Short Trade on PONS (CatchTheWave)
With 1404.39 PONS at 0.411$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3995 (2.77 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4166 (1.39 %)
Short Trade on PONS (CatchTheWave)
With 1404.39 PONS at 0.411$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3995 (2.77 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4166 (1.39 %)
Position size of 577.0913 $
Take profit at 0.3995 (2.77 %)
and Stop Loss at 0.4166 (1.39 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.8 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.53 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.77 |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bull_high_confirmed rules_regime : bull_high rules_regime_4h : bull_medium tf_aligned : 1 05/10 03:01 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.181082 15m : 0.355977 |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bull_high_confirmed 5m_regime : bull_high_confirmed |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
62%
|
05/10 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
71%
|
05/10 07:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
61%
|
05/10 07:00 |
| 5m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
05/10 07:00 |
Indicators:
86088
0.00152749
86219.5
0.181082
85716.8
0.00586406
86219.5
0.355977
85088.7
0.0132894
86219.5
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-03 02:00:00
[1] => 0.41817
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-03 08:00:00
[1] => 0.41224
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-03 11:00:00
[1] => 0.43335
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-03 18:00:00
[1] => 0.40081
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-04 05:00:00
[1] => 0.40421
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-04 06:00:00
[1] => 0.43008
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-04 16:00:00
[1] => 0.37441
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-05 00:00:00
[1] => 0.40387
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-05 05:00:00
[1] => 0.378
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-05 07:00:00
[1] => 0.41229
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.33229037813189
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 8.7089947089947
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.0714285714286
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-04 09:00:00
[1] => 0.4172
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-04 16:15:00
[1] => 0.37441
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-04 16:45:00
[1] => 0.40017
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-04 18:15:00
[1] => 0.37967
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-04 21:45:00
[1] => 0.39166
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-04 23:15:00
[1] => 0.40224
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-05 00:45:00
[1] => 0.40387
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-05 01:45:00
[1] => 0.39055
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-05 05:15:00
[1] => 0.378
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-05 07:00:00
[1] => 0.41229
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.33229037813189
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 8.7089947089947
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.0714285714286
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-05 01:50:00
[1] => 0.39055
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-05 02:15:00
[1] => 0.39752
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-05 02:45:00
[1] => 0.398
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-05 03:05:00
[1] => 0.39181
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-05 03:15:00
[1] => 0.39721
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-05 04:35:00
[1] => 0.3811
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-05 05:20:00
[1] => 0.378
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-05 06:00:00
[1] => 0.38677
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-05 06:20:00
[1] => 0.37954
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-05 07:05:00
[1] => 0.41229
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.33229037813189
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 8.2679032513042
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 8.6288665226327
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
0.378
197
0.3613
0.5872
0.3845
0.2352
0.5067
0.8781
0.4166
0.3945
0.299
0.868
0.6481
0.1796
-0.0224
-0.075
0.3333
1.0358
-0.4243
0.35
0.65
-1
15
1
0.5297
0.4793
4.9127
0.5
0.8781
2.5967
-0.4243
0.7676
0.2896
0.78
0.3655
0.546
0.52
0.819
0.1796
-14.8594
3.2523
1
1
1
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 01:50:00 | 0.39055 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-05 02:15:00 | 0.39752 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-05 02:45:00 | 0.398 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-05 03:05:00 | 0.39181 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-05 03:15:00 | 0.39721 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-05 04:35:00 | 0.3811 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-05 05:20:00 | 0.378 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-05 06:00:00 | 0.38677 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-05 06:20:00 | 0.37954 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-05 07:05:00 | 0.41229 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 09:00:00 | 0.4172 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-04 16:15:00 | 0.37441 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-04 16:45:00 | 0.40017 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-04 18:15:00 | 0.37967 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-04 21:45:00 | 0.39166 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-04 23:15:00 | 0.40224 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-05 00:45:00 | 0.40387 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-05 01:45:00 | 0.39055 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-05 05:15:00 | 0.378 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-05 07:00:00 | 0.41229 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 02:00:00 | 0.41817 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-03 08:00:00 | 0.41224 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-03 11:00:00 | 0.43335 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-03 18:00:00 | 0.40081 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-04 05:00:00 | 0.40421 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-04 06:00:00 | 0.43008 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-04 16:00:00 | 0.37441 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-05 00:00:00 | 0.40387 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-05 05:00:00 | 0.378 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-05 07:00:00 | 0.41229 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct 2026 03:06:17 |
05 Oct 2026 04:55:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4109 | 0.4166 | 0.3995 | 2 | 0.2914 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4166 - 0.4109 = 0.0057
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4109 - 0.3995 = 0.0114
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0114 / 0.0057 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 577.0913 | 100 | 1404.3884 | 5.77 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0057 = 1403.51
Taille de position USD = 1403.51 x 0.4109 = 576.7
Donc, tu peux acheter 1403.51 avec un stoploss a 0.4166
Avec un position size USD de 576.7$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1403.51 x 0.0057 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1403.51 x 0.0114 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.77 % | 16.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.39 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.01 $ | 2.77 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8494 % | 61.23 % | 4 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3995
[stop_loss] => 0.4166
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-10-05 08:55:00+00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.39665
[stop_loss] => 0.4166
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-05 10:30:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.01305
[max_drawdown] => 0.00349
[rr_ratio] => 3.74
[high] => 0.41439000
[low] => 0.39785000
[mfe_pct] => 3.18
[mae_pct] => 0.85
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.74
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-10-05T03:06:17-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-10-05T05:06:17-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.01943
[max_drawdown] => 0.00349
[rr_ratio] => 5.57
[high] => 0.41439000
[low] => 0.39147000
[mfe_pct] => 4.73
[mae_pct] => 0.85
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.57
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-10-05T03:06:17-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-10-05T10:06:17-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.41229000
[high_after] => 0.41439000
[low_before] => 0.37800000
[low_after] => 0.39400000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?