01 Oct 2026 at 11:00:33

Short Trade on MUU (BosPullback)

With 3.9 MUU at 35.103$ per unit. Take profit: 29.9741 (14.61 %) & Stop Loss: 37.1546 (5.84 %)

Short BosPullback on MUU (01 Oct 2026 at 11:00:33 to 13:25:00 - 2 hours )

With 3.8995 MUU at 35.103$ per unit.

Position size of 136.8831 $
Take profit at 29.9741 (14.61 %) and Stop Loss at 37.1546 (5.84 %)

That's a 2.5 RR Trade
Duration: 2 hours

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.25
Prediction Score:
Prediction 1 Probability
n/a
Prediction 2 Probability
n/a
Prediction 3 Probability
n/a
BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bull_high_confirmed

rules_regime : bull_high

rules_regime_4h : range_medium

tf_aligned :

01/10 10:00

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

1H_regime : bear_high_confirmed

15m_regime : bear_high_confirmed

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability Évalué à
4h ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate fading expansion_after_compression bull_high
72%
01/10 12:00
1h ↓ down range range moderate balanced expansion_after_compression bear_high
73%
01/10 13:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate explosive normal bear_high
65%
01/10 13:00
5m ↓ down range range moderate fading compression bear_medium
67%
01/10 13:05

Signal

BosPullback - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.93
  3. reason: bos_pullback_short|score=4|shallow|bars_since_bos=1|retests=0|break_atr=0.71|prog=0.59|zone=tested
  4. stop_price: 37.1545606
  5. tp_price: 29.97409849
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.93
  8. confidence_pre_ob: 0.93
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. timeframe : 1h
  10. state : pullback_down
  11. confidence : 0.808
  12. trend_strength : -0.067
  13. trend_persistence : 0.5
  14. high_delta_atr : -0.7954
  15. low_delta_atr : -2.303
  16. current_swing_amp_atr : 3.4853
  17. current_swing_speed : 0.87133
  18. current_swing_efficiency : 0.4489
  19. retracement_ratio : 2.6181
  20. extension_ratio : 1.6795
  21. compression_score : 0.789
  22. swing_entropy : 1
  23. breakout_strength : 0.7794
  24. distance_to_last_high_atr : -2.2027
  25. distance_to_last_low_atr : 1.5235
  26. pivot_count : 26
  27. swing_count : 25
  28. market_structure_v2
  29. last_pivot_kind: low
  30. last_pivot_price:
    33.766
  31. last_pivot_index:
    148
  32. ¸
  33. trend_analyzer_1h
  34. direction : down
  35. phase : transition
  36. structure : bearish_transition
  37. breakout_state : fresh_breakout
  38. quality : volatile
  39. strength : moderate
  40. exhaustion : low
  41. momentum_type : balanced
  42. volatility_regime : volatile_reversal
  43. htf_context : unknown
  44. risk_state : discount
  45. confidence : 0.583
  46. state : down_bearish_transition_balanced
  47. trend_analyzer_1h
  48. scores_direction_score:
    0.2778
  49. scores_strength_score:
    0.5339
  50. scores_quality_score:
    0.3329
  51. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.2285
  52. scores_structural_quality:
    0.4183
  53. scores_pullback_score:
    1
  54. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.2765
  55. scores_continuation_score:
    0.4032
  56. scores_structure_score:
    0.3233
  57. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.94
  58. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.5066
  59. scores_risk_score:
    0.2496
  60. trend_analyzer_1h
  61. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.114
  62. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.0522
  63. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  64. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -1.2349
  65. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -1.5689
  66. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.4
  67. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.6
  68. features_last_bos_direction:
    -1
  69. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    1
  70. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  71. features_wick_ratio:
    0.5429
  72. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.4489
  73. features_impulse_strength:
    3.4853
  74. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.55
  75. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    2.6181
  76. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    4.6245
  77. features_extension_from_mean:
    -1.5689
  78. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.1602
  79. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.3005
  80. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.9
  81. features_volatility_delta:
    0.8057
  82. features_body_ratio:
    0.4498
  83. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.5187
  84. features_slope_consistency:
    0.2161
  85. features_range_position:
    0.2496
  86. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -4.0373
  87. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    1.3427
  88. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  89. features_had_recent_compression:
    0
  90. features_post_break_hl_count:
    0
  91. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  92. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  93. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  94. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  95. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  96. ¸
  97. orderbook_context
  98. obi_top5 : 0.3632
  99. obi_top10 : 0.122
  100. micro_price : 35.0702973
  101. spread_pct : 0.037073
  102. mid_price : 35.0725
  103. bid_wall_price : 34.7
  104. bid_wall_size : 40439.05
  105. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  106. ask_wall_price : 35.9
  107. ask_wall_size : 51847.692
  108. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  109. snapshots_count : 5
  110. obi_top5_mean : 0.1446
  111. obi_top5_std : 0.1233
  112. pressure_side : neutral
  113. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  114. collection_ms : 7239
  115. aggregation_tick : 0.1
  116. error :
  117. ¸
  118. strategy_details
  119. strategy : bos_pullback
  120. ms_state_1h : pullback_down
  121. strategy_details
  122. pivots_1h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-27 17:00:00
        [price] => 39.123
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  123. pivots_1h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-28 02:00:00
        [price] => 36.478
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  124. pivots_1h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-28 04:00:00
        [price] => 36.965
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  125. pivots_1h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-28 06:00:00
        [price] => 36.01
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  126. pivots_1h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-28 07:00:00
        [price] => 36.578
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  127. pivots_1h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-28 09:00:00
        [price] => 35.866
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  128. pivots_1h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-28 13:00:00
        [price] => 38.055
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  129. pivots_1h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-28 14:00:00
        [price] => 34.4
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  130. pivots_1h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-28 17:00:00
        [price] => 36.301
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  131. pivots_1h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-29 01:00:00
        [price] => 35.088
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  132. pivots_1h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-29 14:00:00
        [price] => 37.842
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  133. pivots_1h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-29 15:00:00
        [price] => 36.511
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  134. pivots_1h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-30 00:00:00
        [price] => 37.329
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  135. pivots_1h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-30 12:00:00
        [price] => 36.577
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  136. pivots_1h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-30 13:00:00
        [price] => 37.9
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  137. pivots_1h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-30 21:00:00
        [price] => 35.111
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  138. pivots_1h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-10-01 06:00:00
        [price] => 37.734
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  139. pivots_1h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-10-01 08:00:00
        [price] => 35.787
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  140. pivots_1h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-10-01 10:00:00
        [price] => 37.036
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  141. pivots_1h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-10-01 14:00:00
        [price] => 33.766
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  142. strategy_details
  143. pivots_15m_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-30 14:15:00
        [price] => 37.39
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  144. pivots_15m_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-30 14:30:00
        [price] => 36.936
        [kind] => low
        [label] => 
    )
    
  145. pivots_15m_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-30 18:45:00
        [price] => 36.619
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  146. pivots_15m_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-30 19:00:00
        [price] => 37.233
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  147. pivots_15m_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-30 20:00:00
        [price] => 35.139
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  148. pivots_15m_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-30 20:30:00
        [price] => 38.245
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  149. pivots_15m_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-30 21:15:00
        [price] => 35.111
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  150. pivots_15m_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-10-01 06:00:00
        [price] => 37.734
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  151. pivots_15m_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-10-01 08:30:00
        [price] => 35.787
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  152. pivots_15m_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-10-01 09:15:00
        [price] => 36.648
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  153. pivots_15m_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-10-01 10:00:00
        [price] => 36.028
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  154. pivots_15m_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-10-01 10:45:00
        [price] => 37.036
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  155. pivots_15m_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-10-01 13:30:00
        [price] => 34.716
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  156. pivots_15m_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-10-01 13:45:00
        [price] => 36.1
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  157. bos_level_long : 0
  158. bos_level_short : 35.787
  159. strategy_details
  160. levels_hl_price:
    33.766
  161. levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-10-01 14:00:00
  162. levels_hh_price:
    37.036
  163. levels_lh_price:
    37.036
  164. levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-10-01 10:00:00
  165. levels_ll_price:
    33.766
  166. demand_zone :
  167. strategy_details
  168. supply_zone_top:
    37.248
  169. supply_zone_bottom:
    35.787
  170. supply_zone_mid:
    36.5175
  171. supply_zone_freshness: tested
  172. supply_zone_strength:
    0.8667
  173. ¸
  174. regimes
  175. 1H : bear_high_confirmed
  176. 15m : bear_high_confirmed
  177. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ pullback_down
Confidence 81%

Trend

Trend Strength
-0.067
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
-0.795
Low Δ ATR
-2.303

Current Swing

Amp ATR
3.485
Speed
0.871
Efficiency
0.449

Structure

Retracement
2.618
Extension
1.680
Compression
0.789
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
0.779
Dist High ATR
-2.203
Dist Low ATR
1.524
26 pivots · 25 swings · Last pivot: ↓ 33.7660 @ bar 148

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_bearish_transition_balanced
Confidence 58%

Context

phase transition
structure bearish_transition
breakout fresh_breakout
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion low
momentum balanced
volatility volatile_reversal
risk discount
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.278
Strength Score 0.534
Quality Score 0.333
Cleanliness Score 0.229
Structural Quality 0.418
Pullback Score 1.000
Exhaustion Score 0.277
Continuation Score 0.403
Structure Score 0.323
Volatility Expansion 0.940
Momentum Type Score 0.507
Risk Score 0.250
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.114
Ema50 Slope
-0.052
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-1.235
Price Vs Ema50
-1.569
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.400
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.600
Last Bos Direction
-1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
1.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.543
Trend Efficiency
0.449
Impulse Strength
3.485
Directional Candle Ratio
0.550
Pullback Depth Ratio
2.618
Pullback Depth Atr
4.625
Extension From Mean
-1.569
Impulse Decay Score
0.160
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.301
Volatility Percentile
0.900
Volatility Delta
0.806
Body Ratio
0.450
Closes Position Ratio
0.519
Slope Consistency
0.216
Range Position
0.250
Distance To Recent High
-4.037
Distance To Recent Low
1.343
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
0.000
Post Break Hl Count
0.000

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7239ms Confidence avant OB : 93% → 93%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.363
avg 0.145 ± 0.123
OBI Top 10 0.122

Microstructure

Mid Price
35.0725
Micro Price
35.0703
Spread
0.0371%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
34.7000
Size
40,439.05

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
35.9000
Size
51,847.69

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
01 Oct 2026
11:00:33
01 Oct 2026
13:25:00
2 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
35.103 37.1546 29.9741 2.5 23.737
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 35.103
  • Stop Loss: 37.1546
  • Take Profit: 29.9741

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 37.1546 - 35.103 = 2.0516

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 35.103 - 29.9741 = 5.1289

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 5.1289 / 2.0516 = 2.5

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
136.8831 100 3.8995 1.37
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 2.0516

Taille de position = 8 / 2.0516 = 3.9

Taille de position USD = 3.9 x 35.103 = 136.9

Donc, tu peux acheter 3.9 avec un stoploss a 37.1546

Avec un position size USD de 136.9$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 3.9 x 2.0516 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 3.9 x 5.1289 = 20

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 3.9
  • Taille de position USD 136.9
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
14.61 % 20 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.84 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -5.84
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-5.9568 % 101.92 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 29.9741
            [entry_price] => 35.103
            [stop_loss] => 37.35976
            [rr_ratio] => 2.27
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 17:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 29.9741
            [entry_price] => 35.103
            [stop_loss] => 37.56492
            [rr_ratio] => 2.08
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 17:40:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 29.9741
            [entry_price] => 35.103
            [stop_loss] => 37.77008
            [rr_ratio] => 1.92
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 17:40:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 29.9741
            [entry_price] => 35.103
            [stop_loss] => 38.1804
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 17:45:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.349
            [max_drawdown] => 1.406
            [rr_ratio] => 0.25
            [high] => 36.50900000
            [low] => 34.75400000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.99
            [mae_pct] => 4.01
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.25
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-10-01T11:00:33-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-10-01T13:00:33-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.349
            [max_drawdown] => 3.767
            [rr_ratio] => 0.09
            [high] => 38.87000000
            [low] => 34.75400000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.99
            [mae_pct] => 10.73
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.09
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-10-01T11:00:33-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-10-01T18:00:33-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 37.28600000
            [high_after] => 38.87000000
            [low_before] => 33.76600000
            [low_after] => 34.75400000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank
#4 / n/a OK
seuil : top 15 · score du 01/10/2026 10:00
Signal Confidence
93 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime