Short Trade on SKHY (CatchTheWave)
With 13.08 SKHY at 135.72$ per unit. Take profit: 134.497 (0.9 %) & Stop Loss: 136.3315 (0.45 %)
Short Trade on SKHY (CatchTheWave)
With 13.08 SKHY at 135.72$ per unit. Take profit: 134.497 (0.9 %) & Stop Loss: 136.3315 (0.45 %)
Position size of 1775.5597 $
Take profit at 134.497 (0.9 %)
and Stop Loss at 136.3315 (0.45 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.65 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.56 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.85 |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_high rules_regime : bull_high rules_regime_4h : bear_medium tf_aligned : 18/10 18:03 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.408004 15m : 0.397518 |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bull_medium_confirmed 5m_regime : bull_low_confirmed |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
70%
|
18/10 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
75%
|
18/10 22:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_medium_confirmed |
72%
|
18/10 22:30 |
| 5m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_low_confirmed |
41%
|
18/10 22:30 |
Indicators:
81136.9
0.00501192
81543.6
0.408004
81352.3
0.00235065
81543.6
0.397518
81600.9
-0.000703324
81543.6
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-15 20:00:00
[1] => 147.34
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-16 00:00:00
[1] => 140.82
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-16 05:00:00
[1] => 146.51
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-16 23:00:00
[1] => 136.07
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-17 07:00:00
[1] => 138.39
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-17 19:00:00
[1] => 137.35
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-17 21:00:00
[1] => 127.71
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-18 09:00:00
[1] => 136.16
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-18 19:00:00
[1] => 131.83
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-18 22:00:00
[1] => 135.99
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.19854401058902
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.9507699309717
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.1555791549723
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-18 02:45:00
[1] => 133.83
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-18 03:45:00
[1] => 135.12
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-18 05:30:00
[1] => 134.04
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-18 09:15:00
[1] => 136.16
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-18 12:15:00
[1] => 135.64
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-18 14:30:00
[1] => 132.96
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-18 17:30:00
[1] => 132.69
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-18 18:45:00
[1] => 133.22
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-18 19:45:00
[1] => 131.83
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-18 22:15:00
[1] => 135.99
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.19854401058902
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.9507699309717
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.1555791549723
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-18 15:30:00
[1] => 133.1
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-18 16:10:00
[1] => 132.97
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-18 16:20:00
[1] => 133.89
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-18 17:30:00
[1] => 132.69
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-18 17:55:00
[1] => 133.19
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-18 18:50:00
[1] => 133.22
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-18 19:45:00
[1] => 131.83
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-18 20:25:00
[1] => 133.44
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-18 21:10:00
[1] => 132.48
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-18 22:20:00
[1] => 135.99
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.19854401058902
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.4456521739131
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 16
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.6494565217391
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
131.83
196
0.3333
0.6532
0.3458
0.2031
0.4625
0.5124
0.4244
0.606
0.2539
0.4593
0.5926
0.2554
-0.0465
-0.0819
0.3333
1.1124
-0.3045
0.25
0.75
-1
25
1
0.5937
0.4626
7.3162
0.7
0.5124
3.7488
-0.3045
0.7754
0.3504
0.66
-0.205
0.4115
0.5571
0.7998
0.2554
-19.3299
6.6309
1
1
1
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:30 | 135.72000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 18:33 | 135.58000000 | -0.103% |
| 3 | 18:37 | 135.73000000 | +0.007% |
| 4 | 18:42 | 135.98000000 | +0.192% |
| 5 | 18:48 | 136.02000000 | +0.221% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 15:30:00 | 133.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-18 16:10:00 | 132.97 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-18 16:20:00 | 133.89 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-18 17:30:00 | 132.69 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-18 17:55:00 | 133.19 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-18 18:50:00 | 133.22 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-18 19:45:00 | 131.83 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-18 20:25:00 | 133.44 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-18 21:10:00 | 132.48 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-18 22:20:00 | 135.99 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 02:45:00 | 133.83 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-18 03:45:00 | 135.12 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-18 05:30:00 | 134.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-18 09:15:00 | 136.16 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-18 12:15:00 | 135.64 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-18 14:30:00 | 132.96 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-18 17:30:00 | 132.69 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-18 18:45:00 | 133.22 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-18 19:45:00 | 131.83 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-18 22:15:00 | 135.99 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 20:00:00 | 147.34 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-16 00:00:00 | 140.82 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-16 05:00:00 | 146.51 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-16 23:00:00 | 136.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-17 07:00:00 | 138.39 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-17 19:00:00 | 137.35 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-17 21:00:00 | 127.71 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-18 09:00:00 | 136.16 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-18 19:00:00 | 131.83 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-18 22:00:00 | 135.99 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2026 18:30:59 |
18 Oct 2026 18:40:00 |
9 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 135.72 | 136.3315 | 134.497 | 2 | 143.6 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 136.3315 - 135.72 = 0.61150000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 135.72 - 134.497 = 1.223
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.223 / 0.61150000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1775.5597 | 100 | 13.0825 | 17.76 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.61150000000001 = 13.08
Taille de position USD = 13.08 x 135.72 = 1775.22
Donc, tu peux acheter 13.08 avec un stoploss a 136.3315
Avec un position size USD de 1775.22$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 13.08 x 0.61150000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 13.08 x 1.223 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.9 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.45 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.45 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5673 % | 125.9 % | 1 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 134.497
[entry_price] => 135.72
[stop_loss] => 136.39265
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-10-18 22:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 134.497
[entry_price] => 135.72
[stop_loss] => 136.4538
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-10-18 22:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 134.497
[entry_price] => 135.72
[stop_loss] => 136.51495
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-10-18 22:55:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 134.497
[entry_price] => 135.72
[stop_loss] => 136.63725
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-18 22:55:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 2.64
[max_drawdown] => 4.25
[rr_ratio] => 0.62
[high] => 139.97000000
[low] => 133.08000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.95
[mae_pct] => 3.13
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.62
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-10-18T18:30:59-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-10-18T20:30:59-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 2.64
[max_drawdown] => 5.33
[rr_ratio] => 0.5
[high] => 141.05000000
[low] => 133.08000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.95
[mae_pct] => 3.93
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.5
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-10-18T18:30:59-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-10-19T01:30:59-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 135.99000000
[high_after] => 141.05000000
[low_before] => 131.83000000
[low_after] => 133.08000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?