Long Trade on ARX (CatchTheWave)
With 1768.91 ARX at 0.266$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2752 (3.38 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2617 (1.69 %)
Long Trade on ARX (CatchTheWave)
With 1768.91 ARX at 0.266$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2752 (3.38 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2617 (1.69 %)
Position size of 470.8848 $
Take profit at 0.2752 (3.38 %)
and Stop Loss at 0.2617 (1.69 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.59 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.6 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.63 |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_high rules_regime : bull_high rules_regime_4h : range_medium tf_aligned : 27/09 15:01 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.140492 15m : 0.002955 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bear_high |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
71%
|
18/07 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
75%
|
27/09 19:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bull_high |
68%
|
27/09 19:30 |
| 5m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
66%
|
27/09 19:50 |
Indicators:
84657.6
0.000452519
84696
0.140492
84510.4
0.00219519
84696
0.002955
84290.1
0.00481485
84696
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0
0
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:00 | 0.26620000 | 0% |
| 2 | 16:02 | 0.26633000 | +0.049% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 14:45:00 | 0.28748 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 14:55:00 | 0.29988 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 15:15:00 | 0.2787 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 16:15:00 | 0.30773 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 17:45:00 | 0.27881 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 17:55:00 | 0.28751 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 18:25:00 | 0.28647 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 19:00:00 | 0.27179 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 19:20:00 | 0.27928 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 19:50:00 | 0.26556 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 01:15:00 | 0.21938 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 02:00:00 | 0.22532 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 04:15:00 | 0.2226 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 05:00:00 | 0.22685 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 07:30:00 | 0.22208 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 11:30:00 | 0.27126 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 12:00:00 | 0.25083 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 15:15:00 | 0.2787 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 16:15:00 | 0.30773 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 19:45:00 | 0.26556 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 16:00:00 | 0.26681 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-25 04:00:00 | 0.26102 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-25 07:00:00 | 0.24234 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-25 13:00:00 | 0.25574 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-26 00:00:00 | 0.2546 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-26 13:00:00 | 0.22533 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 01:00:00 | 0.21938 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 07:00:00 | 0.22208 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 16:00:00 | 0.30773 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 19:00:00 | 0.26556 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2026 16:00:22 |
27 Sep 2026 16:20:00 |
19 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2662 | 0.2617 | 0.2752 | 2 | 0.205 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2617 - 0.2662 = -0.0045
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2662 - 0.2752 = -0.009
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.009 / -0.0045 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 470.8848 | 100 | 1768.9136 | 4.71 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0045 = -1777.78
Taille de position USD = -1777.78 x 0.2662 = -473.25
Donc, tu peux acheter -1777.78 avec un stoploss a 0.2617
Avec un position size USD de -473.25$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1777.78 x -0.0045 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1777.78 x -0.009 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.38 % | 15.92 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.69 % | 7.96 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.96 $ | -1.69 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.7355 % | 102.66 % | 0 |
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Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?