
Donc, tu peux acheter -11.66 avec un stoploss a 150.3038
Avec un position size USD de -1760.54$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -11.66 x -0.68620000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -11.66 x -1.3724 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.91 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.45 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.91 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0132 % | 2.9 % | 1 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 152.3624
[stop_loss] => 150.3038
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-09-02 03:25:00+00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 152.7055
[stop_loss] => 150.3038
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-09-02 03:25:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?