Long Trade on ARX (CatchTheWave)
With 1577.05 ARX at 0.258$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2685 (3.95 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2532 (1.97 %)
Long Trade on ARX (CatchTheWave)
With 1577.05 ARX at 0.258$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2685 (3.95 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2532 (1.97 %)
Position size of 407.3688 $
Take profit at 0.2685 (3.95 %)
and Stop Loss at 0.2532 (1.97 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.51 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.47 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.51 |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high rules_regime : bull_high rules_regime_4h : range_medium tf_aligned : 27/09 16:01 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.201566 15m : 0.02249 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bear_high |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
80%
|
27/09 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
75%
|
27/09 20:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | grind | compression | range_high |
38%
|
27/09 20:30 |
| 5m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high |
67%
|
27/09 20:45 |
Indicators:
84669.6
-0.00150719
84542
0.201566
84512.1
0.000247103
84533
0.02249
84287.1
0.00302412
84542
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2.62
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0.8538
0.5083
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3.6293
1
0
0
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:54 | 0.25831000 | +0.004% |
| 2 | 17:00 | 0.25707000 | -0.476% |
| 3 | 17:06 | 0.25714000 | -0.449% |
| 4 | 17:12 | 0.25758000 | -0.279% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 14:55:00 | 0.29988 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 15:15:00 | 0.2787 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 16:15:00 | 0.30773 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 17:45:00 | 0.27881 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 17:55:00 | 0.28751 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 18:25:00 | 0.28647 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 19:00:00 | 0.27179 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 19:20:00 | 0.27928 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 20:40:00 | 0.2652 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 20:50:00 | 0.25728 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 01:15:00 | 0.21938 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 02:00:00 | 0.22532 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 04:15:00 | 0.2226 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 05:00:00 | 0.22685 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 07:30:00 | 0.22208 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 11:30:00 | 0.27126 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 12:00:00 | 0.25083 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 15:15:00 | 0.2787 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 16:15:00 | 0.30773 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 20:30:00 | 0.25814 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 16:00:00 | 0.26681 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-25 04:00:00 | 0.26102 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-25 07:00:00 | 0.24234 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-25 13:00:00 | 0.25574 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-26 00:00:00 | 0.2546 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-26 13:00:00 | 0.22533 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 01:00:00 | 0.21938 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 07:00:00 | 0.22208 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 16:00:00 | 0.30773 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 20:00:00 | 0.25728 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2026 16:54:12 |
27 Sep 2026 18:10:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2583 | 0.2532 | 0.2685 | 2 | 0.2103 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2532 - 0.2583 = -0.0051
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2583 - 0.2685 = -0.0102
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0102 / -0.0051 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 407.3688 | 100 | 1577.0539 | 4.07 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0051 = -1568.63
Taille de position USD = -1568.63 x 0.2583 = -405.18
Donc, tu peux acheter -1568.63 avec un stoploss a 0.2532
Avec un position size USD de -405.18$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1568.63 x -0.0051 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1568.63 x -0.0102 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.95 % | 16.09 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.97 % | 8.04 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.04 $ | -1.97 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.6287 % | 133.14 % | 9 |
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Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?