Short Trade on SKHY (CatchTheWave)
With 4.79 SKHY at 144.37$ per unit. Take profit: 141.0277 (2.32 %) & Stop Loss: 146.0411 (1.16 %)
Short Trade on SKHY (CatchTheWave)
With 4.79 SKHY at 144.37$ per unit. Take profit: 141.0277 (2.32 %) & Stop Loss: 146.0411 (1.16 %)
Position size of 691.1232 $
Take profit at 141.0277 (2.32 %)
and Stop Loss at 146.0411 (1.16 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.62 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.58 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.62 |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : bull_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_high rules_regime : bull_high rules_regime_4h : bear_medium tf_aligned : 15/10 11:02 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : -0.141162 |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bull_medium |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
57%
|
15/10 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
75%
|
15/10 15:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
15/10 15:00 |
| 5m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_medium |
79%
|
15/10 15:10 |
Indicators:
80974.8
0.0107075
81841.9
-0.141162
0
0
81841.9
82463.2
-0.00753491
81841.9
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-11 10:00:00
[1] => 170.42
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-11 16:00:00
[1] => 172.5
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-12 14:00:00
[1] => 161.61
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-13 04:00:00
[1] => 151.9
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-13 06:00:00
[1] => 151.9
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-13 12:00:00
[1] => 151.36
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-13 22:00:00
[1] => 159.1
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-14 06:00:00
[1] => 150.71
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-15 11:00:00
[1] => 135.88
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-15 15:00:00
[1] => 145.1
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.50310130944176
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.2481601413012
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.7853988813659
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-14 19:30:00
[1] => 149.21
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-15 01:15:00
[1] => 137.09
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-15 04:45:00
[1] => 139.74
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-15 06:00:00
[1] => 136.22
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-15 06:15:00
[1] => 139.46
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-15 08:15:00
[1] => 137.37
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-15 09:00:00
[1] => 138.98
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-15 11:00:00
[1] => 135.88
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-15 12:30:00
[1] => 136.67
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-15 15:15:00
[1] => 145.1
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.50310130944176
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.6340089266116
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.1681422404332
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-15 09:10:00
[1] => 138.98
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-15 10:00:00
[1] => 137.49
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-15 10:15:00
[1] => 138.24
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-15 11:05:00
[1] => 135.88
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-15 11:35:00
[1] => 138.31
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-15 12:30:00
[1] => 136.67
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-15 12:35:00
[1] => 138.74
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-15 13:25:00
[1] => 137
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-15 13:45:00
[1] => 142.13
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-15 15:15:00
[1] => 145.1
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.50310130944176
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.3795620437956
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 22
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.0896362485049
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
135.88
195
0.3018
0.5386
0.3622
0.2354
0.4658
1
0.1442
0.4524
0.2218
0.976
0.5802
0.2318
-0.0256
-0.1055
0.3333
1.1321
-0.9637
0.3
0.7
-1
4
1
0.5291
0.3246
8.9218
0.55
5.311
9.6621
-0.9637
0
0.2394
0.96
0.4201
0.5809
0.4177
0.8005
0.2318
-10.8712
3.2811
1
0
0
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:20 | 144.37000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 11:21 | 144.35000000 | -0.014% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 09:10:00 | 138.98 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-15 10:00:00 | 137.49 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-15 10:15:00 | 138.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-15 11:05:00 | 135.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-15 11:35:00 | 138.31 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-15 12:30:00 | 136.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-15 12:35:00 | 138.74 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-15 13:25:00 | 137 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-15 13:45:00 | 142.13 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-15 15:15:00 | 145.1 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 19:30:00 | 149.21 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-15 01:15:00 | 137.09 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-15 04:45:00 | 139.74 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-15 06:00:00 | 136.22 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-15 06:15:00 | 139.46 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-15 08:15:00 | 137.37 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-15 09:00:00 | 138.98 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-15 11:00:00 | 135.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-15 12:30:00 | 136.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-15 15:15:00 | 145.1 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 10:00:00 | 170.42 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-11 16:00:00 | 172.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-12 14:00:00 | 161.61 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-13 04:00:00 | 151.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-13 06:00:00 | 151.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-13 12:00:00 | 151.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-13 22:00:00 | 159.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-14 06:00:00 | 150.71 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-15 11:00:00 | 135.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-15 15:00:00 | 145.1 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 11:20:19 |
15 Oct 2026 15:10:00 |
3 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 144.37 | 146.0411 | 141.0277 | 2 | 143.6 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 146.0411 - 144.37 = 1.6711
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 144.37 - 141.0277 = 3.3423
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.3423 / 1.6711 = 2.0001
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 691.1232 | 100 | 4.7872 | 6.91 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 1.6711 = 4.79
Taille de position USD = 4.79 x 144.37 = 691.53
Donc, tu peux acheter 4.79 avec un stoploss a 146.0411
Avec un position size USD de 691.53$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 4.79 x 1.6711 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 4.79 x 3.3423 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.32 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.16 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.16 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.4061 % | 121.48 % | 9 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 141.0277
[entry_price] => 144.37
[stop_loss] => 146.20821
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-10-15 19:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 141.0277
[entry_price] => 144.37
[stop_loss] => 146.37532
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-10-15 19:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 141.0277
[entry_price] => 144.37
[stop_loss] => 146.54243
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-10-15 20:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 141.0277
[entry_price] => 144.37
[stop_loss] => 146.87665
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-15 20:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.91
[max_drawdown] => 1.01
[rr_ratio] => 1.89
[high] => 145.38000000
[low] => 142.46000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.32
[mae_pct] => 0.7
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.89
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-10-15T11:20:19-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-10-15T13:20:19-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.91
[max_drawdown] => 2.97
[rr_ratio] => 0.64
[high] => 147.34000000
[low] => 142.46000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.32
[mae_pct] => 2.06
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.64
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-10-15T11:20:19-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-10-15T18:20:19-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 145.10000000
[high_after] => 147.34000000
[low_before] => 136.67000000
[low_after] => 142.46000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?