Short Trade on ARB

The 23 May 2025 at 23:22:39

With 3757.6167 ARB at 0.3993$ per unit.

Position size of 1500.4163 $

Take profit at 0.3961 (0.8 %) and Stop Loss at 0.4014 (0.53 %)

That's a 1.52 RR Trade

Results

Status:

loss

Trade Type:

sell

ML Trade Score: -70

ML Pullback Score: 2.87

Prediction Score: -6.4146

Prediction 1	Probability
Weak Trade	0.6

Prediction 2	Probability
1	0.41

Prediction 3	Probability
	n/a

BTC Market Regime	Coin Market Regime

BTC Correlation	Score
5m : 0.787682

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

long_trend: -1
short_kc: True
short_kc_percentage: 0.17
atr: 0.001419339385

Details

score: 1.17
1H
ema9 - 0.399373
ema21 - 0.407336
ema50 - 0.412717
ema100 - 0.409938
price_ema9_diff - -0.00018469
ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0195472
ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0130396
price_ema100_diff - -0.0259525
all_emas_in_trend - True
all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
rsi - 0.394149
kc_percentage - 0.232172
kc_width_percentage - 0.0703855
15m
ema9 - 0.395653
ema21 - 0.396202
ema50 - 0.402011
ema100 - 0.41142
price_ema9_diff - 0.0092172
ema9_ema21_diff - -0.00138741
ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0144498
price_ema100_diff - -0.0294609
all_emas_in_trend - True
all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
rsi - 0.549186
kc_percentage - 0.776182
kc_width_percentage - 0.029383
5m
ema9 - 0.397144
ema21 - 0.395615
ema50 - 0.395399
ema100 - 0.39781
price_ema9_diff - 0.00542696
ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00386527
ema21_ema50_diff - 0.000546839
price_ema100_diff - 0.00374479
all_emas_in_trend - True
all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
rsi - 0.67479
kc_percentage - 1.16707
kc_width_percentage - 0.0135358
btc_indicators
btc_indicators
5m_ema100: 107957
5m_price_ema100_diff: 0.00220493
5m_price: 108195
5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.787682
btc_indicators
15m_ema100: 109090
15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.00820553
15m_price: 108195
btc_indicators
1H_ema100: 108619
1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.00390165
1H_price: 108195

📌 Time Data

Start at	Closed at	Duration
23 May 2025 23:22:39	24 May 2025 00:50:00	1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.3993	0.4014	0.3961	1.52	0.2094

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.3993
Stop Loss: 0.4014
Take Profit: 0.3961

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.4014 - 0.3993 = 0.0021
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.3993 - 0.3961 = 0.0032
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0032 / 0.0021 = 1.5238

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
1500.4163	100	3757.6167	15.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0021

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0021 = 3809.52

Taille de position USD = 3809.52 x 0.3993 = 1521.14

Donc, tu peux acheter 3809.52 avec un stoploss a 0.4014

Avec un position size USD de 1521.14$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 3809.52 x 0.0021 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 3809.52 x 0.0032 = 12.19

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 12.19$

Résumé

Taille de position 3809.52
Taille de position USD 1521.14
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 12.19
Risk-Reward Ratio 1.5238

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
0.8 %	12.02 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
0.53 %	7.89 $

PNL	PNL %
-7.89 $	-0.53

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.60105184072127 %	0 %	0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3961
            [entry_price] => 0.3993
            [stop_loss] => 0.40161
            [rr_ratio] => 1.39
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-05-24 00:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3961
            [entry_price] => 0.3993
            [stop_loss] => 0.40182
            [rr_ratio] => 1.27
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-05-24 01:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3961
            [entry_price] => 0.3993
            [stop_loss] => 0.40203
            [rr_ratio] => 1.17
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-05-24 01:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3961
            [entry_price] => 0.3993
            [stop_loss] => 0.40245
            [rr_ratio] => 1.02
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-05-24 01:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

)

Extra Pullback data


                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0036
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0024
            [rr_ratio] => 1.5
            [high] => 0.40170000
            [low] => 0.39570000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.9
            [mae_pct] => 0.6
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.5
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-05-23T23:22:39-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-05-24T01:22:39-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0067
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0024
            [rr_ratio] => 2.79
            [high] => 0.40170000
            [low] => 0.39260000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.68
            [mae_pct] => 0.6
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.79
            [candles_analyzed] => 72
            [start_at] => 2025-05-23T23:22:39-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-05-24T05:22:39-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.40000000
            [high_after] => 0.40170000
            [low_before] => 0.38790000
            [low_after] => 0.39260000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)