Long Trade on MRNA (CatchTheWave)
With 25.2 MRNA at 223.78$ per unit. Take profit: 224.4148 (0.28 %) & Stop Loss: 223.4626 (0.14 %)
Long Trade on MRNA (CatchTheWave)
With 25.2 MRNA at 223.78$ per unit. Take profit: 224.4148 (0.28 %) & Stop Loss: 223.4626 (0.14 %)
Position size of 5640.0512 $
Take profit at 224.4148 (0.28 %)
and Stop Loss at 223.4626 (0.14 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Strong Trade
|
0.68 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 2 | 0.37 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.73 |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bull_high rules_regime : bull_high rules_regime_4h : bear_medium tf_aligned : 10/10 00:05 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.200055 15m : -0.132007 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | bull_high |
81%
|
10/10 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
74%
|
10/10 04:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late_trend | bull_trend | moderate | fading | compression | bull_low |
58%
|
10/10 04:15 |
| 5m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | range_low |
46%
|
10/10 04:20 |
Indicators:
82556.5
0.000898178
82630.7
0.200055
82572.5
0.000704052
82630.7
-0.132007
83294.3
-0.00796811
82630.7
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206.32
186
0.7869
0.6733
0.3772
0.2871
0.4508
0.4969
0.3965
0.7958
0.6903
0.688
0.7279
0.9561
0.4204
0.3542
1
3.0555
7.8178
0.55
0.45
1
14
1
0.4258
0.5463
6.7723
0.65
0.4969
3.3652
7.8178
0
0.1861
0.48
0.8516
0.723
0.6159
0.8846
0.9561
-0.94
20.4717
1
0
1
Signaux confirmants (7)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:32 | 223.78000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 00:34 | 223.91000000 | +0.058% |
| 3 | 00:49 | 223.59000000 | -0.085% |
| 4 | 00:54 | 223.60000000 | -0.08% |
| 5 | 01:02 | 223.51000000 | -0.121% |
| 6 | 01:04 | 223.56000000 | -0.098% |
| 7 | 01:07 | 223.56000000 | -0.098% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 23:00:00 | 224.92 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-09 23:10:00 | 225.14 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-09 23:55:00 | 225.58 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-10 00:55:00 | 222.95 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-10 02:15:00 | 224.82 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-10 02:45:00 | 224.82 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-10 02:55:00 | 224.37 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-10 03:20:00 | 224.76 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-10 04:00:00 | 224.52 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-10 04:25:00 | 223.61 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 11:15:00 | 198.56 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-09 12:45:00 | 196.59 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-09 14:00:00 | 216.82 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-09 17:45:00 | 223.41 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-09 20:00:00 | 225.67 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-09 23:45:00 | 225.58 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-10 00:45:00 | 222.95 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-10 02:15:00 | 224.82 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-10 02:45:00 | 224.82 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-10 04:15:00 | 223.61 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 13:00:00 | 212.42 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-06 19:00:00 | 186.93 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-07 02:00:00 | 183.99 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-07 08:00:00 | 182.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-07 19:00:00 | 197.75 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-08 07:00:00 | 193.32 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-08 13:00:00 | 200.09 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-08 19:00:00 | 198.58 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-09 09:00:00 | 195.69 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-09 20:00:00 | 225.67 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2026 00:32:29 |
10 Oct 2026 00:55:00 |
22 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 223.78 | 223.4626 | 224.4148 | 2 | 224.82 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 223.4626 - 223.78 = -0.31739999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 223.78 - 224.4148 = -0.63480000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.63480000000001 / -0.31739999999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5640.0512 | 100 | 25.2036 | 56.40 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.31739999999999 = -25.2
Taille de position USD = -25.2 x 223.78 = -5639.26
Donc, tu peux acheter -25.2 avec un stoploss a 223.4626
Avec un position size USD de -5639.26$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -25.2 x -0.31739999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -25.2 x -0.63480000000001 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.28 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.14 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.14 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1564 % | 110.3 % | 2 |
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Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?