Long Trade on ARX (CatchTheWave)
With 1627.09 ARX at 0.244$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2537 (4.02 %) & Stop Loss: 0.239 (2.01 %)
Long Trade on ARX (CatchTheWave)
With 1627.09 ARX at 0.244$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2537 (4.02 %) & Stop Loss: 0.239 (2.01 %)
Position size of 396.8312 $
Take profit at 0.2537 (4.02 %)
and Stop Loss at 0.239 (2.01 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.55 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.57 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.62 |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high rules_regime : bull_high rules_regime_4h : range_medium tf_aligned : 27/09 18:00 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.269747 15m : 0.064749 |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bear_high |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
80%
|
27/09 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
73%
|
27/09 22:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
27/09 22:30 |
| 5m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | normal | bear_high |
69%
|
27/09 22:35 |
Indicators:
84564.7
-0.00484524
84155
0.269747
84526.6
-0.00346043
84234.2
0.064749
84316.5
-0.00191571
84155
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0.30773
193
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0.2937
0.3375
1
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0.86
2.5022
0.813
0.4775
0.7342
0.3648
-4.6752
2.6854
1
0
0
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:42 | 0.24389000 | -0.004% |
| 2 | 18:48 | 0.24298000 | -0.377% |
| 3 | 18:54 | 0.24350000 | -0.164% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 15:15:00 | 0.2787 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 16:15:00 | 0.30773 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 17:45:00 | 0.27881 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 17:55:00 | 0.28751 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 18:25:00 | 0.28647 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 19:00:00 | 0.27179 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 19:20:00 | 0.27928 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 20:40:00 | 0.2652 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 21:20:00 | 0.26205 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 22:35:00 | 0.24206 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 01:15:00 | 0.21938 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 02:00:00 | 0.22532 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 04:15:00 | 0.2226 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 05:00:00 | 0.22685 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 07:30:00 | 0.22208 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 11:30:00 | 0.27126 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 12:00:00 | 0.25083 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 15:15:00 | 0.2787 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 16:15:00 | 0.30773 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 22:15:00 | 0.24587 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 16:00:00 | 0.26681 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-25 04:00:00 | 0.26102 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-25 07:00:00 | 0.24234 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-25 13:00:00 | 0.25574 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-26 00:00:00 | 0.2546 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-26 13:00:00 | 0.22533 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 01:00:00 | 0.21938 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 07:00:00 | 0.22208 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 16:00:00 | 0.30773 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 22:00:00 | 0.24206 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2026 18:42:14 |
27 Sep 2026 20:20:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2439 | 0.239 | 0.2537 | 2 | 0.2128 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.239 - 0.2439 = -0.0049
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2439 - 0.2537 = -0.0098
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0098 / -0.0049 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 396.8312 | 100 | 1627.0911 | 3.97 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0049 = -1632.65
Taille de position USD = -1632.65 x 0.2439 = -398.2
Donc, tu peux acheter -1632.65 avec un stoploss a 0.239
Avec un position size USD de -398.2$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1632.65 x -0.0049 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1632.65 x -0.0098 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.02 % | 15.95 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.01 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.94 $ | 4.02 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.0168 % | 50.61 % | 1 |
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Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?